The Pain Trade Podcast

Latest Episodes:

Exploring Celestial Cycles: Unraveling their Influence on Physiology, Psychology, and Market Trends with Diana Evans Nov 24, 2023

Show notes

Ever wondered about the profound correlation between celestial bodies and our lives? Diana Evans welcomes you to an intriguing journey where we unveil the mysteries of solar and lunar cycles and their potential impacts on your physiological and psychological states. We promise, by the end of this episode, you'll gain a unique perspective on the age-old belief that celestial cycles influence our behavior and the world around us.
We extend our explorations, venturing into the realm of astrology and its possible effects on our moods and overall well-being. Imagine flipping your understanding of societal shifts, such as the current fourth turning, or even market cycles like the recent housing boom, merely by tracking the sun's cycles! And it doesn't stop there. We also take a thought-provoking detour into the role of money and inflation in our economy.
Finally, we navigate the fascinating intersection of astrology and investment. How can cosmic events potentially dictate market trends? We discuss concepts like the 'pets crash window' and the belief that our economy is already in a recession. Adding a dash of humor to our celestial journey, we chat with our guest, Dan – exploring the realms of sarcasm, humor, and a bit of stargazing. Make sure you don’t miss out on an exciting upcoming space event we have planned! So join us, for an episode filled with celestial insights, economic perspectives, and a hearty dose of humor.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Investment Challenges in an Unpredictable Climate: A Conversation with Daniel Lacalle Nov 23, 2023

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Wouldn't it be remarkable if you could grasp the enigma of inflation dynamics and market risks? Well, here's a promise: by the end of our conversation with the extraordinary Daniel Lacalle, you'll be several steps closer. We grapple with the role of the government in inflation, the sustainability of heightened inflation, and why the bond market could be our crystal ball into the future.
Ever pondered about the role of gold in an unstable global market? Join us as we shed light on the intriguing connection between global volatility and gold prices. We journey from Japan to England, revealing how monetary imbalances can shake up fiscal stability. Learn how this ripple effect impacts emerging economies and non-dollar developed economies, and why a rise in gold prices might be a sign we should not ignore.
Market trends, portfolio considerations, inflation, central bank actions, geopolitical risks - sounds like a tall order? Not with Daniel Lacalle guiding us through the labyrinth. We question the limitations of traditional portfolios, explore the risks within the commodity complex, and contemplate the concept of a "soft landing". Above all, we grapple with the challenges of investing in an unpredictable climate. From untangling the dynamics of the monetary system to decoding the Fed's actions, this episode is your guide to a richer understanding of the global market. Stay tuned for more enlightening discussions in our upcoming episodes!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Mastering Market Trends with Technical Analysis: Insightful Trade Strategies with Michael Hewson Nov 22, 2023

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Are you seeking insider trading information and analysis from a seasoned expert? Our latest podcast episode is packed with just that. We sit down with market analyst Michael Hewson, who guides us through the intricacies of technical analysis. With his 30 years of experience in the trading world, he enlightens us about the power of technical analysis in predicting market trends and managing trade decisions. We delve deep into the art of skillful trading, discussing the importance of managing entry and exit points, and the common pitfalls traders often encounter.
If you've been curious about the current market conditions and the impact of upcoming rate cuts, this episode offers you a comprehensive understanding. We analyze the "buy the dip" mentality and explore potential triggers that could lead to market crashes. We also provide a detailed analysis of the robust US labor market and discuss the role of central banks in this ever-changing economic environment. The episode also offers insights into the resilience of the US consumer market and the struggles faced by European consumers.
Beyond market trends, we put the spotlight on CMC, a company that has carved a niche for itself in the area of CFDs, spread betting, and leverage trading. We discuss the company's efforts to educate retail clients and address the trend of retail clients being short in the market. We also highlight the popularity of trading US equities and discuss the rise in new traders in the post-COVID era. To cap it all, we also spare some time to discuss the significance of tracking one's work and thoughts. Tune in for a riveting episode laced with insightful market analyses and trading insights.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Eric Jacobson's Investment Odyssey: Navigating Market Turbulence and Triumphs Nov 22, 2023

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Get ready for an exhilarating ride into the world of investing as we sit down with our guest, Eric Jacobson. From his humble beginnings paper trading in high school to navigating the treacherous waters of the dot-com bubble, Eric is a seasoned investor with a wealth of knowledge to share. We'll be picking his brain on everything from the role of commissions and figures like Jim Cramer in investing decisions to his own personal insights on the stock market.
This episode is packed full of strategic insights and candid personal experiences. We rip apart common misconceptions, like the myth of the "dumb money" account, and discuss how disciplined investing can truly transform your financial future. We also take a detour in our journey to learn about the work of Erica, the founder of Get Earth. We get a sneak peek into Erica's world, learning about her fasting journey and the story behind her company's name.
As we delve deeper, we uncover just how accessible investing has become with the introduction of fractional share trading and the elimination of commissions. Learn how to choose 'best in breed' stocks and understand the importance of risk appetite. As we round off the episode, we discuss managing international exposure in investing, emphasizing the significance of learning from past mistakes and preparing for potential market fluctuations. So buckle up for a thrilling journey into the intricate world of investing!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Navigating the Global Financial Landscape: Unraveling Investment Strategies and Market Risks with Keith Dicker Nov 20, 2023

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Are you ready to get your pulse racing with the fast-paced world of global markets, investment strategies, and potential risks? Strap in as we navigate the high-stakes economic landscape and discuss the challenges facing individual and institutional investors. Promising a deep dive into the 60-40 portfolio, we unravel the mysteries of declining long-term rates and explain the role central banks play in shaping this ever-changing panorama.
Shifting gears, we delve into the Canadian banking sector, revealing its vulnerabilities and potential pitfalls. We draw comparisons with the economies of Australia and Europe, highlighting the dangers of complacency in the face of a frothy housing market. Our guest, Keith Dicker, co-host of The Looney Hour, joins the conversation as we discuss the interconnectedness of Canadian and US banks and the implications of a potential crisis. We also scrutinize the current economic scene in Canada and Europe, particularly the impact of the COVID pandemic on government spending and deficits.
As we near the end of our journey, we examine portfolio strategies and fat tail risks, focusing on non-USD based portfolios and protective measures for international investors. Keith lends his insight into potential market events that could ripple across Asia and the dilemma facing Japan's bond market. We wrap up with a thoughtful discussion on the changing probabilities in the financial world, emphasizing the importance of being prepared for potential outcomes. Tune in for an enlightening exploration of the global financial landscape, rich with expert insights and strategic advice.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

From Market Maker to Trading Titan: Steve Miller's Financial Voyage Nov 19, 2023

Show notes

Strap in for an energetic journey through the financial cosmos with our seasoned guest, Steve Miller. With a staggering half-century tenure in trading, Steve provides an intriguing look into his voyage from a market maker on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange to forging his distinctive trading business. His unique perspective on the seismic shifts within the industry due to no commission trading is a riveting exploration into the ever-evolving world of finance.
We guide you through the twists and turns of the commodity market, taking a deep dive into the oil and industrial metal markets and the gold cycle. We'll uncover the secrets of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and delve into the peculiar market correlations observed in this cycle. Steve draws on his vast experience to reveal detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's actions and their consequences on the economy and markets over the past two decades. He generously imparts wisdom born from personal trading stories and emphasizes the critical role of mental resilience in trading.
As we navigate through our analysis of the natural gas, gold, and silver markets, Steve fashions a roadmap of his investment strategies and ventures bold predictions about potential top performers. We'll also discuss the evolution of trading tools and membership services and how they've changed over time. Our journey ends with an emphatic nod to the importance of cycle analysis for successful trading. So whether you're a novice or a seasoned trader, this illuminating conversation with Steve is a treasure trove of insights you shouldn't miss!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Unraveling the Global Oil Market: Prices, Politics, and Production with Rory Johnston Nov 18, 2023

Show notes

Are you ready to unravel the intricacies of the global oil market? Our guest for this episode, oil analyst Rory Johnston, guides us on a fascinating journey through the volatile world of oil prices and the implications of international politics on it. From the recent price surge, potential sanctions on Iran, to the possible easing of limitations on Venezuela, you'll get a front-row seat to the rollercoaster ride that is the oil market.
We're also serving up a comprehensive analysis of oil market dynamics against the backdrop of major global events and economies. Uncover how the Israel-Hamas conflict has a bullish effect on the oil market and why China's strong demand for oil persists despite mixed economic signals. Plus, we're lifting the veil on the U.S Strategic Petroleum Reserve and its potential to offset a price spike.
But that's not all. We're diving deep into the realm of refining, with an emphasis on crack spreads. Rory unravels the current gasoline oversupply phenomenon and the vital role of China's independent refineries in the market. Lastly, we're turning our attention to Venezuela and Iran, examining the potential benefits of a sanction reduction deal with Washington and the impact of tighter sanctions on Iran. Join us, and be enlightened on the complex interplay between geopolitics and the oil industry.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Unraveling the Intricacies of Individual Investing: Insights and Strategies with Karl Kaufman Nov 16, 2023

Show notes

Ever wondered why brilliant individuals flounder in the stock market? What if I told you these missteps have little to do with their intelligence but more to do with their ego, herd mentality, or simply refusing to admit a mistake? Forbes.com contributor and author Karl Kaufman joins me to dissect the common pitfalls facing individual investors and also, unpick the Federal Reserve's stance on inflation. Karl unflinchingly calls into question whether the Fed's reassurances are as solid as they purport, hinting at potential financial tremors ahead.
Imagine a world where you could harness the power of contrarian investing, using your intuition to guide your stock trading strategies. That's precisely the world Karl Kaufman inhabits. He shares insights from his journey, including how he cut his teeth in investing under his father's tutelage. Karl's father ingrained in him principles like contrarianism, concentration on a single position, and the value of independent thinking. This episode will also give you an inside look at Karl's decision to start his own business helping others navigate the labyrinth of investing.
We wrap up our enlightening conversation with Karl by emphasizing the crucial role of financial education and critical thinking in stock trading. We dissect the media's failure to scrutinize predictions, the worth of conducting your own research, and the importance of humility and intellectual honesty in the stock market. Karl gives us a sneak peek into his unique concoction of investment strategies, gleaned from various investors and his own experiences. So, if you're serious about advancing your financial education and honing your critical thinking, this episode is your ally.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

A Deep Dive into Quantitative Easing and its Aftermath with Gary Brode Nov 15, 2023

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Are you ready to crack the code of the financial world? Step into our exclusive conversation with Gary Brode of Deep Knowledge Investing, as we navigate through the labyrinth of government spending, its inflationary impact, and more. We challenge conventional wisdom as we closely scrutinize the repercussions of a decade-long policy of near-zero rates by the Fed, compounded by trillions spent on quantitative easing.
As we explore the intriguing world of finance, we cast an analytical eye over the rising US interest expense, the underlying effects of congressional overspending, and the potential consequences of higher rates on the government balance sheet. Our mission to unravel the complexities doesn’t stop there. We consider the possible return of negative real rates, delve into scenarios of a stealth default, and even ponder a similar predicament for the US as that of Japan's high debt-to-GDP situation.
Our episode culminates in a compelling discussion on the rising debt, the discipline demanded by bond vigilantes, and the economic consequences of hypothetical reductions in the FED's fund rate. We compare the fiscal landscapes of the US and Europe and suggest potential investment opportunities to navigate this era of consumer spending and low unemployment. Finally, don't miss our conversation on effective communication and strategy in investing, filled with invaluable insights from our guest expert, Gary Brode.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Lyn Alden on the Dark Side of Finance and the Hope for a Financial Revolution Nov 14, 2023

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What does it really mean to understand money systems? This is the captivating question that we dive into with our esteemed guest, Lyn Alden, in a potent discussion that takes you on a journey through the history of currency and its technological evolution. Together, we peel back the layers of complexity and look at the characteristics that define good money, while highlighting how the mismanagement of such systems can have disastrous consequences.
Our conversation takes a turn towards the darker side of finance where we uncover the issues plaguing our current broken money systems. The lack of transparency in some jurisdictions, the widening wealth gap due to currency dilution, and the manipulative power of international organizations like the IMF are just some of the topics we broach in our gripping exchange. Lyn's unique insights into these matters are drawn from her extensive research and personal experiences, most notably her time living in Egypt where she witnessed firsthand the effects of high inflation and weak capital markets.
We wrap up our discussion by looking towards the future, and the promise of Bitcoin and other digital assets in changing the financial narrative. The concept of decentralized money challenges the status quo, and we discuss its potential in creating a more egalitarian economic landscape. We also delve into the geopolitical implications of the modern monetary system, and how the rise of digital currencies could redefine the concept of currency sovereignty. This episode is an eye-opening exploration of money and its impact on our world. Don't miss our lively chat with Lyn Alden, where we unmask the complexities of money systems and ponder the possibilities of a financial revolution.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

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