Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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Eno and DVR discuss Alek Manoah's return to the mound in the Florida Complex League before digging into some of the most surprising hitters from the first half of 2023, and considering the value of 'Best Speed' as a better snapshot of a player's quality of contact than average exit velocity.
Rundown
0:56 Alek Manoah's Game Action Resumes in FCL
5:51 Jonah Heim and Elias Díaz
9:32 Josh Naylor: Will Supporting Cast Limit His ROS Value?
14:43 Yandy Díaz: Groundball Rate Back to 2022 Levels
20:32 Spencer Steer
29:07 Targeting "Obvious Buy-Low" Players
32:45 Luis Arraez
34:54 Bryson Stott: Further Room for Improvement?
41:20 Lane Thomas & Surprising Outfielders
45:03 Esteury Ruiz: Will He Top ROS Stolen-Base Projections?
53:46 Jake Fraley's Success in Cincinnati
55:30 Jorge Soler: Buying K% Improvements?
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DVR, Eno and Welsh are looking at prospect promotions, Druw Jones vs Colt Keith, Dylan Crews/Paul Skenes fantasy value and more.
Rundown
Colt Keith - 1:20
Dustin Harris - 9:50
Noelvi Marte - 21:28
Jared Jones - 26:48
Druw Jones Injury - 31:33
Colt Keith or Druw Jones? - 38:56
Ronny Mauricio - 42:09
Dylan Crews and Paul Skenes fantasy rank - 48:07
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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Jordan Westburg and expectations for his offensive performance throughout the second half of the season, the 2023 success of Braxton Garrett, and several second-year bats.
Rundown
4:24 Jordan Westburg Gets the Call to Baltimore
12:39 Would You Rather? (Westburg Edition)
19:17 Concerns About Tim Anderson's Shoulder
22:39 Braxton Garrett's Improved K% and BB%
31:26 Another Atlanta Rotation Flip-Flop?
36:42 Julio Rodríguez: Still a First-Rounder for Second-Half Drafts?
43:05 Bobby Witt Jr.: More AVG + OBP Coming Soon?
47:10 Michael Harris II: Getting Back on Track
49:21 Corbin Carroll: Top-10 Overall Player?
53:29 Adley Rutschman & Gunnar Henderson
59:14 Josh Jung: Everything Is Better
1:04:30 Spencer Torkelson: Big Second Half Coming?
1:08:09 A Pod Divided! CJ Abrams' Outlook
1:11:56 Shea Langeliers: Better Than Surface Numbers Suggest?
1:14:38 Nick Pratto: Some Good News in KC?
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DVR and Al assess the potential fantasy impact of several recently-promoted prospects, including catchers Henry Davis and Bo Naylor. They also discuss where Joey Votto, Alek Thomas and Jesse Winker should be added, now that each is back on their active major league roster. DVR and Al size up the pitching options on waivers, including Graham Ashcraft, Jameson Taillon, Paul Blackburn and Bryan Woo, and look into the closer situations in Arizona and St. Louis.
Rundown
0:53 Top news items of the week
21:40 Hitters of note
38:04 Pitchers, including streamers and two-start pitchers
56:15 Closer corner
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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Eno and DVR discuss Vinnie Pasquantino's season-ending shoulder injury, several starting pitchers whose results don't line up with the quality of their arsenals, and the potential drawbacks of becoming too pull-happy at the plate.
Rundown
1:12 Vinnie Pasquantino's Shoulder Injury; Long-Term Outlook
9:58 Samad Taylor and Dairon Blanco Get a Look in KC
11:27 Sandy Alcantara's 2023 Struggles
21:39 Yu Darvish: Is Anything Wrong?
25:59 Kyle Bradish: What is His Ceiling With Current Fastball Limitations?
34:25 Nestor Cortes: Post-IL Expectations
37:46 Pull%: Is Their a Goldilocks Range?
48:51 Ozzie Albies' 2023: Categorical Surprises
52:49 Zach Eflin's Adjustments in Tampa Bay
56:50 TJ Friedl: How Does He Fit as Reds' Roster Improves?
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DVR, Eno and Welsh get breaking news as the show starts that Gavin Williams is being called up to start on Wednesday. We also take a look at Emmet Sheehan's debut, Henry Davis vs Bo Naylor and Welsh's updated Dynasty ranks.
Rundown
Gavin Williams called up - 0:50
Bo Naylor is back - 6:41
Henry Davis vs Bo Naylor - 11:34
Emmet Sheehan - 20:55
Dynasty Rank changes - 32:01
Pitchers lower in dynasty - 40:56
Jarred Kelenic in dynasty - 45:08
Minor league stat and development problems - 51:27
Grayson Rodriguez - 59:02
Jose Miranda - 1:00:00
Vaughn Grissom - 1:02:11
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DVR and Al look into the fantasy impact of the two latest prospect callups, Emmet Sheehan and Luis Matos. They also discuss the recent improvements Spencer Torkelson has made and Spencer Strider’s home run problem. DVR and Al finish up with a preview of next week’s streamable pitchers and some analysis of the bullpen situations for the White Sox, Angels and Rays.
Rundown
0:56 Prospect promotions: Emmet Sheehan and Luis Matos
13:48 The other big news
29:34 Hitters to consider
37:03 Starting pitchers of note
44:13 Two-start pitchers/streamers
56:41 Closer corner
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the 'reverse boycott' put together by A's fans on Tuesday night and the future of baseball in Oakland if the team relocates to Las Vegas. Plus, they consider potential mulligans for the 2023 season as the midway point of the season draws closer.
Rundown
2:58 Eno Attends the Reverse Boycott in Oakland
12:07 Hogan Harris is Chewing Up Innings for the A's
17:56 Midseason Mulligans; Mid-Tier Middle Infielders
30:00 Underestimating Position Player Injury Risk
37:15 Incorrect Assumptions About Team Behavior
39:30 Playing More Importance on Pitcher K%
42:52 DVR's Corbin Carroll (2023) and Bobby Witt Jr. (2022) Missteps
49:53 Matt Olson's Increased Strikeout Rate
53:50 Isaac Paredes' Good Results v. Poor Statcast Numbers
1:00:37 xBA v. BABIP
1:03:09 Splitting CF From OF Positions
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/rates and get on your way to being your best self.
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Eno, DVR and Welsh look at how close Luis Matos and Emmet Sheehan are to the bigs. Plus Coco Montes as a deep league option, Eury Pérez timeline becomes clearer & more.
Rundown
Who is Coco Montes? - 1:15
Owen White Call-up - 9:08
Could Jack Leiter be next? - 14:41
Eury Perez's timeline - 17:46
Mike Vasil - 24:40
Emmet Sheehan - 28:36
Luis Matos - 33:09
Marco Luciano Buy-low? - 40:57
Tyler Soderstrom - 42:42
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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Eno and DVR discuss Quinn Mathews' 156-pitch complete game at Stanford, several players experiencing a downturn in power as the middle of June approaches including Tim Anderson, José Abreu, Eugenio Suárez, Kyle Tucker and Manny Machado. Plus, they answer several mailbag questions, including inquiries about Ryan Mountcastle and Bobby Miller.
Rundown
0:30 Quinn Mathews Throws 156 Pitches in College Playoff Game
6:43 A Look Back at Pitcher Abuse Points
16:01 Where Did Tim Anderson's Power Go? Will It Return?
21:21 José Abreu: Any Signs of Turnaround?
24:14 Eugenio Suárez: Summer Homer Binge Coming?
30:19 Kyle Tucker: Time to Tinker Again?
37:01 Manny Machado: Is Lost Power Entirely the Result of Injury?
42:32 Mike Trout: Zero Cause of Concern About Power?
45:37 Other Power Fallers; Fewer Reasons for Optimism
48:10 What's Up with Jeremy Peña?
55:02 Mailbag Monday: José Ramírez, Ryan Mountcastle, Bobby Miller
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $2/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/rates and get on your way to being your best self.
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