UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

House Call: Talking Equity Markets with UBS Asset Management Jun 29, 2025

Show notes

Join Jeff Hans, Portfolio Manager with UBS Asset Management, as he shares a performance update for US equities. We also cover an outlook for growth v. value, the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence to US technology stocks, along with takeaways from recent investor conferences. Recorded on 25.06.18

CIO Fixed Income Roundtable Series: Mid-year performance update Jun 27, 2025

Show notes

Hear from members of the UBS Chief Investment Office fixed income team as they provide a performance and positioning update across fixed income sub-sectors. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, Sudip Mukherjee, Senior Municipal Strategist Americas, along with Senior Fixed Income Strategists’ Barry McAlinden and Frank Sileo, from the UBS Chief Investment Office.

Washington Weekly Podcast: Middle East, NATO, Reconciliation package, Genuis Bill Jun 27, 2025

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Shane drops by with the latest developments out of the Middle East, as we continue to monitor the US, Israel, Iran ceasefire, and assess last weekend’s US strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites. Plus, takeaways from this week’s NATO summit in the Netherlands, and a status update on the Reconciliation package being worked through Congress. We also touch on Congressional efforts to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Disinflation (not in the US)' Jun 27, 2025

Show notes

Japan exhibited some disinflation with the June Tokyo consumer price data. Using the international definition of core inflation, the rate slowed to 1.8% y/y. A lot of the headline inflation seems to be driven by non-fresh food, perhaps suggesting relative price shifts rather than strong, broad inflation momentum.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 39) Jun 27, 2025

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On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard shares his thoughts on recent geopolitical developments, and how global markets (including oil) have responded over the past few days. Plus, an assessment of market valuations, along with outlook scenarios. To conclude, Burkhard reflects on his unforgettable cycling journey through the Swiss Alps, and cites intersections with the world of investing and the rich history of Switzerland.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Independence Day' Jun 26, 2025

Show notes

The Wall Street Journal reports US President Trump may announce the next Federal Reserve Chair in September or October. The Senate needs to confirm the Chair, and in Trump’s first term was prepared to oppose several of Trump’s Fed nominees. Only convention prevents the Fed from overruling the Chair—an obvious political appointee may be ignored by the FOMC. The greatest threat to policy independence would be someone who was not an obvious political puppet but was swayed by Trump’s instructions.

How should I be positioned? with Dan Ivascyn (PIMCO) and Jason Draho (UBS CIO) Jun 25, 2025

Show notes

Dan rejoins the conversation with Jason in studio to exchange thoughts on how to approach asset allocation in today’s market and macro environment. We also spend time weighing potential directions for US trade policy, along with the Fed, geopolitical considerations, and more. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office, and Dan Ivascyn, Group Chief Investment Officer for PIMCO. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'No cuts for now' Jun 25, 2025

Show notes

In the US yesterday, Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered a speech to members of the House of Representatives (most of whom are not economists). The main messages were: no rush to cut rates, and trade taxes create uncertainty. This will not surprise markets. There was a further softening of the data dependency mantra, as Powell focused on future inflation as a reason to keep rates unchanged for now. Powell testifies again today.

Fixed Income Conversation Corner with Amanda Lynam (BlackRock) and Leslie Falconio (UBS CIO) Jun 24, 2025

Show notes

Our conversation outlines the current landscape for fixed income investors and where to locate opportunity within the asset class. We also discuss the convergence of public and private credit, along with the risks and opportunities within private credit to be mindful of. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research within the Portfolio Management Group, BlackRock. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'As you were' Jun 24, 2025

Show notes

Iran and Israel seem to be saying “if they stop, I’ll stop”, although there were some missile exchanges overnight. That is enough for markets, with oil prices back to the levels of a couple of weeks ago (wiping out the potential economic impact). As with situations like North Korea, investors are not inclined to give weight to extreme tail risks, so things like the location of enriched uranium will be overlooked.

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