UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

Fixed Income Roundtable with the UBS Chief Investment Office May 21, 2024

Show notes

Join the CIO fixed income team every other month for a discussion around the drivers behind asset class trends and performance, rates, positioning, and a near-term outlook. Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, moderates a panel which includes insights from Senior Fixed Income Strategists Barry McAlinden, and Frank Sileo, along with Senior Closed-end Funds Strategist, Sangeeta Marfatia, and Senior Municipal Strategist, Kathleen McNamara.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Russian income – let it go?' May 21, 2024

Show notes

US Treasury Secretary Yellen receives an honorary doctorate today, which gives ECB President Lagarde an opportunity to speak in public. It would be poor taste to talk of policy on such an occasion. Of more interest is Yellen’s motive for visiting Europe—the G7 finance ministers’ meeting on Thursday. This may discuss using the income from frozen Russian assets (including central bank assets) to aid Ukraine. Markets may pay attention not just to the implications for Ukraine, but the implications around the security of asset ownership in a politically polarized world.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Hard over soft May 20, 2024

Show notes

With US equity markets having reached all-time record closes, Jason weighs the ‘sell in May, and go away’ narrative, and discusses how investors should consider positioning in light of current market levels. We also reflect on the latest round of inflation data, as well as near-term market drivers. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Middle East politics' May 20, 2024

Show notes

Iranian President Raisi has been killed in a helicopter crash. The first vice president becomes interim president, and elections will be called within 50 days. No change is expected in Iran’s main policy positions as major policy decisions are overseen by Supreme Leader Khamenei. Over the longer term, market considerations will focus on the implications for Khamenei’s successor, and the potential for protests around the elections.

Washington Weekly Podcast: Presidential debates, FAA Bill, Ukraine update May 17, 2024

Show notes

We preview the current calendar for US Presidential debates, unpack the FAA Bill and the implications for consumers, and share takeaways from Secretary of State Blinken’s recent visit to Ukraine. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'China’s vulnerabilities' May 17, 2024

Show notes

China reported stronger industrial production and weaker domestic retail sales. If these figures are accurate, they present some risks to China’s policy-makers. Production strength seemed focused in politically-sensitive areas, including computing and autos.

CIO First Take: April CPI data & Market response May 16, 2024

Show notes

Join members of the UBS Chief Investment Office for some timely thoughts and reflections around the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and what this latest inflation data might mean for monetary policy, and the markets. Featured are Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and David Lefkowitz, Head of Equities Americas. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'A dose of normality' May 16, 2024

Show notes

Yesterday’s US consumer price data was less weird—no 4% monthly increases in rent in Detroit (as in March). The detail showed for almost every business sector, there is deflation somewhere in the United States. For the benefit of non-economists (like the Chair of the Federal Reserve) this is not remotely consistent with sticky prices.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 5) May 15, 2024

Show notes

Following a brief Springtime hiatus, we catch-up with Burkhard to hear about his recent travels and the connections that can be drawn from the picturesque landscapes of Europe to the European economic landscape. Burkhard also shares takeaways from a recent conversation with IMF-Head Kristina Georgieva, where they discuss the ingredients for a successful economy (tune in to find out!).

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Undermining the “data dependency” story' May 15, 2024

Show notes

Federal Reserve Chair Powell wants further inflation declines before the Fed cuts rates. US inflation is already at or near target for the prices over which the Fed has control. Last month’s consumer price inflation did surprise to the upside, mainly because of rents in the city of Detroit.

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UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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