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    Business

    Michael Covel’s Trend Following

    Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 15+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading — all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 1200+ episodes.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Ep. 200: Tom Basso Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 10, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Tom Basso, the trader most famously known as "Mr. Serenity" in Jack Schwager's "New Market Wizards". Basso, now retired, was a stock and commodities trader who was president and founder of Trendstat Capital Management. He is the author of two books, "Panic-Proof Investing" and "The Frustrated Investor". Basso became a registered investment advisor in 1980, a registered commodities advisor in 1984, and was elected to the board of the National Futures Association in 1998.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Location independence
    • Making sure trading doesn't take up your entire life
    • Stoicism
    • Trend following in the emotional arena
    • Mental exercises
    • The psychology of trend following
    • The "observer self"
    • The mental aspects of success
    • The importance of being able to lose small amounts of money
    • Why trend following does so well when the black swans hit
    • Basso's daily routine and the importance of routine in daily life. Covel and Basso also go through listener questions such as whether Basso would make the same trading decisions that he did from the start
    • Money management v. trading
    • Tinkering with current systems
    • Knowing when it's a regular drawdown v. something really going the wrong way
    • Whether Basso is a one-system kind of guy v. multiple systems

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 199: Peter Schiff Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 07, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Peter Schiff, an American stock broker, financial commentator, and radio personality. He is CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc., a broker-dealer based in Westport, Connecticut.

    The topic is Federal Reserve policy.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • QE infinity, expectations and Fed overall policy
    • ZIRP
    • Inflation
    • Real estate
    • Foreclosure
    • How the stock market keeps people satiated
    • Protecting the value of the dollar
    • How we can get to effectively negative interest rates
    • The way out of QE infinity (if even possible)

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 198: William Adams Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 04, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets.

    The topic is systematic trading strategies.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The first time Adams got the "trading bug"
    • Early trading strategies
    • Generating alpha
    • The strategies that Adams uses today
    • The "core satellite approach"
    • Why Adams chose options over futures
    • The seasonality of trades
    • Inspirational resources found by Adams
    • The influence of Zurich on Adams, and whether or not Americans can learn a thing or two from the Swiss

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 197: Jack Horner Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 02, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Jack Horner, the world renowned paleontologist. Horner was the technical advisor for all of the "Jurassic Park" films. He is most famous for discovering and naming Maiasaura, providing the first clear evidence that some dinosaurs cared for their young.

    The topics are dyslexia and the process of learning.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Passion
    • Why you'd break open a dinosaur egg rather than hold onto it as precious material
    • How Horner attributes his way of thinking to dyslexia
    • The shapeshifting dinosaur hypothesis
    • "Chickasaurus" and the idea of dinosaurs and chickens intersecting
    • The accuracy of the "Jurassic Park" dinosaurs
    • Whether the T. Rex was a scavenger v. predator
    • How Horner came to his way of thinking

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 196: The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 31, 2013
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 195: The Passenger with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 24, 2013
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue The Passenger with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 194: Dan Ariely Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 23, 2013
    Show notes

    My guest today is Dan Ariely, a professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke. He has given great TED Talks with millions of views. Covel and Ariely discuss irrationality and rationality on today's show, including how we make decisions (with often poor processes).

    The topic is his book Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The irrationality of fundamentals in equity markets
    • The wisdom of crowds, constraints and where else our money can go
    • The awarding of the Nobel Prize to professor Shiller and Fama--two famed professors with very different outlooks--and whether it's irrational or not
    • Macroeconomics vs. microeconomics
    • Lessons learned during his life-threatening burns
    • Why people lie
    • Why the freedom to do whatever we want and change our mind is the shortest path to making bad decisions
    • How 2008 became a constructive tool for Ariely
    • Why Bubbles are some of the most imprecise factors out there
    • Ben Bernanke

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 193: Gerd Gigerenzer Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 19, 2013
    Show notes

    My guest today is Gerd Gigerenzer, the director of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, and a former professor of psychology at the University at Chicago. Gerd is also the director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy (read David Harding the head of trend following firm Winton Capital).

    The topic is heuristics.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Uncertainty
    • Comparing decisions to baseball (gaze heuristic)
    • Complex problems and simple solutions
    • Using price action as a decision making cue
    • Unconscious heuristics
    • The art of knowing what one doesn't have to know
    • The less is more effect
    • The miracle on the Hudson River a few years ago as a case in point illustrating heuristics
    • The idea of an adaptive toolbox
    • The element of surprise in Gigerenzer's work
    • The distinction between risk and uncertainty
    • Intuition vs. rationality

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 192: Dan Collins Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 15, 2013
    Show notes

    My guest today is Dan Collins, a 25-year veteran of the Futures industry, founder of the Dan Collins Report, and most recently was named Editor-in-Chief of Futures Magazine.

    The topic is trading.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Why the mainstream media seems to not even attempt to hide the bias and the propaganda against the styles and types of trading in the worlds that Covel and Collins occupy (i.e. trend following, systematic, managed futures, etc.)
    • A particular Bloomberg article which attacked managed futures and alternative strategies
    • Why articles like these are an attack on the average investor

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 191: Eric Crittenden Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Dec 08, 2013
    Show notes

    My guest today is Eric Crittenden, a Founding Partner responsible for managing all research, risk quantification and trading operations. He's also been featured in Covel's own Little Book of Trading.

    The topic is a white paper that was originally released in 2005 that concerns trend following on stocks.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The decision to do research into trend following on equities, and the background behind the white paper
    • Why others weren't trading equities with a trend following strategy at the time, and why there's been a sea change in the industry now
    • Stress tests
    • How Critenden's models and datastreams apply to a model
    • If Crittenden sees anything on the horizon that takes trend following on equities in a suboptimal direction, and where he sees it going in the future
    • Whether Crittenden's work is all price driven and all systematic
    • The amount of human judgment involved in Crittenden's strategy
    • Why this strategy works if it's based on inefficiencies in the market, and Eugene Fama just won a Nobel Prize regarding the markets being efficient
    • Why exposure management is more important than the entries and exits themselves
    • The importance of blocking out distractions.

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

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