On The Market

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On the Market 408 - Melody Wright's Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Claim

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Senior Living Has 100% More Demand Coming…with Barely Any Supply May 12, 2026

Show notes

One type of investment property is experiencing severe undersupply with a 20-year demographic tailwind on the way. Demand is growing, new supply isn’t even hitting a quarter of the need, and investors are writing off much of this industry as already past its peak. Is this a strategic opportunity to invest in an asset so obvious it’s been overlooked?

Of course, we’re talking about senior living investments.

Jerry Vinci, founder of CCR Growth, growth partners in senior housing, saw firsthand why investing in senior living is so crucial. Jerry watched all four of his grandparents move into senior living and witnessed the chaos, stress, and struggle of navigating such a crucial time in their lives.

Now, Jerry works to help underwrite and optimize senior living facilities, and as an industry insider, he’s seeing a change.

Demand is growing…fast. Even the youngest boomers are turning 65 in 2030, and the pipeline of 80+ year olds needing housing is starting to reach a bottleneck. Today, we’re talking about the wave of demand coming (and expected to sustain for two more decades), how investors can get started if they have no experience, the questions to ask before investing in a senior living facility, and why in senior living your market is more crucial than traditional real estate investing.

In This Episode We Cover

The “20-year cycle” that could funnel millions more Baby Boomers into senior housing

Who should be investing in small senior housing properties (5-10 residents)

The different types of senior living investments (from independent living to memory care and more)

Ask these questions to any operator you may be investing with

The massive supply bottleneck that cannot keep pace with senior living demand

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Investing in Senior Housing Can Be Extremely Profitable—But You Need To Know What You’re Doing

Real Estate by the Numbers

CCR Growth

Nordon Advisory

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U.S. Debt Surpasses GDP: Why Mortgage Rates Could "Spiral" From Here May 07, 2026

Show notes

The national debt just hit a dangerous new milestone, surpassing GDP—and the last time this happened, we just ended a world war. You already know the U.S. is heavily in debt—most Americans do—but nobody is asking the right question: at what point does this spiral out of control and force something in the economy to break?

Today, Dave is unpacking the next steps and the scenarios that could unfold once our debt reaches a point where our options to solve this become dangerous. And the effects could be massive for real estate investors, unless they begin preparing themselves now.

First, we’ll go over how we even got here, what makes up the majority of our national debt, and what we can cut to end this out-of-control spending. Next, the two scenarios, one of which could put real estate investors in a dangerous position. Dave is preparing, starting now, even if the worst effects don’t hit for years.

With no sign of either political party meaningfully lowering the debt, this isn’t a matter of “if” real estate is affected, but when.

In This Episode We Cover

The dangerous new milestone our national debt has just hit (can we reverse course?)

What real estate investors need to start doing nowto protect their future selves

Why mortgage rates could “spiral” up as the U.S. looks for a solution to pay off debt

Who’s to blame? Which administrations caused the debt to grow

Where 75% of our tax revenue is going (why the debt keeps rising)

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think

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U.S. Home Prices Turn Negative, Sellers Finally Give Up Ground May 05, 2026

Show notes

U.S. home prices have officially turned negative. For many months, sellers have resisted adjusting to current market conditions—until now. This could bring short-term pain for flippers and sellers, but overall, it’s a step in the right direction for a housing market that desperately needs prices to soften before it can become unstuck.

We’re back with more headlines from last week, including new data that suggests foreclosures are quietly approaching pre-pandemic levels. Inflation remains high, and affordability continues to be an issue, but how close are we to seeing serious distress?

On the topic of affordability, home builders are no longer being held to the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code, meaning new construction homes could become available at an even more affordable price point in the future. Meanwhile, wages are up. Despite rent growth remaining relatively flat, renters have more breathing room, which is ultimately a good sign for the overall health of the housing market, as well as for investors who want more predictable rental income.

In This Episode We Cover

Sellers are finally backing down as national home prices turn negative

New investing opportunities from rising foreclosures and bank-owned homes

Why new construction could become even more affordable in the future

Home builders get a big break as energy-efficiency standards are rolled back

Why higher wages are a big win for investors, despite stagnant rent prices

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 – 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues?

Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending April 18, 2026)

Auction.com: Q1 2026 foreclosure auction activity is nearing pre-pandemic levels

HUD, USDA Rescind Rule Tying New Homes to 2021 Energy Code

Renters gain more than $2,300 in breathing room as rent growth hits slowest pace since 2020

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Spring Housing Market Update: Deals Are Getting Better (Will It Last?) Apr 30, 2026

Show notes

We’ve got new data on the Spring housing market, and it’s…well, complicated.

The monthly data shows more of the same: a sluggish housing market with negative home price growth.

But zoom in, and the weekly data tells a different story. Pending sales and mortgage applications are ticking higher, and we’ve just crossed into what could be the strongest buyer’s market we’ve seen in years, with sellers outnumbering buyers in 38 of the 49 largest major metro areas. This can only mean two things: deals are getting better, and investors have more negotiating power than they’ve had in a while.

As for whether a Spring homebuying season is taking shape, it depends on who you ask. Tensions in the Middle East, surging inflation, and housing affordability challenges are keeping many would-be homebuyers in limbo.

But investors who have the means to buy, are actively looking in strong buyer’s markets, and are analyzing deals conservatively are seeing a new window of opportunity.

The question is, how long will that window stay open?

In This Episode We Cover

Why real estate deals are getting better, despite a sluggish housing market

What “positive” weekly data means for the potential of a Spring homebuying season

How tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation numbers could affect housing

How investors can take advantage as the U.S. flips to a strong buyer’s market

What happens to mortgage rates once new Fed chair Kevin Warsh is confirmed

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market 419 – The Fed’s High-Stakes Power Struggle Affects Much More Than Mortgage Rates

Housing Wire Pending Home Sales Data

Redfin Home Price Data

Redfin Buyers vs. Sellers Data

Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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Flippers Are Feeling Most Bullish in Months, Here’s Why Apr 28, 2026

Show notes

Buyers are waiting out the market, mortgage rates are rising again, and the economy seems as unstable as ever. So why are house flippers feeling bullish about investing in 2026? A new report has surfaced showing an overwhelmingly optimistic view of flipping houses, with active flippers registering stronger bullish signals than in previous months.

The question is: what are house flippers seeing in the market that we aren’t?

To answer, our resident house flipping expert, James Dainard, is on to share what he’s seeing in his market, the actual profits he’s making on flips in 2026, how he’s saved bad deals and turned them into 90% profit margins (yep), and the things that will kill your returns when flipping a house in 2026. James is still making solid margins on his house flips, and he has strong opinions about why these flippers are feeling so optimistic.

Plus, if you’re thinking of flipping your first house in 2026 or getting back into the game, James shares some critical advice to help you keep your costs low and make a profit even if your flip turns into a flop.

In This Episode We Cover

Actual profit margins that house flippers are making in 2026

How James turned a deal gone bad into a 90% return, even in a tough market

A new survey showing very surprising sentiment among U.S. house flippers

What James is doing right now to make higher margins with fewer flipping deals

The things that will kill your house flipping profit margins

New house flipper? Heed James’ advice before you start

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Flipping Houses: How to Get Started and Everything You Should Know

ResiClub: What to expect from the home flipping market in 2026 and beyond

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The Fed’s High-Stakes Power Struggle Affects Much More Than Mortgage Rates Apr 23, 2026

Show notes

Something is brewing at the Federal Reserve, and it’s starting to get ugly.

For many months, President Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower the federal funds rate and has since named a new Fed chair nominee to take the reins after Jerome Powell's term ends. But what seemed like a straightforward transition has quickly evolved into a nasty political showdown—a “standoff” between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Senate Banking Committee.

The drama could drag out for months, with Powell’s investigation being prolonged and nominee Kevin Warsh’s confirmation being delayed.

But behind all of it, there’s a much more serious issue being threatened:

Fed independence.

The Federal Reserve’s ability to act independently of political influences is crucial for creating monetary policy in the best long-term interest of the country, and it’s being jeopardized.

For investors, this isn’t just political theater—it’s a signal. If markets lose faith in the Fed’s independence, the ripple effect could reshape not just interest rates, mortgage rates, and the housing market, but the entire U.S. economy. And it’s unfolding right now.

In This Episode We Cover

What happens when the Federal Reserve loses its “independence”

Why the current Fed power struggle affects much more than mortgage rates

The “battle” that is holding up new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh’s nomination

Why the Federal Reserve’s hands are tied when it comes to cutting interest rates

Behind the “drama” unfolding between the Senate Banking Committee and the DOJ

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1266 – The War Has Changed the Housing Market | April 2026 Update

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How America Could Soon Be Oversupplied with Homes Apr 21, 2026

Show notes

For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds.

Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem.

Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets.

In This Episode We Cover

Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market

Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market

The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes

A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country

Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Starts to Decline?

Calculated Risk

Reuters: US home builder sentiment drops to seven-month low in April, NAHB survey says

WSJ: America’s Self-Storage Craze Has Reached a Tipping Point

Associated Press: The US is short 10 million houses. A new White House report lays out a blueprint to fix that

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Housing Market Reverses Gains as Sentiment Reaches 70-Year Low Apr 16, 2026

Show notes

This could have profound effects on the housing market, and if you work or invest in real estate, you need to know what's coming next.

Energy shocks, high inflation, new job numbers, the worst consumer sentiment in 70 years…it’s all hitting us in a single week, and the housing market is already reacting. After months of affordability gains, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.4% in response to the oil price spike and, by proxy, high inflation readings. The Fed has already made the bulk of its rate cuts, so is there any room left for interest rates to go down?

Home sales are already slowing, and consumers are feeling the worst about the economy in 70 years. This will impact the housing market, and it’s not good news for agents, brokers, lenders, or anyone involved in transactions. But for investors, we’re being given yet another opportunity to buy deals…and the discounts could be getting deeper.

The window to act is widening even more. Here's how to position yourself before it closes.

In This Episode We Cover

New inflation rate readings and why the CPI rose close to 1% in just a month

Mortgage rates are stuck: why they can’t fall much more, even with a new Fed chair

Latest home sales data that shows how the housing market is already reacting

Why more and more investors are getting pessimistic about the housing market

Will home prices crash? Here’s what’s holding them stable right now

What investors need to do to prepare themselves right now to get better deals

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought

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These High-Inventory Markets Could “Swing Up” in the Next Cycle Apr 14, 2026

Show notes

Could today’s weak housing markets become tomorrow’s winners? One particular real estate demand “cycle” says that it’s more than possible. Everyone has written off real estate markets where inventory has risen, prices have dropped (substantially), and migration has slowed. But what happens when the pendulum swings in the other direction, and these dead markets return to life?

ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to get into all things supply, demand, and most importantly—inventory. According to Lance, we’re in the 25th percentile for weak housing markets, and one certain variable could increase our risk significantly, and it’s not getting much better. A “catalyst for risk” could push demand down even more, stunting already suffering housing markets. But there is hope.

Domestic and international migration surged post-pandemic but has come to a standstill in the past few years. When this migration “cycle” restarts, certain states, especially those with the weakest housing markets right now, could benefit. And if mortgage rates lower again, breaking more of the “lock-in effect,” the market could change quickly. But which markets could “swing up” the fastest?

In This Episode We Cover

A real “catalyst for risk” that could cause an even weaker housing market

The states that could see the biggest boosts once domestic and international migration return

Investors: This is a sign that you should make an aggressive offer on a property

Good news for interest rates? A “considerable improvement” in this key metric

Why inventory is stabilizing in the hardest hit housing markets

And So Much More!

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