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    News

    The Chuck ToddCast

    The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you’re looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you’ve come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

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    Copyright: © 2025 Chuck Todd

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    Latest Episodes:
    Chuck’s Commentary - Tuesday Was A REALLY Good Night For Democrats + Top 5 Republican REBUKES Of Donald Trump In Term #2 Jun 03, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd walks through a primary night that was, in his words, a really good night for Democrats — and one that may have just answered whether 2026 is shaping up as a genuine blue wave. The night's biggest single story came out of Iowa, where Zach Lahn pulled off a stunning upset of Randy Feenstra in what Chuck characterizes as a "MAHA vs. MAGA" race — Trump endorsed the establishment Feenstra and lost, which Chuck predicts will drive the president absolutely nuts. Iowa Democrats also got a substantial ticket boost when Josh Turek blew out Zach Wahls in the Senate primary, and combined with the surprisingly strong gubernatorial candidacy of Rob Sand, Iowa is now the cleanest test case in the country for whether the political wind has truly shifted — a right-leaning state where the politics are visibly in flux. Chuck flags that Lahn can probably be painted as too far right in a general, that having "congressman" as your first name has become a real disadvantage in 2026, and that the night was an unambiguous positive for Democrats nationally. He also walks through results elsewhere: New Jersey's seventh district will see Tom Keane (still mysteriously MIA from his own campaign) face Rebecca Bennett; South Dakota's gubernatorial race is headed to its first-ever runoff after four candidates each cleared 20%, and Deb Haaland is on track to become the first Native American woman governor in U.S. history.

    The conversation then turns to California, where Chuck warns it will be days before we have full primary results but where turnout is already on pace to exceed 2022. He cautions viewers about the inevitable early "red mirage" from the mail-vote curve, predicts Hilton has enough of a lead over Steyer that he likely survives, and argues Xavier Becerra would much rather face Hilton than Steyer in a general — though a potential scandal is looming over Becerra that could reshape the whole race. Chuck argues a Becerra-Hilton race would be a conventional Democrat-versus-Republican contest, that Steyer has spent $500 million across his last two campaigns and still has a low ceiling because he's created a genuine sense of voter exhaustion, and that the single most fascinating race in the state right now is CA-06 and Kevin Kiley. The Los Angeles mayoral picture is clarifying too: Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt appear set to advance, which Todd argues is exactly what Bass wanted — it will be far easier to turn Pratt into a Trump acolyte in a general election than to face the formidable Nithya Raman. He notes that Matt Mahan became known as "big tech's candidate" in ways that genuinely hurt him, and closes with one to watch in Montana, where independent Seth Bodner is quietly hoping the Democratic candidate eventually bows out so he can consolidate the anti-incumbent vote into a real challenge.

    Finally, Chuck presents his ToddCast Top 5 list of instances that Republicans have rebuked Donald Trump in his second term, and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:00 Tuesday was a REALLY good night for Democrats nationally

    01:30 Tom Keane still MIA, will face Rebecca Bennett in NJ-07

    04:00 Iowa results made Democratic ticket substantially stronger

    04:30 Josh Turek blew out Zach Wahls in Iowa

    05:30 Biggest upset of the night was Zach Lahn beating Randy Feenstra

    08:15 Lahn vs. Feenstra was a MAHA vs. MAGA race

    08:45 Iowa is a right leaning state, but the state’s politics are in flux

    09:45 Having a first name of “congressman” is a major disadvantage

    11:30 Rob Sand is a very strong Democratic candidate for governor in Iowa

    13:15 It’s possible Lahn can be painted as too far to the right

    14:15 Iowa will be the test of whether 2026 is a blue wave election

    15:30 Iowa was a huge positive development for team blue

    16:45 Trump endorsing Feenstra then losing will drive Trump nuts

    19:00 South Dakota governor’s race headed to runoff for first time

    20:45 Four candidates in SD gubernatorial race received 20% of vote

    23:00 Voters keep rewarding political bomb throwers

    24:00 Trump endorsed the least Trump-like candidate, voters chose the Trumpy one

    25:00 Deb Haaland on track to be the first Native American woman governor

    25:30 It will be days before we know the full results of California primaries

    27:30 California turnout will exceed turnout in 2022

    28:30 Early on there will be a red mirage in California due to early vote

    31:00 Hilton has enough of a lead over Steyer that he likely hangs on

    32:15 Becerra would rather run against Hilton than Steyer

    32:45 Steyer has created a sense of exhaustion

    33:45 A Becerra v Hilton race would be a conventional D vs. R race

    34:15 Potential scandal looms over Becerra

    35:45 Most fascinating race is CA-06 and Kevin Kiley

    38:15 It looks like Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt will move on in LA mayoral

    40:30 It will be easier for Bass to turn Pratt into a Trump acolyte than face Raman

    41:45 Steyer has a low ceiling, and has spent $500M in last two campaigns

    43:30 Matt Mahan became known as “big tech’s candidate” and that hurt him

    46:00 Independent Seth Bodner hoping Democratic candidate bows out in Montana

    54:15 Trump replacing Tulsi Gabbard with Bill Pulte for DNI

    55:15 Republicans immediately starting pushing back on Pulte as nominee

    56:45 No need for NDI. CIA has won the intel agency turf battle

    57:30 Bill Pulte makes Tulsi Gabbard look qualified for DNI role

    59:45 ToddCast Top 5 instances Republicans successfully rebuked Trump

    1:00:00 #5 The Epstein files

    1:01:30 #4 Trump’s threat to take over Greenland

    1:02:30 #3 Fed chair Jay Powell

    1:03:45 #2 Matt Gaetz nomination for AG

    1:05:45 #1 Death of Trump’s anti-weaponization slush fund

    1:11:30 Ask Chuck

    1:11:45 Thoughts on potential reforms, how realistic are they?

    1:19:00 Why do you call Democrats the party that’s held to a higher standard?

    1:22:45 Do you see Wes Moore as a top Democratic contender in ‘28?

    1:27:45 Is Mike Johnson’s speakership at risk? Would he be the minority leader?

    1:30:00 Can Keir Starmer survive as PM? Will Nigel Farage be PM?

    1:35:00 Do you think a more virtual governance model rather than in-person would work?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Jerry Demings - Can A Democrat Win Statewide In Florida? Jun 03, 2026
    Show notes

    Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings — the former Orlando police chief turned local executive who is now running for governor of Florida — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a candid conversation about the challenges of being a Democrat in modern Florida and the lessons his unusual career path (accountant, then cop, then mayor) brings to executive leadership. Demings reveals that Governor Ron DeSantis personally threatened to remove him from office over his opposition to ICE operations in Orange County, and uses that experience as the entry point to a broader discussion about what's gone wrong with American law enforcement. He argues you cannot solve police shortages by lowering recruiting standards — exactly what he says ICE did when it ramped up so quickly that screening and training went out the window, with the predictable consequence that ICE has now begun poaching trained officers from state and local departments. Demings makes the case that we have to get criminals off the streets but it has to be done lawfully, that state law enforcement should not be doing immigration work, and that being elected sheriff as a partisan position creates real tensions because the actual responsibilities of the job aren't partisan at all. He pushes back on the idea that he's running to be a "performance politician" and frames his candidacy as wanting to bring competent local-government experience to a state level that he says is suffering from leaders chasing viral moments rather than delivering services.

    The conversation turns to the structural challenges facing Florida and the deeper question of why Democrats can't win statewide in a state that's growing more diverse by the year. Demings argues Florida's underpaid state legislators simply don't attract quality talent, that many longtime Florida Democrats have left the party out of pure frustration, and that the party's central task is to restore basic public belief in government's capacity to function. He's willing to give DeSantis credit for diversifying and growing Florida's economy, but argues the state needs to find efficiencies rather than continually burdening local governments with expenses it should be covering itself — and points to slashed state mental health funding as a direct driver of the violent crime he sees in his community. Demings is sharp on Florida's climate exposure, arguing the state is building in places it absolutely should not be building, and that hurricane-hardened construction standards need a major overhaul, He flags the NAACP's call for athletes to avoid schools in remapping states as the kind of extreme response that extreme government actions inevitably provoke, and warns that the politics of division are starting to genuinely threaten Florida's tourism economy — meaning the state's longtime economic engine may finally be running into the consequences of the culture wars its leaders have spent the past decade fueling.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Jerry Demings joins the Chuck ToddCast

    01:00 How did you go from accountant to police to mayor?

    02:15 Accounting background helped with managing the city budget

    03:30 How has Orlando changed since the time you were a police officer in the 80s?

    05:00 Working on police reform both locally and nationally

    06:15 Should the focus for police be better recruiting or better training?

    07:00 Lowering recruiting standards can’t be the answer to police shortages

    07:45 ICE was forced to ramp up so fast they didn’t screen or train recruits properly

    09:15 We have to get criminals off the street, but it has be done lawfully

    10:00 What were the unintended consequences of ICE’s questionable recruitment?

    11:15 ICE began poaching state and local police officers

    13:15 Should county sheriff be an elected position?

    14:30 Political considerations do enter the equation when you’re elected

    16:00 Size of jurisdiction does matter when it comes to appointed vs. elected

    17:00 Sheriff is elected as a partisan position, but the responsibilities aren’t partisan

    18:00 Why did you want to run for governor?

    20:30 Want to take experience at local level government to a larger level

    21:15 Ron DeSantis threatened to remove him over opposition to ICE

    24:00 How would you work with the Republican dominated legislature?

    26:00 Republicans have a large voter registration advantage in Florida

    27:15 Not interested in being a performance politician

    28:30 Why have Democrats been unable to elect a governor in Florida?

    29:00 Florida’s legislators are underpaid, don’t attract quality talent

    30:45 Many Florida Democrats left the party due to their frustration

    32:30 Democrats need to restore belief in government

    34:00 What has Ron DeSantis done right? Diversified & grown the economy

    36:15 Does Florida need more tax revenue and how do you acquire it?

    38:00 Government should always look to find inefficiencies & fix them

    39:00 The state keeps burdening local governments with expenses

    40:30 State has slashed funding for mental health, leading to violent crime

    43:30 There is a lot of fraudulent claims made in Florida, state bad at investigating

    44:30 State law enforcement shouldn’t be doing immigration enforcement

    45:15 Florida is building in places they shouldn’t be, not factoring climate change

    46:15 Florida should be hardening their building and infrastructure

    47:30 Should Florida ban manufactured housing?

    48:45 Florida needs housing construction standards that make sense

    50:00 NAACP calling on athletes to not attend schools in remapping states

    51:00 Extreme actions by the government elicit extreme responses

    53:00 Tourism in Florida is being threatened by politics

    55:15 Politics is dividing people by racial lines

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Mayor Yemi Mobolade - The Independent Mayor Making The Case For Post-Partisan Politics Jun 01, 2026
    Show notes

    Colorado Springs Mayor Yemi Mobolade — the independent who won a culturally conservative city by running as a true centrist who refuses to be boxed into either party — joins the Chuck Toddcast to make the case that quality-of-life governance still beats partisanship when voters are actually given the chance to choose it. Mobolade, who adapted his governing principles from Abraham Lincoln, argues that there's a genuine and growing appetite for leadership that isn't red or blue — but warns that working for unity is incredibly hard and tiring work that few politicians want to do anymore. He walks through Colorado Springs' fight to retain Space Command after Trump and Biden moved the headquarters back and forth between Colorado Springs and Huntsville, Alabama, and explains why he ultimately chose not to sue over the relocation (the decision was within the president's purview, and burning that bridge would have cost the city more than it gained). Mobolade describes hiring his own mayoral opponent Wayne Williams after the campaign — a move he calls part of his "radical collaboration" approach — and argues that mayors don't have the luxury of partisan posturing because their job is fundamentally about producing deliverables for actual residents who want safer streets, better services, and a higher quality of life.

    The conversation moves into the practical challenges facing every American mayor in 2026, with data centers emerging as the political pain point in nearly every community across the country. Mobolade describes calling an emergency meeting to develop a data center strategy for Colorado Springs, walks through the balanced-but-responsible-growth framework his team has settled on, and explains the tradeoffs honestly: residents are worried about quality-of-life impacts, but the tax revenue from data centers is exactly what cities need to fund essential services. Larger data centers in his city are now forced to pay impact fees to offset their costs, some are being placed on military bases for security purposes, and Mobolade is candid with residents that they cannot have the services they demand without the revenue base to pay for them. The conversation turns to Colorado Springs' housing shortage — the city has been named one of the best places for young people, but only if young people can actually afford to live there — and Mobolade discusses his work with HUD to expand supply, his belief that the country needs genuine innovation in finding cheaper ways to build, and his frustration with a Colorado political landscape that he says no longer has room for center-left and center-right voices the way it used to. His closing argument is the one that ties the whole episode together: the country needs more independent leadership, not because partisanship is bad in theory, but because the current version of it is incapable of delivering the basics that voters actually care about.

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Mayor Yemi Mobolade joins the Chuck ToddCast

    01:30 The people care more about quality of life than partisanship

    02:45 Adapted governing principles from Abraham Lincoln

    03:45 Colorado Springs is culturally conservative, yet elected an independent

    05:30 Ran as a true centrist, hard to box in his politics

    06:45 There’s an appetite for leadership that isn’t red or blue

    7:30 Trump & Biden moved space command back and forth from Co. Springs

    08:45 The city fought hard to keep space command

    09:30 Worked with the mayor of Huntsville to ensure smooth transition

    10:30 Why did you decide not to sue over relocation of space command?

    11:15 The decision was within the president’s purview

    12:30 The city is safer now than when he took office

    13:45 A mayor’s job is to produce deliverables for the people

    15:45 There’s a lack of competition of ideas in Colorado politics

    16:45 Have a good relationship with the governor and statehouse

    17:30 People get too stuck in their partisan lanes

    18:00 Working for unity is incredibly hard and tiring

    20:15 There used to be room for center-left and center-right in Colorado

    21:15 Hired his mayoral opponent Wayne Williams

    21:45 Wayne ran a more traditional campaign, Yemi ran on different leadership

    23:00 The goal was radical collaboration and the community embraced it

    23:45 Data centers are a political pain point of every local community

    24:30 Called an emergency meeting to discuss data center strategy

    25:15 The sweet spot of data center policy is balanced but responsible growth

    26:00 Residents are worried data centers will lower their quality of life

    27:30 Data centers being placed on military bases for security

    29:30 Larger data centers are forced to pay a fee to offset impact

    33:00 Data centers bring in much needed tax dollars

    34:00 The city budget needs the revenue to provide essential services

    34:30 Residents want services but no data centers… can’t have it both ways

    36:30 Colorado Springs also struggling with a housing shortage

    38:30 Working with HUD to try to increase housing supply

    39:15 Colorado Springs named one of the best cities for young people

    40:45 Need innovation in housing construction, find cheaper ways to build

    42:30 The country needs more independent leadership

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Chuck’s Commentary - Character Is Destiny In Politics + Iran Has Turned Into A Costly Stalemate Jun 01, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with the latest from the Iran war's increasingly costly stalemate, arguing Trump doesn't actually want a deal — he wants the ability to declare an accomplishment without ever looking like he capitulated, the same trick he ran with NAFTA and the JCPOA where he ripped up agreements only to sign nearly identical ones under new names. June, Chuck warns, is when the energy shock will start showing up in domestic prices, every day Hormuz stays closed exponentially increases the damage, consumers may begin behaving irrationally and hoarding, and a single bad natural disaster on top of all this could trigger a genuine crisis. But the heart of the episode is Chuck’s meditation on a single phrase: character is destiny in politics. It's not whether character flaws exist — everyone has them — but when those flaws become public and start affecting the people you were elected to serve. Trump's character problems were on display long before he ever became president, but his defenders now include the exact same Rubios and Grahams who used to blast him as morally unfit. And the most uncomfortable part of Chuck argument for the Democratic base: the same progressives who mocked Trump supporters for excusing his behavior are now using essentially identical defenses for Maine's Graham Platner — who has been accused of sexting in 2023, behavior that isn't youthful indiscretion and isn't going away.

    Chuck argues political parties used to function as imperfect but real vetting organizations, that once voters become emotionally invested in a candidate they will defend literally anything, that running for office sometimes becomes a substitute for therapy rather than a vehicle for service, and that democracy itself depends on elected officials being able to separate their personal motivations from their public obligations — something Biden failed at when his family obligations led to those preemptive pardons. He notes the Bidens were genuinely beloved before the election but Biden's ambition did real harm to his party, his family, and his own legacy. Todd points to Pope Leo as a potential moral leader Americans seem desperate for at exactly the moment when neither party seems remotely interested in finding the best possible actors. He observes that Platner vs. Collins is starting to feel like a rerun of Trump vs. Clinton in 2016 — two candidates voters genuinely don't want to choose between — and closes with quick hits on Jill Biden's forthcoming memoir, the California gubernatorial primary (where Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer could finish in the top two), and the increasingly strange Los Angeles mayoral race in which Karen Bass appears to be deliberately ignoring Spencer Pratt because she would much rather face him in a general election than the genuinely formidable Nithya Raman.

    Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit two stories that occurred on the same day… the Tiananmen square massacre, and Poland’s first post-soviet elections. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    05:30 Iran war/ceasefire has settled into a costly stalemate

    06:45 Trump doesn’t want a deal, just ability to declare an accomplishment

    07:30 Trump doesn’t want to look like he capitulated

    08:00 Trump ripped up other deals, then got same deals with new names

    09:15 June will be when the impacts of energy shock show up domestically

    10:30 Every day Hormuz remains closed exponentially increases the damage

    11:30 Consumers may begin to behave irrationally, start hoarding

    12:30 If a natural disaster hits during energy shock, it could be major crisis

    13:45 Pulling out of WHO has exacerbated Ebola outbreak

    15:00 We can’t foresee all negative impacts, we just know they’re coming

    16:15 Character is always destiny in politics, it’s a matter of when people see it

    18:00 Everybody has their own motivation for voting, character isn’t always important

    18:45 People defending character flaws are a huge part of the problem

    20:00 Rubio & Graham used to blast Trump’s character, now defend it

    20:30 People criticizing Trump’s behavior are now defending Graham Platner’s

    22:00 People run for office for a variety of reasons, and sometimes not good ones

    23:15 Sometimes entering politics become a substitute for therapy

    24:30 Character matters because it’s predictive

    25:30 Trump’s character flaws did not stay private, they became public

    26:30 Biden ran for office when his kids were in crisis

    27:30 Biden’s family obligations competed with public ones, gave preemptive pardons

    28:15 Democracy depends on elected officials separating personal & public

    29:15 Political parties used to be vetting organizations, even if imperfect

    30:00 Once people become emotionally invested in a candidate, they defend them

    30:45 Character flaws don’t just disappear, they show up… and affect us all

    33:00 Democrats in a difficult spot having to defend Graham Platner

    33:45 Plater accused of sexting in 2023, these aren’t youthful indiscretions

    34:45 Eric Swalwell’s indiscretions were ignored until they became too much to ignore

    37:15 Platner can still win, Susan Collins has worn out her welcome

    38:00 Progressives may have put blinders on for Platner

    38:45 People who mocked support for Trump using same defenses for Platner

    40:00 At some point credibility will matter to a majority of voters

    42:30 Trump’s bad behavior has alienated 1/3rd of Republican voters

    44:30 Trump is politicizing celebrating America 250…making it hard to celebrate

    45:45 Trump’s character flaws were on display well before he became president

    46:30 The Pope may become the moral leader Americans are desperate for

    48:30 Parties don’t seem to be worried about finding the best possible actors

    49:30 Platner vs. Collins feels like a rerun of Trump vs. Clinton in 2016

    51:15 Jill Biden to release new memoir - Bidens seem insulated from public opinion

    52:15 Before election, the Biden family was fairly beloved by most

    52:45 Biden’s ambition did real harm to the party, family and their legacy

    53:30 The Bidens are good people and people were willing to overlook their flaws

    54:30 Xavier Becerra & Tom Steyer could finish in Top 2 spots in CA gov primary

    56:30 Karen Bass has mostly ignored Spencer Pratt in LA mayoral race

    57:00 Bass wants to face Pratt rather than Nithya Raman

    1:05:00 ToddCast Time Machine - June 4th, 1989 - Tiananmen Square massacre

    1:05:30 The image of a man standing in front of a tank is iconic

    1:06:30 On the same day, Polish citizens were casting ballots in a post soviet election

    1:07:00 One communist system responded with elections, another responded with force

    1:08:00 The Chinese students protesting were easy to empathize with

    1:08:45 At the time it felt like freedom was advancing and communism was retreating

    1:09:45 The elections in Poland humiliated the communist government

    1:10:30 Chinese leaders closely watched events in Europe

    1:11:15 Protest movement in China was one of the largest in their history

    1:12:45 Chinese government cracked down on reformers and protest movement

    1:13:30 Martial law was declared and troops moved into Beijing

    1:14:15 We don’t have an accounting of the total death toll of protestors

    1:14:45 The image we all remember is “tank man”

    1:15:15 The incorrect assumption was that China’s middle class would demand rights

    1:16:30 China proved that their model could survive and remain durable

    1:18:30 Tiananmen ultimately was the birth of the current bipolar world

    1:19:30 Poland chose the ballot box, China chose the tank

    1:20:00 Ask Chuck

    1:20:15 Would you ever consider running for president? Colbert as a running mate?

    1:23:30 Do you think Paxton heads into the general overconfident?

    1:30:15 Could the “Wyoming Rule” be a more realistic step than expanding house?

    1:33:15 Any lesser known founding fathers that deserve more credit?

    1:38:15 Thoughts on the Catholic church as a source of moral authority?

    1:42:15 Any advice for people needing to step back from news while staying informed?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Full Episode - Character Is Destiny In Politics + The Independent Mayor Making The Case For Post-Partisan Politics Jun 01, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with the latest from the Iran war's increasingly costly stalemate, arguing Trump doesn't actually want a deal — he wants the ability to declare an accomplishment without ever looking like he capitulated, the same trick he ran with NAFTA and the JCPOA where he ripped up agreements only to sign nearly identical ones under new names. June, Chuck warns, is when the energy shock will start showing up in domestic prices, every day Hormuz stays closed exponentially increases the damage, consumers may begin behaving irrationally and hoarding, and a single bad natural disaster on top of all this could trigger a genuine crisis. But the heart of the episode is Chuck’s meditation on a single phrase: character is destiny in politics. It's not whether character flaws exist — everyone has them — but when those flaws become public and start affecting the people you were elected to serve. Trump's character problems were on display long before he ever became president, but his defenders now include the exact same Rubios and Grahams who used to blast him as morally unfit. And the most uncomfortable part of Chuck argument for the Democratic base: the same progressives who mocked Trump supporters for excusing his behavior are now using essentially identical defenses for Maine's Graham Platner — who has been accused of sexting in 2023, behavior that isn't youthful indiscretion and isn't going away.

    Chuck argues political parties used to function as imperfect but real vetting organizations, that once voters become emotionally invested in a candidate they will defend literally anything, that running for office sometimes becomes a substitute for therapy rather than a vehicle for service, and that democracy itself depends on elected officials being able to separate their personal motivations from their public obligations — something Biden failed at when his family obligations led to those preemptive pardons. He notes the Bidens were genuinely beloved before the election but Biden's ambition did real harm to his party, his family, and his own legacy. Todd points to Pope Leo as a potential moral leader Americans seem desperate for at exactly the moment when neither party seems remotely interested in finding the best possible actors. He observes that Platner vs. Collins is starting to feel like a rerun of Trump vs. Clinton in 2016 — two candidates voters genuinely don't want to choose between — and closes with quick hits on Jill Biden's forthcoming memoir, the California gubernatorial primary (where Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer could finish in the top two), and the increasingly strange Los Angeles mayoral race in which Karen Bass appears to be deliberately ignoring Spencer Pratt because she would much rather face him in a general election than the genuinely formidable Nithya Raman.

    Then, Colorado Springs Mayor Yemi Mobolade — the independent who won a culturally conservative city by running as a true centrist who refuses to be boxed into either party — joins the Chuck Toddcast to make the case that quality-of-life governance still beats partisanship when voters are actually given the chance to choose it. Mobolade, who adapted his governing principles from Abraham Lincoln, argues that there's a genuine and growing appetite for leadership that isn't red or blue — but warns that working for unity is incredibly hard and tiring work that few politicians want to do anymore. He walks through Colorado Springs' fight to retain Space Command after Trump and Biden moved the headquarters back and forth between Colorado Springs and Huntsville, Alabama, and explains why he ultimately chose not to sue over the relocation (the decision was within the president's purview, and burning that bridge would have cost the city more than it gained). Mobolade describes hiring his own mayoral opponent Wayne Williams after the campaign — a move he calls part of his "radical collaboration" approach — and argues that mayors don't have the luxury of partisan posturing because their job is fundamentally about producing deliverables for actual residents who want safer streets, better services, and a higher quality of life.

    The conversation moves into the practical challenges facing every American mayor in 2026, with data centers emerging as the political pain point in nearly every community across the country. Mobolade describes calling an emergency meeting to develop a data center strategy for Colorado Springs, walks through the balanced-but-responsible-growth framework his team has settled on, and explains the tradeoffs honestly: residents are worried about quality-of-life impacts, but the tax revenue from data centers is exactly what cities need to fund essential services. Larger data centers in his city are now forced to pay impact fees to offset their costs, some are being placed on military bases for security purposes, and Mobolade is candid with residents that they cannot have the services they demand without the revenue base to pay for them. The conversation turns to Colorado Springs' housing shortage — the city has been named one of the best places for young people, but only if young people can actually afford to live there — and Mobolade discusses his work with HUD to expand supply, his belief that the country needs genuine innovation in finding cheaper ways to build, and his frustration with a Colorado political landscape that he says no longer has room for center-left and center-right voices the way it used to. His closing argument is the one that ties the whole episode together: the country needs more independent leadership, not because partisanship is bad in theory, but because the current version of it is incapable of delivering the basics that voters actually care about.

    Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit two stories that occurred on the same day… the Tiananmen square massacre, and Poland’s first post-soviet elections. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    05:30 Iran war/ceasefire has settled into a costly stalemate

    06:45 Trump doesn’t want a deal, just ability to declare an accomplishment

    07:30 Trump doesn’t want to look like he capitulated

    08:00 Trump ripped up other deals, then got same deals with new names

    09:15 June will be when the impacts of energy shock show up domestically

    10:30 Every day Hormuz remains closed exponentially increases the damage

    11:30 Consumers may begin to behave irrationally, start hoarding

    12:30 If a natural disaster hits during energy shock, it could be major crisis

    13:45 Pulling out of WHO has exacerbated Ebola outbreak

    15:00 We can’t foresee all negative impacts, we just know they’re coming

    16:15 Character is always destiny in politics, it’s a matter of when people see it

    18:00 Everybody has their own motivation for voting, character isn’t always important

    18:45 People defending character flaws are a huge part of the problem

    20:00 Rubio & Graham used to blast Trump’s character, now defend it

    20:30 People criticizing Trump’s behavior are now defending Graham Platner’s

    22:00 People run for office for a variety of reasons, and sometimes not good ones

    23:15 Sometimes entering politics become a substitute for therapy

    24:30 Character matters because it’s predictive

    25:30 Trump’s character flaws did not stay private, they became public

    26:30 Biden ran for office when his kids were in crisis

    27:30 Biden’s family obligations competed with public ones, gave preemptive pardons

    28:15 Democracy depends on elected officials separating personal & public

    29:15 Political parties used to be vetting organizations, even if imperfect

    30:00 Once people become emotionally invested in a candidate, they defend them

    30:45 Character flaws don’t just disappear, they show up… and affect us all

    33:00 Democrats in a difficult spot having to defend Graham Platner

    33:45 Plater accused of sexting in 2023, these aren’t youthful indiscretions

    34:45 Eric Swalwell’s indiscretions were ignored until they became too much to ignore

    37:15 Platner can still win, Susan Collins has worn out her welcome

    38:00 Progressives may have put blinders on for Platner

    38:45 People who mocked support for Trump using same defenses for Platner

    40:00 At some point credibility will matter to a majority of voters

    42:30 Trump’s bad behavior has alienated 1/3rd of Republican voters

    44:30 Trump is politicizing celebrating America 250…making it hard to celebrate

    45:45 Trump’s character flaws were on display well before he became president

    46:30 The Pope may become the moral leader Americans are desperate for

    48:30 Parties don’t seem to be worried about finding the best possible actors

    49:30 Platner vs. Collins feels like a rerun of Trump vs. Clinton in 2016

    51:15 Jill Biden to release new memoir - Bidens seem insulated from public opinion

    52:15 Before election, the Biden family was fairly beloved by most

    52:45 Biden’s ambition did real harm to the party, family and their legacy

    53:30 The Bidens are good people and people were willing to overlook their flaws

    54:30 Xavier Becerra & Tom Steyer could finish in Top 2 spots in CA gov primary

    56:30 Karen Bass has mostly ignored Spencer Pratt in LA mayoral race

    57:00 Bass wants to face Pratt rather than Nithya Raman

    1:07:00 Mayor Yemi Mobolade joins the Chuck ToddCast

    1:08:30 The people care more about quality of life than partisanship

    1:09:45 Adapted governing principles from Abraham Lincoln

    1:10:45 Colorado Springs is culturally conservative, yet elected an independent

    1:12:30 Ran as a true centrist, hard to box in his politics

    1:13:45 There’s an appetite for leadership that isn’t red or blue

    1:14:30 Trump & Biden moved space command back and forth from Co. Springs

    1:15:45 The city fought hard to keep space command

    1:16:30 Worked with the mayor of Huntsville to ensure smooth transition

    1:17:30 Why did you decide not to sue over relocation of space command?

    1:18:15 The decision was within the president’s purview

    1:19:30 The city is safer now than when he took office

    1:20:45 A mayor’s job is to produce deliverables for the people

    1:22:45 There’s a lack of competition of ideas in Colorado politics

    1:23:45 Have a good relationship with the governor and statehouse

    1:24:30 People get too stuck in their partisan lanes

    1:25:00 Working for unity is incredibly hard and tiring

    1:27:15 There used to be room for center-left and center-right in Colorado

    1:28:15 Hired his mayoral opponent Wayne Williams

    1:28:45 Wayne ran a more traditional campaign, Yemi ran on different leadership

    1:30:00 The goal was radical collaboration and the community embraced it

    1:30:45 Data centers are a political pain point of every local community

    1:31:30 Called an emergency meeting to discuss data center strategy

    1:32:15 The sweet spot of data center policy is balanced but responsible growth

    1:33:00 Residents are worried data centers will lower their quality of life

    1:34:30 Data centers being placed on military bases for security

    1:36:30 Larger data centers are forced to pay a fee to offset impact

    1:40:00 Data centers bring in much needed tax dollars

    1:41:00 The city budget needs the revenue to provide essential services

    1:41:30 Residents want services but no data centers… can’t have it both ways

    1:43:30 Colorado Springs also struggling with a housing shortage

    1:45:30 Working with HUD to try to increase housing supply

    1:46:15 Colorado Springs named one of the best cities for young people

    1:47:45 Need innovation in housing construction, find cheaper ways to build

    1:49:30 The country needs more independent leadership

    1:50:30 ToddCast Time Machine - June 4th, 1989 - Tiananmen Square massacre

    1:51:00 The image of a man standing in front of a tank is iconic

    1:52:00 On the same day, Polish citizens were casting ballots in a post soviet election

    1:52:30 One communist system responded with elections, another responded with force

    1:53:30 The Chinese students protesting were easy to empathize with

    1:54:15 At the time it felt like freedom was advancing and communism was retreating

    1:55:15 The elections in Poland humiliated the communist government

    1:56:00 Chinese leaders closely watched events in Europe

    1:56:45 Protest movement in China was one of the largest in their history

    1:58:15 Chinese government cracked down on reformers and protest movement

    1:59:00 Martial law was declared and troops moved into Beijing

    1:59:45 We don’t have an accounting of the total death toll of protestors

    2:00:15 The image we all remember is “tank man”

    2:00:45 The incorrect assumption was that China’s middle class would demand rights

    2:02:00 China proved that their model could survive and remain durable

    2:04:00 Tiananmen ultimately was the birth of the current bipolar world

    2:05:00 Poland chose the ballot box, China chose the tank

    2:05:30 Ask Chuck

    2:05:45 Would you ever consider running for president? Colbert as a running mate?

    2:09:00 Do you think Paxton heads into the general overconfident?

    2:15:45 Could the “Wyoming Rule” be a more realistic step than expanding house?

    2:18:45 Any lesser known founding fathers that deserve more credit?

    2:23:45 Thoughts on the Catholic church as a source of moral authority?

    2:27:45 Any advice for people needing to step back from news while staying informed?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Chuck’s Commentary - Why The Sun Belt Could Realign American Politics + Dems Have A Path To The Majority… If They’re Willing To Take It May 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd uses the fallout from the Texas runoff to identify a much bigger pattern emerging across the Sun Belt — and argues we may be watching a generational realignment of American politics in real time. For decades, Southern states moved steadily from blue to red, with the Sun Belt providing the demographic engine of every Republican majority and Democrats traditionally finding their path to power through the upper Midwest. But Trump's GOP has now moved so far right that it's quietly opening the door for Democrats across the South — the blue shift we've seen in Georgia over the past decade is starting to happen in Texas, and the Trump brand has badly complicated things for the centrist voters who used to keep these states reliably Republican. Chuck argues that successful Southern Republican governors of the past spent enormous energy doing coalition management — keeping their activist wing at bay while delivering for swing voters — but Republicans misread their recent electoral dominance and started catering exclusively to their base instead.The data is clear: election deniers consistently lose in Georgia, and when every single issue becomes a loyalty test, you bleed exactly the kind of voters you need to actually win.

    But Chuck’s larger argument is that Democrats are blowing the opportunity. He argues the Democratic path back to power is genuinely simple — economic inequality and the concentration of corporate power are causing virtually all of America's ills, and there's a coherent coalition waiting to be built around those issues — but progressives behave like they've already won the intellectual argument and refuse to do the actual work of persuasion. There's no "pure" way to win, Chuck says: winning coalitions are inherently messy, both party bases want movement politics, but the actual electorate consistently rewards coalition politics. Americans increasingly dislike both parties for very different reasons — moderate voters think Democrats are weak and Republicans are too extreme — and what they're actually hungry for is a coalition that is stable and visibly capable of governing.

    Finally, he answers listeners' questions in the "Ask Chuck" segment.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    0:15 Fallout from Texas runoff - We’re seeing a pattern in the Sun Belt

    1:00 For decades, southern states have been transitioning from blue to red

    2:00 Sun belt states have powered the Republican majority

    3:15 Democrats path to power used to be the midwest, now is moving south

    4:00 Republicans move to the right has created Dem opportunities in Sun Belt

    5:30 The shift to blue we’ve seen in Georgia is starting to happen in Texas

    6:30 The Trump brand has complicated things for centrist voters in the south

    7:15 Will Ken Paxton be the Mark Robinson of Texas?

    8:15 Southern governors were able to keep their activist wing at bay

    9:45 GOP leaders in the south had to perform coalition management

    11:00 Republicans misunderstood election dominance, then catered to base

    12:00 Florida GOP has purged most of its institutional wing

    13:15 Loudest activists have set the tone for the Republican party

    14:00 Arizona GOP went way too far to the right, less competitive now

    16:00 Election deniers have consistently lost in Georgia

    17:00 When every issue becomes a loyalty test, you bleed voters

    18:15 Texas election will test if the Texas GOP went too far right

    20:15 Dems path to power is simple, but have to be willing to take it

    22:00 Economic inequality & concentration of power are causing all of our ills

    22:30 Progressives behave like they’ve won the intellectual argument

    23:15 It’s hard to convince most dedicated supporters what the winning path is

    24:15 Republicans are losing due to Trump’s purging of the party

    26:30 There’s no “pure” way to win, winning coalitions are messy

    27:45 Both bases want movement politics, electorate rewards coalition politics

    29:15 Americans increasingly dislike both parties for different reasons

    31:15 Base Democrats are taking the wrong lessons from Trump

    32:00 Moderate voters think Dems are weak, and GOP is too extreme

    33:15 Voters want a coalition that’s stable and capable of governing

    35:30 Biden governed differently than he campaign and voters punished him

    41:30 Ask Chuck

    41:45 Taking the high road in politics doesn’t always work, worth the trade off?

    47:15 How do you see election results in 2026 shaping the gerrymandering fight?

    50:15 Are presidential approval polls too limited or not comprehensive enough?

    54:30 Do you see a path forward for people who believe in healing our politics?

    1:01:15 Would it make sense to draw districts without humans involved using metrics?

    1:08:45 Is expanding the house realistic considering politics & public perception?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Elliot Ackerman & James Stavridis - Imagining the Worst to Prevent It From Happening May 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Novelist Elliot Ackerman and retired Admiral James Stavridis — the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander — join the Chuck Toddcast to discuss their new novel 2084 and to deliver some deeply uncomfortable warnings about where war, technology, and great-power competition are actually headed. The duo, whose previous collaboration 2034 imagined a U.S.-China war, are quick to clarify that their work isn't predictive fiction — it's cautionary fiction, written from the conviction that major disasters almost always stem from a failure of imagination, and that the only way to prevent the worst-case scenarios is to seriously imagine them first. Ackerman and Stavridis argue that war has fundamentally changed, that superpowers are now uniquely vulnerable to asymmetric warfare, and that victors are made or unmade by their willingness to adapt to new technologies — pointing to the Ukraine war as a real-time revolution in drone combat and AI-driven battlefield decision-making. They raise the hardest moral question facing modern militaries: do you always need a human in the loop of the kill chain, and if not, who is morally responsible when something goes wrong? Different countries are answering that question in different ways, with profoundly different ethical and strategic consequences.

    The conversation broadens into the deeper structural concerns animating 2084. Ackerman and Stavridis warn that one of the gravest threats to the international order is the rise of corporations whose power is beginning to rival that of nation-states — and they argue the defining feature of a nation-state has always been its monopoly on violence, meaning governments will eventually be forced to ensure corporations can't apply violence at scale (a fight that has already begun in subtle ways). They flag Trump's recent summit with Xi Jinping as a massive win for China, with Xi clearly presenting himself as the senior partner while Trump walked away with very little — and the meeting was particularly catastrophic for Taiwan, whose strategic standing has now been visibly weakened. The authors discuss whether democracy will remain the defining feature of America going forward, whether the country can overcome its current internal divisions, and how human patterns of warfare repeat themselves across centuries even as the technology evolves. They make the case that the 1983 film War Games was prescient and overdue for a reboot, that military action against Cuba would be nothing like Venezuela — politically much tougher given the engaged Cuban-American community in Florida, and economically far more expensive on the reconstruction side — and that Venezuela itself has the natural resources to one day become "the Dubai of the Caribbean" if its politics ever stabilize. Their bottom-line warning is the one most worth sitting with: the war between the United States and China is the one we all hope to avoid, and the only way to make sure it never happens is to take seriously the possibility that it could.

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Elliot Ackerman & Admiral James Stavridis join the Chuck ToddCast

    01:00 2084 is not predictive fiction, it’s cautionary fiction

    02:00 Major disasters come from a failure of imagination

    03:15 Planned the arc of multiple books in advance

    04:30 You can’t be too dystopian or too pollyannish

    05:30 War has changed and superpowers are vulnerable to asymmetric war

    06:15 Victors are made by adapting to new technologies

    06:45 Ukraine war has revolutionized fighting with drones and AI

    07:30 War is terrible and drones risk “gamifying” it

    09:00 Questions surround whether humans must be involved in “kill chain”

    10:45 Always having a human in the loop may not always be best option

    11:45 AI tools have moral questions that countries answer differently

    13:00 The risk of corporations being more powerful than nation states

    14:15 Nation states will ensure that corporations can’t apply violence at scale

    15:15 Defining feature of a nation state is a monopoly on violence

    18:00 Book predicts that Greenland will be growing wine due to climate change

    18:30 War between U.S. and China is the one we all hope to avoid

    19:00 Trump’s summit with Xi was a massive with for Xi and China

    19:30 Xi seemed like the senior partner, Trump got very little\

    20:15 The summit was terrible for Taiwan

    21:30 2034 started with the thesis of the U.S. and China going to war

    23:45 Will democracy remain the defining feature of America?

    24:15 Can America overcome the big divisions in the nation?

    25:45 War is something humans have engaged in & you can see patterns emerge

    28:00 Other war books served as cautionary fiction & inspiration for the book

    30:15 The movie “War Games” needs a reboot, it was prescient

    31:30 Military action against Cuba won’t be like Venezuela, will be much tougher

    32:30 The Cuban American community in Florida would be very engaged

    33:45 Venezuela has the resources to be Dubai on the Caribbean

    34:15 Reconstruction of Cuba would be wildly expensive

    35:00 What is your next project?

    35:30 Don’t need to read the earlier books to read 2084, they stand on their own

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Full Episode - Why The Sun Belt Could Realign American Politics + Imagining the Worst to Prevent It From Happening May 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd uses the fallout from the Texas runoff to identify a much bigger pattern emerging across the Sun Belt — and argues we may be watching a generational realignment of American politics in real time. For decades, Southern states moved steadily from blue to red, with the Sun Belt providing the demographic engine of every Republican majority and Democrats traditionally finding their path to power through the upper Midwest. But Trump's GOP has now moved so far right that it's quietly opening the door for Democrats across the South — the blue shift we've seen in Georgia over the past decade is starting to happen in Texas, and the Trump brand has badly complicated things for the centrist voters who used to keep these states reliably Republican. Chuck argues that successful Southern Republican governors of the past spent enormous energy doing coalition management — keeping their activist wing at bay while delivering for swing voters — but Republicans misread their recent electoral dominance and started catering exclusively to their base instead.The data is clear: election deniers consistently lose in Georgia, and when every single issue becomes a loyalty test, you bleed exactly the kind of voters you need to actually win.

    But Chuck’s larger argument is that Democrats are blowing the opportunity. He argues the Democratic path back to power is genuinely simple — economic inequality and the concentration of corporate power are causing virtually all of America's ills, and there's a coherent coalition waiting to be built around those issues — but progressives behave like they've already won the intellectual argument and refuse to do the actual work of persuasion. There's no "pure" way to win, Chuck says: winning coalitions are inherently messy, both party bases want movement politics, but the actual electorate consistently rewards coalition politics. Americans increasingly dislike both parties for very different reasons — moderate voters think Democrats are weak and Republicans are too extreme — and what they're actually hungry for is a coalition that is stable and visibly capable of governing.

    Then, novelist Elliot Ackerman and retired Admiral James Stavridis — the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander — join the Chuck Toddcast to discuss their new novel 2084 and to deliver some deeply uncomfortable warnings about where war, technology, and great-power competition are actually headed. The duo, whose previous collaboration 2034 imagined a U.S.-China war, are quick to clarify that their work isn't predictive fiction — it's cautionary fiction, written from the conviction that major disasters almost always stem from a failure of imagination, and that the only way to prevent the worst-case scenarios is to seriously imagine them first. Ackerman and Stavridis argue that war has fundamentally changed, that superpowers are now uniquely vulnerable to asymmetric warfare, and that victors are made or unmade by their willingness to adapt to new technologies — pointing to the Ukraine war as a real-time revolution in drone combat and AI-driven battlefield decision-making. They raise the hardest moral question facing modern militaries: do you always need a human in the loop of the kill chain, and if not, who is morally responsible when something goes wrong? Different countries are answering that question in different ways, with profoundly different ethical and strategic consequences.

    The conversation broadens into the deeper structural concerns animating 2084. Ackerman and Stavridis warn that one of the gravest threats to the international order is the rise of corporations whose power is beginning to rival that of nation-states — and they argue the defining feature of a nation-state has always been its monopoly on violence, meaning governments will eventually be forced to ensure corporations can't apply violence at scale (a fight that has already begun in subtle ways). They flag Trump's recent summit with Xi Jinping as a massive win for China, with Xi clearly presenting himself as the senior partner while Trump walked away with very little — and the meeting was particularly catastrophic for Taiwan, whose strategic standing has now been visibly weakened. The authors discuss whether democracy will remain the defining feature of America going forward, whether the country can overcome its current internal divisions, and how human patterns of warfare repeat themselves across centuries even as the technology evolves. They make the case that the 1983 film War Games was prescient and overdue for a reboot, that military action against Cuba would be nothing like Venezuela — politically much tougher given the engaged Cuban-American community in Florida, and economically far more expensive on the reconstruction side — and that Venezuela itself has the natural resources to one day become "the Dubai of the Caribbean" if its politics ever stabilize. Their bottom-line warning is the one most worth sitting with: the war between the United States and China is the one we all hope to avoid, and the only way to make sure it never happens is to take seriously the possibility that it could.

    Finally, he answers listeners' questions in the "Ask Chuck" segment.

    Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    03:00 Fallout from Texas runoff - We’re seeing a pattern in the Sun Belt

    03:45 For decades,southern states have been transitioning from blue to red

    04:45 Sun belt states have powered the Republican majority

    06:00 Democrats path to power used to be the midwest, now is moving south

    06:45 Republicans move to the right has created Dem opportunities in Sun Belt

    08:15 The shift to blue we’ve seen in Georgia is starting to happen in Texas

    09:15 The Trump brand has complicated things for centrist voters in the south

    10:00 Will Ken Paxton be the Mark Robinson of Texas?

    11:00 Southern governors were able to keep their activist wing at bay

    12:30 GOP leaders in the south had to perform coalition management

    13:45 Republicans misunderstood election dominance, then catered to base

    14:45 Florida GOP has purged most of its institutional wing

    16:00 Loudest activists have set the tone for the Republican party

    16:45 Arizona GOP went way too far to the right, less competitive now

    18:45 Election deniers have consistently lost in Georgia

    19:45 When every issue becomes a loyalty test, you bleed voters

    21:00 Texas election will test if the Texas GOP went too far right

    23:00 Dems path to power is simple, but have to be willing to take it

    24:45 Economic inequality & concentration of power are causing all of our ills

    25:15 Progressives behave like they’ve won the intellectual argument

    26:00 It’s hard to convince most dedicated supporters what the winning path is

    27:00 Republicans are losing due to Trump’s purging of the party

    29:15 There’s no “pure” way to win, winning coalitions are messy

    30:30 Both bases want movement politics, electorate rewards coalition politics

    32:00 Americans increasingly dislike both parties for different reasons

    34:00 Base Democrats are taking the wrong lessons from Trump

    34:45 Moderate voters think Dems are weak, and GOP is too extreme

    36:00 Voters want a coalition that’s stable and capable of governing

    38:15 Biden governed differently than he campaign and voters punished him

    44:30 Elliot Ackerman & Admiral James Stavridis join the Chuck ToddCast

    45:30 2084 is not predictive fiction, it’s cautionary fiction

    46:30 Major disasters come from a failure of imagination

    47:45 Planned the arc of multiple books in advance

    49:00 You can’t be too dystopian or too pollyannish

    50:00 War has changed and superpowers are vulnerable to asymmetric war

    50:45 Victors are made by adapting to new technologies

    51:15 Ukraine war has revolutionized fighting with drones and AI

    52:00 War is terrible and drones risk “gamifying” it

    53:30 Questions surround whether humans must be involved in “kill chain”

    55:15 Always having a human in the loop may not always be best option

    56:15 AI tools have moral questions that countries answer differently

    57:30 The risk of corporations being more powerful than nation states

    58:45 Nation states will ensure that corporations can’t apply violence at scale

    59:45 Defining feature of a nation state is a monopoly on violence

    1:02:30 Book predicts that Greenland will be growing wine due to climate change

    1:03:00 War between U.S. and China is the one we all hope to avoid

    1:03:30 Trump’s summit with Xi was a massive with for Xi and China

    1:04:00 Xi seemed like the senior partner, Trump got very little\

    1:04:45 The summit was terrible for Taiwan

    1:06:00 2034 started with the thesis of the U.S. and China going to war

    1:08:15 Will democracy remain the defining feature of America?

    1:08:45 Can America overcome the big divisions in the nation?

    1:10:15 War is something humans have engaged in & you can see patterns emerge

    1:12:30 Other war books served as cautionary fiction & inspiration for the book

    1:14:45 The movie “War Games” needs a reboot, it was prescient

    1:16:00 Military action against Cuba won’t be like Venezuela, will be much tougher

    1:17:00 The Cuban American community in Florida would be very engaged

    1:18:15 Venezuela has the resources to be Dubai on the Caribbean

    1:18:45 Reconstruction of Cuba would be wildly expensive

    1:19:30 What is your next project?

    1:20:00 Don’t need to read the earlier books to read 2084, they stand on their own

    1:22:15 Ask Chuck

    1:22:30 Taking the high road in politics doesn’t always work, worth the trade off?

    1:28:00 How do you see election results in 2026 shaping the gerrymandering fight?

    1:31:00 Are presidential approval polls too limited or not comprehensive enough?

    1:35:15 Do you see a path forward for people who believe in healing our politics?

    1:42:00 Would it make sense to draw districts without humans involved using metrics?

    1:49:30 Is expanding the house realistic considering politics & public perception?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Virginia Kase Solomon - Tackling Trump’s Rampant Corruption & Pay To Play Politics May 27, 2026
    Show notes

    Virginia Kase Solomon — president of Common Cause, one of the country's oldest and most respected pro-democracy organizations — joins the Chuck Toddcast to deliver a clear-eyed assessment of just how broken American self-government has become, and what it might actually take to fix it. Kase Solomon argues that Trump's corruption has gone so far beyond anything in modern history that it makes Watergate look quaint by comparison — she points to Trump stealing roughly $1.8 billion from American taxpayers as a single staggering example — but warns that the most dangerous development isn't the corruption itself, it's that young voters are growing up normalized to it, with no living memory of an administration where this kind of behavior carried consequences. She makes a striking comparison to Hungary, where it took genuinely staggering levels of corruption before Orbán could be toppled, and where the opposition only succeeded once it tied that corruption directly to degrading quality of life for ordinary people — a lesson she says American Democrats badly need to learn. They note that there are real bipartisan calls to address money in politics, that a congressional stock trading ban enjoys overwhelming public support, that Amy Klobuchar's Disclose Act keeps getting reintroduced and ignored, and that forced disclosure of large-dollar donors alone would significantly reduce political giving — but the country is on a runaway train, with big tech money flowing to whoever holds power and Trump openly running the country like a corporation.

    The conversation broadens into Kase Solomon's structural diagnosis of why American democracy isn't working. She argues that the way the founders designed the country no longer functions in the modern era — but that the founders also gave us the tools to fix what's broken if we choose to use them. Congress is too small to genuinely represent the public, the Senate is horribly malapportioned, the Supreme Court has offered no real solution to the gerrymandering crisis, and we've completely lost the "statesmen" in Congress who once voted their conscience because there's no longer any incentive to compromise or work across the aisle. She is deeply concerned about the regulatory vacuum around AI — deepfakes have terrifying implications for elections and civil litigation is currently the only meaningful path to push back — and she warns that the election of judges has corrupted the rule of law in ways America needs a movement to address. Despite all of this, she is genuinely hopeful: Common Cause is litigating against the corruption, organizing a million conversations between activists and ordinary Americans, and operating from the conviction that the public isn't stupid and still loves this country. Her closing argument is the most American one possible: the United States has always emerged from its darkest periods better than it went in — but only because people refused to accept the broken system as permanent, and that work has to start now.

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Virginia Kase Solomon (Common Cause) joins the Chuck ToddCast

    01:30 Common Cause works to hold the government accountable to the people

    02:30 Corporate lobbies have disproportionate power compared to people

    03:15 Many people threw their hands up after Citizen’s United

    04:30 States are working to change campaign finance rules

    06:15 States can ban companies in their state from making political donations

    08:00 Rules changes but money always seems to find a way around them

    10:00 Parties stopped becoming the epicenter of political donations

    11:30 There are bipartisan calls to do something about money in politics

    13:00 More GOP support for reform at the state level than national level

    13:45 We’re on a runaway train for money in politics

    14:30 Big tech money goes to whoever is in power

    15:00 The country is being run like a corporation

    15:45 Jamie Raskin has started an anti-corruption task force

    16:15 A congressional stock trading ban has massive public support

    17:15 Trump is obviously corrupt, but people fear him too much to act

    18:30 Forced disclosure of large dollar donors would reduce donations

    19:30 Amy Klobuchar has put forward the Disclose Act in almost every congress

    22:00 The Trump administration’s corruption is beyond egregious

    22:45 Trump stealing $1.8 billion from taxpayers, makes Watergate look quaint

    24:15 Young voters have grown up being normalized to this corruption

    24:45 There will be a backlash to the corruption at some point

    25:45 America’s long term global standing has been severely damaged

    26:30 Common Cause is involved in litigation trying to prevent the corruption

    28:30 Striving to have a million conversations between organizers & normal people

    29:45 People are struggling and feeling fatigued

    31:30 It took staggering levels of corruption in Hungary before Orban was toppled

    32:30 Opposition in Hungary tied corruption to degrading quality of life

    34:30 A fairness criteria was implemented in the California redistricting

    35:30 CA and VA put redistricting before the voters, but still a race to the bottom

    36:00 The Supreme Court hasn’t offered any solution to gerrymandering problem

    37:00 Congress is too small to effectively represent the public

    37:45 The senate is horribly malapportioned

    39:30 The way the founders designed the country doesn’t work anymore

    40:00 The founders gave us the tools to fix the democracy

    42:15 There’s no incentive to work in a bipartisan manner or compromise

    43:45 We’ve lost the “statesmen” in congress who vote their conscience

    44:30 Politics has become a zero sum game

    45:45 Politics has always been dirty, but we’ve hit an all-time low

    47:00 Government seems completely unequipped to regulate AI

    49:45 Deepfakes impact on elections are very concerning

    51:00 Civil litigation is the only current path to push back on AI

    52:30 Status of “sunshine laws” in the country? Could they be rolled back?

    54:45 Need a movement against the election of the judiciary

    57:45 The reason for optimism… is that people aren’t stupid and love the country

    58:30 Our country has always emerged better after dark times

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Full Episode - Ken Paxton’s Victory Gives Dems An Opportunity In Texas - Tackling Trump’s Rampant Corruption & Pay To Play Politics May 27, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with Ken Paxton's runoff blowout over John Cornyn — a result that confirms Texas Republicans remain the base of what eventually grew into MAGA nationally, that the insurgent wing of the GOP consistently wins in the state, and that Paxton is somehow simultaneously the least electable nominee Republicans could have picked and still electable enough to make this a real fight. He argues Texas is slowly moving toward swing state status the way Georgia did over the past decade — the ingredients are there for a Democrat to finally break through, the question is whether James Talarico can move his 45% number higher and prove he's the political athlete this moment requires. The downstream consequences for Republicans are brutal: the GOP will have to drop a $500 million anvil on Talarico that can't be deployed in other races, and Democrats' path to a Senate majority just got measurably wider.

    But the more fascinating story Chuck unpacks is Pope Leo's stunning new document on AI, automated weapons, and concentrated power — a text Chuck argues is essentially an indictment of American military dominance dressed in the language of moral theology. The Pope explicitly compares AI-driven targeting systems to slavery, arguing both reduce human beings to data points and dehumanize their victims, and apologizes for the church's historic slowness on slavery while warning Catholics that they cannot afford the same slowness on artificial intelligence. He declares the centuries-old "just war" framework outdated, argues that no algorithm can ever make war morally acceptable, and pushes back forcefully on the entire concept of nuclear deterrence — drawing a direct line back to Pope Leo XIII's 1891 intervention on industrial capitalism. He argues the document, while never naming the United States, is speaking directly to American politicians: it's framed as a call for a moral framework around AI that can live above the political discourse, an explicit argument that technological capital must be regulated, and a warning that AI is not morally neutral no matter how much Silicon Valley wishes it were. The larger message is unmistakable — the Pope, who Chuck notes is now arguably the most formidable global moral voice that even secular Americans look to for clarity, has just put concentrated technological power on notice in a way no head of state has been willing to.

    Then, Virginia Kase Solomon — president of Common Cause, one of the country's oldest and most respected pro-democracy organizations — joins the Chuck Toddcast to deliver a clear-eyed assessment of just how broken American self-government has become, and what it might actually take to fix it. Kase Solomon argues that Trump's corruption has gone so far beyond anything in modern history that it makes Watergate look quaint by comparison — she points to Trump stealing roughly $1.8 billion from American taxpayers as a single staggering example — but warns that the most dangerous development isn't the corruption itself, it's that young voters are growing up normalized to it, with no living memory of an administration where this kind of behavior carried consequences. She makes a striking comparison to Hungary, where it took genuinely staggering levels of corruption before Orbán could be toppled, and where the opposition only succeeded once it tied that corruption directly to degrading quality of life for ordinary people — a lesson she says American Democrats badly need to learn. They note that there are real bipartisan calls to address money in politics, that a congressional stock trading ban enjoys overwhelming public support, that Amy Klobuchar's Disclose Act keeps getting reintroduced and ignored, and that forced disclosure of large-dollar donors alone would significantly reduce political giving — but the country is on a runaway train, with big tech money flowing to whoever holds power and Trump openly running the country like a corporation.

    The conversation broadens into Kase Solomon's structural diagnosis of why American democracy isn't working. She argues that the way the founders designed the country no longer functions in the modern era — but that the founders also gave us the tools to fix what's broken if we choose to use them. Congress is too small to genuinely represent the public, the Senate is horribly malapportioned, the Supreme Court has offered no real solution to the gerrymandering crisis, and we've completely lost the "statesmen" in Congress who once voted their conscience because there's no longer any incentive to compromise or work across the aisle. She is deeply concerned about the regulatory vacuum around AI — deepfakes have terrifying implications for elections and civil litigation is currently the only meaningful path to push back — and she warns that the election of judges has corrupted the rule of law in ways America needs a movement to address. Despite all of this, she is genuinely hopeful: Common Cause is litigating against the corruption, organizing a million conversations between activists and ordinary Americans, and operating from the conviction that the public isn't stupid and still loves this country. Her closing argument is the most American one possible: the United States has always emerged from its darkest periods better than it went in — but only because people refused to accept the broken system as permanent, and that work has to start now.

    Finally, Chuck reveals his ToddCast Top 5 list of Democrats who could be vaulted into 2028 contender status for the presidency if they perform well in the midterms. He highlights two midwestern gubernatorial candidates, two upstart senate bids and one name that stands above the rest… Jon Ossoff of Georgia. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

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    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    03:30 Ken Paxton trounces John Cornyn in runoff election

    05:00 Texas Republicans are the base for what grew into MAGA nationally

    07:15 The insurgent wing of the GOP consistently wins in Texas

    09:00 Paxton is the least electable nominee, but he’s still electable

    10:30 Is 45% Talarico’s ceiling, or can he move that number higher?

    11:30 Texas is slowly moving towards swing state status like Georgia did

    13:00 Ingredients are there for a Democrat to finally break through in TX

    15:30 Senate Republicans won’t be happy having to serve with Paxton

    16:00 Texas is more winnable than other races for GOP, will have to spend in TX

    16:30 Republicans will have to spend big to drop the anvil on Talarico

    17:30 We’ll find out how talented of a political athlete Talarico is

    19:30 This will be the magnet race that national reporters will focus on

    21:30 Race will cost the GOP $500m that can’t be deployed elsewhere

    23:15 Democrats now have a better chance of winning the senate

    24:00 The Pope speaks to more than Catholics, seculars look to him for moral clarity

    25:00 The Pope is formidable influencer in America

    26:15 The Pope speaks out about AI, concentrated power & the “just war” theory

    26:45 He compared automated weapons to slavery

    28:00 The Pope spoke out similarly in 1891 during the Industrial Revolution

    29:00 The Pope’s document says AI is not morally neutral

    30:15 Document argues that technological capital needs to be regulated

    30:45 The church has had a “just war” framework for hundreds of years

    31:15 Pope Leo says “just war” framework is outdated

    32:15 Document argues no algorithm can make war morally acceptable

    33:15 Document argues against the concept of nuclear deterrence

    33:45 Pope apologizes for church’s role in slavery

    34:30 Document says AI systems reduce human beings into targeting data

    35:00 Pope argues the dehumanization of AI targeting is similar to slavery

    36:00 While not saying it directly, the document is speaking about the United States

    37:00 The document is an indictment of American military dominance

    38:30 Document does have a carve-out for self defence

    40:15 The document was speaking directly to American politicians

    41:30 A call for a moral framework for AI can live above the political discourse

    42:30 Pope argues church was too slow on slavery, can’t be slow on AI

    49:00 Virginia Kase Solomon (Common Cause) joins the Chuck ToddCast

    50:30 Common Cause works to hold the government accountable to the people

    51:30 Corporate lobbies have disproportionate power compared to people

    52:15 Many people threw their hands up after Citizen’s United

    53:30 States are working to change campaign finance rules

    55:15 States can ban companies in their state from making political donations

    57:00 Rules changes but money always seems to find a way around them

    59:00 Parties stopped becoming the epicenter of political donations

    1:00:30 There are bipartisan calls to do something about money in politics

    1:02:00 More GOP support for reform at the state level than national level

    1:02:45 We’re on a runaway train for money in politics

    1:03:30 Big tech money goes to whoever is in power

    1:04:00 The country is being run like a corporation

    1:04:45 Jamie Raskin has started an anti-corruption task force

    1:05:15 A congressional stock trading ban has massive public support

    1:06:15 Trump is obviously corrupt, but people fear him too much to act

    1:07:30 Forced disclosure of large dollar donors would reduce donations

    1:08:30 Amy Klobuchar has put forward the Disclose Act in almost every congress

    1:11:00 The Trump administration’s corruption is beyond egregious

    1:11:45 Trump stealing $1.8 billion from taxpayers, makes Watergate look quaint

    1:13:15 Young voters have grown up being normalized to this corruption

    1:13:45 There will be a backlash to the corruption at some point

    1:14:45 America’s long term global standing has been severely damaged

    1:15:30 Common Cause is involved in litigation trying to prevent the corruption

    1:17:30 Striving to have a million conversations between organizers & normal people

    1:18:45 People are struggling and feeling fatigued

    1:20:30 It took staggering levels of corruption in Hungary before Orban was toppled

    1:21:30 Opposition in Hungary tied corruption to degrading quality of life

    1:23:30 A fairness criteria was implemented in the California redistricting

    1:24:30 CA and VA put redistricting before the voters, but still a race to the bottom

    1:25:00 The Supreme Court hasn’t offered any solution to gerrymandering problem

    1:26:00 Congress is too small to effectively represent the public

    1:26:45 The senate is horribly malapportioned

    1:28:30 The way the founders designed the country doesn’t work anymore

    1:29:00 The founders gave us the tools to fix the democracy

    1:31:15 There’s no incentive to work in a bipartisan manner or compromise

    1:32:45 We’ve lost the “statesmen” in congress who vote their conscience

    1:33:30 Politics has become a zero sum game

    1:34:45 Politics has always been dirty, but we’ve hit an all-time low

    1:36:00 Government seems completely unequipped to regulate AI

    1:38:45 Deepfakes impact on elections are very concerning

    1:40:00 Civil litigation is the only current path to push back on AI

    1:41:30 Status of “sunshine laws” in the country? Could they be rolled back?

    1:43:45 Need a movement against the election of the judiciary

    1:46:45 The reason for optimism… is that people aren’t stupid and love the country

    1:47:30 Our country has always emerged better after dark times

    1:49:30 Chuck’s thoughts on interview with Virginia Kase Solomon

    1:50:30 ToddCast Top 5 2028 contenders depending on their 2026 performance

    1:54:00 #5 Amy Acton

    1:56:15 #4 Rob Sand

    1:57:45 #3 Graham Platner

    2:01:15 #2 James Talarico

    2:03:45 #1 Jon Ossoff

    2:07:15 Ask Chuck

    2:07:30 Why are people rounding up Trump’s 1.776B slush fund to $1.8b?

    2:09:30 Supporting candidates you oppose just for judicial confirmations?

    2:16:30 New Parallel AI model that prioritizes original writing and journalism?

    2:20:15 How are candidates allowed to deploy financial resources during campaigns?

    2:24:30 Pattern of Dems fixing the economy and GOP making it worse?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Previous 1 14 15 16 17 18 59 Next

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