Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Politicians Must Take More Notice of Inclusion, Deaton Says Jan 20, 2017

Show notes

From the World Economic Forum in Davos, Angus Deaton, a professor at Princeton and a Nobel Laureate, says African American and Hispanic mortality rates are falling like a "stone." Prior to that, Laura Tyson, a professor at Berkeley, says something big will be done in corporate tax cuts under Donald Trump. Toby Cosgrove, CEO of Cleveland Clinic, says the Veterans Affairs has many issues. Then, Martin Sorrell, CEO of WPP, says there may be a Keynesian-type boom under Trump. Finally, Carlos Gutierrez, former U.S. secretary of commerce, says it's important for Trump to be humble as he begins his presidency.

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Davos Special: Trump Has Picked Smart People, Dalio Says Jan 19, 2017

Show notes

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates' founder, says populism is a global phenomenon. Harvard Professor Michael Porter says he rejects the idea that America wants angry populism. Admiral James Stavridis says NATO won't collapse under Donald Trump. Christopher Eisgruber, president of Princeton University, says 80 percent of Princeton students are graduating with zero debt. Nicholas Stern, former UK government climate change czar, says the world can cut emissions 20 percent and double GDP in 20 years. Finally, Carmen Reinhart, a professor at Harvard University, says China is fighting depreciation and capital flight is not entirely in their control.

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Davos Special: Trump Is Against Capitalism, Roubini Says Jan 18, 2017

Show notes

Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, discusses Donald Trump and says France's Le Pen would be the end of Europe. Prior to that, Joseph Stiglitz, a professor at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, says the rule of law is an issue under Trump's presidency. Harvard's Kenneth Rogoff says he's concerned about the new administration's relationship with the Fed. Then, Robert Shiller, a Nobel economist and Yale professor, says Trump brings uncertainty and inspiration at the same time. David Lipton, the IMF's first deputy managing director, says interconnectedness has helped people achieve higher living standards. Finally, John Studzinski, vice-chair of the Blackstone Group, says Davos is the 1 percent of the 1 percent talking to themselves with no one represented from the other 99 percent -- and having more youth in the room in Davos would make a big difference.

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Davos Special: Rubenstein Says Nationalism Affects Big Banks Jan 17, 2017

Show notes

JPM International Chairman Jacob Frenkel said we are close to being out of the financial crisis. Richard Edelman, Edelman President & CEO, said trust has imploded in institutions and media has become part of the elite. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder, said there is a lot of angst in the global middle class. Qualcomm Chairman Paul Jacobs said 5G will be driven by the end markets and will move beyond just phones and into drones and robots. Skybridge Co-Managing Partner Anthony Scaramucci said President-Elect Trump wants to equalize and create symmetry in trading relationships.

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Surveillance: Revenue Isn't Bank of America Story, Leon Says Jan 13, 2017

Show notes

Ken Leon, Center for Financial Research and Analysis' head of equity research for banks, says millennials are more comfortable with online banking and that will hurt consumer banking headcount. Prior to that, UBS' Geoffrey Yu says he sees a stronger post-Brexit pound. Meghnad Desai, Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum chairman, says Donald Trump arrived with the economy in good shape, but with plenty of reserve power to grow. Finally, Bob Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says markets are reacting to stronger global momentum and responding to reality instead of expectations about what comes next.

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Surveillance: U.S. Bank Stocks May Rise Another 50%, Mayo Says Jan 12, 2017

Show notes

Mike Mayo, an analyst at CLSA Ltd., says the stocks will surge as he expects at least 4 percent revenue growth for U.S. banks during the next four years. Prior to that, Stephen King, HSBC's senior economic adviser, discusses the effect Donald Trump will have on the World Economic Forum. Jonathan Loynes, an economist at Capital Economics, says he has factored in a boost to U.S. economy's GDP growth this year due to fiscal stimulus from tax cuts. Finally, Ed Hyman, chairman at Evercore ISI, says if the economy picks up, productivity will pick up as well.

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Surveillance: Trump's Tweet Policy Is Dangerous, Gartman Says Jan 11, 2017

Show notes

Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says central bank powers are being diminished by the modern world. Prior to that, Rob Carnell, ING's chief international economist, says he expects tougher trade policy from Trump than previously thought. Franziska Ohnsorge, the World Bank's lead economist, says investment growth in emerging markets dropped to 3.4 percent in 2015 from 10 percent in 2010.

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Surveillance: Pound Must Have Upside From Lows, Barth Says Jan 10, 2017

Show notes

Marvin Barth, Barclays' head of FX strategy, says currency intervention just doesn't work. Paul Mortimer-Lee, BNP Paribas' chief economist, says higher bond yields reflect good news. Charles Dumas, TSL Research's chief economist, says the Chinese currency won't slide much more. Finally, Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research, says the future of Yahoo depends on tax structure.

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Surveillance: Short UK and French Government Bonds, Gallo Says Jan 09, 2017

Show notes

Algebris Investments' Alberto Gallo says the FX market may panic again once Britain triggers Article 50. Prior to that, Baroness Helena Kennedy, a Labour Party member of the House of Lords, says British Prime Minister Theresa May will have to try to compromise when it comes to Brexit. Edward Glaeser, an economics professor at Harvard University, says when we start thinking that infrastructure is a solution to all of our problems, we get bridges to nowhere. Finally, Roger Bootle, founder of Capital Economics, says he'd be surprised if U.K. confidence falls back in 2017.

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Surveillance: Trump Resembles Mussolini's Policies, Gross Says Jan 06, 2017

Show notes

Janus Capital's Bill Gross says Donald Trump's targeting of companies reminds him of policies associated with Benito Mussolini. Prior to that, Boston Mayor Marty Walsh discusses GE's move to Boston and the city's innovation culture. Then, Alicia Munnell, the director of retirement research at Boston College, discusses the state of retirement today. Finally, Jim Glassman, JPMorgan's senior economist, says hope of tax reform is bringing back enthusiasm in equity markets.

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