UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

How should I be positioned? with Paula Campbell Roberts (KKR) and Jason Draho (UBS CIO) Jun 04, 2024

Show notes

Paula joins Jason in-studio for a discussion around the US macroeconomic environment, including an outlook for growth, inflation and Fed rate cuts. We also spend time outlining portfolio positioning preferences. Featured is Paula Campbell Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist for Global Wealth, KKR, and Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Immigration and consequences' Jun 04, 2024

Show notes

The US provides the main data releases. JOLTS data on job vacancies is expected to continue to decline. The initial surge in vacancies in 2021 was strongly influenced by labor market churn. As that subsided, vacancy rates fell. Nominal wage growth continues to slow, which argues against a tight labor market.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Convergence Jun 03, 2024

Show notes

To begin the week (and a new month), Jason reflects on May market performance drivers, and outlines what investors should be mindful of throughout the month of June, and into the summer season. We also take a pulse on current investor sentiment, and review the current allocation recommendations per the June UBS House View. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'policy-politics-and-prices' Jun 03, 2024

Show notes

Federal Reserve President Kashkari has advocated a significant tightening of central bank policy, by raising real interest rates (keeping nominal rates stable as inflation slows). The pain of this would likely hit lower income groups disproportionately. Kashkari’s wants to keep inflation expectations anchored—yet inflation expectations are properly observed through consumers’ actions (certainly not through surveys). Moderating wage growth suggests well-anchored expectations.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 7) May 31, 2024

Show notes

Markets and life are full of conundrums. This week, our Viewpoints podcast addresses at least three current ones. Some of them have unexpected resolutions, related to the surprising roles and impact of cheating, free-riding, bond-yields, the sometimes-infectious nature of mood-swings and time’s canny ability to heal many wounds.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'An important day in the US' May 31, 2024

Show notes

We get fresh evidence on the hedonism of the US consumer, with personal income and spending numbers. The personal consumer expenditure deflator will be the markets’ focus. This is less influenced by the nonsense of owners’ equivalent rent than is consumer price data. There are other notable differences (like motor insurance). Overall, the inflation data is expected to stay steady.

Around the Horn: Monthly Fixed Income Roundtable with UBS Asset Management May 30, 2024

Show notes

Hear from top portfolio managers and business heads from UBS Asset Management’s Muni, Taxable Fixed Income and Liquidity teams. Together, they provide views on markets and what they believe you should be focused on within the fixed income space.

House Call: Talking Equity Markets with UBS Asset Management May 30, 2024

Show notes

A monthly check on US equity market performance and positioning considerations with Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager, and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team, and Dominic Schagar, Senior Equity Investment Specialist with UBS Asset Management.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Trussing up Treasuries?' May 30, 2024

Show notes

Yesterday equities were a little upset because bonds were a little upset because of weaker demand at a US bond auction. Should investors be upset? This is not a US version of the UK’s Truss debacle. Markets are not disorderly and government policies are not destabilizing. The absolute level of debt is not a concern—many countries (including the US) have had and do have higher debt ratios. The political polarization that prevents a policy for a sustainable deficit is a concern, but is probably more a background worry for now.

Behavioral Finance: Action Bias 101 May 29, 2024

Show notes

We explore the behavior of action bias, including a look at when it might and might not makes sense for one to adjust their investment approach, along with strategies to consider that can protect against the behavior of action bias. Featured are Justin Waring, Senior Total Wealth Strategist, and Katie Williams, Discovery Strategist, from the UBS Chief Investment Office, along with Mark Halloran, Head of Business Development for Individual Markets with Transamerica. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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