UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Scrambling (with more dignity)' Oct 01, 2024

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The US vice-presidential debate is more political entertainment than market relevant. Investors are interested in policy details, and election probabilities. Policy details are unlikely (neither campaign wants to give their opponents ammunition). Vice-presidential debates rarely affect the main political race. The question is whether this debate generates the same level of TikTok content as the presidential debate.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Coming up roses Sep 30, 2024

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As the third quarter concludes, we take stock of the US economy and financial markets heading into the fourth quarter, as well as other geopolitical matters, along with developments within China. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Politics and markets may diverge' Sep 30, 2024

Show notes

Politics can dominate headlines without creating meaningful consequence for financial markets. Escalating military action in the Middle East is an example. Investors are likely to focus on consequences for oil prices and safe-haven flows, which seem muted for now. The success of the far-right in Austria’s weekend elections may be a larger investor concern. The global trend toward prejudice politics risks disrupting global trade and capital flow in the near term, and undermining the benefits of technological change in the longer term.

Top of the Morning: US Financials - Sector update and outlook Sep 29, 2024

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Brad rejoins the podcast to discuss the investment thesis behind CIO’s most preferred view of the US financials sector. We cover a performance update, and outlook, along with a look at related investment themes, risk considerations, and sub-sector preferences. Featured is Brad Ball, Financials Analyst Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Washington Weekly Podcast: UN General Assembly, Government funding, Decision 2024 Sep 27, 2024

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We close out a busy week by recapping the annual UN General Assembly in New York, how an agreement was reached to avoid a shutdown of the US government, along with a look at the latest developments on the Presidential campaign trail. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors, Governmental Affair US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: Muni Market Guide - Abundant supply tempers performance Sep 27, 2024

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With the relaunch of the Municipal Market Guide publication series, Sudip drops by the studio to discuss performance trends across the muni market, along with a near-term outlook, and positioning views. We also spend some time spotlighting the Private Higher Education sector. Featured is Sudip Mukherjee, Senior Municipal Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 14) Sep 27, 2024

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As September quickly draws to a close, Burkhard reflects on how this traditionally turbulent month for investors has not proven as such here in 2024. With that, Burkhard considers scenarios, or unexpected possibilities, that could serve as ‘the next surprise’ for both equity and bond investors. Plus, thoughts on the Cycling World Championship in Zurich, Switzerland.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Stop name calling' Sep 27, 2024

Show notes

Yesterday’s US GDP revisions offered several lessons to investors. The tendency for many countries to revise economic activity frequently, significantly, and positively is a reminder that real-time data lacks precision and data dependency is not a proper policy framework. Someone should attempt to explain that to Federal Reserve Chair Powell. The 2022 “technical recession” (a media term, not an economist’s term) was predictably revised out of existence.

Top of the Morning: A timely discussion on the latest China stimulus announcement Sep 26, 2024

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In the wake of new economic stimulus measures announced by China’s central bank, Xingchen Yu drops by to review the announced measures, what they’re aimed at, along with both the economic and investment implications that investors should be mindful of. Featured is Xingchen Yu, Emerging Markets Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: Fixed Income Strategist - Beginning our initial descent Sep 26, 2024

Show notes

Leslie and Barry rejoin for a deeper dive look into the implications of the Fed’s commencement of policy easing to fixed income assets, in particular credit sectors. We also cover CIO’s broader thinking when it comes to positioning across fixed income, in anticipation of further easing measures by the Fed to be implemented through year-end. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, along with Senior Fixed Income Strategist, Barry McAlinden. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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