UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Symbolism' Jun 17, 2025

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US President Trump left the G7 summit a day early. Their departure does not change much of substance—the US was resisting a joint statement on Iran-Israel. However, there is symbolism about Trump’s willingness to cooperate with others. An executive order to implement some of the UK trade agreement was signed, but little progress seems to have been made with Japan.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Navigating geopolitical & policy risk Jun 16, 2025

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We begin the week by covering the conflict involving Israel and Iran, along with the potential market impacts (including to oil prices). Plus, a preview of this week’s G-7 summit in Canada, along with the FOMC meeting. We conclude by outlining portfolio considerations when it comes to navigating geopolitical and policy risk. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: US-China trade, China’s economy, Global diversification Jun 16, 2025

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Xingchen rejoins the conversation to share an update on US-China trade negotiations, along with a look at the health of China’s economy and markets. We also touch on considerations when it comes to global diversification for portfolios. Featured is Xingchen Yu, Emerging Markets Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Military fallout' Jun 16, 2025

Show notes

The ongoing exchange of missile strikes between Iran and Israel this weekend has not had a major impact on financial markets. The severity of Israel’s initial strike against Iran was unexpected and caused a reaction. Further market moves would be justified only if there were expectations of even more disruption to energy supplies or shipping lanes.

Washington Weekly Podcast: Middle East, Capitol Hill, US-China trade & more Jun 13, 2025

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Shane drops by to share the latest developments out of the Middle East involving Israel and Iran, along with notable domestic developments spanning progress on the One Big Beautiful Bill, and Federal response to recent occurrences of civil unrest. Plus, thoughts on the outcome of this week’s round of US-China trade talks. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: The week in review and preview Jun 13, 2025

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We close out another trading week by recapping US-China trade talks, the latest round of US inflation-data, along with other macro points of interest. Plus, thoughts on US equities at current levels, equity positioning, and a preview of what to expect in the week ahead. Featured is Matt Tormey, Equity Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shiavon Chatman

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Conflict' Jun 13, 2025

Show notes

The scale of Israel’s air strikes against Iran were not anticipated by financial markets (US President Trump having suggested a deal with Iran was close, just yesterday). As a result, the oil price has had the largest spike since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The economic disruption may well be contained—the starting point was quite a weak oil market, given expectations of a US growth slowdown.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 37) Jun 12, 2025

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On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard outlines the factors behind the recovery of US equities, along with what could drive further momentum from here. We also cover why European markets may not have an “unfair advantage” when it comes a lower rate environment, when compared to the Fed holding steady for now. Plus, thoughts on the recent performance of South Korea’s KOSPI-Index.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Pricing bananas' Jun 12, 2025

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Yesterday’s US consumer price inflation data showed, as expected, faint hints at the effects of trade taxes and clearer examples of weak demand. The declining number of people wishing to visit the US helped weaken air fares. Goods where inventory is held for longer (like autos) avoided tariff effects for now. Imported goods with shorter inventory times—like bananas—saw price surges. Large consumer appliances had the second largest price increase on record. Producer price data may show more tariff price effects, as these goods sit closer to the point of import in the supply chain.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 37) Jun 11, 2025

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