The Pain Trade Podcast

Latest Episodes:

Unlocking the Secrets of Deep Value and Macro Market Investing with Chris MacIntosh Dec 21, 2023

Show notes

Embark on an intellectual voyage with me, Michael Gayed, as we unlock the mysteries of macro markets and deep value investing, illuminated by the astute Chris MacIntosh. This episode promises a wealth of insights from Chris's transformation from the high-octane investment banking scene to the strategic foresight required for his own asset management firm. His stories of spotting bubbles and seizing opportunities provide a roadmap for investors looking to navigate the tricky terrain of today's financial landscape.
As we traverse the controversial terrains of distressed asset investing and the energy sector, Chris lays bare the allure of hidden gems within seemingly desolate markets, like the coal industry. His recount of turning an $80 million problem property into a profitable venture stands as testament to the deep value philosophy. Moreover, our discussion raises crucial questions about the energy future and environmental policy, sparked by the debates at COP28, which anyone with an eye on sustainable investments will find invaluable.
To cap off this episode, we dissect the strategic moves within the energy sector, from the capex cycle challenges to the rise of mergers and acquisitions. Chris doesn't shy away from the stark realities of geopolitical unrest, especially in relation to Europe's energy conundrum. Additionally, we scrutinize the alarming trend of investment concentration among global fund managers and the potential market volatility ahead. For those steering through the high seas of investment, Chris offers sage advice and strategies to weather the storms on the horizon.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

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Mastering the Uranium Market: Investment Strategies and Risk Insights with Fabiana Lara Dec 19, 2023

Show notes

In this engaging conversation, Michael Gayed talks with Fabiana Lara, publisher of the Next Big Rush. Fabiana discusses her journey into the uranium market, highlighting her self-taught approach to understanding the industry. She also shares her views on the increase in gold and silver investments, her interest in tin and platinum, and her speculation on the future of the uranium and nuclear energy market. Additionally, Fabiana provides insights into mining stocks, various companies' strategies, the political aspect of nuclear energy, and the role of marketing in the industry. With a focus on diversification and understanding risks, her main advice to investors is to embrace learning and stay informed about their investment ventures.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Artificial Intelligence in Trading: A Deep Dive with Tony Saliba Dec 17, 2023

Show notes

Ever thought about the sheer potential of cryptocurrency and its impact on traditional finance? Intrigued by the explosive growth of cryptocurrency options trading? If so, you'll find this episode absolutely riveting. We had a fascinating conversation with tech expert, Tony Saliba, who was also a former floor trader. The discussion took an intricate tour through the labyrinth of the crypto-world, and its intersection with traditional finance. Tony shed light on the complex web spun around cryptocurrency trading, and how his company Liquid Mercury, empowers traditional financial players with the necessary tools to navigate this intricate space.
The conversation doesn't stop at the convergence of DeFi and centralized finance, instead, it delves into the rise and rise of cryptocurrency options trading. Tony and I discussed the vital need for stronger connections between exchanges and a refined approach to risk management. As we transitioned to the subject of digital assets, we tackled the volatility of altcoins and the pressing need for regulations protecting their trade. We also pondered on the exciting potential for digitizing assets like real estate and personal data, and anticipated the entry of major players into the digital asset market.
In the final leg of our journey, we unearthed the immense power of artificial intelligence in trading and investing, and how it can supercharge decision-making processes. Tony emphasized the paramount importance of customer service and a well-trained support team in the finance sector. We also explored the realm of DeFi, focusing on its potential to democratize access to education and trading tools. Tony gave us a sneak peek into Liquid Mercury's rewards program and their white-labeling services. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a new entrant into the world of finance, this episode is sure to arm you with valuable insights.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Navigating the Shifts in Global Investment Landscape: Insights into Dividend Investing with Daniel Perris Dec 15, 2023

Show notes

Are you restless at the thought of fluctuating interest rates and the impact on your hard-earned investments? Fear not. Here, we journey through the intricate lens of the global investment landscape, diving deep into its ebbs and flows with our guest, Daniel Perris, a portfolio manager with a keen eye on historical trends. We tackle the paradigm shift that has swept through the business world in the last four decades, highlighting how declining interest rates have reshaped the ties between businesses and investors. Perris shares his expert insights on the profound role of dividends in long-term wealth development and questions the growing preference for tech-centric investments.
Strap in as we scrutinize the 40-year paradigm's imminent end and the consequential reshuffling of the investment environment. From the unnerving implications of soaring interest rates to political adjustments and disruptions in global supply chains, nothing is left untouched. Perris and I also ponder the future of investments in an environment inching closer to 'normalcy.' We dissect the rise of passive investing, ETFs, and mutual funds, alongside the escalating risk rates and even the unnerving prospect of negative real rates.
Finally, we delve into the captivating world of dividend investing during periods of market volatility and ambiguity. As we tackle the importance of managing dividend risk amidst a low-yield market and the potential influences of geopolitical dynamics on dividend quality stocks, you will find the tools and confidence to navigate these unchartered waters. We close our insightful journey with a look at the shift towards the US market, the potential for tech companies to start paying dividends, and the invaluable role of dividends and balance sheets in the current economic climate. So join us, and let's navigate the treacherous yet rewarding world of dividend investing together.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Navigating the Canadian Housing Bubble: Expert Insights with Hilliard MacBeth Dec 14, 2023

Show notes

With an impressive career spanning over four decades, Hilliard MacBeth, an esteemed investment advisor, joins us to offer her expert analysis on the Canadian housing bubble. She offers a glimpse into the looming perils of the housing bubble on the brink of burst, fueled by factors such as high household and corporate debt, the pandemic, and the government's financial support. MacBeth's expert perspective heralds a potential housing crisis resultant of unaffordable housing and escalated interest rates.
Shining the spotlight on the Canadian housing market, the discussion further explores unique traits such as the prominence of variable rate mortgages and the role of mortgage insurance. We scrutinize the potential fallout on Canadian banks if the housing bubble bursts and contemplate the decreasing number of insured mortgages. This leads us to a thorough discussion on the health of the Canadian banking system, potential areas of concern, and the repercussions a housing market crash could have on the banks.
The conversation evolves to engage with the current state of the market, weighing whether we're amidst a bear or bull market, and the influence of the Federal Reserve. Navigating through the uncertainty, we share our strategies for asset management, highlighting the importance of staying invested and adjusting exposure, whilst resisting the crowd's influence. We conclude by underlining the significance of experience and wisdom in the market, especially during a bull market. This episode is a treasure trove of insights and advice from Hilliard MacBeth - a must-listen for anyone interested in the complexities of the housing market and the broader financial landscape.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

The World of Uranium Mining and Investment: An Exploration with John Cash Dec 12, 2023

Show notes

Are you ready to unearth the intricacies of uranium mining and investment with us? With John Cash, the CEO of UR Energy, we embark on a journey that deepens our understanding of uranium extraction, its market trends, and the complex environment of nuclear energy. An experienced geologist and CEO, John Cash lends his expertise to illuminate us on the complexities of in situ mining—a specialized technology crucial for uranium extraction—and the challenges this niche industry faces in finding skilled labor.
Let's navigate the multifaceted landscape of uranium mining technology and how recent global events may impact the uranium supply chain. The geopolitical developments such as the coup in Niger and Russia's sway over Kazakhstan's uranium production could potentially affect uranium prices, making the market dynamics rather complex. We'll also discuss the emergence of nuclear energy in the United States, the recent legislation's impact on nuclear reactors, and the role of small modular reactors in the future.
Towards the end, we shine a spotlight on uranium investment, as John Cash shares his wisdom on the current market trends and how they influence uranium prices. From sharing experiences on investing in uranium to the future plans of UR Energy, our conversation is a treasure trove of insights. Whether you're a budding investor or just a curious mind attempting to understand the complexities of the uranium market, this podcast episode is your compass. Let's set sail into the captivating world of uranium mining and investment.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Navigating the Terrain of Trend Following: A Deep Dive into Portfolio Management with Larry Tentarelli Dec 11, 2023

Show notes

Ready for a thrilling journey into the world of trend following? This week, we're lucky to be joined by Larry Tentarelli, the mastermind behind Blue Chipd Daily Trend Report. With his razor-sharp focus on large-cap stocks, Larry expertly guides us through his strategies for spotting market trends and deciding just the right time to take profits. We'll also get his insider perspective on the current market trends and where he thinks the year might end up.
Strap in as we tackle the recent bank and small-cap surges head-on, scrutinizing the indicators that hint towards a potential economic slowdown. We emphasize how charts can be your compass in the wild world of investing, illustrating how narratives often fall in line with price. We'll walk you through monitoring key charts, including the S&P, NASDAQ 100, bond yields, and the US dollar – your roadmap for navigating the market using trend following strategies.
Buckle up for our deep dive into the current standing of the US dollar and gold, exploring their potential to rock the market. We'll discuss the recent gold surge and what it could mean for equities. We round off by examining trading strategies, portfolio management, and the latest in the banking and gold mining sectors. We also touch on the ripple effects of a credit event and the vitality of robust economic data. The world of investment can be wild, but with our trend-focused approach, we'll help you navigate this landscape. So, tune in and get ready for a thrilling ride into trend following and portfolio management!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Navigating the Complex Landscape of the Cannabis Industry: An Insightful Journey with Brady Cobb Dec 11, 2023

Show notes

Have you ever wondered what it's like to be at the helm of an emerging industry, particularly cannabis? Meet Brady Cobb, the CEO of Sunburn Cannabis. He's got a tale that's a cocktail of legacy, resilience, and success. From the roots of his family's history woven with cannabis, to his transformation from a lawyer to a cannabis industry tycoon, Brady narrates his intriguing journey. As a bonus, we explore valuable insights into the Florida cannabis market and the unique strides his company is making.
Politics, they say, affects everything. Unsurprisingly, the cannabis industry is no exception. Brace yourselves as we maneuver through the labyrinth of political reform and safe banking legislation needed to smoke life into the cannabis industry. Our chat uncovers the marks left by past cannabis convictions, the anticipation building up towards the forthcoming election year, and the potential revolution on the horizon. While we're at it, we'll also shed light on the weighty influence of the alcohol industry, its prospective impact on cannabis, and how the international market could shape the US approach.
There are numerous layers to the cannabis industry, and one of the most fascinating is how it intertwines with corporate culture. In this episode, we trace the evolution of cannabis culture and how it's seeping into the fabric of corporate professionalism. Spotlighting the success stories of GTI and Sunburn, we reveal how authenticity can fuel the engines of growth. We delve into the stumbling blocks littering the cannabis landscape and how strategic pricing can be a game-changer. And of course, we wouldn’t miss discussing the exciting technology prospects brewing in the industry. Whether you're a cannabis entrepreneur or just keen to learn, this episode is your golden ticket to understanding the cannabis industry, its challenges, and its opportunities.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Unraveling the Complexities of Trading: A Conversation with Alan Edward Dec 08, 2023

Show notes

Ever wondered what it takes to succeed in the world of trading? Join us as we unravel the mysteries with full-time trader and market maestro, Alan Edward, our special guest, the Divergent Trader. Listen and learn as Alan shares his trading journey, enlightening us on how he transitioned from day trading to swing trading, and from trend following to breakouts. Discover the crucial role of rigorous backtesting and the software that aids him in testing his strategies over extended periods of time.
The episode takes an interesting twist as we look back on this year's trades and the challenges faced in maneuvering through the deceptive markets. Alan further highlights the mental side of trading and the significance of adhering to a rules-based approach. We also tackle common trading biases, such as recency and hindsight biases, and emphasize on the importance of managing them. The conversation takes a global turn as we discuss the dominance of US equities in the global market and how diversifying globally can help offset home bias.
Get a sneak peek into his successful strategies and his book "The Blueprint to Trading Psychology." Alan highlights the role of noise in trading and the importance of setting routine and goals for motivation. We wrap up the conversation with some social media talk, as Alan shares his resources and advice for beginners. So, buckle up and tune in for an insightful conversation, and don't forget to follow Alan on his social media platforms for more trading insights!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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From US Equities to European Markets: A Comprehensive Analysis with Peter Berezin Dec 07, 2023

Show notes

Ready to uncover the secrets of global investment strategies? This episode promises to deliver a wealth of knowledge, straight from the brains of renowned expers Peter Berezin. Join us as we dissect the financial world, exploring the current dominance of US equities, the potential of emerging and European markets, and the looming impact of an imminent recession. Our guest brings his wealth of experience to the table, allowing us to dig deep into the complexities of small cap stocks and the financial landscape as a whole.
Buckle up as we traverse the intricate terrain of monetary policy and the inevitable recession risks in the US. Our journey takes us all the way to Japan, focusing on the Bank of Japan's attempts to normalize its monetary policy and the potential for a reverse carry trade. We'll unearth the potential performance of the yen in the coming year and the cultural aspect of deflation in Japan. We also dive into the transformative role of AI, offering a fresh perspective on its impact on businesses and investors.
Finally, our discussion takes a global turn, topping off with some exciting non-US investments. We'll shed light on the potential of emerging markets, the geopolitical rifts impacting Mexico and Vietnam, and the possibility of European banks being a great long-term investment. Michael Gayed and Peter also share their insights on the role of central banks like the ECB in mitigating financial crises. So, join us for an exciting tour of the global financial landscape, led by the industry's best!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show