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    Business

    RiskReversal Pod

    Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. 

    We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions.

    Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets.

    —

    FOLLOW US

    YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia

    Instagram: @riskreversalmedia

    Twitter: @RiskReversal

    LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

    The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal.

    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it’s advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.

    Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

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    Latest Episodes:
    SpaceX IPO & The Next Frontier for a $1 Trillion Industry with CNBC’s Morgan Brennan Apr 02, 2026
    Show notes

    Dan Nathan hosts CNBC’s Morgan Brennan on the RiskReversal Podcast to discuss her path from music and anthropology to Forbes during the 2009 crisis and then CNBC, and how breaking news—an on-pad SpaceX explosion in 2016 and later Trump’s defense-focused tweets—pulled her into covering space and defense tech. They explore NASA’s Artemis program and its refocus on beating China to the moon, arguing public-private partnerships, new contracting models, and rocket reusability have dramatically improved economics, enabling smaller firms to execute NASA missions at a fraction of past costs. The conversation covers how space and defense investing is shaped by demand signals, milestone-driven public comps, venture and private-equity capital, and a potential SpaceX IPO where Starlink’s recurring revenue is central, alongside Starship’s promise. They also discuss deconsolidation, dual-use tech, autonomous systems, changing Pentagon dealmaking, and the growing intersection of industrial policy, national security, supply chains, and resources.

    —
    FOLLOW US
    YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia
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    LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media


    AI, DeFi & The Great Convergence with Galaxy's FinTech Guru Joe Armao Apr 01, 2026
    Show notes

    Galaxy holds a financial interest in HYPE, BTC, ETH, and SOL. Galaxy regularly engages in buying and selling these assets, including hedging transactions, for its own proprietary accounts and on behalf of its counterparties. Galaxy also provides services to vehicles that invest in these assets. If the value of such assets increases, those vehicles may benefit, and Galaxy’s service fees may increase accordingly. For more information, please refer to Galaxy’s public statements and filings. Cryptocurrencies, including HYPE, BTC, ETH, and SOL, are inherently volatile and risky and ultimate market movements may not align with this statement. For Galaxy’s full social media disclaimer, please visit: ⁠https://www.galaxy.com/social-disclaimer/

    Dan Nathan hosts Joe Armao, fund manager of the Galaxy FinTech Fund, who recounts his path from Blackstone through the financial crisis to long/short investing at Senator, where he pushed into fintech and digital assets. They discuss a shift from recent market tailwinds to a more mixed macro backdrop, consumer resilience despite energy shock concerns, and a rotation-driven, choppier “stock picker’s market.” Armao outlines risks in private credit and gating, expects pockets of pain rather than systemic crisis, and emphasizes active balance-sheet work. On crypto, he describes Galaxy’s “great convergence” thesis: prices may lag even as blockchain infrastructure adoption accelerates via stablecoins, tokenization, and 24/7 rails for payments and trading. He explains DeFi concepts, Uniswap governance tokens, Hyperliquid’s revenue-driven token buybacks and leveraged perps, and why tokenizing blue-chip equities could expand global distribution and enable always-on markets. Armao argues AI and blockchain are now mission-critical to fintech investing and create dispersion suited to long/short strategies. —
    FOLLOW US
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    What Makes the White House Blink First: Rising Rates or Sinking Stocks? Mar 30, 2026
    Show notes

    Guy Adami and Dan Nathan break down a market that looks calm on the surface but is flashing serious warning signs underneath. The real pressure point isn't the stock market — it's the bond market, where rising yields and an incoming Fed chair are setting up a test few are prepared for.

    The duo cover the stagflation setup quietly taking shape, the silent destruction in mega-cap tech (Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta), and why weakness in financials — with nearly $2 trillion in private credit exposure — may be the most underappreciated risk in the market right now.

    As Pete Townshend once said: "No one respects the flame quite like the fool who's badly burned." Guy and Dan think a lot of people are about to find out what that means.

    Show Notes

    • An Invisible Bottleneck: A Helium Shortage Threatens the Chip Industry (NYT)

    —
    FOLLOW US
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    How To Trade Volatile Markets with Dan Greenhaus Mar 27, 2026
    Show notes

    Dan Nathan and Dan Greenhaus discuss heightened Middle East war risk and how it’s driving market moves, with the S&P 500 down near recent lows, yields near multi-month highs, the dollar firming, and crude in the mid-$90s, while stressing how difficult it is to “trade geopolitics.” Greenhaus argues markets may be underpricing escalation risk but notes the U.S. is less oil-intensive, so higher gasoline hurts sentiment more than GDP, with tax-bill refunds partly offsetting pump prices and a lasting geopolitical premium likely keeping oil above prior lows. They debate recession calls, citing payment networks’ commentary that consumer health remains solid, and discuss why headline inflation may rise while core inflation moves little, making Fed hikes unlikely as long-term inflation expectations stay anchored. They also address tight credit spreads, AI-driven capex concentration, tech valuation compression, layoffs, and private credit concerns, arguing losses are not yet systemic and gates are disclosed, while advising caution and sometimes doing nothing amid exogenous uncertainty.


    Show Notes

    • Debt Service Payments Rising (The Daily Spark)
    • Private credit is looking shakier (Axios)
    • Checkout Rosenberg Research

    —
    FOLLOW US
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    Jeff Richards: These Are The Only Software Stocks Worth Owning Right Now Mar 25, 2026
    Show notes

    Dan Nathan and Jeff Richards (Managing Partner at Notable Capital) discuss shifting AI narratives and market crosscurrents, focusing on OpenAI, Anthropic (which Notable backs), xAI, Gemini, and Microsoft’s Copilot. Richards argues Claude/Cowork’s breakout and rapid model improvement are forcing every software company to ask whether its product improves as models improve, while public-market uncertainty has pressured SaaS valuations even as enterprise AI demand accelerates. He says net-new IT spend is increasingly flowing to private AI companies with consumption-based pricing, while incumbents face the Innovator’s Dilemma and pricing cannibalization. They also cover cloud infrastructure demand, opaque private-company financials, IPO considerations, and how volatility and redemption dynamics in private credit are weighing on alt managers like Apollo, KKR, and Blackstone, though Richards expects any issues to be relatively contained.

    Articles Mentioned

    • OpenAI to double workforce as business push intensifies (FT)
    • xAI Sends Engineers to Client Sites to Win Business from OpenAI (Bloomberg)
    • Microsoft Copilot Is Confronting Its Identity Crisis (Bloomberg)

    —
    FOLLOW US
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    Stocks Fail To Build On Monday's Momentum Mar 24, 2026
    Show notes

    MRKT Matrix - Tuesday, March 24th

    • S&P 500 falls, giving back chunk of Monday’s rally as oil prices rebound, Iran war continues (CNBC)
    • Jamie Dimon says Iran war makes Middle East peace prospects better in the long term (CNBC)
    • Dimon warns on AI job losses, calls for government-business incentives (CNBC)
    • Big Banks Are Playing Both Sides of the Private-Credit Meltdown (WSJ)
    • Apollo caps investor withdrawals from flagship private credit fund (FT)
    • Apple Plans AI Reboot With Siri App, New Look and ‘Ask Siri’ Button in iOS 27 (Bloomberg)
    • Meta Names New Leader of Push to Adopt AI Throughout Its Workforce (WSJ)
    • US must suspend Nvidia AI chip exports to China, senators say (FT)
    • OpenAI Set to Raise About $10 Billion From MGX, Coatue, Thrive (Bloomberg)
    • SoftBank tests its own borrowing limits with $30bn bet on OpenAI (FT)

    ---

    Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠

    MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets

    Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs



    Nobody Is Blinking & That’s The Problem with Peter Boockvar Mar 23, 2026
    Show notes

    Dan Nathan and Peter Boockvar discuss why equities have been slow to react to a widening Middle East conflict even as oil and other commodities jump, arguing markets often assume geopolitical shocks fade until prolonged damage forces a delayed repricing. They note a sharp global rise in rates—U.S. 10-year near 4.4% and record highs in UK/European yields—as central banks shift from expected cuts to potential hikes due to inflation spillovers from energy. Boockvar warns higher yields (4.5% then 5% as key levels) can pressure equities, private credit (lower-quality, floating-rate borrowers), housing and real estate, and upper-income spending, raising recession risk if oil stays near $120. He highlights weakening AI/mega-cap leadership, cites rising private-credit defaults, and frames gold’s volatile pullback as post-parabolic consolidation amid a stronger dollar and higher real rates, while staying bullish longer term on sovereign-debt risks.

    —
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    The End of Easy Money with George Noble Mar 20, 2026
    Show notes

    Guy Adami interviews investor George Noble about truth-telling, integrity, and eroding confidence in institutions and markets. They discuss trading realism (being right even 25% can be great), the dangers of becoming owned by a public position, and how results-chasing misallocates capital. Noble critiques passive investing for suppressing price discovery and warns reversals could be violent, citing Japan’s 1980s liquidity-driven market. He argues bonds are mispriced given deficits and inflation, expects rates/yields higher even if cuts come, and views asset gains as fiat currency debasement; he advocates owning gold (and some oil) as an inflation hedge. He criticizes private credit/equity as “mark-to-model” volatility laundering and urges real price discovery. Noble favors active management, rotation away from Mag 7, and describes his $99 idea-focused conference (800+ attendees) aimed at sharing veteran investors’ insights.

    —
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    Not All Millennials Are FOMOing Into Markets with Wealthfront CEO David Fortunato Mar 19, 2026
    Show notes

    Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host David Fortunato, CEO of Wealthfront, on the RiskReversal Podcast to discuss Wealthfront’s evolution from its 2010-era launch through years in private markets to its recent IPO and first public-company reporting. Fortunato recounts his path from the financial-crisis period to joining Kaching (which became Wealthfront), and explains key learnings: clients want to delegate investing, tactical allocation rarely delivers alpha, and systematic tax-loss harvesting can materially improve after-tax outcomes, later expanded via direct indexing. He describes Wealthfront’s younger, growing client base, referral-led acquisition, and focus on ease of use and peace of mind, plus products like a portfolio line of credit and a growing home-lending opportunity driven by lower acquisition costs through automation. Fortunato outlines how AI and technology support planning tools like Path, and says public-company visibility helps build awareness and trust.

    —
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    Bill Capuzzi & Tom Sosnoff: The Men Behind The Curtain Mar 16, 2026
    Show notes

    Guy & Dan set you up for this week in markets, after the break Bill Capuzzi (CEO of Apex Fintech Solutions) & Tom Sosnoff (CEO of LossDog) join the pod. The guys describe Apex’s role as core market infrastructure serving nearly 40 million accounts, the global growth and rising sophistication of retail options trading, AI’s impact on fraud reduction and operational friction, Sosnoff’s new venture Lossdog and AI focus, and both critique prediction markets’ fee structure, conflicts, and looming regulatory reconciliation.


    Show Notes

    • US intervention in oil futures would be ‘biblical disaster’, CME warns (FT)
    • Schwab CEO Says Markets-Savvy Gen Z Joins Dip-Buying Frenzy (Bloomberg)

    —
    FOLLOW US
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