Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: Fed Dot Plot Is Not a Good Idea, Orphanides Says Dec 08, 2016

Show notes

Athanasios Orphanides, a professor at MIT and a former ECB official, discusses the merits of the Federal Reserve's dot plot and central bank transparency. Then, Abby Joseph Cohen, president of Goldman Sachs Global Markets Institute, says the market is shifting into more cyclical aspects of the stock market. Also, Michael Lewis discusses his new book, "The Undoing Project," which traces a "bromance" between Israeli psychologists Daniel Kahneman and the late Amos Tversky, whose work sparked the rise of behavioral economics and led to shifts in sports, medicine and government. Finally, Southwest Airlines CEO Gary Kelly says he's hopeful that regulation will abate with Donald Trump.

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Surveillance: Trump Could Boost Europe, Haass Says Dec 07, 2016

Show notes

Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, and Michael Spence, a professor at NYU, weigh in on European and American politics, saying the euro zone remains flawed and globalization is moving faster than politics. Then, Gerard Cassidy, RBC's managing director of equity research, says Bank of America is the best too-big-to-fail buy and has had a great turnaround. Finally, Utah Senator Mike Lee says there are some potential anti-competitive concerns with the AT&T/Time Warner deal.

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Surveillance: OPEC Is Doomed, Gartman Says Dec 06, 2016

Show notes

Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the price of crude oil will fall to zero in 30 years. Then, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says she's most focused on monetary policy from the ECB and how it moves markets. Finally, Mario Gabelli, founder of Gabelli Funds, says Donald Trump's notion of lower taxes, less regulation and reestablishment of entrepreneurial innovation isn't bad for any entrepreneur.

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Surveillance: Europe, as a Construct, Is Failing, Bremmer Says Dec 05, 2016

Show notes

BMO's Brian Belski and Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer discuss the future of Europe after the Italian referendum. Then, former IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard says China's power within the global supply chain could easily cripple the U.S. Also, Luigi Zingales, a professor at University of Chicago's Booth School, says it's the dawn of Donald Trump's crony capitalist world. Finally, Carl Weinberg, the founder of High Frequency Economics, discusses Italy's economic future.

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Surveillance: Gross Says He Can't Live With the Taylor Rule Dec 02, 2016

Show notes

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Janus Capital's Bill Gross about the job report and the Fed. Prior to that, Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics' chief economist, says Italian banks are in trouble, no matter the outcome of the Italian referendum. Finally, Ira Jersey, a fixed-income strategist at OppenheimerFunds, says we'll see an uptick in yields for a few years and his colleague, Brian Levitt, says markets are starting to price in optimism.

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Surveillance: Modi's Cash Move Is Radical, Rogoff Says Dec 01, 2016

Show notes

Former IMF Chief Economist Kenneth Rogoff says India's currency crisis is exacerbated by policy implementation issues. Then, Daniel Yergin, the vice chairman of IHS, says the OPEC production deal will work. Also, Harvard's Nicholas Burns says President-elect Donald Trump should align himself with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Finally, chess grandmaster Fabiano Caruana says Magnus Carlsen's opponents can never recover, once the current world chess champion gets even a tiny advantage over them.

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Surveillance: Italy's Possible Eurozone Exit Nov 30, 2016

Show notes

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief economist, says Italy leaving the Eurozone would be an "end of the world event," while TS Lombard Research's chief economist, Shweta Singh, says things won't dramatically change after the Italian referendum. Then, Stephen Schork, editor of the Schork Report, says the OPEC deal is great news for U.S. producers. Finally, Anthony Scaramucci, co-managing partner of SkyBridge Capital and an adviser to Donald Trump, says Trump will use trade tariffs as a last resort.

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Surveillance: Trumponomics Not Unlike Mussolini, Posen Says Nov 29, 2016

Show notes

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, about what we know about Donald Trump's economic plan. Then, Bob Greifeld, Nasdaq's CEO, says 2017 will be a year of increased IPOs. Also, George Bory, the head of credit strategy at Wells Fargo, says companies may see a powerful trickle-down from Trump's economic plan. Finally, Mortimer Singer, the CEO of Marvin Traub Associates, says he's never seen anything like the way midtown Manhattan retail has been negatively affected by the security around Trump Tower.

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Surveillance: Fidel Castro's Death Doesn't Mean Radical Change Nov 28, 2016

Show notes

David Gura and Francine Lacqua, filling in for Tom Keene, discuss Fidel Castro's legacy and what his death means for the future of Cuba with Julia Sweig, a professor at University of Texas at Austin and the author of "Cuba: What Everyone Needs to Know." Prior to that, Sheila Bair, the president of Washington College and former chairman of the FDIC, says the populist backlash to the economic crisis helped Donald Trump win the election. Then, Gideon Rose, the editor of Foreign Affairs Magazine, says it's unlikely Trump will live up to his campaign rhetoric. Finally, Bill Lee, Citi Research's head of North American economics, says Trump won't be able to reflate the economy until 2018.

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Surveillance: Black Friday's Massive Move to Online Nov 25, 2016

Show notes

Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates' chairman, says we will see more brick and mortar stores close as online sales grow. Then, Jerry Storch, CEO of Hudson's Bay, says that while 85 to 90 percent of sales are taking place in a brick and mortar store, more of the growth is taking place online. Finally, Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Partners' chief economist, says the biggest thing he's worried about is rising tensions with China over trade.

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