Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Latest Episodes:

Chautauqua's Lubchenco: Foreign stocks poised to carry the next market cycle May 18, 2022

Show notes

Money Life is back for Day 2 from the Morningstar Investment Conference, and the action heats up with more interviews covering wider grounds. A day after T. Rowe Price star manager David Giroux said there's no reason for investors to invest internationally, Chautauqua Capital's David Lubchenco will come back with a counter-attack, talking about how and why foreign stocks are poised to outperform domestics in the next market cycle. Also on the show, Christine Benz of Morningstar on how current market conditions impact retirement planning; two interviews on dividend investing with Scott Davis of Columbia Threadneedle covering domestic stocks and Sid Bhargava of Matthews Asia on overseas opportunities; Ed Rosenberg of American Century ETFs talks about exchange-traded funds and Jonathan Good of the Baird Funds dives into what's happening with small and mid-cap stocks.

T. Rowe Price's Giroux: You don't need international stocks May 17, 2022

Show notes

Money Life travels to the Morningstar Investment Conference in Chicago, where David Giroux, portfolio manager for T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation, kicks things off by saying that most investors have no good reason to buy international stocks, noting that they can instead purchase U.S. multi-nationals, and pointing out that the recent market downturn has made many of those companies significantly more attractive now than they have been in years. The rest of today's lineup from the conference: Will Jacobsen of Toggle.ai -- a fintech investment platform company -- Tony Tursich of Calamos Investments discussing ESG investing, Pete Dietrich of Morningstar Indexes talks about the evolution toward personalized indexing, and Mary Ellen Stanek of the Baird Funds talks about bond investing in a high-inflation, rising-rate market.

Buffalo's Dlugosch: Earnings, more than rates, inflation, will set high-yield's path May 16, 2022

Show notes

Paul Dlugosch, portfolio manager for the Buffalo High-Yield, says that the high-inflation and rising-rate environment has been mostly priced in to the high-yield bond market, which will make the quality and strength of corporate earnings the big determinant of whether the junk-bond market can recover or if it will face troubles that linger to 2023 and beyond. Also on the show, David Trainer of New Constructs fills the Danger Zone with mutual funds that get good star ratings from research firm Morningstar, but which get dangerous ratings from his firm, author Tony Delauney talks about "The No-Regrets Retirement Roadmap," and Corie Colliton, senior industry analyst for Security.org discusses the site's recent survey showing how many people are now investing in cryptocurrency and which surprising demographic groups are joining the trend.

Martin Pring: Today's bear market could last another year or more May 13, 2022

Show notes

Veteran technical analyst Martin Pring of Pring Research says the market is showing signs that the current bear market could be part of a larger, secular bear market. If indeed those long-term trends are bad -- so that the current downturn is part of a larger downtrend rather than a blip in the long-running bull market -- Pring says the current downturn will stick around for 12 to 18 months. Pring also notes that he believes the Bitcoin bubble has popped, though he's not expecting any kind of rebound until more damage has been done to the price of cryptocurrency. Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins -- mostly talking about precious metals investing -- also weighs in on Bitcoin, as does Big Interview guest Jim Masturzo of Research Affiliates, who discusses how investors can and should use alternatives to make progress amid the market troubles. The show also features Bill Kelly, president of the CAIA Association, discussing how many investors place too much importance on having daily liquidity in the funds, without realizing that having short-term access -- which they typically don't use -- for investments they intend to hold for decades has a real cost.

ETFTrends' Lydon: Your portfolio should be dealing with entrenched inflation May 12, 2022

Show notes

Tom Lydon, chief executive at ETFTrends.com, says that with inflation entrenched in the economy right now and not looking like it will go away for several years, investors need to take steps to deal with the impact that global-supply chain issues and more are having on their investment holdings. To that end, he made the VanEck Inflation Allocation fund his "ETF of the Week," noting that the real-asset strategy will diversify a portfolio by going beyond just using gold as an inflation hedge, mixing in commodities and other real assets that won't be so in-synch with the market. Also talking about exchange-traded funds, Dodd Kittsley, national director for Davis Advisors, discusses the evolution of active ETFs and whether investors should expect active strategies to outperform the passive in today's hyper-sensitive market. Danetha Doe, economist for Clever Real Estate, talks about a survey of college students showing that they are wildly inaccurate in the earnings they project for themselves once they graduate and join the real world, and Chuck answers questions from the audience spurred by the market's downturn in 2022.

Invesco's Levitt: 'The process is playing out,' but recovery won't be overnight May 11, 2022

Show notes

Brian Levitt, global market strategist for Invesco says that there is some good news in the market -- with signs that the bond market is expecting inflation to slow and ease and other indicators showing promise -- but everyone should be watching the impact of Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes to see how long the current doldrums drag on. Levitt noted that less than 25 percent of companies on the New York Stock Exchange are trading above their 200-day moving average, and that the market typically bottoms out when that number reaches 15 percent, but he noted that commodity prices, interest rates and inflation all must moderate before the market gets to a more solid footing. Also on the show, Professor Pelin Pekgun from the Darla Moore School of Business at the University of South Carolina discusses inflation and how supply chain issues typically get resolved so that an economy can break the cycle of rising prices and shortages to return to normal, Ted Rossman of Bankrate.com discusses the record levels of household debt -- but a surprising drop in credit-card debt -- reported Tuesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and Andy Behar of As You Sow discusses the group's research showing that many social investment funds aren't practicing what their name says they should preach, holding stocks that don't belong in a fund built around current governance standards.

IAA's Zaccarelli: In these times, 'buy-and-hold passive is not a great strategy' May 10, 2022

Show notes

Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for the Independent Advisor Alliance;, says that the current economic situation is different from the Covid meltdown or other recent difficult times because "This time, the Fed doesn't have your back." As a result, investors should not expect a V-bottom to the downturn and a quick bounceback, and investors should be making marginal changes to their portfolios, playing defense and not relying on a rising tide to raise up indexes in the short- and intermediate term. In the Talking Technicals segment, Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at All Star Charts, says that the market needs to see capitulation before it can start to rebuild, and the recent heavy action has not yet represented that kind of market emotion. Also on the show, portfolio manager Lance Cannon of Hood River Capital Management talks small-cap stocks in the Market Call, and Chuck talks crypto and more in the Weird Financial News.

John Bonnanzio: Best advice right now is 'Sit on your hands' May 09, 2022

Show notes

John Bonnanzio, editor at Fidelity Monitor & Insight, says investors need to be as cautious as possible right now, focusing in on their investment time horizon so that they can ride out the potential downturns on the table in the short- and intermediate-term as the market sorts out the high-inflationary environment. Bonnanzio notes that investors with long time frames may want to consider how some of Fidelity's biggest-name large-cap funds are already in bear market territory, which actually has them priced relatively cheap and poised for a profitable bounce-back once the market sorts current conditions out. Also ont he show, David Trainer of New Constructs puts two stocks in the same industry - Equinix and Digital Realty Trust -- into the Danger Zone, and Larry Swedroe of Buckingham Wealth Partners discusses his latest book, "Your Essential Guide to Sustainable Investing."

MacroTides' Welsh: Recession isn't a sure thing, but continued slowing is May 06, 2022

Show notes

Jim Welsh, macro strategist at Smart Portfolios and the author of MacroTides, says he still believes the market can rally during the last half of the year, but he says investors have to respect the current downtrend, which is likely to get worse before any bounceback. Welsh notes that consumer savings should help absorb inflation, business spending is up, demand is higher and he believes the economy has enough internal strength to avoid recession so long as the Federal Reserve doesn't have to raise rates above 2.5 percent. If rates rise higher, Welsh says it could lead to a recession in 2023. Also on the show, John Cole Scott, chief investment officer at Closed-End Fund Advisors discusses how to find the right issues to deal with the rising-rate, high-inflation conditions, Chuck discusses some things that he has never head said by experts during the first 10 years of the show, and Janet Brown of FundX Investment Group discusses funds, ETFs and the "upgrading" investment style in the Market Call.

Region's McKnight: Investors must adjust expectations and portfolios May 05, 2022

Show notes

Alan McKnight, chief investment officer at Regions Asset Management says that "the path forward is different than the path we have been on," and that investors must now keep inflation and interest rates "top of mind" as they rethink what is possible and reasonable for the market. He noted that Regions' forecast of returns of 1.5 to 2 percent annualized gains for bonds and roughly 6 percent average gains for stocks over the next decade, which along with heightened volatility will be hard for many investors to stomach. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a long-running, big-name dividend-paying fund his ETF of the Week, Chuck answers a listener's question about investing in I-bonds, and advisor Oliver Pursche of Wealthspire talks about stocks and investing defensively in the Market Call.

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