Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Surveillance: Risk That Fed Could Go Faster, Kiesel Says Jan 05, 2017

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PIMCO's Mark Kiesel says the main risk to the U.S. is a pickup in inflation. Prior to that, Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Partners' chairman, says the Fed is content to let inflation run a little hot. Stewart Warther, BNP Paribas' derivatives strategist, says there is less informational advantage in recent years. John Kernan, a consumer research analyst at Cowen & Co., says things are going to get ugly in retail. Finally, Drew Matus, UBS' deputy chief U.S. economist, says he is anticipating an unchanged unemployment rate on jobs day.

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Surveillance: Bremmer, Summers, and The Fate of Pax Americana Jan 04, 2017

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Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer and Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers join Tom Keene and David Gura on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss populist policy cycles, the new truculent nationalism, and the future of American leadership.

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Surveillance: Q4 Productivity to be Disappointing, Feroli Says Jan 04, 2017

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Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says trade wars remain the biggest downside risk in the next year or two. Prior to that, Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity's chief market strategist, says the post-Donald Trump rally has brought too much optimism to the market. Then, Evan Medeiros, Eurasia's managing director for Asia, says Asian policymakers and business leaders wonder if Trump will be as committed and involved in Asia as President Obama. Finally, Dartmouth's Danny Blanchflower says the U.S. is \u0010nine million jobs away from full employment.

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Surveillance: Eurasia Group's Top Risks of 2017 Jan 03, 2017

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Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group's president and founder, discusses his top risks for 2017 and says traditional alliances are crumbling. Lawrence Summers, former U.S. treasury secretary, says the risks to the global economy are enormous. Then, Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Global Economics' co-founder and chairman, says there is a huge amount of uncertainty about economic policy, both in the U.S. and in Europe. Also, Dom Barton, McKinsey & Co.'s global managing partner, says it's technology -- not trade -- that's dislocating jobs. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners' founder, says Donald Trump is making volatility great again. Finally, Raghuram Rajan, former governor of the Bank of India, says central banks are in the "process of exit."

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Surveillance: The Year Ahead Special with Abby Joseph Cohen Jan 02, 2017

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Abby Joseph Cohen of Goldman Sachs joins Tom Keene for a special hour of Bloomberg Surveillance. Their conversation touches on a wide range of topics in economics and finance looking to 2017 including the Trump presidency. Also, a special look back to the challenges she has faced across her storied career.

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Surveillance: Shocks Will Be Political, Not Economic Dec 30, 2016

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Luigi Zingales, a professor at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Businesss, discusses what to expect in Donald Trump's first 100 days. Dennis Ross, a distinguished fellow at the Washington Institute, says a one-state solution in the Middle East will not work. Finally, Don Rissmiller, Strategas's chief economist, says it's hard to accelerate employment gains in the second half of a business cycle.

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Surveillance: Companies Must Focus on Growth, Not Tax Inversion Dec 29, 2016

Show notes

John Silvia, Wells Fargo Securities' chief economist, says fiscal policy structure should the No. 1 priority for Donald Trump. Neil Shearing, chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, says the biggest risks to emerging markets next year will be domestic in nature. Finally, John Ryding, a co-founder of RDQ Economics, says we are in a new environment of fiscal stimulus at a time of relatively full employment.

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Surveillance: Fed Is on Hold for First Quarter of 2017 Dec 28, 2016

Show notes

Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman's head of currency strategy, discusses the Fed and how he expects to see the British sterling head weaker. Tony Crescenzi, a PIMCO portfolio manager, says credit markets are fully priced for a good scenario. Finally, John Nixon, a former CIA analyst, says the politicization of intelligence has done more harm to foreign policy than anything in the last decade.

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Surveillance: Small-Caps and Financials to Outperform in 2017 Dec 27, 2016

Show notes

Michael Holland, chairman and founder of Holland & Co., says markets are pricing in stronger growth and discusses why financials are up going into 2017. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research's head of U.S. economics, says the tax code needs an overhaul. Finally, Jonathan Golub, RBC Capital Markets' chief U.S. market strategist, says inflation is coming naturally from the unemployment rate being under 5 percent.

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Surveillance: Lipsky on the Oddity of Lagarde's Conviction Dec 23, 2016

Show notes

John Lipsky, former IMF first deputy managing director, discusses managing director Christine Lagarde's negligence conviction. Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates' chairman, talks to Tom Keene and David Gura about the state of retail during the holiday season. International Rescue Committee's CEO, David Miliband, says refugees are a symptom of political failure. Finally, Deustche Bank's Rocky Fishman says there won't be a single moment that defines what the euro zone looks like a year or two from now.

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