On The Market

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How Much Passive Income is Enough to Retire With?

Schroders US Retirement Survey

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Zillow: $1,000/Month Cash Flow Exists in These Markets Jul 21, 2026

Show notes

Zillow is seeing “signs of life” emerging in the housing market. Strong demand, days pending hitting pre-pandemic levels, and seriouscash flow in specific markets. How long will this last, and what happens when new construction completions fall off a cliff in the near future? Will rents and home prices reverse, going from stable (and even falling) to rising as demand outpaces supply even more?

Orphe Divounguy, Zillow Senior Economist, is back to share the most up-to-date housing market data. Orphe brings good news—sales are increasing, demand is surprisingly strong, and a recovery (albeit fragile) for the housing market is underway. Some markets are seeing a drastic increase in sales; others are seeing almost unbelievably strong cash flow (Orphe is talking $1,000/month), so which markets are which?

Finally, how long will this last? We keep talking about buyers getting discounts off of list price or serious seller concessions, but are we months or years away from this ending? With multifamily supply about to see a serious dropoff, the demand for housing (and rentals) could get even higher. Orphe breaks it all down!

In This Episode We Cover

The housing markets currently seeing strong cash flow even at list price (up to $1,000/month cash flow!)

Markets with the most home sales and why they’re beating many other major metros

Why rent and home prices could “firm” up once this happens in the housing market

No escaping this housing supply shortage? The reason why flat/declining population won’t crash housing

Sellers: How to price your home to get the highest (and quickest) sale (do not overprice)

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market 433 - New Data: U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Their Floor

Learn More from Orphe’s Team

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You Won’t Believe Why Mortgage Rates Are Going Up (Again) Jul 16, 2026

Show notes

You won’t believe why mortgage rates are going back up. It’s not because of the war, it’s not because of gas prices, and it’s not because of the Federal Reserve. Something nobody is talking about is playing a much bigger role in mortgage rates than most Americans think. It’s making big corporations richer while the average American continues to struggle to buy a home.

What is the hidden factor nobody’s talking about?

Today, Dave is getting into it, unpacking not only the real reason why mortgage rates are heading back toward 7%, but the loaded week of housing market news. First, we’ll touch on mortgage rates and the two reasons why they’re shooting back up even after a surprisingly positive inflation report. Then, the historic housing billthat successfully became law and what it really says in the fine print (is Wall Street actually banned?).

Finally, why rising student loan delinquencies could mean more renter demand and fewer home sales for millions of Americans.

In This Episode We Cover

The real reason why mortgage rates are going up even if inflation readings are falling

What’s actually in the historic 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act?

Wall Street’s “ban” on buying houses and what the fine print says

Cracks forming in student loan repayments and how it could trickle down to housing (more renter demand?)

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

Hear Our Full Episode on the Historic Housing Bill

Grab Dave’s Book, Start with Strategy

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2026 Housing Market Predictions: Seller Pain is Far From Over Jul 14, 2026

Show notes

The first half of the 2026 housing market is over, and now it’s time to answer the question everyone wants to know: What’s next? Will the market slow down even more and bring lower prices for patient buyers, or will a (surprisingly) resilient US economy finally give buyers what they’re looking for? We’re split. We’re disagreeing. And today, we’re giving our updated 2026 housing market predictions.

A long, slow, painful housing market could be in store for some, while a “booming” environment could be coming for others—which one will it be for you? We’re breaking it down, based on your exact market, property type, and whether you’re buying, selling, or holding and waiting.

One type of property James is warning you to actively avoid; Kathy is saying certain markets will bring huge benefits to those who buy in them early; and Dave sees bad signs for the American consumer, which could spill even more into the housing market.

Get ahead of the housing market—these are our H2 2026 housing market predictions.

In This Episode We Cover

Why an even slower, more painful market could be in store for 2026 sellers

The passive income play that Dave is doubling down on as rentals suffer

Flipping a house? What James warns you to do so you don’t lose money on your sale

The rental markets Kathy is currently eyeing to get deals before prices pop

Sobering signs that American consumers are still far from ready to buy

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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On The Market 431 - The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack

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Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing Cycle Jul 09, 2026

Show notes

Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing CyclePodcast Description

If you ask the average American, AI is taking over, as are the headlines warning that it’s coming for our jobs. Open LinkedIn, and you’ll see stories about chatbots replacing employees, hiring freezes, and departments being downsized. But when you dig into the actual data, it’s murky at best. So, what’s really happening, and how should real estate investors prepare?

On one hand, unemployment remains relatively low, and layoffs aren’t surging across the U.S.—not yet at least. In fact, many economists are still projecting positive job growth in the short term. On the other hand, you have growing concerns among what seems like most American workers. Fear about job displacement. Career uncertainty. The pressure to stay employable.

Then there’s the trickle-down impact on the housing market. Rising unemployment affects the biggest renter demographic in the nation. Do real estate investors need to temper expectations for rental demand and rent growth for the foreseeable future? Does “conservative” investment analysis need to go to another level? We’re breaking it all down, plus much more, on today’s show.

In This Episode We Cover

What to make of “murky” data surrounding AI’s impact on the U.S. job market

Why Americans are becoming increasingly worried about AI-caused layoffs (despite “positive” forecasting)

Two ways that widespread adoption of AI could affect the housing market

Why real estate investors should prepare for lower rental demand and rent growth

Which real estate markets are the best long-term bets as AI reshapes the economy

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Worried About AI? Here’s How Real Estate Is Changing Faster Than Ever

World Economic Forum: The Future of Jobs Reports 2025

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Employment Situation Summary

Mercer: Global Talent Trends 2026. Solving the Human-Machine Equation

Resume Now: AI Disruption: 9 in 10 Workers Fear Job Loss to Automation

Challenger, Gray, & Christmas: Challenger Report December 2025

CNBC: Satya Nadella Says as Much as 30% of Microsoft Code Is Written by AI

McKinsey Global Institute: Agents, Robots, and Us: Skill Partnerships in the Age of AI

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): Firm Data on AI

Buy the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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Commercial Real Estate Is Quietly Setting Up for a Decade-Long Bull Run Jul 07, 2026

Show notes

We’ve officially reached the halfway point of 2026, and the housing market still feels…stuck.

The economy is in limbo. Home prices haven’t tanked. And we aren’tseeing significant large multifamily distress...not yet at least. Is it just a matter of time before the other shoe finally drops, or is this market more resilient than we expected?

Brian Burke is back to give his pulse check on the 2026 housing market. What has changed? Has anything changed?

We’re breaking down some of the predictions we made earlier in the year, the biggest surprises from the last six months, and how we’re adjusting our expectations for 2027 and beyond.

The truth is, this “boring” market is exactly the kind of environment that has made disciplined real estate investorsvery wealthy. Residential real estate values are holding steady, and commercial real estatecould be set up for a 10-year bull run.

So, is it a better time to buy than the headlines suggest—or will those holding out for a 2008-style housing crash be proven right?

In This Episode We Cover

Brian Burke’s mid-year pulse check on the 2026 housing market

The 10-year commercial real estate bull run that could kick off in 2028

How to create long-term wealth with “smart” portfolio construction

Why we haven’t seen significant large multifamily distress (yet)

The three “types” of real estate syndication failure (and why they matter)

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1293 – The Strongest Sign for the Housing Market in Years | June 2026 Update

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The Hands-Off Investor

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The Data Is Lying: What Buyers Are Really Paying in 2026 (Less Than You Think) Jul 02, 2026

Show notes

We’ve all seen the data. Home prices are falling but remain relatively “flat,” year over year.

There’s just one problem: the data is lying.

We’re in a full-blown buyer’s market now, and what investors are actually paying for homes is much less than most people realize.

Behind the scenes, buyers are negotiating thousands—even tens of thousands—of dollars in seller concessions that never show up in home sales data. Closing costs. Interest rate buydowns. Repair credits. Even cash.

These concessions are quietly driving the real cost of homes much lower than the numbers suggest. In fact, nearly half of all home sales now include some kind of seller concession, and that’s on top of the price drops we’re seeing in many markets.

How much are investors really saving? The amount is often capped based on the deal and the loan. But even these concession limits have workarounds.

If you use this two-pronged strategy for negotiating asking price and concessions, you’ll have a clear path to saving 3%, 5%, or maybe even upward of 10% on your next deal. This is the kind of advantage that can make the numbers work, even in the toughest of markets.

In This Episode We Cover

Why the median home sale price isn’t what investors are actually paying in 2026

How to negotiate massive discounts on properties in most markets

Two ways to get around the seller concession limits for investors

The markets with the highest percentage of home sales with seller concessions

A “balanced” strategy for scoring a lower purchase price and seller concessions

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

11 Items You Can Negotiate in a Real Estate Deal

Redfin: 46% of Home Sellers Gave Concessions to Buyers in May, the Highest Share on Record for That Month

Redfin: America’s Housing Market Favors Buyers—But Their Advantage Is Starting to Shrink

Grab the Book on Negotiating Real Estate

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Trump Just Stalled the Biggest Housing Bill in Decades Jun 30, 2026

Show notes

You’ve seen the headlines. The housing market is stuck. Distress is rising. But if you dig beneath the surface, the actual data tells a different story. The market isn’t in freefall, and in many places, there’s more “stability” than most people think. And small investors are quietly taking the lead.

This week’s stories all point the same way. Inventory is essentially “flat,” up just 0.25% year over year. Luxury supply is rising, but homes floating around the median home price—the kind “mom-and-pop” investors like you and I are buying—remain tight. Meanwhile, the percentage of home sales to investors is climbing, with the dial gradually swinging toward the “small” investor.

And then there’s what’s happening in Washington. On Wednesday, President Trump canceled the signing of the biggest housing bill in decades. For now, we’ll have to wait a little longer until it becomes law. But if (or when) it gets passed, how will it actually impact the housing market? Are its benefits for the average American being overstated, or is this the supply-side reform we’ve been waiting for?

In This Episode We Cover

Why the 2026 housing market is more “stable” than most investors think

Where “small” investors are taking a larger share of recent home sales

What comes next after President Trump canceled the signing of the new housing bill

How the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act will affect the market (if or when it’s passed)

The two types of markets where inventory is either rising up or trending down

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Baselane: Automate your rental cash flow for a chance to win $10K plus BiggerPockets Pro members get a free upgrade to Baselane Smart. Sign up now

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

A New Bill Proposes Tax-Free Savings for Homeownership—Here’s How It Could Help Prospective Investors

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Baselane is a financial technology company and is not an FDIC-insured bank. Banking services provided by Thread Bank, Member FDIC.NO PURCH. NEC. Open to legal residents of 50 US/DC, 18+ & are

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Peace Deal Signed: Where Mortgage Rates Are Actually Headed Jun 25, 2026

Show notes

The peace deal between the U.S. and Iran has been agreed to (at least for now). The Strait of Hormuz, the chokehold on 20% of the world’s oil, is starting to open back up, and trade can, at least temporarily, continue. The question is, will inflation begin to fall if oil flows (more) freely through the Middle East? And if inflation falls, could mortgage rates be right behind them?

Today, we’re talking about what could actually happen from here on out. We’ve seen a lot of opinions recently saying this deal could boost the economyand the housing market, or bring mortgage rates back down to earth. The question is, will any of that actually happen? As real estate investors, knowing what’s coming down the pipeline can give you a huge advantage, but believing the wrong narrative can cost you.

So today, I’m giving you my honest, data-backed take on what happens next. Will inflation and mortgage rates retreat? When could we begin to see the effects of the open Strait? Will the housing market bounce back as the supply chain heals? And what should a real estate investor be on the lookout for before the changes hit our economy?

In This Episode We Cover

What really happens to mortgage rates when oil begins to flow and inflationary pressures ease?

Why economists are saying we could be “warm for a while” in this economy

Does Dave think rates will fall below 6% any time in 2026 (and if not, where will they be)?

The two things that could lead us to lower mortgage rates (one is good, one is…not)

The real effects the housing market will feel once the Strait is fully opened again

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

On The Market 432 - J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy Begins to Break

Oxford Economics: US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%

CNBC: Bank of America expects three Fed hikes this year, says inflation is getting ‘unambiguously worse’

NAR Housing Affordability Index

Grab the Book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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The Fed Signals a Reversal in Rates Jun 23, 2026

Show notes

The new Federal Reserve Chair is already making news, signaling a major change to rates—and not in the way Americans were hoping for. With inflation up, the Fed has eyed raising, not cutting, the Federal Funds rate, all while changing key language on price stability at its most recent meeting. The question is, will they do it, or is this simply a bluff to stop the market from getting out of control?

We’re back to break down this week’s top housing market headlines, from the Fed’s recent meeting to a surprising comeback in a few markets most believed were dead, and the massive HELOC pull that is taking billions more out of the housing market and into owners' hands.

First, we’re touching on the Fed. Will they really raise rates by this fall, defying the exact hopes of President Trump, or is this just a bluff to cool an already hot economy? Why is office, of all things, seeing a major comeback, and why are America’s most divisive housing markets leading the charge? Finally, homeowners pull out a massive $47B (with a b) in home equity. Is this a cry for help from struggling homeowners? We’re getting into it all!

In This Episode We Cover

The Fed’s latest announcement on inflation, rate movements, and their next moves

What investors are doing now before rate hikes make their way back

One commercial real estate asset class seeing a surprising comeback

Is America’s boom-then-bust market (Austin, Texas) finally seeing its turnaround?

$47B in equity pulled: Are homeowners in trouble, and using equity to save themselves?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

Kevin Warsh is the Next Fed Chair—Here’s What Investors Should Expect From Him