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    Business

    Top Traders Unplugged

    Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think – not just what they trade.
    Hosted by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, the show goes deep into systematic trend following, global macro, and the principles that drive long-term success.
    No forecasts. No fads. Just real conversations with hedge fund managers, economists, authors, and allocators – revealing the timeless ideas, mental models, and risk frameworks behind robust performance.
    If you’re building resilient portfolios, allocating capital, or simply looking to cut through the noise – this is your edge.
    Clear thinking. Deep insights. Real experience.
    🎧 New episodes weekly. Explore all episodes at toptradersunplugged.com https://toptradersunplugged.com

    Advertise

    Copyright: © Copyright 2024 CMC AG - This content does not constitute financial advice and is for educational purposes only. The content can not be used for commercial use without written permission from CMC AG.

    • Apple Podcasts
    • Google Play
    • Spotify

    Latest Episodes:
    SI140: Down Markets Are Often a Treasure to Trend Followers ft. Jerry Parker May 16, 2021
    Show notes

    Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss the benefits of prioritising price over other factors, navigating a high-inflationary environment, how bad markets for average investors can often be great for Trend Followers, how public awareness of a market uptrend can often precede large price drops, the potential drawbacks of trying to standout too much as a money-manager, how classical Trend Following is an increasing rarity in the CTA space, the benefits of investing in Trend Following via a proven manager, the similarities between amateur golfers and traders, the point at which a trend has been ‘confirmed’, and conquering the fear of losses.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Why you should prioritise price over any other form of data
    • How bad markets for the average investor is often lucrative for Trend Followers
    • How mainstream attention to market trends usually means they're about to end
    • Why money managers shouldn't always try to stand out too much
    • The increasing rarity of classical Trend Following CTAs
    • How to embrace the mentality of cutting losses

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Jerry on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    02:55 - Macro recap from Niels

    06:07 - Weekly review of returns

    13:34 - Stanley Druckenmiller’s recent interview criticising the Federal Reserve

    16:17 - Q1 & Q2; Shibojet: What are your thoughts about a dynamic trading system that focuses more on what’s working over any given time-period, rather than a static trading system with rigid criteria? Why don’t Trend Followers trade cash equities?

    39:32 - Q3; Aldo: Is it worth trading a small account using micro-futures? What are your thoughts on pyramiding into positions?

    50:51 - Conquering the fear of losses

    53:45 - How many markets should we trade?

    01:06:58 - Benchmark performance update

    01:07:56 - CBOE announce new Bond futures

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI139: How to Beat Unpredictable Markets ft. Moritz Seibert May 09, 2021
    Show notes

    Moritz Seibert returns to the show today to discuss the Berkshire Hathaway annual general meeting, the possible raise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, today’s great environment for Trend Following, the unpredictable nature of the markets and future trends, decentralised finance, increasing ESG requirements in the investment industry, the meteoric rise of Lumber prices, new and smaller Bitcoin futures contracts being listed on the CME, thoughts on Ethereum and Ethereum futures, and the possible advantages of being in a Trend Follower in the cryptocurrency space versus the buy & hold speculators.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Berkshire Hathaways's recent annual general meeting
    • The likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates
    • How to overcome the unpredictable nature of markets
    • Thoughts on De-Fi
    • Increasing sustainability requirements of the investment industry
    • The newer, smaller futures contracts being listed on the CME
    • Trend Following on cryptocurrencies

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    01:21 - Macro recap from Niels

    02:49 - Weekly review of returns

    11:02 - The Berkshire Hathaway annual general meeting

    26:24 - Why Lumber prices are on the rise

    32:44 - New and smaller Bitcoin futures contracts being listed on the CME

    36:50 - Ethereum futures

    45:46 - Continued outflows from Cathy Wood’s ARKK innovation ETF

    46:42 - Q1; John: What is your methodology for selecting which contract month to trade, and when to roll?

    52:46 - Q2; Brian: What topics, articles, blogs, podcasts or books do you recommend for somebody who wants to learn about cryptocurrencies as fast and easy as possible?

    59:28 - Benchmark performance update

    01:00:11 -Recommended listening or reading this week: 'Why the Price of Lumber Has Soared' on the Odd Lots Podcastand Michael Lewis on the Masters in Business PodcastandTom Basso on Trend Following Radio

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI138: The 'Holy Trinity' of Security Selection ft. Rob Carver May 03, 2021
    Show notes

    We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss the process of selecting single stocks for a Trend Following system, Rob’s holy trinity of security selection, the JP Morgan-backed fund making huge bets, via options, on the market remaining quiet, the knock-on effects from funds who make large, risky bets, the sweet-spot for average holding periods in a Trend Following system, ‘caveman-style’ Trend Following versus scaling in and out of positions, how to hedge against inflation, how Trend Following historically has performed really well in rising interest-rate environments, and thoughts on Tesla’s recent earnings, a lot of which were from government subsidies and selling bitcoin.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Which stocks to select for a profitable Trend Following system
    • Rob's 'Holy Trinity' for selecting securities
    • The ripple effects of large funds who make large and risky bets
    • The most profitable holding periods in Trend Following systems
    • 'Caveman-style' Trend Following
    • How to hedge against inflation
    • Trend Following's success in rising interest-rate environments
    • Tesla's recent earnings

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rob on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    01:36 - Macro recap from Niels

    04:27 - Weekly review of returns

    09:38 - Discussion on Tesla’s recent earnings

    25:13 - Q1; Matt via the Top Traders Unplugged free voicemail service: How do you select single stocks as a Trend Follower?

    35:02 - Q2; Alfred: Does backwardation lead to price rallies?

    41:10 - The fund who are now nicknamed ‘Gamma Hammer’ for betting on tranquil markets

    48:07 - Q3; Riccardo: What does Rob think about mean reversion strategies, and how they can be complimented with Trend Following? What are your thoughts on Systematic Macro strategies, and how do they compare with Trend Following?

    57:16 - Q4; Michael: How long would it take to convert a system made in Microsoft Excel, to Python?

    01:00:20 - Q5; James: What do you think about exiting winning trades in stages, rather than at once?

    01:06:08 - Hedging against inflation

    01:11:06 - Benchmark performance update

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI137: Can AI Trading Be Better Than Classical Methods? ft. Mark Rzepczynski Apr 25, 2021
    Show notes

    Today, Mark Rzepczynski returns to the show to discuss how Trend Following allows investors to own more risky assets, Systematic Global Macro versus Trend Following, the process of how an investor digests new information, classical Trend Following versus modern Trend Following with AI methods, whether rock-star hedge funds such as ARK Invest can end up being too greedy when seeking AUM, why it can be a good idea to avoid timing the different exposures of your portfolio as much as possible, some of the possible reasons behind Dunn Capital’s successful near 50-year track record, and thoughts on position-sizing in relation to historic volatility.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • How a Trend Following approach allows safer access to risky markets
    • The differences between Systematic Trading based on macro data versus based on price-only
    • How a top trader should efficiently process new data
    • Modern AI-based Trend Following versus classical Trend Following
    • Whether the biggest hedge funds in the world fall victim of being too greedy for AUM
    • Why you should avoid 'timing the market'
    • The possible secrets of success behind Dunn Capital's near 50-year track record

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    02:00 – Macro recap from Niels

    08:46 – Weekly review of performance

    13:28 – Swedish systematic macro-fund, IPM, closes after losing $4billion during the pandemic

    28:37 – New style Trend Following with machine learning versus classical Trend Following

    53:54 – Some of the reasons behind Dunn Capital’s successful near 50-year track record

    01:05:03 – Q1 Raymond: What are some good methods for market selection, other than liquidity?

    01:08:35 – Q2; Dirk: Have you found significant differences between volatility-based position-sizing and a one-size-fits-all approach?

    01:17:10 – Benchmark performance update

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI136: When Investments Become A Religion ft. Jerry Parker Apr 18, 2021
    Show notes

    Jerry Parker returns to the show today to discuss the how investments can often turn into religions, the recent Coinbase IPO, using historical volatility for position sizing, comparing long-term trend following to Buy & Hold, ‘trend strength’ signals, how much of a portfolio should be allocated to Trend Following strategies, mean-reversion systems versus Trend Following systems, and thoughts on finding or adding to new positions.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • The perils of becoming 'religious' about our investments
    • Coinbase's recent stock market listing
    • Position sizing using historical volatility
    • Buy & Hold versus Trend Following over long-term look back periods
    • Mean Reversion trading versus Trend-based trading
    • The infamous Top Traders Unplugged Trend Barometer

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Jerry on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    01:36 - Macro recap from Niels

    04:37 - Weekly review of returns

    09:37 -A question for Jerry, from Mark: If Trend Following philosophy assumes the future is unknown, why is normal to use historical price data?

    24:44 - ‘Trend Strength’ signals, what they are, and if you should use them

    26:52 - Whether Trend Followers do actually make market predictions

    35:49 - A question for Jerry from Jim: What are your thoughts on combining a Trend Following system with a mean-reversion system?

    40:27 - Meb Faber’s recent poll on how much should be allocated to Trend Following

    48:31 - Q1; Danny: How do you find new positions to trade?

    53:09 - Q2; Mathew: How do you define a longer-term timeframe?

    01:00:44 - Performance recap

    01:01:50 - Jerry asks Niels to discuss theTop Traders Unplugged Trend Barometer

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI135: WHY Trend Following is the Safest Investment Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert Apr 11, 2021
    Show notes

    Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the little-known hedge fund Archegos, who recently blew up and cost billions of dollars for large institutions such as Credit Suisse and Nomura. We also discuss whether cracks are beginning to show in the stock market, the bull market in commodities, opportunities for investing in Chinese commodity markets, the risks of trading in emerging markets, how to trade cryptocurrency futures, and combining Trend Following strategies with none-correlated strategies in the same system.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Over-leveraged hedge funds showing little regard for risk
    • What stage of the bull market in stocks we might be in
    • The rise in commodity prices
    • Trading in the Chinese commodity markets
    • The possible risks of trading in emerging markets
    • Crypto futures and how they differ from more traditional futures markets
    • Trend Following combined with other investment strategies for a complete portfolio
    • call Gold a 'safe-haven' asset?

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    02:19 - Macro recap from Niels

    05:22 - Weekly review of returns

    12:48 - Quant trading firms being ready to pounce on a possible upcoming commodity boom, especially in China

    31:05 - The departure of some CTAs away from major exchanges, and the fund Archegos blowing up costing billions for major global banks

    49:25 - Arbitraging bitcoin futures

    01:00:45 - Q1; Jim: What are your thoughts on combining a Trend Following system with a mean-reversion system?

    01:04:40 - Q2; John: Do you have any advice on which futures contract to trade and when to roll?

    01:09:14 - Q3; Mark: If Trend Following philosophy assumes the future is unknown, why is normal to use historical price data?

    01:14:45 - Performance recap

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI134: Sticking with Short Positions ft. Jerry Parker Apr 04, 2021
    Show notes

    Jerry Parker is back on the show with us today to discuss why short positions are beneficial to a profitable trading strategy, the importance of not over-tweaking an already good system, the case for Trend Following as the dominant strategy in an investment portfolio, the amount of volatility that can be regarded as too risky, and Jerry calls out Niels for a future debate regarding the possible uses of multi-timeframe analysis.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • The reasons for avoiding a long-only trading system
    • Knowing when 'good enough' is good enough
    • Why investors may be allocating to Trend Following in the wrong amounts
    • When volatility equates to risk
    • Approaches to multi-timeframe analysis

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Jerry on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    01:46 - Macro recap from Niels

    04:34 - Weekly review of returns

    46:37 - Q1; Marcus: What is Jerry’s approach to shorting stocks?

    49:50 - Q2 & Q3; Nathaniel: Do you have any suggestions for reliable ‘predictors of return’? Do you recommend trading futures that are in backwardation?

    57:16 - Q4; Nick: Are there advantages to trading markets that are unusually volatile?

    01:00:07 - Performance recap

    01:01:00 - Recommended listening or reading this week.

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI133: Volatility Targeting ft. Rob Carver Mar 29, 2021
    Show notes

    Rob Carver joins us today to discuss whether it’s a good idea to adjust your strategy during different periods of volatility, Bitcoin’s expected role as an inflation-hedge, whether commodities are more suited to shorter-term trading than other markets, the NFT frenzy & its credibility as an investment asset, volume analysis and whether it can be play worthwhile part in a Trend Following system, and why volatility may not be a good measure of risk.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • The case for and against Volatility Targeting
    • Whether Bitcoin can offset any risks from a high-inflationary environment
    • Whether commodities can be suitable for long-term strategies
    • The credibility of NFTs as an asset class
    • Volume analysis as a trading signal
    • Volatility as a measure of risk

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rob on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    02:24 – Macro recap from Niels

    04:17 – Weekly review of performance

    31:32 – Q1; Dennis: How can a retail trader with limited capital access the commodity markets?

    41:47 - Q2; Dennis: How would you deal with big intraday volatility such as in 2020?

    51:02 - Q3; Cat: Is volume analysis overrated?

    56:16 - Q4; Gustavo: Why should we be worried about volatility if it is going our way?

    01:05:52 - Q5; Emra: How often should you recalibrate your system? Why do you recommend not locking in profits early, after unusually sharp portfolio increases?

    01:16:08 – Benchmark performance update

    01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks’ latest memo

    01:27:35 – Recommended listening or reading this week: MacroVoices Podcast featuring Juliette Declercq

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski Mar 21, 2021
    Show notes

    Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Jerome Powell’s recent speech and how central banks can often confuse markets, the potential of Artificial Intelligence in systematic investing, whether or not holding government bonds is a good idea, the recent rise in interest rates and what it means for the stock market, the relationship between correlations and volatility, why policy makers should avoid trying to engineer future expectations, how recency-bias affects our decision making, complexity versus complicatedness, robotic systematic investing versus human discretionary investing, how to tell the difference between a systematic and discretionary trader by looking at returns only, and why ‘low-cost’ funds can often end up being more expensive than normal.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Whether artificial intelligence has a place in systematic investing
    • Interest rates and their effects on the trading markets
    • How correlations can increase volatility
    • The benefits of a more 'hands-off' approach to policy-making
    • The common perils of 'recency bias'
    • Spotting a discretionary trader just by looking at returns
    • The hidden costs behind supposed 'low cost' funds

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    03:14 – Macro recap from Niels

    06:36 – Weekly review of performance

    57:46 – Q1; Mike: How useful do you find capture ratios when analysing performance?

    1:08:29 – Q2; Andy: What do you think about utilising a CTA or Trend Following ETF?

    1:14:42 – Q3; Craig: Do you think CTAs are missing out by not trading small-cap crypto, and do you think they will eventually?

    01:24:03 – Benchmark performance update

    01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks’ latest memo

    01:25:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: MacroVoices Podcast featuring Juliette Declercq

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI131: Winning Big During An Inflationary Environment ft. Moritz Seibert Mar 14, 2021
    Show notes

    Moritz Seibert returns to the show today to discuss the challenges of managing large amounts of cash in a high-inflationary environment, the importance of maintaining a healthy attitude during long winning-streaks, the resurgence & resilience of the GameStop short-squeeze, Bitcoin reaching $60,000, the importance of prioritising process over outcome, the new VIX ETFs for Bitcoin & Ethereum, and whether or not Gold is a safe long-term investment.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Smart ways to manage cash during periods of high inflation
    • Staying humble during long winning periods
    • The GameStop short-squeeze
    • New volatility-based ETFs for Cryptocurrencies
    • Why analysing the outcome instead of the process may prove costly in the long run
    • Can we still call Gold a 'safe-haven' asset?

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    01:33 - Macro recap from Niels

    04:45 - Weekly review of performance

    32:56 - Q1; Daniel: How much do you risk per trade?

    48:32 - Q2; Karl: When using moving average crossovers, how do you get back into a trade you were quickly stopped out of?

    53:25 - Q3; Mark: Why should I place short trades if my backtest says long trades are more profitable? Have you looked at synthetic data, going back over 200 years?

    01:02:58 - Benchmark performance update

    01:03:52 - Recommended listening or reading this week: Macro Voices Podcast ft Diego Parilla

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


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