Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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Eno and DVR discuss an excellent battle between rookie starters Bryce Miller and Mason Miller in Oakland on Tuesday night before a rookie pitcher installment of 'Would You Rather'. Plus, they examine some of the biggest risers among starting pitchers from the first month of the season.
Rundown
0:35 Mason Miller v. Bryce Miller
6:11 Would You Rather? Rookie Pitchers Edition
14:21 Per-Pitch Stuff+ Question
19:09 Hayden Wesneski's Low K%
22:16 Will Smith Takes Over As Rangers Closer
29:29 Shifting Toward Rostering Non-Closer Relievers?
35:55 April Risers & Fallers: Hitters
46:34 Jack Suwinski's Rise to Shallow League Relevance
52:48 Brandon Lowe's Elevated K%, Power Returns
57:47 Any Concerns About J.D. Davis & Michael Conforto?
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DVR, Eno and Welsh review some of the biggest rookie performances from April. Who to buy and sell, plus some Dynasty rank overall changes.
Rundown
1:27 - Outman production vs K rate
12:45 - Corbin Carroll
18:28 - Esteury Ruiz
22:31 - Josh Jung's adjustment for more power
26:39 - The "who got demoted" game
29:25 - Oscar Colas
34:04 - Outman vs Colas
42:34 - Could Evan Carter get called up?
50:45 - Wander Franco's dynasty rise
59:33 - What pitchers are left to speculate on in the minors
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
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Eno and DVR discuss some of the biggest risers -- and a few fallers -- among starting pitchers from the first month of the season.
Rundown
0:45 Jacob deGrom Returns to the IL
6:23 Nathan Eovaldi's First Month in Texas
13:51 Dustin May's Rise Up Eno's Rankings
18:50 Freddy Peralta's Velo Returns; Pitch Mix is Strong
23:08 Jesús Luzardo's Step Forward in Miami
26:26 Joe Ryan New Arsenal
28:54 Zac Gallen's Continued Dominance
31:20 Other Big Movers
44:10 JP Sears: Sneaky Fallback Add From April?
50:30 Hunter Brown's First 50 MLB Innings
57:04 Big Fallers in the Rankings
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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DVR and Al consider how aggressively they want to pursue Guardians pitching prospects Tanner Bibee and Logan Allen, now that they have made their major league debuts. They also discuss the shallow-league appeal of Jack Suwinski and Jason Heyward and identify the streamable pitchers with the best upcoming matchups.
Rundown
0:54 Prospect promotions and demotions
22:13 Injury fallout
28:35 Hitter developments
40:14 Notable pitchers
51:09 Streamers and two-start pitchers
1:02:13 Bullpen update
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the excellent start to 2023 for Jarred Kelenic, other young players who may be on the brink of breaking through after initial struggles at the big league-level, Jake McCarthy's demotion, the Rays' approach with Taj Bradley, monitoring command in-game, Pete Alonso's power binge, and the 2023 version of Charlie Morton.
Rundown
0:56 Jarred Kelenic's Year 3 Step Forward
6:27 Looking for Other Young Players Nearing Breakout
14:47 Jake McCarthy's Demotion = Alek Thomas' Extended Opportunity
18:26 An Attempt to Understand the Rays' Approach with Taj Bradley
31:32 What Are Teams Using to Monitor Command During Games?
40:44 Pete Alonso's Early Power Binge
50:32 The 2023 Version of Charlie Morton
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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DVR, Eno and Welsh breakdown some Stuff+ factors to consider for Triple-A pitchers, the latest call-ups and prospects to stash.
Rundown
1:07 - Welsh was on Logan T. Allen before Bibee
3:15 - Tanner Bibee
8:14 - Stuff+ numbers for pitchers who go 50 pitches vs 80 pitches
12:31 - Altitude and it's affect on Stuff+ in the minors
18:16 - Tanner Bibee vs Brandon Pfaadt
31:05 - Michael Busch to the Majors
36:09 - Pirates prospects that could be on their way up
46:14 - Liberatore vs Silseth
52:!6 - Jordan Westburg vs Connor Norby vs Joey Ortiz
1:00:00 - Heston Kjerstad
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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Eno and DVR discuss several players with significantly changed swing rates to begin 2023 before considering the possibility of some toolsy players getting overlooked due to a flaw. They also answer a few mailbag questions, including one in pursuit of cheap sources of power via trade or waivers.
Rundown
1:08 Swing Rate Changes; Juan Soto Concern Level?
6:15 Jorge Mateo's Big Adjustments
9:23 ROS Would You Rather: Mateo or Gunnar Henderson?
12:43 Learning From Adolis García's Continued Success
18:07 Defense Buying Players Longer Opportunities to Adjust
21:53 Scouting + Stats: Finding Extreme Tools
24:56 A Look Into the Future of Will Benson
31:03 Making Sense of Josh Lowe's Changes
36:58 Hitters Going the Wrong Direction with Swing Rate Changes
41:47 Should Jazz Chisholm Jr. Be More Aggressive at the Plate?
44:58 Pitching Drops in 12-Team Leagues
56:08 The Early-Season Pursuit of Power
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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DVR and Al discuss how much to bid on Mason Miller and when to start anticipating the major league debuts of Brandon Pfaadt and Tanner Bibee. They also look at several hitters benefitting from expanded roles and assess the pool of streamable pitchers for the coming week.
Rundown
0:31 It’s Mason Miller Week
6:05 Other pitching prospects to consider
14:20 News items: Bryce Harper/Max Scherzer/Mookie Betts
19:44 Lineup matters
30:20 Notable pitchers to target
39:48 Streamers/Two-start pitchers
53;50 Bullpen update
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Mason Miller to Oakland, Brayan Rocchio and a potentially brief look in Cleveland, an extension for Hunter Greene, another impressive outing from Taj Bradley, Mike Soroka's comeback bid, A.J. Puk's early results in Miami, and a few mailbag questions.
Rundown
1:17 Mason Miller Promoted!
9:20 Brayan Rocchio Gets the Call to Cleveland
11:30 Hunter Greene Extension
13:53 Taj Bradley Continues to Impress
19:01 Adjusting for Alek Manoah's Disappointing Start to 2023
25:45 Josiah Gray's New Pitch Mix
33:49 Trusting A.J. Puk
37:10 Jake Burger's Impressive Power Profile
42:22 Statcast v. FanGraphs' Hard-Hit Rates
49:12 Other Factors to Consider w/Pitching Model
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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DVR, Eno and Welsh are taking a look at Prospects on the fast track. Is Brett Baty here to stay? Zach Neto or Edouard Julien? Plus a now hilarious conversation about Mason Miller vs Brandon Pfaadt minutes before Mason Miller is called up.
Rundown
0:46 - Brett Baty
6:20 - Minor league hard hit hard leaderboard
11:46 - Yeison Morrobel hard hit numbers
14:39 - Lenyn Sosa a thing?
17:39 - Zach Neto
20:24 - Volpe vs Tovar vs Neto
32:29 - Edouard Julien
33:50 - Of course Welsh brings up Corbin Carroll
36:21 - Could Vaughn Grissom go to the outfield?
42:38 - Old crusty vs lottery tickets
45:24 - Matt Mervis vs Nolan Jones
51:28 - Mason Miller vs Brandon Pfaadt
56:38 - Ricky Tiedemann vs Kyle Harrison
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
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