Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Latest Episodes:

The Big Short 2.0: Are $Trillions Of New Loans About To Be Pumped Into The Housing Market? | Melody Wright May 09, 2024

Show notes

A few days ago, an article appeared in the Financial Times revealing that "Last month, the government-sponsored mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac filed a proposal with its regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, to enter into the secondary mortgage market, otherwise known as home equity loans"

The article's author, Meredith Whitney, claims that if approved, this "could begin to unleash almost $1tn into consumers’ wallets. By the autumn, it could be on its way to $2tn."

That would be a tremendous stimulus to the economy.

But is it a good idea?

Putting aside for a moment concerns of its potential inflationary impact, the Global Financial Crisis was a credit crisis triggered by bad housing loans.

Would allowing the government-sponsored entities like Freddie Mac to unleash a flood of new loans risk repeating the sins of the past?

For answers, we're fortunate to turn to mortgage lending expert & housing analyst Melody Wright.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#housingmarket #homeequity #mortgageloans

David Rosenberg: Is A Jobs Shock About To Hit? May 07, 2024

Show notes

Today's guest expert just released a warning that the official jobs data reported by the government are "overstated by historical proportions"

And when the downward revisions get released, it will shock both the Federal Reserve and the financial markets.

For the details on this, we turn to the man who wrote the report, highly-respected economist & award-winning researcher David Rosenberg, founder & president of Rosenberg Research.

Visit David at https://www.rosenbergresearch.com/

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#jobs #recession2024 #interestrates

The Days Of Easy Returns Are Over As Volatility Resumes | Simon White, Bloomberg May 06, 2024

Show notes

Stubbornly sticky inflation looks to be turning the Federal Reserve's campaign of Higher For Longer interest rates into "Higher For Even Longer"

Today's guest warns that "Markets are unprepared for price growth that is becoming entrenched".

Nor do they appear prepared for bond yields to remain at today's rates, let alone march higher from here.

Remember, it was only a few short months ago that the markets were pricing in 7 rate cuts in 2024. Now it's appearing they'll be lucky to get only 2 or 3.

And who knows?

They may not get any.

Does this mean financial asset prices need to adjust downward in some material way?

And will the economy slow faster than expected from here?

Perhaps the recent weakness we've saw in stocks in April was Wall Street finally awakening to these potential ramifications.

For an analyst's perspective on the matter, we turn to Simon White, Macro Strategist at Bloomberg and co-founder of the investment-advisory firm Variant Perception.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#volatility #bullmarket #interestrates

Geopolitics & Investing Will Be A LOT More Complicated From Here On | Michael Every, Rabobank May 05, 2024

Show notes

Since today's guest was last on this program back in December, the world has continued to fracture geopolitically.

Where is that trend taking us?

And what will the impact be on global prosperity?

The majority of folks who watch this Thoughtful Money channel are primarily from the US, Canada, Europe and Australia.

So to provide a perspective from a non-Western point of view, I'm pleased to welcome Michael Every back onto the program.

Michael is Global Strategist at Rabobank, and joins us from Thailand.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#geopolitics #trade #investing

Buy Signal Triggered As Market Action Starting To Favor The Bulls | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart May 04, 2024

Show notes

Stock prices are compressing in a wedge pattern suggesting the market is going to make a breakout soon.

But in which direction?

We'll soon know for sure, but portfolio manager Lance Roberts' models triggered a buy signal today. So he thinks the odds favor the bulls.

Why discuss why in today's Market Recap, as well react to this week's Fed guidance, the new payroll data, the impact massive buyback programs from companies like Google and Apple are having on the markets, and the most common ways regular investors sabotage their success.

Lance also shares the latest trades his firm made this week.

For everything that mattered to markets, watch this week's Market Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#federalreserve #inflation #jobs

A More Cautious Fed Signals 'High For EVEN Longer' Interest Rates | Axel Merk May 02, 2024

Show notes

Yesterday, May 1 2024, the Federal Reserve issued its latest policy statement, followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

The Fed held its policy interest rate steady at 5.25%, as expected.

Somewhat surprising to Wall Street was the Fed's announcement that it will reduce the scope of its Quantitative Tightening program starting in June. US Treasury roll-off will be reduced to $25 billion per month, down from the current $60 billion per month.

Above and beyond that, Jerome Powell admitted that inflation is proving more stubborn to tame than the Fed hoped at the start of the year, and that getting it down sustainably to the Fed's 2% target will "take longer than previously expected". This essentially is admitting that interest rates will stay hike for EVEN longer.

In this video, Fed-watcher Axel Merk of Merk Investments joins Thoughtful Money host Adam Taggart to provide an immediate reaction to the Fed's guidance and take live Q&A from the viewing audience.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#interestrates #inflation #federalreserve

Can The Economy Be Saved? | Dr Art Laffer Apr 30, 2024

Show notes

If we care about the future of the economy, then we have to pay close attention to the policies that shape it. We are currently living in an age of extreme -- and in certain cases, unprecedented -- levels of monetary and fiscal policy. Is that wise? Or should market forces be allowed to play out more & free us from the constant intervention of the central planners? To explore this, we welcome economist Dr Arthur Laffer. Dr Laffer was the first to hold the title of Chief Economist at the Office of Management and Budget in the early 1970s. He then later served as a member of President Reagan's Economic Policy Advisory Board. He's perhaps best known for developing the Laffer curve, a model for determining the optimal balance between tax revenues and economic growth. Dr Laffer sees the major nations of the world declining into a sclerotic senescence. BUT...he sees a way for us to reverse that plight, on a timeline that could be much faster than many imagine is possible. The key question is: Will we have the conviction, courage and commitment to embrace the necessary reforms? For an important discussion with a respected economic advisor to nearly every President since Nixon, watch this video with Dr Art Laffer.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #taxes #internationaltrade #economics

Lyn Alden: The New Era Of Fiscal Dominance = More Inflation, Slower Economy Apr 28, 2024

Show notes

In order to succeed, it's critical to understand the rules you're playing by.

And the rules for investing may have recently changed.

There's a good argument to be made that we are now in an era of fiscal dominance.

Today's guest, one of the smarter you'll get the chance to hear from, is certainly making that case.

So what exactly is fiscal dominance?

Why is it important for investors to understand?

And which assets do well, and which do poorly, in such an era?

To find out, we have the good fortune of speaking today with Lyn Alden, investment strategist & author of the recent book "Broken Money: Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better"

And if time allows, we'll also ask for her outlook on the dollar, gold and Bitcoin.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#fiscaldominance #inflation #recession

Is The Market Correction Over? | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart Apr 27, 2024

Show notes

Is the market downdraft that sent stocks 5% lower from their recent all-time highs over?

It's looking like it could be.

But the market is at a "critical juncture" observes portfolio manager Lance Roberts.

The S&P is getting quite close to its 50 and 20 Daily Moving Averages. If it rises above them, then we're likely back off to the races and new all-time highs could be in the future.

But if it fails to do so, then a fall back to the 100 Daily Moving Average is more likely in store.

Lance and I walk through the charts, as well discuss the latest slowdown in GDP growth, the latest hot inflation surprise data, as well as what's happening with bond yields.

This episode is very important to watch if you're 40 years or younger and/or just starting out on your wealth-building journey. Lance shares his simple formula for how to get out of financial survival mode and amass sufficient capital to take control of your financial destiny.

For that, plus everything that mattered to the markets, watch this week's Market Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#investing #inflation #interestrates

Michael Pento: Recession Soon, Then Rampant Stagflation Apr 25, 2024

Show notes

With the market now expecting less than 2 rate cuts this year -- perhaps none at all until next year according to Bank of America -- what does that mean for the economy?

Can it handle "higher for even longer" interest rates without slowing markedly?

Or, even worse, something systemic breaking?

And what impact will these higher rates likely have on stock, bonds and other asset prices?

To find out, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies.

Michael is "not happy". He's very concerned that the crown jewel of our capitalist society, the middle class, is getting "destroyed". He sees nothing good coming from that.

And looking ahead, he sees a disinflationary recession happening in the second half of 2024, to be followed in early to mid-2025 by an era of stagflation more extreme than we've ever experienced.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#inflation #stagflation #recession

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