Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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DVR and Al weigh how much FAB fantasy managers should part with for Elly De La Cruz and how to plan FAB spending in leagues where managers are already running low. They look into the recent resurgences experienced by Gary Sánchez and Aaron Hicks, and identify a few starting pitchers who are worth streaming in the coming week.
Rundown
0:16 Elly De La Cruz Week continues
4:19 Navigating FAB when you’re almost broke already
11:40 Other notable news items
15:22 Hitters to consider
40:28 Starting pitchers of note
53:16 Streamers/two-start pitchers
59:02 Closer corner
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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Eno and DVR discuss Jacob deGrom's upcoming elbow surgery, the outlook for his future as he tries to return in late 2024 or early 2025, the Blue Jays' attempt to press the reset button for Alek Manoah, the struggles of slow tempo starting pitchers in Year 1 of the pitch clock, the rebound of José Berríos, Austin Hays' big barrel rate improvement, and looking at recent snapshots of Statcast data in hopes of spotting trends.
Rundown
0:53 Jacob deGrom to Have Another Elbow Surgery
6:14 Planning for the Eventual Comeback
13:10 Injury Risk Tolerance is Relative
15:33 Examining Slow Tempo Starting Pitchers
20:33 Who Else Has Struggled This Much and Made It Back?
27:03 Losing Stuff & Recovering It
32:56 Buying the José Berríos Rebound?
36:03 Austin Hays' Big Barrel Rate Improvement
48:36 Splitting Statcast Numbers Into Smaller, Most Recent Samples
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DVR, Eno and Welsh welcome in the debut and expectations for Reds top prospect Elly De La Cruz. Andrew Abbott vs AJ Smith-Shawver, listener mailbag and more!
Rundown
0:34 Elly De La Cruz
4:55 Eno is the Elly ice-man
9:08 Is Elly more Javy Baez or Tatis Jr?
21:11 Elly or Volpe ROS
22:56 Reds future lineup
29:52 Andrew Abbott
34:26 AJ Smith-Shawver or Abbott ROS
39:09 Will Eury stay in Marlins rotation?
51:11 Luken Baker
53:43 Henry Davis to Triple-A
61:00 Listener Questions
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
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Eno and DVR discuss another wave of pitching prospects that have arrived in the big leagues including Andrew Abbott, Reese Olson, Bryan Woo and AJ Smith-Shawver. Plus, they discuss a few tough rankings from Eno's June Starting Pitcher Rankings update, and mailbag questions about Jazz Chisholm Jr., Luis Robert, and Taylor Ward.
Rundown
1:15 Andrew Abbott Gets the Call
3:41 Reese Olson Pitches Well in MLB Debut
7:55 Bryan Woo's Tough Debut
14:32 AJ Smith-Shawver Arrives in Atlanta
19:47 Will the Yankees Continue to Show Patience with Anthony Volpe
27:48 Two Bad Months, Four Good Ones
35:18 Bad Injury Luck for the Brewers?
39:15 Jackson Chourio's Chances of a 2023 Debut
41:16 Banking on a Big Summer From Freddy Peralta?
49:12 Where Did Aaron Nola's Strikeouts Go?
54:47 Tough Rank: Nathan Eovaldi
58:13 Can We Trust Michael Kopech's Turnaround?
1:02:43 Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Long-Term Outlook
1:07:18 Where Are Luis Robert Jr.'s Stolen Bases?
1:10:57 Taylor Ward's Disappointing 2023
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DVR and Al weigh their interest in adding Royce Lewis and Jordan Walker in shallower leagues and discuss their approaches to FAB bidding for AJ Smith-Shawver. They also gauge their interest in adding the Tigers’ Akil Baddoo and Zach McKinstry, as well as Reds righty Ben Lively and Braves southpaw Jared Shuster. DVR and Al conclude with some difficult two-start dilemmas and a few closer candidates to consider.
Rundown
0:59 Top developments heading into the weekend
16:54 Hitters to consider
31:48 A few starting pitchers of interest
38:47 Start/sit dilemmas for two-start Hunter Greene and Nestor Cortes
45:40 Two-start pitchers
55:26 Closer corner
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of AJ Smith-Shawver, a pair of key injuries for the Tigers with Eduardo Rodriguez and Riley Greene heading to the IL, another injury for Harrison Bader, the pitch mix of Grayson Rodriguez, and several second-chance league surprises -- including big risers Joe Ryan, Esteury Ruiz, Josh Lowe, and Merrill Kelly.
Rundown
1:10 AJ Smith-Shawver Joins the Braves
7:55 Eduardo Rodriguez's Finger Injury; Tarik Skubal Nearing Rehab Assignment
12:28 Opportunity for Reese Olson?
16:56 Riley Greene's Breakout Slowed by Tibia Injury
20:42 Colt Keith Time?
30:08 Harrison Bader Goes Back to the IL
37:43 Grayson Rodriguez's Pitch Mix
42:20 Second-Chance League Surprises
48:02 A Detour to Discuss Luis Medina
53:05 Esteury Ruiz Rising Up Boards in Second-Chance Leagues
58:20 Josh Lowe's Move Up; ROS Expectations
64:17 Merrill Kelly's Strikeout Rate Surge
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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DVR, Eno and Welsh are back for a Project Prospect trade edition. We're looking at long-term trade for and away options. We're also discussing Royce Lewis' rest-of-season value, Bobby Miller and more.
Rundown
3:27 Royce Lewis
12:59 Royce vs McLain and Elly talk
18:36 Bet on Royce or Elly ROS
19:32 Bobby Miller
21:25 Rank these prospect pitchers ROS
28:11 Hunter Brown
34:04 Pitchers to target in trades
37:22 Nick Lodolo
38:22 Trading Justin Verlander
41:31 Buying Pfaadt and Grayson
43:38 Oneil Cruz
44:45 wRC+ buys
50:00 Drew Gilbert
59:27 wRC+ vs age/level
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
Subscribe to The Athletic at $2/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Head to factormeals.com/rates50 and use code rates50 to get 50% off your first box
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Eno and Al discuss Bobby Miller’s major league debut and consider if he needs to be added to all leagues where he is available. They also discuss Julio Teheran’s return to the majors, a pair of widely-available leadoff hitters, Eno’s ongoing fascination with Rougned Odor and a surprisingly robust week for streaming two-start pitchers.
Rundown
0:42 Bobby Miller debuts
4:30 Other recent news items
17:21 Lineup developments
34:16 Pitchers of note
42;38 Streamers/two-start pitchers
55:03 Closer corner
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and Welsh discuss a couple of Statcast anomalies, and deep dive into a listener question of the how trust worthy Statcast pages really are. We're also digging into Bryce Miller, Michael Kopech and more.
Rundown
1:53 - The curious case of Ke'Bryan Hayes Statcast page
8:21 - Will Ke'Bryan ever live up to his Statcast page?
12:13 - Top and Bottom 10 Barrel % leaders
14:20 - What Eno looks for to determine future power
19:09 - The curious case of Bryce Elder's Statcast page
20:27 - Eno's first time looking at Statcast pitcher sliders
26:20 - Statcast percentile screen shots
28:27 - Prospect who beat projection
34:22 - Expected stats and Projections
36:12 - Stuff+ variance over the season
39:08 - Bryce Miller
42:45 - Bryce Miller release point vs the league
46:07 - Bryce Miller vs Jacob DeGrom pitch release points
50:42 - Michael Kopech success
54:57 - Andrew Abbott's 21 WHIFF Wednesday
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DVR, Eno and Welsh look into the big opportunity in LA for prospect pitchers. Is Patrick Bailey someone to watch? Is George Valera underrated? Is this the time to buy Jordan Lawlar? Plus plenty more!
Rundown
1:10 - Gavin Stone's odd outing
9:05 - Rookie pitching game. Welsh vs Eno
15:51 - Bobby Miller debut
22:08 - Emmett Sheehan
25:08 - Is Hayden Wesneski a hold?
30:59 - Is Luis Ortiz good?
35:44 - Forrest Whitley
44:30 - Patrick Bailey
49:42 - George Valera
55:35 - Is now the time to buy Jordan Lawlar
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
Subscribe to The Athletic at $2/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
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