Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Surveillance: Anti-Trade Seems Unlikely For Trump, Hubbard Says Nov 23, 2016

Show notes

Glenn Hubbard, the dean of Columbia Business School, says he is optimistic about the policy agenda that President-elect Donald Trump has set out. Prior to that, Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds' CIO for growth, says Amazon will have an outstanding holiday season. Finally, Harm Bandholz, UniCredit's chief U.S. economist, discusses what could happen to the U.S. economy under Trump.

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Surveillance: The Pros and Cons of A "Rules-Based" Fed Nov 22, 2016

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Komal Sri-Kumar, the president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, and Kim Schoenholtz, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, discuss the possibility of a "rules-based" Federal Reserve. Prior to that, Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments' head of macro strategies, says the U.S. and U.K. populism wave is emerging in Europe. Finally, Jim Paulsen, a Wells Capital Management strategist, says dollar strength is peaking and will come down over the next couple of years.

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Surveillance: America's Debt Will Get Larger, Diane Swonk Says Nov 21, 2016

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Diane Swonk, founder of DS Economics, says not being able to have a grown up conversation about long-term fiscal sustainability is a real issue. Prior to that, Martin Feldstein, the National Bureau of Economic Research's president emeritus, says exceptionally high asset prices are a risk to the economy. Then, Pablo Goldberg, a BlackRock portfolio manager, says it's crucial to hedge against dollar moves. Finally, Daragh Maher, HSBC's head of FX strategy, says he's still bearish on sterling.

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Surveillance: Trump Could Restore Productivity, Bullard Says Nov 18, 2016

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St. Louis Fed President James Bullard says Donald Trump's policies may improve U.S. productivity. Prior to that, UBS' Geoffrey Yu says the Turkish Lira is among the most vulnerable to changes in exchange rates. Then, Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says Trump's fiscal policy has several layers of uncertainty. Finally, Joachim Fels, PIMCO's global economic adviser, says populism means the EU may break up in the next crisis.

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Surveillance: Too-Big-To-Fail May Be Reviewed, Kashkari Says Nov 17, 2016

Show notes

Neel Kashkari, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, says that politics never comes up in Fed meetings. Prior to that, Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief economist, says fiscal stimulus is the wrong thing at the wrong time. Then, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Barclays' head of macro research, says under a Donald Trump economy, economic drag from trade barriers should be more than offset by economic stimulus. Finally, Sam Stovall, S&P's head of U.S. equity strategy, says returns average 15 percent in years of a GOP government.

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Surveillance: Protectionism Will Make Us Poor, Salmond Says Nov 16, 2016

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Alex Salmond, the former First Minister of Scotland, and Holger Schmieding, Berenberg's chief economist, discuss the election of Donald Trump, Brexit and the rise of protectionism. Then, Joseph Nye, a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School, says that Trump can't let Vladimir Putin off the hook. Also, Jim O'Neill, the former U.K. Treasury Minister, discusses how the United Kingdom fits into Trump's foreign policy. Then, Charles Wyplosz, a professor of economics at the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, says that Trump's victory is making him rethink Marine Le Pen's chances in the French election. Finally, Dane Davis, an analyst at Barclays Commodities, says Trump is making metals great again.

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Surveillance: Don't Reject Trumponomics, Skidelsky Says Nov 15, 2016

Show notes

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Robert Skidelsky, a historian & House of Lords member, about Donald Trump's economic plan, which Skidelsky says is broadly a fiscal stimulus package. Then, Luigi Zingales, a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, says Trump's inexperience means he will depend heavily on his advisers. Also, former Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern says the Fed will be cautious about placing any bets until they understand what fiscal policies will actually be implemented. Finally, former ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet says Trump's victory and Brexit are signs of people's anxiety.

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Surveillance: Italy Needs IMF Assistance, DB Economist Says Nov 14, 2016

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David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says Italy is better outside the Eurozone if the country refuses to reform. Then, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Frank Newport, Gallup Poll's editor-in-chief, about the difficulties found in state-by-state polling. Also, Charles Dumas, TS Lombard's chief economist, discusses the future of the Federal Reserve under a Donald Trump presidency and says inflation will be up to 2 percent next year and 3 percent the following year. Finally, Julian Jessop, Capital Economics' chief global economist, says that rising bond bond yields represent the long-awaited normalization of interest rates.

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Surveillance: Trump Is a Populist, Not Fascist, Ferguson Says Nov 11, 2016

Show notes

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Niall Ferguson, a senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, about the role of populism in Donald Trump's election. Then, Willem Buiter, the chief economist at Citi, discusses what the role of the Fed could be under President Trump. Then, Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says he's still looking for an overshoot in the Mexican peso. Also, Rich Greenfield, an analyst at BTIG, says ESPN's struggling to expand because viewers have an infinite number of other options to watch. Finally, Bret Baier, host of "Special Report" on Fox News, says the Republican party has no excuses to not get anything done.

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Surveillance: Trump to Be Reaganomics on Steroids, Rattner Says Nov 10, 2016

Show notes

Steve Rattner, Willett Advisors' chairman, says Donald Trump's policies can transform the U.S. economy. Prior to that, John Burns of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, says the housing market is recovering and new home buyers are slowly entering the market. And Harris Associates' David Herro says that Trump was able to convince Americans that he understands them. Narayana Kocherlakota, a Bloomberg View contributor and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, says the central bank has tools to dampen inflationary risk. Finally, Rhode Island Governor Gina Raimondo says the federal government needs to step up with infrastructure spending because states can't afford to bear the entire burden.

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