Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

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Harry Dent: Recession has started, massive market sell-off is coming Jun 02, 2022

Show notes

Noted market bear Harry Dent -- who called for a 50 percent market crash when he was last on the show in late May of 2021 -- says that efforts made to prolong the bull market have exacerbated the trouble that the financial world must now slog through "the crash of our lifetimes." He's calling for a recession and a massive market downturn -- saying the Standard & Poor's 500 is due to fall roughly 85 percent from its peak before it's done -- that has only just begun. Dent foresees a long market rebound starting in a few years driven by a millennial spending boom that, based on demographics, he expects to run from 2024 all the way to 2037. Also on the show, Ed Shill, managing partner at the Wealth Enhancement Group talks a balanced approach to stock investing -- but also notes that he believes the current economy can avoid a recession and that he does not foresee a market crash -- in the Market Call, and Tom Lydon, vice chairman of VettaFi, focuses on industrial metals with his ETF of the Week.

Ally's Bell: Amid market turmoil, there's a shift toward passive investing Jun 01, 2022

Show notes

Lindsey Bell, chief markets and money strategist at Ally Invest, says that investors are engaging in a proverbial flight to quality by moving from the individual stocks and the security picking that fueled their interest in the market during the rebound from Covid to buying indexes and holding the market despite broader declines happening now. It's not the traditional way that investors seek safety, but Bell says that new investors are taking different paths as they get more involved in the market. Also on the show, technical analyst Michael Sincere says he believes recent rallies have been consistent with bear-market upturns and not with a market bottom, noting that he believes a bear market is in the cards before the market can have any meaningful, long-lasting rebound, and New York Times journalist David Gelles discusses his new book, "The Man Who Broke Capitalism: How Jack Welch Gutted the Heartland and Crushed the Soul of Corporate America—and How to Undo His Legacy."

Vanguard's Patterson: Growth's slow return should stave off a recession May 31, 2022

Show notes

Andrew Patterson, senior international economist at The Vanguard Group, says that recession "is not our base case right now," because economic growth is coming in at reasonable levels, even if it is taking longer than the Federal Reserve was hoping for to achieve that healthier level of activity. Patterson thinks GDP growth can be back to its long-term trend levels by the end of the year. Kathryn Kaminski, chief research strategist at AlphaSimplex Group, talks about alternative investing and how the market has turned has done a 180-degree turnaround from the pandemic's early days -- when one of the best strategies involved being long in bonds and short on commodities -- to what is working now. Also on the show, Jessica Bryant, analyst for BestColleges.com, discusses a survey showing how many people are stymied in their ability to change/upgrade jobs by financial factors like gaps in health insurance coverage or a cash cushion that's too small to cover rent during the transition; and Chuck answers a listener's question about how many investments is too many.

John Hancock's Roland expects 'a nice rally' in fixed income through '22 May 27, 2022

Show notes

Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, says the bond market is pricing in 11 quarter-point rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, and with three in the books through May, she believes the Fed will step back from its plan and that rates will not move up as much as anticipated. As a result, she is expecting a bond rally that will help fixed-income play its traditional role as a volatility damper in portfolios. Roland says the economy looks to her like it can avoid recession but the stock market is acting like it has arrived, creating opportunities for a bounce-back in equities later this year. Also on the show, Nicholas Marshi of BDCReporter.com talks about how business-development companies have been stronger than the general market thus far in 2022, and how their prospects look bright in a rising-rate environment that has been building without a lot of potential liquidity and credit-quality issues, and Jonathan Smucker of Marietta Investment Partners mixes top-down and bottoms-up approaches talking stocks in the Market Call.

For the first time in a decade, 'fixed income is back in play' May 26, 2022

Show notes

Ron Sanchez, chief investment officer at Fiduciary Trust Company International, says that while the stock market will remain particularly challenging as it waits to see how successful the Federal Reserve will be in helping to curb inflation and keeping the economic pump primed, the bond market has seen yields rise to levels that are attractive right now despite the higher inflation rates. Sanchez expects the market to improve later this year, but to remain choppy throughout. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com and VettaFi.com makes a brand new actively managed fund from Neuberger Berman his "ETF of the Week," economist, Danetha Doe of Clever Real Estate discusses rent inflation and how renters are struggling with incomes that aren't rising at the same pace as housing costs, and Chuck answers listener questions about the volatility of individual stocks, and about how the size of a nestegg influences allocation decisions.

Sierra's Loeffler: 'We want to be invested' but there's no strength to the market May 25, 2022

Show notes

Doug Loeffler, executive vice president of investment management at Sierra Investment Management, says his firm is mostly in cash right now because current conditions look like a "very sustained equity drawdown," and while he expects to see the market rally later in the year, he says this is a time for investors to take what the market is going to give them, rather than "trying to tell the market what to do." He's part of a wide-ranging show that also features Kathy Chu, correspondent for TruthDAO, discussing the market for NFTs -- non-fungible tokens -- and how much of the attention-grabbing activity may actually be faked; Hope Manion from Fidelity Workplace Consulting talking about how Americans radically underestimate the amount of health-care spending they will do in retirement; and author Nick Maggiulli, whose new book "Just Keep Buying: Proven Ways to Save Money and Build Your Wealth" encourages investors to buy dividend-producing and income-oriented investments in all market conditions, even the rough ones we see now.

Technicals show potential rally before bigger market troubles May 24, 2022

Show notes

In two different interviews today, experts see a market capable of rallying but not necessarily able to hold off a longer-term bearish trend. Market-timer Heeten Doshi, portfolio manager at Doshi Capital Management, says that we're seeing "a day trader's market" -- high on volatility, low on direction and conviction from buyers -- that is poised for "a big bounce" or a bear-market rally because it has been oversold recently. Likewise, Avi Gilburt of ElliottWave Trader sees a rally that could start "at any point now," which could bring some back and forth that gets the market back to record-high territory, though he sees a long-term bear market that will last for years arriving in or after 2024. Also on the show, Anuj Nayar discusses a recent study from Lending Club and PYMNTS showing that more Americans are living paycheck-to-paycheck, including a lot of people with good salaries and high credit scores, and John Augustine, chief investment officer at Huntington Private Bank discusses stocks in the Market Call.

Nervous investors, troubled popular stocks, lessons from Morningstar and more May 23, 2022

Show notes

Greg McBride, chief analyst for BankRate.com, says that while the site's latest survey shows that few Americans are boosting their stock holdings right now, a majority is still as committed to buying stocks as they were a year ago, with more than half of U.S. investors saying they purposely had made no moves in response to current market volatility. In The Big Interview, Ken McAtamney, who runs the William Blair Global Leaders fund, discusses where there are leading companies -- now often trading at discounts -- amid the current market confusion, David Trainer of New Constructs puts Spotify and Pinterest back into "The Danger Zone" because they still have lots of room to fall despite recent setbacks, and Chuck talks about the four lessons he took away from last week's Morningstar Investment Conference in Chicago.

Causeway's Ketterer: 'This could be at time for housekeeping' May 20, 2022

Show notes

In a bonus interview from Money Life at Morningstar, Sarah Ketterer -- chief executive officer at Causeway Capital Management -- warns investors against turning paper losses into real ones, sticking with what has been working or what still has the potential to pan out that an investor saw when they made their purchase, though she acknowledges that playing with a portfolio on the margins and making moderate changes can help weather the storm and take advantage of the inevitable rebound. After that, Money Life returns to its normal programming, with Duncan Farley of the Destra International Event Driven Credit Fund discussing market opportunities now being created by today's troubling market conditions and how that has led his fund to positive performance at a time when almost all traditional funds are down. Also, Regina Conway, consumer expert at Slickdeals, discusses consumer regrets from online shopping, and Jenny Xia Spradling, co-chief executive officer, at FreeWill discusses how evolutions in investing -- most notably cryptocurrencies -- are impacting estate planning.

Investors are entering the market's 'most interesting, terrifying exciting period' May 19, 2022

Show notes

David Snowball, founder of MutualFundObserver.com, says that the current market conditions are challenging investors to make sure they have a handle on what they own and why they own it, because they can't depend on the Federal Reserve to manage a soft landing to current economic challenges. It's one of many highlights as Money Life wraps up its coverage from the Morningstar Investment Conference with more pushback to T. Rowe Price manager David Giroux's Day One comments about the perils and follies of international investing coming from Andrew Foster of the Seafarer Funds and Michael Campagna from Moerus Capital. Also on the show, bond fund manager Janet Rilling from Allspring Global and Fidelity's Sammy Simnegar of Fidelity International Capital Appreciation and Fidelity Magellan. Plus Tom Lydon revisits last week's inflation-driven choice by making a stagflation play his ETF of the Week.

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