The Pollsters

Latest Episodes:

#61: If this podcast was an animal or car, what would it be? Apr 21, 2016

Show notes

Watch this space! We have interviews, announcements, & travels. Pollsters out in the wild! Poll of the week. It’s Chevy Chase & you’re not The snobbiest small town is Chevy Chase & Chevy Chase accessories. Chevy Chase & Chevy Chase Accessories: snobbiest cities 2016: New York: Big wins! Not big changes. People said the gloves were off, it was testy & harmful. But the polls say otherwise. Meanwhile, Nice Trump didn’t last very long. Huffington Post average New York exit polls Refinery29 poll of Millennial women Gallup on the contest hurting the party POS & Purple team up on Walmart Moms project Encryption People are worried about security, and feel security threats are getting worse. Not surprisingly, few trust the government. Purple poll for ACT: App Assoc The fairest juror in America YouGov on jury duty Politico on jury duty Organic Valley: You Get Us! Watch this ad. No seriously, watch it. Adweek story on Organic Valley Key findings: Thank you Organic Valley, for turning our lives into an ad. Using research. If you hit any closer to home you’d be in my linen closet. New York New York! It’s a heckuva Town. Trump is up & Sanders is down. When it comes to encryption, you’re going to have to pry people’s iPhones out of their sweaty, anxious hands. If Kristen is on a jury, it’s just going to give her some time to catch up on the People vs. OJ. If this podcast was an animal or car, what would it be? A chromed-out vintage vespa? A baby penguin? A wild Chincoteague pony? Pizza Rat?

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#61i: Steve Shepard from Politico Apr 18, 2016

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We talk to Steve Shepard, who covers polling for Politico. We learn how polling journalism has evolved, discuss what's next for 2016, and talk NY political food moments. Follow him on Twitter here.

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#60: Is the system rigged? Apr 13, 2016

Show notes

Go to the AAPOR conference, folks, and listen to our interview with David Dutwin, an AAPOR methodologist. Poll of the week: You tax show offs. Almost everyone says they’ve done their taxes already Well, not Margie. Retailmenot survey on taxpaying Democratic contest “heating up” (well, kinda) Is the Democratic contest: rigged, heated, none of these. Margie’s CNBC piece HP average GOP side Now this is what we call testy! Trump is still in the lead. So what’s he complaining about? NBC/Marist NY poll HP average All the married ladies… A new Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice poll of married women shows Trump in some major trouble. This is a group that went for Romney in 2012. Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice poll Meet the contest-ants, again. So, what happens at the convention? And how will voters react? Even some Kasich/Cruz voters think Trump should get the nod. And even some Trump voters would be open to a non-candidate getting selected. Marist-McLatchy poll on convention NBC/Survey monkey Quinnipiac national poll on desired traits for candidates Religious folks: happier, but not necessarily healthier. Pew compared very religious to less religious folks. Some similarities, some differences. But everyone likes research (hooray!). Pew study on religion What is the tracking on zombies? Millicent the magnificent! YouGov on zombies PPP on zombies Key findings: Who are you calling rigged? The Dem contest looks absolutely civilized next to the Republican throwdown. When married women think of Donald trump, it gives them a headache. In case of zombie attack, i’d prefer Millicent or any of her brothers to some of the candidates in the current field. Politics aside, religion seems like a source of happiness for many. With all this free time you have from doing your taxes, should free up some time to write a review of The Pollsters.

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#60i: David Dutwin of AAPOR Apr 11, 2016

Show notes

David Dutwin talks about response rates, online vs landline vs. cells vs IVR, and pleads with us all to answer when the pollsters call.

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#59: It's up to you. New. York. New. York. Apr 07, 2016

Show notes

Thanks everyone who came to our live show at Harvard! Yes, that means you! Poll of the week: Are we creepy? Slate story on creepiness 2016: Dem side Is it an upset? A reset? Does it matter? Check the slide-y thing: NYTimes "slidey thing" HP trendlines 2016: GOP Remember Margie’s CNBC post? Well there was no gender gap for Trump in WI Exit polls Margie’s CNBC piece Meet the contest-ants! Will the parties unite? Divide? Come to literal or figurative blows? Despite some heated rhetoric around the word “qualified” the Dem side may be in better shape than the GOP side. Big Pew study Marist/McLatchy poll Senate battlegrounds Margie has not one but two races to figure out. WP/UofMD poll on MD senate Quinnipiac on Pennsylvania Ask a millennial: Which of the following things do only Millennials like? --free wifi --clean, non-smoking rooms --their cellies. --buzzfeed --wait, I like all those things too? NYT confirms Millennials like wifi. Mediapost on netflix streaming When all else fails, ask The Onion We’re experimenting with a new segment called” reading Onion headlines aloud. What do you think? The Onion goes behind the scenes Key findings: The race is headed toward New York. That should calm things down. I feel qualified to say Democrats feel more unified than Republicans. But i only have a few more weeks to call myself an undecided primary voter. This is just another thing on my to-do list stressing me out. We asked Millennials if they like free stuff & clean stuff. They said yes. And when we run out of things to say, which is never, we turn to the Onion.

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#59i: Our live show @ Harvard, plus John Della Volpe Apr 04, 2016

Show notes

The Pollsters to go Harvard's Institute of Politics for their 50th anniversary. Kristen was a fellow, and Margie, uh, once went to camp there. We interview Harvard's resident Millennial expert John Della Volpe. And we take audience questions.

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#58: NeverTrumpers, let's get into formation Mar 30, 2016

Show notes

Hey insiders! We are reviving the micro-assignments & resurrecting one just for you: submit the show to NPR’s Earbud.FM. It’s easy, just go here! Poll of the week: Change your profile pic if you love The Pollsters A fifth of people have changed their online photo Pew study 2016: #NeverTrump or #AlwaysTrump? We’re overwhelmed with Trump news. Most of it horrible. Today we dig a little deeper on Trump & women, but also delegate math. Kristen's Examiner column FiveThirtyEight on Trump & women Huffington Post on Trump & women Margie’s CNBC piece on Trump & women 2016: Dem contest maybe not as straightforward as you think Sanders back in it? Clinton voters more enthusiastic? Gender gap not so prevalent? What’s going on here? Reuters polling on Dem primary Gallup on enthusiasm Dan Cassino from FDU on sexism in the general election Sanders up in Wisconsin Gallup on enthusiasm & interest in election. Safety, Security & the Trump Effect With security in the news post-Brussels, there have been some new polls out about concerns about safety. One’s point of view may depend on Reuters/Ipsos on torture Quinnipiac "Trump effect" Kidney donation Would you donate your kidney to us? How about for 50 large? Newsweek piece Key Findings: Ladies--and men--time to get into formation & get this bully out of the presidential race. Check your assumptions at the door about what’s going on in the Democratic contest. And the Trump Effect--it’s real. Go see a doctor & make sure you don’t leave the house without protection. For 50K, Margie would gladly donate you a kidney. You don’t even need to write us an iTunes review.

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#58i: Scott Tranter with 0ptimus talks Big Data Mar 28, 2016

Show notes

We talk to Scott Tranter with 0ptimus about Big Data, the Rubio campaign, and how Republicans have advanced their data skills. Find them at 0ptimus.com (that's with a zero, not an O), or Scott on Twitter @stranter.

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#57: Exit polls or it didn't happen Mar 24, 2016

Show notes

Don’t forget to listen to our recent interview with Nate Cohn from the NYT/Upshot--he dishes on the headlines to one of his stories recently, talks about great graphics, and more. Poll of the week! Boaty McBoatface beating David Attenborough for the name of a new ship. At least it’s also beating “I love big boats & I cannot lie.” NERC Name Our Ship Exit polls or it didn’t happen! How did the polls do this past Tuesday? And what’s next for the sleepy-town portion of the primary? AZ GOP poll Wisconsin GOP poll California poll Margie & Patrick (Kristen's biz partner) & others in fivethirtyeight A poll you may want to punch in the face Wallet Hub/Survey Monkey YouGov/HP on Trump rally violence Quinnipiac on Trump rally violence Gallup on Trump favs Trump vs. Clinton general election Bloomberg/Selzer You scratch my SCOTUS & I’ll scratch yours Merrick Garland polling shows he’s on track with past successful nominees. But there’s probably more to it than that. NYT/CBS on SCOTUS Gallup on Garland vs other past nominees From the department of obvious Women want a job that pays more. Just like men. Go figure. HBR on Millennials leaving their jobs The Upshot/NYT on careers losing value Thank you Easter bunny Does your family have a plan? National confectioners assoc poll Key findings: Boaty McBoatface might have a better chance of stopping Trump at this point. Is Trump inciting violence? Responsible for violence? Or making people poll about violence? Sadly, even these questions divide us. In the coming weeks, we’ll turn to something surprisingly less controversial--the Supreme Court vacancy. What do women want? Same thing as men. What do all parents want this Easter? A plan to keep the candy under control. Good luck with that!

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#57i: Nate Cohn with The New York Times/The Upshot Mar 21, 2016

Show notes

Kristen & Margie are both traveling, but we take time out to talk to Nate Cohn from The New York Times/The Upshot. He tells us about data journalism, data visualization, headline writing, and what's next in his 2016 coverage.

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