UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Following Swiss leadership' May 09, 2024

Show notes

Sweden’s Riksbank followed the Swiss National Bank’s leadership with an interest rate cut. The move was generally though not universally expected by financial markets. The press conference implied that lower inflation was driving interest rates lower, and that more rate cuts may be forthcoming later this year.

CIO House View Monthly Livestream (May) May 08, 2024

Show notes

Hear the latest thinking and investment recommendations from the UBS Chief Investment Office with Dan Scansaroli, Head of Portfolio Strategy & UBS Wealth Way Americas, and Nadia Lovell, Senior Equity Strategist Americas.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Rate cuts ahead?' May 08, 2024

Show notes

Sweden’s Riksbank is expected to cut interest rates at its meeting today (this is a widespread but not a universal expectation). Swedish inflation is some way above 2%, but the trend has been for slower price increase. In cutting rates, the Riksbank would simply be following inflation lower (as with the earlier Swiss rate cut).

State of the US Consumer & Brand engagement with Eric Clark (Accuvest) May 07, 2024

Show notes

Eric rejoins the podcast to share his take on how current economic conditions and the rate environment have impacted consumer behavior and spending patterns. We also touch on how brands have been adapting or pivoting in order to maintain consumer engagement. Featured is Eric Clark, Portfolio Manager with Accuvest Global Advisors. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Funding consumer spending' May 07, 2024

Show notes

In the Middle East, Hamas accepted a Qatari/Egyptian proposal for a ceasefire, but the Israeli government has rejected it. There are obvious humanitarian consequences from this, but little direct market impact. Over the longer term, there may be some wider political considerations as this is a polarizing issue in the US (and Republican and Democratic party conventions loom in July and August).

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Summer sequel? May 06, 2024

Show notes

As we turn the page on a volatile month of April and look ahead to the summer, we consider whether the April FOMC meeting and Employment Report outcomes have hinted at the return of a ‘goldilocks’ environment? Jason explains, along with outlines positioning considerations for the current environment. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Exuberance and the Fed' May 06, 2024

Show notes

A single, dubious quality US data report last Friday was enough to send bond and equity markets into paroxysms of delight. One month’s employment report should not trigger market moves of this degree. It is easy to put all the blame for this on the exuberance of traders, but Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s mantra of “data dependency” means investors will naturally elevate imprecise short-term data releases into the arbiters of US monetary policy.

Top of the Morning: April Jobs Report, Fed takeaways & week ahead May 03, 2024

Show notes

We recap the week that was, including today’s release of the April employment report, Wednesday’s Fed statement and press conference, along with preview what you can expect in the week ahead. Featured is Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shiavon Chatman

Washington Weekly Podcast: US Southern border, Middle East tour, House Speaker Johnson May 03, 2024

Show notes

Our conversation covers recent developments and potential executive action surrounding the US-Mexico border, Secretary of State Blinken’s Middle East regional tour, and a motion to vacate House Speaker Mike Johnson. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Employment and trend growth' May 03, 2024

Show notes

US employment report Friday looms. Around 119,000 companies will be asked about their employees. Around 67,000 companies will not bother to reply. Markets will obsess about the data anyway. The expectation is for slower job creation (as measured by payrolls), with a stable monthly change in average earnings (which are not the same thing as wages).

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UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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