Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Bobby Miller and the return of Gavin Stone as the Dodgers turn to their pipeline of starters to backfill from injuries to Dustin May and Julio Urías. Plus, they examine the 2023 step forward from Logan Gilbert, pushing starting pitchers more aggressively in the early rounds of 2024 builds, the recent struggles of Jameson Taillon and Graham Ashcraft, and the potential value of hard-hit averages.
Rundown
4:47 Bobby Miller En Route to Los Angeles
8:06 Reservations About Gavin Stone?
11:23 Why Don't Projections Like Logan Gilbert More?
17:08 DVR Gets Too Cute with a Keeper League Deal, Likely Falls on Face
21:02 Planning A More Pitching-Heavy Approach in 2024 Drafts?
31:52 What's Wrong with Jameson Taillon?
41:39 Graham Ashcraft Slams the Breaks on April's Breakout
47:37 Any Concerns About Julio Rodríguez
51:03 Looking at Batting Average on Hard-Hit Balls
55:34 Power Outages: Ke'Bryan Hayes, Ryan McMahon & Andrew Benintendi
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DVR and Al look into how Matt McLain and Casey Schmitt stack up against other hitters in the shortstop pool, and they make the case for adding Jake Burger in a wide swath of leagues. They also consider the fantasy impact of the returns of Matthew LIberatore, Gavin Stone and Taj Bradley to the majors, and sort through a less-than-inspiring group of streamable pitchers.
Rundown
0:29 Where should Matt McLain and Casey Schmitt be rostered?
12:28 Jake Burger’s return and other lineup developments
23:33 Josh Lowe is the No. 4 Roto outfielder?
28:09 Rotation developments
42:33 Streamers/two-start pitchers
54:34 Closer corner
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Eno and DVR discuss the sticky stuff suspension for Domingo Germán, a new source of saves for the Yankees, a few surprisingly valuable pitchers, the actual benefit of LODEM, treating Jacob deGrom like an elite reliever, Emmanuel Clase's low strikeout rate, and more.
Rundown
0:56 Domingo Germán's Sticky Stuff Suspension
12:43 Wandy Peralta is Getting Saves
17:22 Surprising Pitchers: Earned Auction Values
22:54 The Actual Case for LODEM
27:51 Alek Thomas Demoted to Triple-A
33:24 Lance Lynn's Gradual Decline
38:05 The Importance of Updating & Adjusting Models
48:16 Matthew Liberatore is Back
52:13 Concerned About Emmanuel Clase's Strikeout Rate?
55:28 Should We Value Jacob deGrom Like an Elite Reliever?
59:06 Shallow League Decisions & Gunnar Henderson
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DVR, Eno and Welsh breakdown Matt McLain's Reds debut and his value rest of season. We're also talking Dynasty strategies, how to approach prospect pitchers and more.
Rundown
0:52 Matt McLain
10:11 Souring on Tovar
12:17 Elly De La Cruz
14:25 More prospects coming for the future
18:58 What happened to Brandon Williamson
20:53 Eury Pérez
25:31 Eury Pérez's Curveball
28:34 Today's run environment
32:26 Pitching prospects in dynasty
38:02 Investment in pitching prospects
41:12 Lodem or Ledom?
43:10 Jake Eder
47:40 Listener dynasty questions
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Eno and DVR discuss the injury to Drew Rasmussen and another test for the Rays' pitching depth, the return of James Paxton , the growth of Mitch Keller, and the tension between rest-of-season projections and growing samples of over- and underperforming players.
Rundown
6:41 Drew Rasmussen's Injury
11:01 Taj Bradley & The Rays' Pitching Depth
20:31 James Paxton is Back! Is James Paxton Back?
25:32 Mitch Keller's Past Calendar Year
34:22 DVR Joins Eno's Skeptical View of Alek Manoah
40:40 Rest of Season Projections: Navigating Risky Rebounds & Coping with the Buzzkill
53:41 Buying High Despite ROS Projections?
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DVR and Al discuss how much FAB they think should be dedicated towards adding just-promoted Marlins pitching prospect Eury Pérez and consider the fallout from Max Fried’s forearm injury. They also look at several infield options, including Orlando Arcia, Nick Pratto, Casey Schmitt and Andy Ibáñez. DVR and Al walk through the pitching options on waivers (other than Pérez) and assess the Phillies’ closer situation.
Rundown
0:32 How much FAB should we dedicate to Eury Pérez?
6:15 Other news items of note
23:56 Lineup developments
37:51 Pitchers of interest
44:54 Streamers/Two-start pitchers
51:49 Closer Corner
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Eno and DVR discuss the Twins' decision to send Jose Miranda to Triple-A, Casey Schmitt's place in the Giants' infield mix, the rapidly rising number of injured pitchers, a Phillies bullpen bracing for the absence of Jose Alvarado, budgeting in-season FAB resources, the struggles of Corbin Burnes and the likelihood of a rebound back toward previous levels, and much more.
Rundown
0:55 Jose Miranda: Optioned to Triple-A
8:34 Casey Schmitt: Homers in Debut, DVR's Corrected Comp
13:08 Brett Wisely v. David Villar
18:48 Jacob deGrom: Could Return in 2-3 Weeks; Then What Happens?
21:52 Significant Injuries Mounting Among Starting Pitchers
25:07 Changing Pitching Strategy in the Future?
34:44 Jose Alvarado Placed on IL with Elbow Injury
38:28 Becoming More Disciplined with In-Season Resources
44:16 Examining Corbin Burnes' Strange Start to 2023
51:26 Will Pitch Clock Push Older Starters Out of the Game Sooner than Expected?
57:23 IP Leaders Since 2017
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DVR, Eno and Welsh talk about Bryce Miller's pitch mix, Eno's conversation with him and why he struggled at Double-A. Are the Rays messing with Taj Bradley? Plus we've got some listener questions and tons more.
Rundown
0:34 - Bryce Miller
2:23 - What is a Gyro slider
3:53 - What Savant says about Millers pitch mix vs what it really is
6:55 - Why Bryce Miller struggled at AA according to Bryce
13:14 - What's going on with Taj Bradley
20:23 - If minot league stats aren't sticky, can we trust stat driven prospect lists?
26:21 - Ben Brown
30:06 - Is Liberatore the next big FAAB pitcher
30:42 - DVR only likes bad pitchers
35:51 - Eury Perez
37:01 - Can a high K and high BB pitcher like Edward Cabrera work?
44:09 - Can Chase Silseth be DVR's bad pitcher?
46:47 - Casey Schmitt
50:53 - Can Dominic Fletcher take real time away from Alek Thomas?
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Eno and DVR discuss the Cardinals' unusual decision to move Willson Contreras out of the catcher rotation (at least temporarily), the struggles of Jack Flaherty, a return to the big leagues for Christopher Morel and Luis Ortiz, and several mailbag questions.
Rundown
1:14 Willson Conteras: Moving Off Catcher, For Now?
7:59 Failures in Logic
12:44 Jack Flaherty's Ongoing Struggles
20:31 Luis Ortiz Back in the Pirates' Rotation
23:41 Christopher Morel is Back with the Cubs
28:02 Matt Strahm to the Bullpen?
30:09 Jack Suwinski Comp?
32:46 Cody Bellinger's Rebound; Statcast Numbers
36:47 Brandon Woodruff Injury Update
40:33 Jarren Duran: Post-Hype Sleeper?
44:45 Drew Rasmussen: Model Numbers v. Ranking
48:28 Falling Behind Season IP Pace
52:25 Aaron Judge is Coming Back on Tuesday
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DVR, Eno and Al discuss the latest round of prospect callups, including Matt Mervis, Bryce Miller, Brandon Pfaadt and Gavin Stone, and share their approaches for determining FAB bids. They also talk about the two latest additions to the Twins’ rotation and assess the coming week’s cohort of streamable pitchers.
Rundown
1:04 This week’s big callup news
16:59 Deeper-league hitter callups
22:33 Should we stash Christian Encarnacion-Strand?
26:24 Lineup developments
28:35 Notable pitchers
45:10 Streamers/two-start pitchers
55:42 Bullpen report
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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