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    News

    The Chuck ToddCast

    The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you’re looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you’ve come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

    Advertise

    Copyright: © 2025 Chuck Todd

    • Apple Podcasts
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    Latest Episodes:
    Full Episode - Trump Goes Hat In Hand To China + Trump’s Policies Have Been Disastrous For The American Economy May 14, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens by previewing Mark Zandi's sobering economic forecast from this episode and arrives at a simple, devastating conclusion: every single policy decision Trump has made has made the economy worse, tax refunds have already been gobbled up by inflation, and the math guarantees voters will feel even worse by the midterms — meaning Republicans on the ballot should be furious with the president, and those in swing districts have no choice but to start distancing themselves from his policies now. But the real heat in this episode comes from his analysis of Trump's trip to Beijing to meet Xi Jinping, which he frames as the diplomatic equivalent of going hat in hand. He argues there's simply no winning a trade war with China, that scrapping the TPP and the JCPOA will go down as two of the most colossal strategic mistakes of the modern era, and that Trump's combined Iran and China policies have somehow managed to strengthen both adversaries simultaneously — to the point that his foreign policy decisions are starting to make him look, in Chuck’s words, like a Manchurian candidate. The world is now beginning to view the United States itself as the global boogeyman, and Trump's presidency is doing damage to America's long-term standing that will take a generation to repair. The brutal irony, he notes, is that Trump now needs more from China than China needs from America: China is the only country with real leverage over Iran, defenders of Taiwanese independence are quietly terrified that Trump could trade them away for an economic off-ramp, and Xi gets to sit across the table from a desperate American president whose negotiating position keeps eroding by the day.

    Then, Mark Zandi — chief economist at Moody's Analytics and one of the most quoted forecasters in America — joins the Chuck Toddcast to deliver a remarkably sobering verdict on where the economy actually stands: without the $700 billion currently being poured into AI investment, the United States would already be in or close to recession. The latest CPI and PPI reports came back ugly and uglier, oil shocks from the Iran war will keep prices elevated through 2027 even if the war ended tomorrow (Zandi says don't expect $3 gas again until then), real disposable income has been flat or falling for a year, FHA mortgage delinquencies are at their highest level since the Great Recession, and the bottom 40% of earners are living genuinely paycheck to paycheck. Zandi pushes back on lazy comparisons to the 1970s — conditions were objectively worse then, with a self-reinforcing wage-price loop that took a brutal recession to break — but warns that nominating Kevin Warsh as Fed chair specifically to cut rates would risk replaying exactly that movie, and that a policy of low rates at any cost would be catastrophic.

    The deeper diagnosis is brutal: employment was growing steadily and inflation was easing until Liberation Day, when both reversed simultaneously — meaning Trump's tariffs are the most obvious thing to cut, and the question of who actually benefits from them gets harder to answer every month. The mass deportation policy is costing the country roughly 0.5-0.7% of GDP growth that normal immigration would have provided, with agriculture, construction, hospitality and services taking direct hits. Zandi sees economic weakness most pronounced in the South and West, healthcare-anchored cities like Philadelphia outperforming Florida and Texas, and a national debt now exceeding GDP that's setting the conditions for a potential bond market sell-off — with global investors already being advised to diversify away from the dollar as America deglobalizes and the world quietly pulls away. His most striking observation: the fixes are all sitting on the shelf. America doesn't need new ideas to solve any of this — it needs the political will to use the ones we already have, and that will probably won't materialize until a genuine crisis forces it. By the midterms, voters will be feeling the worst of it, and while partisan media can try to spin the numbers all it wants — reality is much harder to spin.

    Finally, Chuck answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:00 Mark Zandi paints a sobering picture about state of the economy

    02:30 Every Trump policy decision has made has made the economy worse

    03:45 Tax refunds have been gobbled up by inflation

    04:15 The economy will only feel worse to people by midterm elections

    06:30 Republicans on the ballot should be furious with Trump

    07:15 Republicans in swing areas have to distance from Trump policies

    08:15 Trump in China to meet with Xi Jinping

    09:00 There’s no winning a trade war with China

    10:30 Getting rid of the TPP & JCPOA were colossal mistakes

    11:30 Trump is losing the Iran war and strengthened Iran & China

    12:00 Trump’s policies make him look like a Manchurian candidate

    12:30 The world is now starting to view the US as the boogeyman

    13:15 Trump’s presidency has been terribly damaging long term to the US

    14:30 We need more from China than they need from us

    15:00 China is the only country that could lean on Iran

    15:45 Defenders of Taiwan independence worried Trump could cave

    16:45 Trump is desperate for Xi’s help

    21:00 Mark Zandi joins the Chuck ToddCast

    21:45 CPI inflation and PPI inflation reports came back ugly & uglier

    23:00 The through lines are ugly and going to get worse due to oil prices

    23:45 Even if the war ended today, higher prices would last all year

    24:15 Inflation has been accelerating under Trump, was on track under Biden

    25:15 Inflation was worse during Covid combined with start of Ukraine war

    28:00 Economy and stagflation were much worse in the 70s than now

    28:45 Conditions different from 70s, there was a self-reinforcing loop in 70s

    29:30 The only way out of 70s stagflation was a very severe recession

    30:15 Kevin Warsh nominated for Fed chair to lower interest rates

    31:00 If Warsh cuts interest rates, we risk a repeat of the 70s

    31:45 A policy of low rates at any cost would be catastrophic

    32:15 Rate cuts won’t happen since they are set by a board

    32:45 Economy won’t have time to recover in time for the midterm elections

    34:00 Partisan media can try to spin the economy, but reality is hard to spin

    35:15 We won’t be back to $3/gallon gas until 2027 most likely

    35:45 Last 3 months, the economy got a boost due to tax refunds that are fading

    37:00 Real disposable income has fallen or stayed stagnant the past year

    37:45 Bottom 40% earners are struggling badly, living paycheck to paycheck

    38:45 FHA mortgage delinquency rates are rising, highest since great recession

    40:00 Things will feel worse economically by the midterm election

    41:30 Without $700B in AI investment, we’d be close to, or in a recession

    43:45 Last two jobs reports better than expected, tax cuts acted as stimulus

    44:30 The job market is still very weak

    45:30 With normal immigration we’d grow GDP by 0.5-0.7%, and lost that

    46:30 Data shows immigrants don’t take jobs native born workers have

    47:30 Lack of immigrants will hit state & local government budgets hard

    48:15 Agriculture, construction, hospitality and services hit hard by deportations

    50:00 Air travel hasn’t fallen off due to economic conditions… yet

    50:45 High end consumer spending on recreation hasn’t fallen off at all

    51:45 Is the proposal to cap credit card interest rate at 10% a good idea?

    52:30 Companies won’t offer credit lines to consumers without great credit scores

    53:15 Trump cutting the tariffs is the most obvious solution to higher prices

    54:00 Employment was increasing regularly until Liberation Day tariffs

    54:30 Inflation also took off on Liberation Day

    55:15 Who actually benefits from Trump’s tariffs?

    56:30 Suspending gas tax would result in .10-.15c lower prices at pump

    58:30 Cutting the gas tax likely won’t result in any political benefit

    1:00:00 Economic weakness most pronounced in the south & the west

    1:02:00 Cities with big healthcare industries having most job growth, Philly leading

    1:03:45 Pennsylvania economy rowing faster than Florida or Texas

    1:04:15 America’s national debt exceeds GDP, how concerned should we be?

    1:06:30 Indicators show we having a massive debt and deficit problem

    1:08:00 The conditions for a sell off in the bond market are in place

    1:08:30 It’s going to take a crisis to generate political will to act on the debt

    1:09:45 America is deglobalizing, and world pulling away from us

    1:10:15 Investors being advised to diversify away from the dollar

    1:11:30 The fixes to the economy are all sitting on the shelf. Don’t need new ideas

    1:13:00 AI job displacement hasn’t hit hard yet, but could be coming soon

    1:16:15 Need a stiff drink after the interview with Mark Zandi

    1:16:45 Ask Chuck

    1:17:00 Alternative idea for formula to expand the house of representatives?

    1:21:45 Will there be any impact from Susan Collins disclosing her tremors?

    1:25:30 Thanks for interview with lawyers suing big tech, screen time is down

    1:26:45 Could you argue that SCOTUS striking down New Deal policy was most impactful?

    1:28:45 Is Dems gerrymandering more about deterrence and not pure hypocrisy?

    1:33:15 If a justice steps down, who would Trump nominate. What would impacts be?

    1:37:45 Thanks for the pod. It’s helped me get through long dialysis sessions

    1:39:15 NBA playoffs reaction

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Mark Zandi - Trump’s Policies Have Been Disastrous For The American Economy May 14, 2026
    Show notes

    Mark Zandi — chief economist at Moody's Analytics and one of the most quoted forecasters in America — joins the Chuck Toddcast to deliver a remarkably sobering verdict on where the economy actually stands: without the $700 billion currently being poured into AI investment, the United States would already be in or close to recession. The latest CPI and PPI reports came back ugly and uglier, oil shocks from the Iran war will keep prices elevated through 2027 even if the war ended tomorrow (Zandi says don't expect $3 gas again until then), real disposable income has been flat or falling for a year, FHA mortgage delinquencies are at their highest level since the Great Recession, and the bottom 40% of earners are living genuinely paycheck to paycheck. Zandi pushes back on lazy comparisons to the 1970s — conditions were objectively worse then, with a self-reinforcing wage-price loop that took a brutal recession to break — but warns that nominating Kevin Warsh as Fed chair specifically to cut rates would risk replaying exactly that movie, and that a policy of low rates at any cost would be catastrophic.

    The deeper diagnosis is brutal: employment was growing steadily and inflation was easing until Liberation Day, when both reversed simultaneously — meaning Trump's tariffs are the most obvious thing to cut, and the question of who actually benefits from them gets harder to answer every month. The mass deportation policy is costing the country roughly 0.5-0.7% of GDP growth that normal immigration would have provided, with agriculture, construction, hospitality and services taking direct hits. Zandi sees economic weakness most pronounced in the South and West, healthcare-anchored cities like Philadelphia outperforming Florida and Texas, and a national debt now exceeding GDP that's setting the conditions for a potential bond market sell-off — with global investors already being advised to diversify away from the dollar as America deglobalizes and the world quietly pulls away. His most striking observation: the fixes are all sitting on the shelf. America doesn't need new ideas to solve any of this — it needs the political will to use the ones we already have, and that will probably won't materialize until a genuine crisis forces it. By the midterms, voters will be feeling the worst of it, and while partisan media can try to spin the numbers all it wants — reality is much harder to spin.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Mark Zandi joins the Chuck ToddCast

    00:45 CPI inflation and PPI inflation reports came back ugly & uglier

    02:00 The through lines are ugly and going to get worse due to oil prices

    02:45 Even if the war ended today, higher prices would last all year

    03:15 Inflation has been accelerating under Trump, was on track under Biden

    04:15 Inflation was worse during Covid combined with start of Ukraine war

    07:00 Economy and stagflation were much worse in the 70s than now

    07:45 Conditions different from 70s, there was a self-reinforcing loop in 70s

    08:30 The only way out of 70s stagflation was a very severe recession

    09:15 Kevin Warsh nominated for Fed chair to lower interest rates

    10:00 If Warsh cuts interest rates, we risk a repeat of the 70s

    10:45 A policy of low rates at any cost would be catastrophic

    11:15 Rate cuts won’t happen since they are set by a board

    11:45 Economy won’t have time to recover in time for the midterm elections

    13:00 Partisan media can try to spin the economy, but reality is hard to spin

    14:15 We won’t be back to $3/gallon gas until 2027 most likely

    14:45 Last 3 months, the economy got a boost due to tax refunds that are fading

    16:00 Real disposable income has fallen or stayed stagnant the past year

    16:45 Bottom 40% earners are struggling badly, living paycheck to paycheck

    17:45 FHA mortgage delinquency rates are rising, highest since great recession

    19:00 Things will feel worse economically by the midterm election

    20:30 Without $700B in AI investment, we’d be close to, or in a recession

    22:45 Last two jobs reports better than expected, tax cuts acted as stimulus

    23:30 The job market is still very weak

    24:30 With normal immigration we’d grow GDP by 0.5-0.7%, and lost that

    25:30 Data shows immigrants don’t take jobs native born workers have

    26:30 Lack of immigrants will hit state & local government budgets hard

    27:15 Agriculture, construction, hospitality and services hit hard by deportations

    29:00 Air travel hasn’t fallen off due to economic conditions… yet

    29:45 High end consumer spending on recreation hasn’t fallen off at all

    30:45 Is the proposal to cap credit card interest rate at 10% a good idea?

    31:30 Companies won’t offer credit lines to consumers without great credit scores

    32:15 Trump cutting the tariffs is the most obvious solution to higher prices

    33:00 Employment was increasing regularly until Liberation Day tariffs

    33:30 Inflation also took off on Liberation Day

    34:15 Who actually benefits from Trump’s tariffs?

    35:30 Suspending gas tax would result in .10-.15c lower prices at pump

    37:30 Cutting the gas tax likely won’t result in any political benefit

    39:00 Economic weakness most pronounced in the south & the west

    41:00 Cities with big healthcare industries having most job growth, Philly leading

    42:45 Pennsylvania economy rowing faster than Florida or Texas

    43:15 America’s national debt exceeds GDP, how concerned should we be?

    45:30 Indicators show we having a massive debt and deficit problem

    47:00 The conditions for a sell off in the bond market are in place

    47:30 It’s going to take a crisis to generate political will to act on the debt

    48:45 America is deglobalizing, and world pulling away from us

    49:15 Investors being advised to diversify away from the dollar

    50:30 The fixes to the economy are all sitting on the shelf. Don’t need new ideas

    52:00 AI job displacement hasn’t hit hard yet, but could be coming soon

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Can’t Defend His Bad Economy + Democrats Have Lost Their “Reformer” Image May 13, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with Trump getting visibly defensive with reporters over a brutal new inflation report — and argues the bad economy is in worse shape directly because of Trump's policies, with the president himself having zero answers for the data. He notes that AI investment is essentially the only thing propping up the economy, and that we are at least weeks away from the end of the Iran war. He warns we're only at the beginning of the inflation problem and that Democrats can simply point to Trump's broken promises of lower costs and no wars — they don't even need to make a "for" case, just a sustained "against" case — but cautions that despite all of this, Democrats still have a serious brand problem that no economic data alone will fix. He argues the failed Virginia redistricting effort exposed the deeper issue: Democrats talk like the resistance but are viewed as institutionalists, while Republicans still behave like raw partisans, and the rise of independent voters represents a fundamental protest against both available parties — something that should worry Democrats more than Republicans because the GOP has already shown a willingness to blow up the system. He makes a sweeping argument that until the last decade, Democrats were a reform-focused party, but the Trump era has pushed them into becoming defenders of institutions at exactly the moment when public trust in institutions had collapsed. He closes with observations from the Musk-Altman trial, which he says has been revealing about the personalities actually building AI — with OpenAI employees testifying to Altman's lying and the internal chaos, and so much tech ego on display that the public, already feeling burned by big tech, is only going to grow more skeptical.

    Finally Chuck reveals his bonus TWO ToddCast Top 5 lists, the top 5 2028 Democratic hopefuls who have run for president before, and the top who haven’t. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:30 Trump gets defensive with reporters over bad inflation report

    03:00 Economy is in worse shape directly because of Trump’s policies

    03:45 Trump has zero answers for the bad state of the economy

    04:45 Dow still hasn’t gotten back over 50k since Bondi’s viral moment

    05:45 AI investment is the only thing propping up the economy

    06:30 We are weeks away from the end of the Iran war… at minimum

    07:45 Despite the bad economy, Democrats still have a brand problem

    08:30 We are only at the beginning of the inflation problem

    09:15 Dems can point to Trump breaking promise of lower costs & no wars

    10:00 Dems don’t even have to make a “for” case, just an “against” case

    11:00 Another variable is what the political maps look like by the midterms

    12:15 The issue for the Dems is what the party stands for… what’s its identity?

    13:00 Dems ‘28 hopefuls need to, and will jump in early

    13:45 Dems failed redistricting in VA exposed a problem with the party

    15:45 Dems talk like resistance but are viewed as institutionalists

    16:30 GOP still behaves more like raw partisans

    17:15 South Carolina would have risked disaster by carving up Clyburn’s seat

    18:45 Backlash to SCOTUS gutting Voting Rights Act could juice Dem turnout

    19:45 Why do both parties seem against reforming the system overall?

    21:15 Politics has become completely nationalized and it’s a problem

    21:45 Until the last decade, the Democrats were a reform focused party

    23:00 The Trump era has pushed Dems into becoming defenders of institutions

    23:45 Biden ran on preservation when trust in institutions had collapsed

    25:15 The rise of independent voters shows protest for the two available parties

    26:30 Rise of independents should worry Dems more than Republicans

    27:45 Real reforms to the system would help rebuild trust with the public

    29:30 Dems risk becoming custodians of a system people don’t trust

    31:45 Dems took their eye off the ball, haven’t acted as reformers

    35:30 The Musk/Altman trial has been revealing of the personalities building AI

    36:00 OpenAI’s employees testified to Altman lying and chaos internally

    37:15 So much tech ego on display at the trial

    38:00 The public already feels burned by big tech

    40:00 TWO ToddCast Top 5 lists today
    42:45 Winning Democratic presidential candidates are usually first time candidates
    46:45 Top 5 2028 Democratic candidates who have never run for president
    47:00 2026 results will dictate who will eventually have best prospects in 2028
    50:00 #5 2026 TBD, could be Rob Sand, Mallory McMorrow…Colbert?
    50:30 #4 Josh Shapiro
    51:30 #3 Gavin Newsom
    52:45 #2 Wes Moore
    53:45 #1 AOC

    55:45 Top 5 2028 Dem candidates who HAVE run for president
    56:00 #5 Amy Klobuchar
    57:00 #4 Cory Booker
    58:30 #3 Pete Buttigieg
    1:00:00 #2 Bernie Sanders
    1:01:00 #1 Kamala Harris
    1:02:30 Ask Chuck
    1:02:45 Modern equivalent of the “good government” groups of the 20th century?
    1:07:30 When should Dems make strategic adjustments vs compromising values?
    1:10:30 Is a socially conservative, fiscally liberal platform viable?
    1:13:00 Could co-op’s be a viable solution to modern economic challenges?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Full Episode - Trump Can’t Defend His Bad Economy + Can Government Effectively Regulate The AI Arms Race? May 13, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with Trump getting visibly defensive with reporters over a brutal new inflation report — and argues the bad economy is in worse shape directly because of Trump's policies, with the president himself having zero answers for the data. He notes that AI investment is essentially the only thing propping up the economy, and that we are at least weeks away from the end of the Iran war. He warns we're only at the beginning of the inflation problem and that Democrats can simply point to Trump's broken promises of lower costs and no wars — they don't even need to make a "for" case, just a sustained "against" case — but cautions that despite all of this, Democrats still have a serious brand problem that no economic data alone will fix. He argues the failed Virginia redistricting effort exposed the deeper issue: Democrats talk like the resistance but are viewed as institutionalists, while Republicans still behave like raw partisans, and the rise of independent voters represents a fundamental protest against both available parties — something that should worry Democrats more than Republicans because the GOP has already shown a willingness to blow up the system. He makes a sweeping argument that until the last decade, Democrats were a reform-focused party, but the Trump era has pushed them into becoming defenders of institutions at exactly the moment when public trust in institutions had collapsed. He closes with observations from the Musk-Altman trial, which he says has been revealing about the personalities actually building AI — with OpenAI employees testifying to Altman's lying and the internal chaos, and so much tech ego on display that the public, already feeling burned by big tech, is only going to grow more skeptical.

    This episode of the Chuck Toddcast features a deep dive into the AI governance crisis with two of the leading experts in the field. First, Miriam Vogel — president and CEO of EqualAI — joins the show to explain her organization's mission of establishing meaningful AI guardrails at a moment when American consumers are deeply skeptical of big tech and less than 1% of companies have anything resembling strong AI governance policies. Vogel argues that good governance means corporate leadership must take direct responsibility for AI deployment, walks through her five best practices for responsible AI adoption, and pushes back on the idea that federal preemption should override state-level regulation — noting that companies are pushing hard against state regulation precisely because they know most of the actual rules will be written in court cases over the next few years. She warns that we're seeing tremendous investment in AI without commensurate ROI so far, that gender and regional gaps in AI adoption are already emerging, and that the public urgently needs to be empowered with real knowledge about AI's upsides as well as its risks. Vogel asks the question that should keep every executive up at night: are we actually ready for AI to make decisions without humans in the loop? And she argues that transparency — letting employees and consumers see how AI errors play out — will be absolutely essential to safe deployment.

    Then former Deputy National Security Advisor Anne Neuberger joins to discuss what global AI governance should look like between superpowers, and whether the arms race framing between the U.S. and China is actually helpful or harmful. Neuberger argues AI is fundamentally different from nuclear regulation because it's being developed by the private sector rather than by governments, and questions whether it was a mistake to let the private sector spearhead this technology in the first place. Drawing on her cybersecurity background, she walks through how governments learned to combat ransomware: extending existing rules for fiat currencies to cover cryptocurrencies (which had helped criminals evade detection), disincentivizing ransom payments, and helping companies recover without paying — a template she argues could apply to AI regulation. Neuberger says AI drug development should be an international win-win rather than a zero-sum arms race, but acknowledges the national security applications make competition unavoidable, with advantages now measured in months rather than years and dangerously inadequate military-to-military communication between the U.S. and China. They debate whether an "FDA for AI models" might be necessary, that existing regulations can be updated to cover AI without requiring new legislation, and that AI will ultimately transform defensive cybersecurity by allowing companies to double-check their infrastructure at scale. Her bottom line: laws always trail technology, but governments have key roles to play in identifying cyber risks, helping companies patch their infrastructure, and ensuring America's defenders aren't left behind as Chinese models close the six-month gap.

    Finally Chuck reveals his bonus TWO ToddCast Top 5 lists, the top 5 2028 Democratic hopefuls who have run for president before, and the top who haven’t. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:30 Trump gets defensive with reporters over bad inflation report

    03:00 Economy is in worse shape directly because of Trump’s policies

    03:45 Trump has zero answers for the bad state of the economy

    04:45 Dow still hasn’t gotten back over 50k since Bondi’s viral moment

    05:45 AI investment is the only thing propping up the economy

    06:30 We are weeks away from the end of the Iran war… at minimum

    07:45 Despite the bad economy, Democrats still have a brand problem

    08:30 We are only at the beginning of the inflation problem

    09:15 Dems can point to Trump breaking promise of lower costs & no wars

    10:00 Dems don’t even have to make a “for” case, just an “against” case

    11:00 Another variable is what the political maps look like by the midterms

    12:15 The issue for the Dems is what the party stands for… what’s its identity?

    13:00 Dems ‘28 hopefuls need to, and will jump in early

    13:45 Dems failed redistricting in VA exposed a problem with the party

    15:45 Dems talk like resistance but are viewed as institutionalists

    16:30 GOP still behaves more like raw partisans

    17:15 South Carolina would have risked disaster by carving up Clyburn’s seat

    18:45 Backlash to SCOTUS gutting Voting Rights Act could juice Dem turnout

    19:45 Why do both parties seem against reforming the system overall?

    21:15 Politics has become completely nationalized and it’s a problem

    21:45 Until the last decade, the Democrats were a reform focused party

    23:00 The Trump era has pushed Dems into becoming defenders of institutions

    23:45 Biden ran on preservation when trust in institutions had collapsed

    25:15 The rise of independent voters shows protest for the two available parties

    26:30 Rise of independents should worry Dems more than Republicans

    27:45 Real reforms to the system would help rebuild trust with the public

    29:30 Dems risk becoming custodians of a system people don’t trust

    31:45 Dems took their eye off the ball, haven’t acted as reformers

    33:30 The Musk/Altman trial has been revealing of the personalities building AI

    34:00 OpenAI’s employees testified to Altman lying and chaos internally

    35:15 So much tech ego on display at the trial

    36:00 The public already feels burned by big tech

    43:30 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    46:15 Miriam Vogel joins the Chuck ToddCast

    46:30 Equal AI’s mission is to establish AI guardrails

    47:45 American consumers are extremely skeptical of big tech

    48:30 Tech companies need to address users’ concerns & questions

    50:30 Less than 1% of companies have strong AI governance policies

    52:00 Some companies are working hard towards AI best practices

    53:00 State vs. federal regulation for tech companies & AI

    53:45 Why are companies pushing back against state level regulation?

    55:45 Most of AI regulation will come down to the courts

    57:30 We need more certainty of expectations from AI companies

    59:45 AI is a disruptor, we can’t pretend it won’t be everywhere

    1:01:00 Are we ready for AI to make decisions without humans in the loop?

    1:01:45 Good governance means leadership must take responsibility for AI

    1:02:45 If agentic AI without a human was outlawed, how would companies respond?

    1:04:00 We’re seeing tremendous investment without the ROI so far

    1:05:00 AI will scale at an exponential rate

    1:05:45 We’re seeing gender and regional gaps in AI adoption

    1:06:30 The public needs to be empowered with knowledge of AI’s upside

    1:07:45 The five best practices for AI adoption

    1:09:30 Employees and consumers will see how AI errors play out

    1:10:45 Transparency will be key to safe AI deployment

    1:12:15 Anne Neuberger joins the Chuck ToddCast

    1:12:45 What should AI global governance look like between superpowers?

    1:14:00 AI is different than nuclear regulation because it’s developed privately

    1:14:45 Was it a mistake to let the private sector spearhead AI development?

    1:16:00 Cybersecurity concerns and risks

    1:17:15 Cryptocurrency helped criminals evade detection & enforcement

    1:18:00 Every ransom payment encourages more cyber attacks & ransomware

    1:19:15 Cyber threat intel was shared across governments

    1:20:15 Governments extended rules for fiat currencies to cryptocurrencies

    1:21:00 Governments had to disincentivize ransom payments

    1:22:00 Goal was to help companies recover without paying a ransom

    1:22:45 Both companies & government should share burden of security

    1:24:15 AI is being framed as an arms race between U.S. and China

    1:25:00 AI drug development should be an international win-win

    1:26:00 The arms race framing applies to national security applications

    1:27:45 The speed of innovation is so fast, a race feels unwinnable

    1:29:00 Advantages in AI race will be measured in months, not years

    1:29:45 There’s no good military to military comms between U.S. & China

    1:32:00 Does government have any chance to effectively regulate AI?

    1:32:45 It took a major cyberattack for government to figure out cybersecurity

    1:33:30 Government took existing regulations and updated them for digital age

    1:35:30 Existing regulations can also be updated to regulate AI without legislation

    1:36:30 Should there be an FDA for AI models?

    1:37:45 There needs to be a balance between innovation and regulation

    1:38:45 Laws trail tech. Need to find regulation that protects the public

    1:40:15 AI will transform defensive cybersecurity

    1:41:00 AI can double check defensive cyber infrastructure at scale

    1:42:45 We need to prepare our defenders, China’s models are 6 months behind

    1:43:45 Companies will need help to patch and update their infrastructure

    1:44:45 The government has a very key role to play in AI cybersecurity

    1:45:45 Government has to clearly identify where the cyber risks are

    1:47:30 Thought the AI conversation was important, didn’t want it behind a paywall
    1:48:30 The most difficult part of AI regulation will be the carrot & stick approach
    1:49:30 TWO ToddCast Top 5 lists today
    1:52:15 Winning Democratic presidential candidates are usually first time candidates
    1:56:15 Top 5 2028 Democratic candidates who have never run for president
    1:56:30 2026 results will dictate who will eventually have best prospects in 2028
    1:59:30 #5 2026 TBD, could be Rob Sand, Mallory McMorrow…Colbert?
    2:00:00 #4 Josh Shapiro
    2:01:00 #3 Gavin Newsom
    2:02:15 #2 Wes Moore
    2:03:15 #1 AOC

    2:05:15 Top 5 2028 Dem candidates who HAVE run for president
    2:05:30 #5 Amy Klobuchar
    2:06:30 #4 Cory Booker
    2:08:00 #3 Pete Buttigieg
    2:09:30 #2 Bernie Sanders
    2:10:30 #1 Kamala Harris
    2:12:00 Ask Chuck
    2:12:15 Modern equivalent of the “good government” groups of the 20th century?
    2:17:00 When should Dems make strategic adjustments vs compromising values?
    2:20:00 Is a socially conservative, fiscally liberal platform viable?
    2:22:30 Could co-op’s be a viable solution to modern economic challenges?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Miriam Vogel & Anne Neuberger - Can Government Effectively Regulate The AI Arms Race? May 13, 2026
    Show notes

    This episode of the Chuck Toddcast features a deep dive into the AI governance crisis with two of the leading experts in the field. First, Miriam Vogel — president and CEO of EqualAI — joins the show to explain her organization's mission of establishing meaningful AI guardrails at a moment when American consumers are deeply skeptical of big tech and less than 1% of companies have anything resembling strong AI governance policies. Vogel argues that good governance means corporate leadership must take direct responsibility for AI deployment, walks through her five best practices for responsible AI adoption, and pushes back on the idea that federal preemption should override state-level regulation — noting that companies are pushing hard against state regulation precisely because they know most of the actual rules will be written in court cases over the next few years. She warns that we're seeing tremendous investment in AI without commensurate ROI so far, that gender and regional gaps in AI adoption are already emerging, and that the public urgently needs to be empowered with real knowledge about AI's upsides as well as its risks. Vogel asks the question that should keep every executive up at night: are we actually ready for AI to make decisions without humans in the loop? And she argues that transparency — letting employees and consumers see how AI errors play out — will be absolutely essential to safe deployment.

    Then former Deputy National Security Advisor Anne Neuberger joins to discuss what global AI governance should look like between superpowers, and whether the arms race framing between the U.S. and China is actually helpful or harmful. Neuberger argues AI is fundamentally different from nuclear regulation because it's being developed by the private sector rather than by governments, and questions whether it was a mistake to let the private sector spearhead this technology in the first place. Drawing on her cybersecurity background, she walks through how governments learned to combat ransomware: extending existing rules for fiat currencies to cover cryptocurrencies (which had helped criminals evade detection), disincentivizing ransom payments, and helping companies recover without paying — a template she argues could apply to AI regulation. Neuberger says AI drug development should be an international win-win rather than a zero-sum arms race, but acknowledges the national security applications make competition unavoidable, with advantages now measured in months rather than years and dangerously inadequate military-to-military communication between the U.S. and China. They debate whether an "FDA for AI models" might be necessary, that existing regulations can be updated to cover AI without requiring new legislation, and that AI will ultimately transform defensive cybersecurity by allowing companies to double-check their infrastructure at scale. Her bottom line: laws always trail technology, but governments have key roles to play in identifying cyber risks, helping companies patch their infrastructure, and ensuring America's defenders aren't left behind as Chinese models close the six-month gap.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    02:45 Miriam Vogel joins the Chuck ToddCast

    03:00 Equal AI’s mission is to establish AI guardrails

    04:15 American consumers are extremely skeptical of big tech

    05:00 Tech companies need to address users’ concerns & questions

    07:00 Less than 1% of companies have strong AI governance policies

    08:30 Some companies are working hard towards AI best practices

    09:30 State vs. federal regulation for tech companies & AI

    10:15 Why are companies pushing back against state level regulation?

    12:15 Most of AI regulation will come down to the courts

    14:00 We need more certainty of expectations from AI companies

    16:15 AI is a disruptor, we can’t pretend it won’t be everywhere

    17:30 Are we ready for AI to make decisions without humans in the loop?

    18:15 Good governance means leadership must take responsibility for AI

    19:15 If agentic AI without a human was outlawed, how would companies respond?

    20:30 We’re seeing tremendous investment without the ROI so far

    21:30 AI will scale at an exponential rate

    22:15 We’re seeing gender and regional gaps in AI adoption

    23:00 The public needs to be empowered with knowledge of AI’s upside

    24:15 The five best practices for AI adoption

    26:00 Employees and consumers will see how AI errors play out

    27:15 Transparency will be key to safe AI deployment

    28:45 Anne Neuberger joins the Chuck ToddCast

    29:15 What should AI global governance look like between superpowers?

    30:30 AI is different than nuclear regulation because it’s developed privately

    31:15 Was it a mistake to let the private sector spearhead AI development?

    32:30 Cybersecurity concerns and risks

    33:45 Cryptocurrency helped criminals evade detection & enforcement

    34:30 Every ransom payment encourages more cyber attacks & ransomware

    35:45 Cyber threat intel was shared across governments

    36:45 Governments extended rules for fiat currencies to cryptocurrencies

    37:30 Governments had to disincentivize ransom payments

    38:30 Goal was to help companies recover without paying a ransom

    39:15 Both companies & government should share burden of security

    40:45 AI is being framed as an arms race between U.S. and China

    41:30 AI drug development should be an international win-win

    42:30 The arms race framing applies to national security applications

    44:15 The speed of innovation is so fast, a race feels unwinnable

    45:30 Advantages in AI race will be measured in months, not years

    46:15 There’s no good military to military comms between U.S. & China

    48:30 Does government have any chance to effectively regulate AI?

    49:15 It took a major cyberattack for government to figure out cybersecurity

    50:00 Government took existing regulations and updated them for digital age

    52:00 Existing regulations can also be updated to regulate AI without legislation

    53:00 Should there be an FDA for AI models?

    54:15 There needs to be a balance between innovation and regulation

    55:15 Laws trail tech. Need to find regulation that protects the public

    56:45 AI will transform defensive cybersecurity

    57:30 AI can double check defensive cyber infrastructure at scale

    59:15 We need to prepare our defenders, China’s models are 6 months behind

    1:00:15 Companies will need help to patch and update their infrastructure

    1:01:15 The government has a very key role to play in AI cybersecurity

    1:02:15 Government has to clearly identify where the cyber risks are

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Full Episode - Democrats Wasted Political Capital In Virginia…For Nothing + What Makes The Rolling Stones “The World’s Greatest Rock Band” May 11, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd delivers an analysis of the Virginia Supreme Court's decision tossing out the Democratic redistricting map — arguing Democrats pissed away enormous political capital for absolutely nothing and that the reaction on the left has been wildly out of proportion, treating the ruling like an election loss when it was actually a predictable consequence of trying to fight fire with fire. He notes that Democrats passed the Virginia map without ever bothering to figure out how the courts would rule, and that both Obama and Governor Spanberger spent serious political capital pushing a referendum that was always legally vulnerable. He pushes back hard on left-wing commentary framing the ruling as partisan: the Virginia Supreme Court isn't full of partisans — they're technocrats, and Democrats just spent years arguing for norms and process and then ignored norms and process. His central argument is that Democrats will never win a race to the bottom with Trump's GOP, that the "fight fire with fire" mentality is a huge strategic mistake, and that Democrats can absolutely win in newly created swing districts with the right candidates if they go back to persuading voters and building coalitions rather than treating voters as the problem. He argues that Democrats are still likely to win both the House and Senate in the midterms — proof that Trump has done nothing to improve the GOP's image and that the path back to a winning Democratic coalition is still wide open if the party chooses to take it.

    Then, acclaimed music biographer Bob Spitz — author of definitive biographies of The Beatles and Led Zeppelin and now The Rolling Stones: The Biography, his five-year deep dive into the world's greatest rock and roll band — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a deeply enjoyable conversation about why the Stones have endured for over six decades and what their longevity says about the state of music itself. Spitz argues that the Stones gave us the foundation of the rock and roll sound and that, in many ways, there is no rock and roll today — modern musicians are producers more than performers, and now in their 80s the Stones are essentially one of the last bands keeping the form alive. He explains why their decision to flirt with politics in the 60s and then back off actually helped them endure, traces their close friendship with The Beatles , and describes Mick and Keith's strange but enduring marriage as the central engine of the band — held together by their shared love of playing live.

    The conversation digs into the surprising musical and cultural backstory of how the Stones became the Stones — including the fascinating history of how white British kids embraced the blues more than American kids did. Spitz pays beautiful tribute to drummer Charlie Watts as the heart and soul of the group — a jazz lover who only played rock because it paid the bills and who, along with Ian Stewart, kept the band in line for decades — and discusses the profound effect of losing him on the band's chemistry. He explains why the Stones keep playing well into their 80s, why great guitarists are now a rare commodity with no real innovators emerging, and why Mick has stayed in such great shape. Spitz offers his verdict on the Stones' place in music history — they've come to understand themselves as the greatest rock band, and he agrees — and reveals what's next for him: a book about John Lennon's second act. He closes with a fascinating thought experiment posed by Chuck: if Mick Jagger had been killed and John Lennon had lived, would the trajectories of the two bands have completely switched?

    Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the Supreme Court’s Brown vs. Board of Education decision and explains that the courts have been forced to rule on major structural changes to American society when congress refuses to legislate. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:45 Democrats pissed away political capital in VA, then map was tossed

    05:30 Reaction on the left to Virginia ruling has been like an election loss

    07:00 It’s understandable that Democrats wanted to fight fire with fire

    07:45 Democrats passed VA map without knowing how the courts would rule

    08:30 Obama and Spanberger wasted political capital for nothing

    09:45 Dems have argued for norms + process that court said they didn’t follow

    10:30 Electing the judiciary is terrible for the rule of law

    11:15 The VA Supreme Court aren’t partisans, they’re technocrats

    12:30 Left wing commentary assumes it was a partisan decision… it wasn’t

    14:00 Dem leadership in VA misled the party & the public on referendum

    15:45 We still don’t know what the maps will look like in the south after redistricting

    16:30 GOP has the redistricting advantage now, but courts may intervene

    17:30 VA court may give courage to other courts to stop the gerrymandering

    18:45 Democrats will never win a race to the bottom with Trump’s GOP

    20:15 Democrats can win in newly created swing districts with right candidates

    22:00 The “fight fire with fire” mentality is a huge mistake by the Dems

    23:00 Democracy is eroded when both parties play scorched earth politics

    24:15 Dems should be trying to persuade and coalition build

    26:00 Republicans treat voters as the problem, Dems shouldn’t do the same

    27:15 Dems want to be held to a higher standard, but don’t like it when they are

    28:30 Dems did real damage to their credibility with Virginia redistricting

    30:00 Trump has done nothing to improve the GOP’s image, Dems can still win

    31:45 Democrats know what they’re against, but not what they’re for

    33:30 Spanberger was put in an impossible position by her party

    35:00 Spanberger knew that swing voters didn’t like the redistricting chaos

    36:15 Dems practiced politics of addition under Obama, now in survival mode

    37:45 Voters viewed the Democratic party as more principled, VA jeopardizes that

    38:30 Dems still more likely to win both house and senate despite the ruling

    46:00 Bob Spitz (Rolling Stones Biographer) joins the Chuck ToddCast

    48:00 How long have you been thinking about writing this biography?

    49:15 Keith Richards biography was a phenomenal book, but only Keith’s view

    50:30 The Stones longevity as a group makes them more compelling

    52:00 The Stones gave us the foundation of the rock and roll sound

    53:15 There is no rock and roll today, musicians are producers now

    55:15 In their 80’s, the Stones are still keeping rock and roll alive

    56:30 The Stones flirted with being political, then backed off

    57:15 Their lack of taking a stand actually helped them endure

    58:45 The Stones became great friends with the Beatles

    1:00:00 Mick Jagger & Paul McCartney explored joint business ventures

    1:01:30 Without Paul or Mick, both bands may not have been financially viable

    1:02:15 Mick & Keith seemed like a strange marriage, but they made it work

    1:04:15 The music kept the band together, they love to play and perform

    1:05:30 You have to see the Stones in concert to truly appreciate them

    1:06:45 They’ve had countless “Farewell Tours” and always come back

    1:08:00 Mick has kept in great shape, his father was a fitness celebrity

    1:09:30 Fans pitted the Beatles vs. The Stones, but the bands never did

    1:11:30 How did white British kids embrace the blues more than American kids?

    1:12:15 American GI’s left their blues records behind in the UK

    1:13:45 Chuck Berry was a massive influence on the Stones becoming rock

    1:14:30 Charlie Watts was the heart and soul of the band

    1:16:00 Charlie loved jazz, only played rock because it paid the bills

    1:17:30 Charlie and Ian Stewart kept the band in line

    1:18:45 The effect of losing Charlie Watts on the Stones

    1:20:45 They keep playing because it sustains them as humans, not for the money

    1:22:15 Does it bother Keith that everyone sits down when Jagger isn’t performing?

    1:23:30 Great guitarists are a rare commodity these days, no innovators

    1:24:30 Modern music doesn’t emphasize live instrumental performance

    1:26:45 What is the Stones' place in the music universe?

    1:27:15 They’ve come to understand themselves as the greatest rock band

    1:28:15 Secret to the Stones longevity?

    1:30:00 The Stones wouldn’t participate in an extended “Dead & Company” style

    1:30:45 Mick is about to have great grandkids, and has a 30 year old girlfriend

    1:31:15 Next project is a book about John Lennon’s second act

    1:32:30 Beatles had an aversion to talking to the press

    1:33:30 If Jagger had been killed & Lennon lived, would the bands switch trajectories?

    1:38:15 ToddCast Time Machine - May 17th, 1954

    1:39:00 Brown vs. Board was the court pushing back against a legal fiction

    1:39:30 Plessy vs. Ferguson was the foundation for segregation

    1:40:15 Segregation had to end via the courts, congress refused to end it

    1:41:30 Southern Democrats held enormous power in the 50s

    1:42:00 The system challenged by Brown had too much power in congress

    1:42:45 The NAACP was chipping away at segregation one case at a time

    1:43:30 The court needed a unanimous decision for Brown to have legitimacy

    1:44:30 The US was championing freedom abroad while segregated at home

    1:45:00 Without the cold war, we don’t desegregate or pass the Voting Rights Act

    1:45:30 Court rules 9-0 on Brown, didn’t end segregation but delegitimized it

    1:46:30 Southern politicians organized massive resistance

    1:47:00 Federal troops sent into Little Rock to escort black students into school

    1:47:45 Brown changed how Americans thought about the power of the court

    1:48:30 Courts became more like political actors in decades after Brown

    1:49:45 The ruling in Brown was definitive, its implementation was not

    1:50:30 Ask Chuck

    1:50:45 How much could voter suppression affect juiced Democratic turnout?

    1:57:00 What if Trump never becomes a lame duck president?

    2:01:30 Is gerrymandering creating better chances for moderates?

    2:08:00 What are the most realistic options for scaling back entitlements?

    2:13:15 Predictions for the political futures of Nikki Haley & Ron DeSantis?

    2:19:15 Is there a scenario for a bipartisan impeachment to avoid bad pardons?

    2:24:00 Greg Olsen was commencement speaker at Chuck’s daughters graduation

    2:25:30 Thoughts on the NBA playoffs & NCAA tournament expansion

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Chuck’s Commentary - Democrats Wasted Political Capital In Virginia…For Nothing + Why SCOTUS Is Forced To Do The Job Of Congress May 11, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd delivers an analysis of the Virginia Supreme Court's decision tossing out the Democratic redistricting map — arguing Democrats pissed away enormous political capital for absolutely nothing and that the reaction on the left has been wildly out of proportion, treating the ruling like an election loss when it was actually a predictable consequence of trying to fight fire with fire. He notes that Democrats passed the Virginia map without ever bothering to figure out how the courts would rule, and that both Obama and Governor Spanberger spent serious political capital pushing a referendum that was always legally vulnerable. He pushes back hard on left-wing commentary framing the ruling as partisan: the Virginia Supreme Court isn't full of partisans — they're technocrats, and Democrats just spent years arguing for norms and process and then ignored norms and process. His central argument is that Democrats will never win a race to the bottom with Trump's GOP, that the "fight fire with fire" mentality is a huge strategic mistake, and that Democrats can absolutely win in newly created swing districts with the right candidates if they go back to persuading voters and building coalitions rather than treating voters as the problem. He argues that Democrats are still likely to win both the House and Senate in the midterms — proof that Trump has done nothing to improve the GOP's image and that the path back to a winning Democratic coalition is still wide open if the party chooses to take it.

    Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the Supreme Court’s Brown vs. Board of Education decision and explains that the courts have been forced to rule on major structural changes to American society when congress refuses to legislate. He also answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    01:45 Democrats pissed away political capital in VA, then map was tossed

    05:30 Reaction on the left to Virginia ruling has been like an election loss

    07:00 It’s understandable that Democrats wanted to fight fire with fire

    07:45 Democrats passed VA map without knowing how the courts would rule

    08:30 Obama and Spanberger wasted political capital for nothing

    09:45 Dems have argued for norms + process that court said they didn’t follow

    10:30 Electing the judiciary is terrible for the rule of law

    11:15 The VA Supreme Court aren’t partisans, they’re technocrats

    12:30 Left wing commentary assumes it was a partisan decision… it wasn’t

    14:00 Dem leadership in VA misled the party & the public on referendum

    15:45 We still don’t know what the maps will look like in the south after redistricting

    16:30 GOP has the redistricting advantage now, but courts may intervene

    17:30 VA court may give courage to other courts to stop the gerrymandering

    18:45 Democrats will never win a race to the bottom with Trump’s GOP

    20:15 Democrats can win in newly created swing districts with right candidates

    22:00 The “fight fire with fire” mentality is a huge mistake by the Dems

    23:00 Democracy is eroded when both parties play scorched earth politics

    24:15 Dems should be trying to persuade and coalition build

    26:00 Republicans treat voters as the problem, Dems shouldn’t do the same

    27:15 Dems want to be held to a higher standard, but don’t like it when they are

    28:30 Dems did real damage to their credibility with Virginia redistricting

    30:00 Trump has done nothing to improve the GOP’s image, Dems can still win

    31:45 Democrats know what they’re against, but not what they’re for

    33:30 Spanberger was put in an impossible position by her party

    35:00 Spanberger knew that swing voters didn’t like the redistricting chaos

    36:15 Dems practiced politics of addition under Obama, now in survival mode

    37:45 Voters viewed the Democratic party as more principled, VA jeopardizes that

    38:30 Dems still more likely to win both house and senate despite the ruling

    42:15 ToddCast Time Machine - May 17th, 1954
    43:00 Brown vs. Board was the court pushing back against a legal fiction
    43:30 Plessy vs. Ferguson was the foundation for segregation
    44:15 Segregation had to end via the courts, congress refused to end it
    45:30 Southern Democrats held enormous power in the 50s
    46:00 The system challenged by Brown had too much power in congress
    46:45 The NAACP was chipping away at segregation one case at a time
    47:30 The court needed a unanimous decision for Brown to have legitimacy
    48:30 The US was championing freedom abroad while segregated at home
    49:00 Without the cold war, we don’t desegregate or pass the Voting Rights Act
    49:30 Court rules 9-0 on Brown, didn’t end segregation but delegitimized it
    50:30 Southern politicians organized massive resistance
    51:00 Federal troops sent into Little Rock to escort black students into school
    51:45 Brown changed how Americans thought about the power of the court
    52:30 Courts became more like political actors in decades after Brown
    53:45 The ruling in Brown was definitive, its implementation was not
    54:30 Ask Chuck
    54:45 How much could voter suppression affect juiced Democratic turnout?
    1:01:00 What if Trump never becomes a lame duck president?
    1:05:30 Is gerrymandering creating better chances for moderates?
    1:12:00 What are the most realistic options for scaling back entitlements?
    1:17:15 Predictions for the political futures of Nikki Haley & Ron DeSantis?
    1:23:15 Is there a scenario for a bipartisan impeachment to avoid bad pardons?
    1:28:00 Greg Olsen was commencement speaker at Chuck’s daughters graduation
    1:29:30 Thoughts on the NBA playoffs & NCAA tournament expansion

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Bob Spitz - What Makes The Rolling Stones “The World’s Greatest Rock Band” May 11, 2026
    Show notes

    Acclaimed music biographer Bob Spitz — author of definitive biographies of The Beatles and Led Zeppelin and now The Rolling Stones: The Biography, his five-year deep dive into the world's greatest rock and roll band — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a deeply enjoyable conversation about why the Stones have endured for over six decades and what their longevity says about the state of music itself. Spitz argues that the Stones gave us the foundation of the rock and roll sound and that, in many ways, there is no rock and roll today — modern musicians are producers more than performers, and now in their 80s the Stones are essentially one of the last bands keeping the form alive. He explains why their decision to flirt with politics in the 60s and then back off actually helped them endure, traces their close friendship with The Beatles , and describes Mick and Keith's strange but enduring marriage as the central engine of the band — held together by their shared love of playing live.

    The conversation digs into the surprising musical and cultural backstory of how the Stones became the Stones — including the fascinating history of how white British kids embraced the blues more than American kids did. Spitz pays beautiful tribute to drummer Charlie Watts as the heart and soul of the group — a jazz lover who only played rock because it paid the bills and who, along with Ian Stewart, kept the band in line for decades — and discusses the profound effect of losing him on the band's chemistry. He explains why the Stones keep playing well into their 80s, why great guitarists are now a rare commodity with no real innovators emerging, and why Mick has stayed in such great shape. Spitz offers his verdict on the Stones' place in music history — they've come to understand themselves as the greatest rock band, and he agrees — and reveals what's next for him: a book about John Lennon's second act. He closes with a fascinating thought experiment posed by Chuck: if Mick Jagger had been killed and John Lennon had lived, would the trajectories of the two bands have completely switched?

    Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free!

    Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Bob Spitz (Rolling Stones Biographer) joins the Chuck ToddCast

    02:00 How long have you been thinking about writing this biography?

    03:15 Keith Richards biography was a phenomenal book, but only Keith’s view

    04:30 The Stones longevity as a group makes them more compelling

    06:00 The Stones gave us the foundation of the rock and roll sound

    07:15 There is no rock and roll today, musicians are producers now

    09:15 In their 80’s, the Stones are still keeping rock and roll alive

    10:30 The Stones flirted with being political, then backed off

    11:15 Their lack of taking a stand actually helped them endure

    12:45 The Stones became great friends with the Beatles

    14:00 Mick Jagger & Paul McCartney explored joint business ventures

    15:30 Without Paul or Mick, both bands may not have been financially viable

    16:15 Mick & Keith seemed like a strange marriage, but they made it work

    18:15 The music kept the band together, they love to play and perform

    19:30 You have to see the Stones in concert to truly appreciate them

    20:45 They’ve had countless “Farewell Tours” and always come back

    22:00 Mick has kept in great shape, his father was a fitness celebrity

    23:30 Fans pitted the Beatles vs. The Stones, but the bands never did

    25:30 How did white British kids embrace the blues more than American kids?

    26:15 American GI’s left their blues records behind in the UK

    27:45 Chuck Berry was a massive influence on the Stones becoming rock

    28:30 Charlie Watts was the heart and soul of the band

    30:00 Charlie loved jazz, only played rock because it paid the bills

    31:30 Charlie and Ian Stewart kept the band in line

    32:45 The effect of losing Charlie Watts on the Stones

    34:45 They keep playing because it sustains them as humans, not for the money

    36:15 Does it bother Keith that everyone sits down when Jagger isn’t performing?

    37:30 Great guitarists are a rare commodity these days, no innovators

    38:30 Modern music doesn’t emphasize live instrumental performance

    40:45 What is the Stones' place in the music universe?

    41:15 They’ve come to understand themselves as the greatest rock band

    42:15 Secret to the Stones longevity?

    44:00 The Stones wouldn’t participate in an extended “Dead & Company” style

    44:45 Mick is about to have great grandkids, and has a 30 year old girlfriend

    45:15 Next project is a book about John Lennon’s second act

    46:30 Beatles had an aversion to talking to the press

    47:30 If Jagger had been killed & Lennon lived, would the bands switch trajectories?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Chuck’s Commentary- Chuck’s Message To The Class Of 2026 + Trump’s DOJ Has No Credibility May 07, 2026
    Show notes

    Chuck Todd opens with the latest from the Iran war: the Saudis have now denied the U.S. military access to strikes from their bases and airspace, the U.S. cannot claim any net positive from this conflict, and Trump's best realistic outcome is some version of the Obama nuclear deal 2.0. He notes that both sides are being squeezed — Iran can't keep this going forever either — but warns that beyond the immediate political damage to Trump, the war has handed China tremendous long-term leverage, AI spending is the only reason the U.S. economy hasn't already tanked, and asymmetric warfare has once again proven it can beat superpower militaries. He argues Trump's request for $1 billion in taxpayer funds for a White House ballroom is political suicide — if Obama had made the same ask, the media firestorm would have been deafening — and that Congress approving the money would be handing Democrats an enormous political gift. He flags the FBI's new investigation into Virginia Democrat Louise Lucas, warns that nothing coming from Trump's DOJ can be trusted at face value, and argues the trumped-up charges against James Comey create reasonable doubt about every other case the administration brings. He warns the administration is actively poking the bear with African American voters in ways that could supercharge Black turnout and reshape the midterm calculus, flags the FBI investigation related to The Atlantic's story on Kash Patel's drinking (the bureau denies investigating the reporter, but the careful language suggests a leak investigation exists. He closes with a beautiful and personal commencement-style address to the graduating class of 2026 as his daughter prepares to walk.

    Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

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    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

    04:30 Saudis have denied U.S. military access to bases & airspace

    06:00 Trump is only going to get the nuclear deal 2.0 at best

    07:30 Iran can’t keep this going as well, both sides being squeezed

    08:30 U.S. can’t claim any net positive from this war

    09:30 This is bad for Trump politically, but it’s bad for the US long-term

    10:15 Trump has handed China tremendous leverage

    11:00 AI spending is the only reason the U.S. economy hasn’t tanked

    12:30 Asymmetric warfare beats superpower militaries

    14:15 Greenlighting $1B in taxpayer funds for ballroom is political suicide

    15:15 If Obama made the same ask, there would be a media firestorm

    16:00 Congress giving Dems a huge political gift by approving funds

    17:15 FBI launches investigation into Virginia dem Louise Lucas

    18:30 You can’t trust the narratives from Trump’s DOJ

    20:00 Trumped up charges against Comey create doubt in other cases

    20:45 Administration is poking the bear with African Americans voters

    22:00 Supercharged black turnout would change midterm election calculus

    23:00 FBI investigation into Atlantic story about Kash Patel’s drinking

    23:45 FBI denies investigating the reporter who broke the story

    24:30 Denial language suggests a leak investigation exists

    26:00 Worried about the future and for this graduating class

    28:30 Chuck’s advice for the graduating class of 2026

    29:15 Graduates are heading into a very uncertain future

    29:45 Adulthood is not a race, don’t always need to hurry

    31:00 The first job you take isn’t your forever job

    32:00 Don’t confuse a setback with failure

    32:45 Respect your elders and respect experience

    35:00 Don’t be embarrassed by your struggles or disregard someone else’s

    36:00 Life happens. Don’t wait for the perfect time for something

    37:15 Road trips are the best way to learn about America

    38:15 Don’t be a “Yeah, but” person

    40:00 Life is not a competition with your friends’ lives

    40:45 It takes a lot of hard work to get lucky

    42:00 Sorry that we’ve brought grads into a very angry America

    42:30 Talk to people who disagree with you

    43:30 If you only experience America through an algorithm, you’ll misunderstand it

    47:45 Ask Chuck

    48:00 How would you approach teaching, more depth or more breadth?

    52:30 Should we pay members of congress more?

    56:15 What can make local law enforcement a more enticing job?

    1:01:45 How does Trump’s drift towards lame-duck status play out?

    1:06:15 Why do you think redistricting would create an electoral backlash?

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


    Interview Only w/ Kevin Williamson - Trump Has No Way Out Iran War Without Humiliation May 07, 2026
    Show notes

    Conservative writer Kevin Williamson — National Correspondent for The Dispatch and one of the sharpest voices on the right — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a wide-ranging and characteristically blunt conversation about Trump's Iran disaster, the collapse of the political parties, and what kind of country America is becoming. Williamson argues Trump made a colossal mistake getting into the Iran war and there's now no way out without national humiliation: the goals of the conflict have constantly been changing, and Trump effectively told the Iranians where his political weaknesses were and they called his bluff. He notes the absurdity of America blockading the Strait specifically because we're mad that it's been blockaded, observes that the firing hasn't actually ceased despite the supposed ceasefire, and offers a withering verdict on the president himself: "Trump is just not a smart guy, he's an insult artist," surrounded by people who don't have the nation's interests in mind. They explore whether China could end up being the country Trump needs to bail him out in Iran, whether a nuclear Iran could benefit Putin (would he actually sell them one?), and notes the Gulf states are tired of this. He warns that securing the Strait of Hormuz requires ground troops Trump is too afraid to commit, that the Iranian regime is nothing like Venezuela's and won't fold, and that Trump never prepared the country for pain at the pump.

    The conversation broadens into Williamson's structural diagnosis of American politics, and his unsentimental view of where this is all headed. He argues that politics has become like religion, especially for the most religious, which is why Trump's coalition won't fracture even when farmers are being destroyed by Trump's own policies and still vote for him. He says Trump's declining popularity isn't restraining his decision-making at all, that Republicans are already assuming a midterm wipeout, and that Trump will be impeached if Democrats take the House — and should be — though he acknowledges it may not be the smartest political move. They dig into whether both American parties are at genuine risk of collapse, arguing their decline has been a huge loss for the country: celebrity and social media have filled the vacuum, with communication ability now mattering more than actual governing competence. He half-jokes that Taylor Swift could be president if she wanted to be, dismisses the idea that Stephen Colbert could carry a progressive banner, and closes with a genuinely dark prediction: America is losing its identity, may simply be too rich for its own good, and is heading for a low so bad that most Americans aren't prepared for it.

    Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

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    Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.

    Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.

    Timeline:

    (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

    00:00 Kevin Williamson (The Dispatch) joins the Chuck ToddCast

    01:15 Trump made a colossal mistake with Iran war

    01:45 We can’t get out of Iran war without being humiliated

    03:00 The goals of the war have constantly been changing

    04:30 Iran can’t win a battle with the U.S. but its45 sphere of influence is bigger

    06:00 Trump told the Iranians what his weaknesses are, they called his bluff

    07:00 The firing has not ceased, there’s no actual ceasefire

    07:30 We’re blockading a Strait because we’re mad it’s blockaded…

    08:30 Trump is just not a smart guy, he’s an insult artist

    09:15 The people around Trump don’t have the nation's interests in mind

    10:00 Rubio looks good because the people around Trump are so bad

    12:00 Will China be the country Trump needs to bail him out in Iran?

    13:00 Iran having a nuke could benefit Putin, would he sell them one?

    14:30 Trump didn’t prepare the country for pain at the pump

    15:45 We could really use our European allies that we spurned

    16:30 Unclear if Iran would accept a JCPOA style deal now

    19:30 50 years after the revolution, Iranian regime hasn’t changed priorities

    21:00 The gulf states have influence over Trump and they’re tired of this

    23:15 Gulf states probably assumed Trump would go for regime change

    24:30 The Iranian regime is nothing like the regime in Venezuela

    26:00 The rural vs urban divide leads to failed democratic states

    27:45 Trump’s declining popularity isn’t restraining his decision making

    28:45 Republicans are already assuming a wipeout in the midterms

    29:15 Trump will be impeached with a Dem majority in the house, and should be

    30:00 Impeaching Trump may not be best option politically, but the right thing to do

    32:30 Securing the Strait requires ground troops, which is terrible politics

    33:15 Trump is a coward, and afraid of the risk of using ground troops

    35:00 Trump doesn’t want to get into an open ended occupation of Iran

    35:30 Unlikely that Trump’s coalition fractures, it’s a personality cult

    36:45 Farmers are being destroyed by Trump, yet many still support him

    38:00 Politics has become like religion, especially to the most religious

    39:15 Kevin quit the GOP over Arlen Spector, which now seems quaint

    41:00 What kind of conservative do you consider yourself to be?

    45:30 Are both American parties at risk of collapse? Could another party emerge?

    46:15 The parties matter less now than before Trump was elected

    47:00 The decline of the parties has been a huge loss

    48:00 Celebrity & social media has filled the gap left by the parties

    49:15 Stephen Colbert is unlikely to be the celebrity to carry the progressive banner

    50:30 Taylor Swift could be president if she wanted to

    51:30 Communication is the winning trait of politicians now, not ability

    54:30 We’re losing our American identity, maybe too rich for our own good

    56:00 We’re going to hit a low that’s so bad, Americans aren’t prepared for it

    57:45 The next election is not going to solve our problems

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.


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