On The Market

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On The Market 369 - Zillow Forecast: Best and Worst Housing Markets of 2026

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75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode? Mar 03, 2026

Show notes

Remember all those homes that were “delisted” in the fall and winter? The homes that sellers took off the market when they couldn’t get the price they wanted? Well, now, the frozen housing market is thawing, and 75,000 “relistings” could boomerang back into the market. With a new wave of inventory, would this be the catalyst for home prices to drop even more?

Compass’s Mike Simonsen, friend of the show and all-time inventory expert, is back to give a quite contrarian take on the relisting inventory about to hit the real estate market. With the spring homebuying season about to peak in just a couple of months, former sellers now get a new chance to put their properties up again, in hopes that lower mortgage rates entice buyers.

Thecrash predictors say that this new glut of inventory could cause prices to drop as the buyer’s market becomes even more one-sided. But Mike has a key piece of data that changes the story entirely, one that could be good for the future housing market and actually give transactions a modest boost.

Mike says a “new era” of real estate is upon us—and it could last a while.

In This Episode We Cover

The “relisting” wave of inventory that could hit the housing market this spring

Why home prices may not drop even with more properties on the market

A “new era” of real estate that makes it even better to buy a home

Why housing inventory is falling in states with the biggest home price corrections

No forced selling? The reality that kills the housing crash narrative

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market 378 - The “Delisting” Wave Putting Years of Housing Market Gains at Risk

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You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Goes Negative? Feb 26, 2026

Show notes

There’s a ticking time bomb for the U.S. housing market that nobody is talking about. It’s the biggest existential threat to home prices and housing demand, and it (arguably) can’t be stopped. The question is, how long do we have until it happens?

Today, we’re talking about population: what happens when the U.S. population begins to decline, and the need for housing falls year after year? Deaths are already set to outpace births by 2031, meaning we’re just five short years away from this risky scenario becoming reality. What happens to home prices? Will millions of homes sit empty? Which markets will see their values fall the fastest? Is real estate still safe to invest in?

Dave’s giving a masterclass on the population crisis, and how the housing market will be affected. From birth rates to immigration, baby boomers passing away (and passing down their houses), and cities that will face the biggest demographic headwinds, this is what every investor needs to know before 2031.

In This Episode We Cover

What happens to the housing market once the population begins to decline?

Will our housing shortage flip to a supply glut as demand is forced to fall?

The one thing propping up our population and how it’s starting to falter

Short, medium, and long-term housing forecasts as population decline increases

Lessons from Japan, Germany, and Italy: Where do home prices fall the fastest once populations decline?

Markets that will be the safest when the population finally begins to flip

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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U.S. Immigration Crisis: What It Really Means for Housing Markets and Investors

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Tariffs Out, Housing Bill In: Big Changes Coming for Real Estate Feb 24, 2026

Show notes

Many of President Trump’s tariffs have been canceled—and the housing market could stand to benefit. Could this be yet another sign that inflation is slowing and that mortgage rates can continue to fall?

This is big news for the housing market, but it’s not even the biggest news of this episode.

Today, we’re going over everything you may have missed. From the Supreme Court striking down tariffs in a majority vote to amajor housing bill moving forward, to cities seeing the most new corporate headquarters (a serious sign of job growth), we’ve been busy taking stock of the stories affecting investors.

We’ll get into how the tariff reversal will affect prices and mortgage rates (this may be great news), the new housing law that could make building, renovating, and financing even easier, Trump’s new “tokenized” real estate investments, and the markets that may see the biggest booms as jobs flood these areas.

In This Episode We Cover

Tariffs canceled: a win for the housing market as inflation risk reduces?

The new housing supply and affordability bill that could pass the Senate soon

The cities that are gaining (and losing) corporate headquarters (some are not so obvious)

Would you invest in Trump’s “tokenized” real estate investment? The “crypto for real estate” push continues

Will tariffs be returned to American citizens who paid them? One Supreme Court justice gives his honest take

And So Much More!

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On the Market 399 - Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier

WSJ: Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Global Tariffs

NAR: Bipartisan Housing Bill Passes House of Representatives

BI: A crypto firm with ties to Trump will 'tokenize' some of the president's real estate empire

Visual Capitalist: The U.S. Cities Gaining and Losing Corporate HQs

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Off by Nearly 1 MILLION Jobs? Why New Jobs Report Will Impact Rentals Feb 19, 2026

Show notes

Big economic news dropped last week: labor data, inflationrates, and huge jobs revisions. All of these are already impacting the housing market, but could new numbers cause an even greater shift that could affect your mortgage rate, your rents, and your next deal?

Rental property owners, agents, sellers, and buyers: this news affects what you’re doing right now. New labor data beat the odds, with a surprising amount of hirings. But, with many of those hirings concentrated in a few specific fields, investors in markets with this line of work will need to watch carefully. And it wasn’t all good news—the largest jobs number revision in over a decade happened last week. The number of overreported jobs? It changes the picture entirely.

A strong labor market could mean stagnant mortgage rates, but inflation data might just come in to save the day. With lower inflation readings, could the Fed get the confidence to cut once again?

Finally, we’ll talk about exactlywhich types of homes will sell and which will stagnate on the market. One type of property is flying off the proverbial shelf, so if you can build, renovate, or rent it, you could be in luck. For the rest of investors, Dave has some cautious words of wisdom that could save you if this economic trend continues.

In This Episode We Cover

Off by nearly 1,000,000 jobs: Inside the largest jobs number revision in over a decade

New inflation rate readings and whether we’re trending in the right direction

More moves for mortgage rates? Positive data that could tip them a bit lower

The one type of housing that has high demand, even as consumer sentiment stays low

Why you either feel phenomenal or terrible about the U.S. economy

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought

BiggerPockets Real Estate - 1229 - Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Update)

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2026 Mortgage Update: Lower Rates, ARMs Return, and When to Refi Feb 17, 2026

Show notes

Rental property financing is becoming much easier. For years, seven and eight-percent rates made it brutal to make deals work. But now, things are changing—for the better.

Mortgage rates in the five-percent range? HELOCs with no closing costs? Seller concessions to buy down your interest rate, and a smoother path to affordable properties? It’s all culminating in 2026, and this could be one of the best years in recent memory to get a mortgage for a rental property. Today, we’re talking toJeff Welgan, who's spent 22 years in the mortgage industry, and is bringing good news.

Thought those ARM (adjustable-rate mortgage) loanswere left behind in 2008? Safer, cheaper, and more flexible ARM loans are available to investors. With lower rates and longer fixed-rate periods, they could be the perfect option as mortgage rates continue to decline. Jeff also shares how you can get a HELOC with no closing costs, so you don’t have to give up that rock-bottom mortgage rate you secured in 2020. Plus, when to refinance, how low rates could go, and whether you still should buy down your rate in 2026.

In This Episode We Cover

Jeff’s 2026 mortgage rate prediction and the “range” he thinks rates will stay in

Are ARMs back? Why adjustable-rate mortgages are cheaper, safer, and better for investors

Should you pay down your interest rate? When Jeff says it is (and isn’t) worth it

Why the mortgage industry’s cycle is about to end, and investors must be careful

Got a high mortgage rate? This is when you should think about refinancing

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything

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Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier (New Bill) Feb 12, 2026

Show notes

This could be the most important shift in the housing market in years.

Something truly remarkable just happened that will impact almost every facet of real estate. The “Housing for the 21st Century Act” just passed the House in a landslide vote, with bipartisan support from Democrats and Republicans. But unlike past housing proposals, this one focuses on the thing that could actually fix the housing market for good—supply.

This could make building (and renovating) houses cheaper and faster, allow Americans to finance manufactured homes the same way we finance regular properties, expedite the permitting process for some new builds and rehabs, and give your local bank the ability to lend faster and easier than before.

In short, this bill has a significant impact not only on everyday homeowners but also on real estate investors. The question is, will this fix the housing supply problem we’ve been plagued with?

We’re digging into the six sections of this bill in today’s episode.

In This Episode We Cover

Why this new bill could be a monumental shift for the housing market

Building just got even better—fewer permits, faster approvals, and more

A huge win for affordable housing that could streamline cheaper homes for many Americans

Will new supply kill appreciation? Why many investors are dead wrong about this

Work with local banks? This new bill could be hugely advantageous for you

Investors: do this now! How this bill will affect your investments once passed

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On the Market 392 - Trump’s Housing Proposals Could Work, There’s Just One Big Problem

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2026’s Top Growing Cities (People Are Moving Here!) Feb 10, 2026

Show notes

The “lock-in effect” is finally starting to break, and Americans are movingyet again. But, where are they going? The top cities people are moving to aren’t what you’d expect—in fact, many of them are where prices are actively falling. Is now the time to buy as populations grow and homes remain affordable?

Three major housing market shifts are unfolding this week, and we're breaking them all down on this week's headlines episode. First, is the lock-in effect finally over? Before, the housing market was at a standstill, as homeowners with 3% mortgage rates refused even to consider selling. Now, after years of high rates slowly getting better, the tables have turned. Sellers are more willing to let their property go and tap into that huge pile of equity, but will this actually affect inventory?

Then, the 2026 U-Haul Growth Index—where are people moving right now? The top metros and states could surprise you, as many of them have falling home prices. Finally, is housing inventory getting worse? It felt for a while that buyers had their pick, but now, the trend is starting to reverse, and sellers may gain even more control.

In This Episode We Cover

U-Haul’s top in-migration cities, metros, and states

The end of the lock-in effect? Why homeowners aren’t staying put to keep their low rate

This city's job market is “on fire” and seeing a strong influx of residents

Did housing inventory growth already reverse? Why sellers are finally getting fast offers

Signs to buy during a correction: cities that are growing but seeing lower home prices

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Dallas-Fort Worth Remains Projected as the Top Housing Market For the Second Year in a Row

Fortune: ‘Something big’ just happened in the U.S. housing market

U-Haul Growth Index

Realtor: Inventory Gains Slow Down in January

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Trump’s New Fed Pick Could Raise Interest Rates, Defy Expectations Feb 05, 2026

Show notes

A new Fed Chair has been nominated—and he could do what no Fed has done before.

Kevin Warsh, the youngest Fed governor appointed, serving during the Great Financial Crisis, is Trump’s new pick, and his decisions could have major impacts on the housing market. But the mainstream media is missing a few key variables, falsely assuming that Warsh will kick off a series of rate cuts that end in lower interest rates.

But, in reality, something completely different could happen—something that the Fed has never tried before.

Warsh has strong opinions on quantitative easing (money printing) and wants to, in essence, delete some of the money the Fed has created over years of buying bonds and mortgage-backed securities. At the same time, Warsh will most likely push for rate cuts—a challenge given the Fed’s divided members.

So, what does this mean for mortgage rates? Could we see rates actually rise due to Warsh’s plans, or could ending quantitative easing boost market confidence and lower long-term mortgage rates? We’re getting into it all, plus what investors should do nowregardless of what the Fed’s next moves are.

In This Episode We Cover

Trump’s new Federal Reserve Chair pick and why Trump is so keen to kick Powell out

Higher mortgage rates incoming? What everyone is getting wrong about the Warsh pick

The end of money printing: Why the new Fed Chair pick wants to delete dollars off the balance sheet

Something the Fed has never done before: Can you lower rates while keeping inflation in check?

The one type of real estate that could greatly benefit from the moves Warsh will make

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors

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Make 30% More Than Regular Rentals? One Property Sees “Explosive” Demand Feb 03, 2026

Show notes

This type of rental property is seeing “explosive” demand. But, they’re cheaper than many regular rental properties, get 30% more rent, and take less work than vacation rentals. More and more Americans are using them, and where they’re needed most, there’s not much supply.

You might have thought it wouldn’t last, but medium-term rentals are becoming the rental property investor’s cash cow—and we have new data to prove it. Jeff Hurst, CEO of Furnished Finder, teamed up with the short-term rental data experts at AirDNA to release a new report on monthly rentals.

This could change everything you’ve thought about the space. Investors are making more money with smaller properties, and demand is growing—fast. Tenants are extending their stays, while paying a 30%-50% premium over traditional rentals, but the cost to furnish is a fraction of what it would be for a short-term rental.

But Jeff says there’s a “sweet spot” medium-term rental—and it’s one of the least expensive properties you can buy. Even better, your long-term rental could be the perfect pick.

It might be time to look at medium-term rentals again.

In This Episode We Cover

The new report from Furnished Finder and AirDNA showing the massive demand for medium-term rentals

How to make 30%-50% more revenue by turning your long-term rental into a monthly stay

Is the medium-term rental market oversupplied, like the short-term rental market? The data might surprise you

How to immediately test whether your long-term rental would work with this strategy

The “sweet spot” medium-term rental that costs less and has strong demand from monthly renters

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On the Market 261 - This Could Be Like Getting into Airbnb in 2012 w/Jeff Hurst

Read the New Furnished Finder + AirDNA Report

Furnished Finder Market Insights