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    Business

    Michael Covel’s Trend Following

    Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 15+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading — all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 1200+ episodes.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Ep. 210: Seykota, Harding & the 2014 Trend Following Conference with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 10, 2014
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue Seykota, Harding & the 2014 Trend Following Conference with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 209: Dave Rapach Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 09, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Dave Rapach, an internationally renowned researcher in the area of asset return forecasting. His research is highly cited and published in leading scholarly and practitioner journals in Finance and Economics. Rapach is a Professor of Economics and holds the John Simon Endowed Chair in Economics at the Saint Louis University Chaifetz School of Business.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Why trend following works from an academic standpoint
    • "Publish or perish" and the difficulty of publishing scholarly articles on trend following
    • Early research on trend following, the random walk theory, and Burton Malkiel's "A Random Walk Down Wall Street"
    • Warren Buffett, Bill Dunn, and survivorship bias
    • A paper that Rapach traces to the reintroduction of trend following and technical analysis to the academic community
    • Measuring systematic risk
    • Eugene Fama's recent nobel prize
    • How the trend following world has been neglected by the academic community
    • How Rapach found his way into the academic finance world
    • Covel's experience digging in to trend following research in the early to mid 1990's
    • Some of Rapach's recent papers
    • Why recessions are good for trend following

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 208: Ed Seykota Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 03, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Ed Seykota, a commodities trader, who earned S.B. degrees in Electrical Engineering from MIT and Management from the MIT Sloan School of Management, both in 1969. In 1970 he pioneered Systems trading by using early punched card computers to test ideas on trading the markets.

    The topic is his book Govopoly in the 39th Day.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Trend Following
    • Seykota's concerns about our economy
    • The assimilation model and how Seykota sees assimilation happening today
    • The definition of "govopoly"
    • How Seykota's mentor's work plays into Seykota's work today
    • Thinking about systems
    • What we can do to "fix" the economy, or to at least prepare yourself
    • The exponential curve that assimilation takes
    • Noticing things before they're important
    • Why Seykota doesn't provide a "solution" to the problem and instead advocates for the system to correct itself
    • What we can do as people in response to the system
    • Detroit as a microcosm of the US
    • Ways to make money during the assimilation

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 207: Dominic Frisby Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 02, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Dominic Frisby, a self-proclaimed accidental financial bod, comedian, actor of unrecognized genius, voice of many things, & presenter.

    The topic is his book Life After the State: Why We Don't Need Government.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Frisby's beginnings as an actor and comedian
    • What comedy can teach us about finance and the discipline of clarity
    • How Cuba's currency confusion led the nation to unfortunate circumstances
    • Real estate
    • Other peoples' trust in the state
    • How the poor and needy would be cared for in a society without a state
    • The monopoly on compassion
    • How the state takes a piece of everything
    • "Greed is good", "money is the root of all evil", etc
    • Crony capitalism
    • Predation vs. productivity
    • The influence of lobbyists
    • The duopoly on money by banks and the state
    • Education
    • Bitcoin, digital currency, and taxation

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 206: Harry Dent Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 30, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Harry Dent, a Harvard MBA, Fortune 100 consultant, new venture investor, noted speaker and bestselling author. Harry is the founder and senior editor at Dent Research, where he dedicates himself to identifying and studying demographic, technological, and geopolitical trends.

    The topic is his book The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation Ahead.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Why demographics are so important
    • The definition of the "demographic cliff"
    • Demographic comparisons between the US and Asia
    • Rates of urbanization and GDP in emerging countries
    • The baby boomer generation
    • The Japanese "coma economy"
    • Why the retirement age needs to be raised
    • How real estate in America will never be the same
    • "Die-ers" vs. buyers

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 205: Chris Ducker Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 29, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Chris Ducker, a serial entrepreneur and author of the bestseller, "Virtual Freedom", and more recently, "Rise of the Youpreneur". He owns and operates several businesses, that combined house over 400 full-time employees internationally. He's also a trusted international business mentor, keynote speaker, podcaster, blogger, as well as the founder of Youpreneur.com - the leading personal brand business education company in the world.

    The topic is his book Virtual Freedom: How to Work with Virtual Staff to Buy More Time, Become More Productive, and Build Your Dream Business.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The definition of virtual freedom
    • How Ducker came from the cubicle originally, and how he got to be the location independent entrepreneur he is now
    • How Ducker became a "virtual CEO"
    • The idea of a "superhero syndrome"
    • The idea of a virtual, international staff
    • The process of finding a VA (virtual assistant)
    • The two types of outsourcing
    • Hiring for the role--not for the task
    • Text, audio, and video communication
    • Tim Ferriss and the four-hour work week
    • Developing a location independent lifestyle

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 204: Russell Napier Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 26, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Russell Napier, a consultant with CLSA, who Covel had the good fortune to speak for in 2013 in several cities across Asia. Napier is a global macro-strategist. He definitely comes at it from a different trading perspective than trend following.

    The topic is his book Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Why the average person will never see an interest for their savings again in their lifetime
    • How the choice of equities is made for many
    • How we're not really in a free-market capitalistic world
    • Why Napier thinks we're on the eve of a major deflationary period
    • How the equity bull market causes people to simply not think (or question).

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 203: Bobby Casey Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 22, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Bobby Casey, a consultant on international tax planning, investment immigration, and global citizenship. He has personally lived this lifestyle for over a decade, and now works with seven- and eight-figure entrepreneurs and investors who want to "go where they're treated best".

    The topics are entrepreneurship and travel.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • How Casey found his way to Latvia
    • Travel in general
    • Some of the issues you may encounter during travel
    • Lithuania
    • Holding dual citizenship
    • The advantages of having a passport from another country

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 202: Barry Schwartz Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 21, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Barry Schwartz, an American psychologist and author. He is a professor of Social Theory and Social Action at Swarthmore College. Schwartz's psychological work is right there at the foundation of why any trader or investor will have success.

    The topics are his books The Paradox of Choice: Why More is Less and Practical Wisdom: The Right Way to Do the Right Thing.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Choice and practical wisdom
    • Choice in selecting a mutual fund, and how Schwartz has seen that unfold in corporations
    • The paradox of options
    • Having too much choice
    • Democracy and choice
    • The idea that decision-making has shifted from the expert to the individual
    • Why prescription drugs are marketed to people who can't buy them outright
    • If choice drives clinical depression
    • Expectations
    • The idea of practical wisdom
    • Judgment and discretion in the workplace
    • Wisdom and the education system
    • Having a "script" from your employer that prevents you from thinking outside of the box
    • The importance of working with like-minded people
    • How things have changed since the 2008 financial crisis

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 201: Frank Curzio Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 13, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Frank Curzio of Stansberry and Associates. Curzio is the voice behind S&A Investor Radio, as well as the editor of the Small Stock Specialist.

    The topic is markets and investments.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The CES (Consumer Electronics Show) and upcoming electronics trends
    • Connectivity
    • Narratives
    • Protecting your downside
    • The Federal Reserve and the gold market
    • Netflix, Best Buy, and 4K televisions as a trend
    • Apple
    • Being on the ground, physically going somewhere, and the importance of being there

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

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