Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Latest Episodes:

Bonds, Commodities, and the Fed's Moment of Truth Mar 03, 2021

Show notes

DB, Mar3, 2021: In the first segment, Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy shares with Real Vision editor Jack Farley her thoughts on how the ongoing rout in U.S. Treasurys will amplify the rotation away from growth stocks and into cyclical stocks. Alden opines on how the Federal Reserve could aim to reassert control over the bond market, whether it be “Operation Twist” or yield curve control. In the second and final segment, Farley welcomes Howard Klein, founder and partner at RK Equity, to give a strategic update of key parts of the mining sector such as graphite, nickel, and, most notably, lithium. Klein shares news on lithium miners such as Albemarle Corp ($ALB), Livent Corp ($LTHM), and Piedmont Lithium ($PLL), to which Klein is an advisor and is also up over 1000% since September 1, 2020. Klein explains why he thinks we are at the beginning of a commodity bull market and shares his views on MP Materials ($MP) and Nouveau Monde Graphite ($NMGRF).

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Transitioning From Analog to Digital Finance (w/ Erik Voorhees) Mar 03, 2021

Show notes

Crypto Wednesday. Erik Voorhees, CEO and founder of Shapeshift.io, joins Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO, to discuss Shapeshift, the transition to a digital currency world, and some of the most exciting projects in crypto. Voorhees shares that Shapeshift was created when he realized that, for the industry to grow, people needed an easy way to swap between digital assets. He believes that society is actively transitioning from an analog fiat system of finance to a digital currency and blockchain one, and he has worked to support this transition with Shapeshift. Voorhees thinks that decentralized exchanges like Uniswap are some of the most important projects being built in crypto today, explaining that it’s critical to be able to trade in a decentralized and permissionless way.

Key Learnings: The crypto ecosystem is still very young, but society is actively transitioning its financial systems to it. In order for this transition to happen fully, the sector needs to develop permissionless and decentralized infrastructure such as decentralized exchanges. These noncustodial exchanges are valuable to the security and permissionless nature of the system as a whole.

Recorded on Jan 20, 2021.

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A New Yield Regime: Commodity-Led Rally in the Making (w/ Tony Greer ) Mar 03, 2021

Show notes

DB-Mar02,2021. Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes back Tony Greer of TG Macro where he declares that the five sigma sell-off in Treasuries last week marks the beginning of a new yield regime that will support a resources-led rally in earnest. Greer points to the dramatic move in rates being a response to visible commodity inflation, which is indicative of its strength. Because Greer sees a resources-led rally emerging, he explains why this is bad news for the tech sector over the next few months. After walking through the signals that are telling Greer that “this time is different,” he discusses how he’s positioning himself and what he’s eyeing in light of these changing market dynamics that continue to escalate.

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Bond Vigilantes Grumble as Bitcoin and Equities Recover( w/ Raoul Pal & Ed Harrison ) Mar 02, 2021

Show notes

DB-Mar1,2021. Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison is hosted by editor Jack Farley to break down the continued breakout in Treasury bonds as the S&P 500 posts its best day since June. Ed and Jack investigate last week’s carnage at the “belly” of the yield curve, the interest rate risk that long-duration bonds are exposed to, and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s ramping up of its QE bond purchases in order to appease the “bond vigilantes” and keep rates pinned. Later, Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal joins the show, and he shares his outlook on the risks that rising yields pose to markets as well as the dramatic rebound in the crypto markets. Raoul updates his views on commodities and emerging markets, sharing his key learnings from his interview with Jim Rogers, which aired today on Real Vision.

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A Lighthouse Amid the Fog( w/ Danielle DiMartino Booth & Raoul Pal ) Mar 01, 2021

Show notes

Real Vision Live Replay. Real Vision co-founder and CEO, Raoul Pal, welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence, to forecast future economic growth and and the fate of fiscal stimulus going forward. With volatility rising and the recovery on ever shakier ground, DiMartino Booth clarifies the macro picture by looking at price action in the bond markets. Pal and DiMartino Booth will exchange their views on how markets will respond to these possibilities and explore the various potential paths that the economic recovery could take. DiMartino Booth will also be answering questions from Real Vision Plus members.

Recorded on Oct 23, 2020.

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Carly Fiorina: Big Tech Has Unprecedented Economic Power Feb 28, 2021

Show notes

The Interview. Recorded on Jan 11, 2021. Carly Fiorina, founder and chairman of Carly Fiorina Enterprises and 2016 Republican Presidential candidate, joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the value and challenges of regulating big tech and the enormous economic power it has amassed across the globe. Hailing from an extensive career in tech and finance as former CEO of HP, she discusses the opportunities that business can bring to the political table and the challenges she faced as a woman in male-dominated industries, and the value of regulating big tech. She also shares her views on current events from the storming of the Capitol to the political climate to the effects of the pandemic on public policy. Filmed on January 11, 2021. Key Learnings: Fiorina argues that focusing on results rather than partisan issues encourages competition and accountability to restore political systems and revitalize the economy.

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Iran: Investing in One of the Best-Performing Stock Markets (w/ Raoul Pal & Maciej Wojtal) Feb 27, 2021

Show notes

The Interview- Real Vision founder and CEO Raoul Pal welcomes back Maciej Wojtal, founder and CIO of Amtelon Capital, an investment fund devoted to Iranian equities, to discuss how he's identified a diversified economy in Iran despite decades of sanctions and geopolitical risks. His interest in Iran was sparked by the nuclear deal brokered by President Obama in 2015 where he found a stock market that had been operating for more than two decades and included nearly 600 companies with $200 million in daily liquidity. His fund gives Western investors access to fast-growing businesses with low valuations in an array of industries—from utilities and automotive to commodities and agriculture. He shares his perspective on managing volatility as well as how the U.S.-Iran relations are expected to change under a new Democratic administration, and he weighs in on trade with neighboring countries in the Middle Eastern region. Key Learnings: Despite an overall economy that has been rapidly contracting because of U.S. sanctions and weak oil prices, Iran has one of the best-performing stock markets. Iran's stock market is dominated by retail investors with foreign ones making up less than half a percent of the market cap. Wojtal looks for companies that have pure export exposure, and he has been able to find companies with exports in the region that are usually not affected by sanctions.

Recorded on Jan 12, 2021.

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Will Rising Interest Rates Change The Game? Feb 27, 2021

Show notes

DB-Feb26,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley for a deep-dive on how rapidly rising interest rates are transforming the financial landscape before our very eyes. Ed and Ash analyze the latest economic data on rising personal income and share their views on the proposed $15 minimum wage that failed to make it into the stimulus bill. Jack and Ash review price action in stocks and commodities and explain how interest rates are like a financial gravity of sorts. Jack and Ed talk about how rising rates are creating tremendous change within the fixed income market. Lastly, the three discuss ARK Innovation ETF and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust’s falling below net asset value.

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Stocks Follow Bonds Into the Slaughterhouse Feb 26, 2021

Show notes

DB-Feb25,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes James Bianco, president of Bianco Research, to the Daily Briefing to make sense of the massive rout in long-dated Treasury bonds that is perturbing every aspect of the market—from high-flying growth names like Tesla to gold to Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS). Bianco connects bond market indigestion to that lingering question around inflation, and hazards that industrials and financials will fare the best on a relative basis. Bianco and Harrison look at the Fed Fund futures, which indicate that the market is pricing in a rate hike. They also discuss the outflows out of the series of ARK innovation ETFs.

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Buy the Rumor, Sell the News Feb 25, 2021

Show notes

DB-Feb24,2021: Has speculative mania reached a fever pitch? Will rising Treasury yields drag high-flying growth stocks back to the ground? Real Vision editor Jack Farley welcomes Jared Dillian, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and editor of The Daily Dirtnap, to the Daily Briefing to explore these questions and explain how he is navigating these frothy, choppy markets. Dillian shares his thoughts on everything from his bullishness on commercial real estate and energy stocks to his concerns about liquidity mismatches in Cathie Wood’s ARK ETFs. Dillian explains to Farley why he is long puts on "growthy" tech names like Tesla and Facebook and notes why he remains very constructive on gold and precious metals.

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