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    Business

    Michael Covel’s Trend Following

    Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 15+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading — all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 1200+ episodes.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Ep. 230: Mark Minervini Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 19, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Mark Minervini, a technical analyst, acclaimed author, instructor, and independent trader. He has over 30 years of experience in finance, and was featured in Jack Schwager's Stock Market Wizards; Conversations with America's Top Stock Traders.

    The topic is his book Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard: How to Achieve Super Performance in Stocks in Any Market.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Importance of influences outside of the finance world
    • Minervini's atypical background in music and how he got to where he is today
    • Capturing 'super performance' and the trend
    • The importance of cutting your losers short
    • How Minervini spends his day
    • Richard Love and 'super performance' stocks
    • Why Minervini is not a fan of diversification beyond the minimum amount that you can get away with
    • Richard Donchian, Jesse Livermore and their influence on Minervini
    • Timeless strategies
    • Paul Tudor Jones and 'losers average losers'
    • The importance of not just trading what you know
    • 'New high ground' and not being afraid of buying higher highs
    • Risk management and bet sizing
    • The biggest areas where new traders often start off on the wrong foot
    • Howard Lederer and poker players as an analogy to traders
    • Why you shouldn't even turn on the television as a stock trader

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 229: William Adams Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 16, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets.

    The topic is trading.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • If Adams views himself as a trend following trader
    • Why the word futures can be problematic
    • Broad diversification and diversifying on a number of different tiers
    • Risk-based diversification
    • Why making sure you're in the game is the most important factor
    • Why every business is seasonal
    • Why price is the most important aspect to a trade
    • How Adams has (or doesn't have) the "expertise" to trade certain markets
    • Informing your system of various events as a quantitative or systematic trader
    • Thinking about Adams' strategy in the context of evolution
    • Core baskets vs. satellite baskets
    • The adaptive aspect of what Adams does
    • The philosophical and operational aspects of volatility
    • Average true range as a volatility measure
    • Trading to make a return vs. trading as an economist
    • Adams' greatest areas of challenge and frustration
    • Michael Lewis and whether the markets are "rigged"
    • Execution strategy

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 228: The Vocabulary of The Media with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 13, 2014
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue The Vocabulary of The Media with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 227: Justin Fox Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 09, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Justin Fox, an American financial journalist, commentator, and writer born in Morristown, New Jersey. He is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former editorial director of the Harvard Business Review Group and business and economics columnist for Time magazine.

    The topic is his book The Myth Of The Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Harry Markowitz, Bayesian statistics, and making smart decisions in an uncertain world using quantitative tools
    • Stocks, beta, and the importance of making useful predictions
    • Commodities Corporation and trend following trading in the early 1970's
    • Why a market in which everyone was rationally anticipating the future would be a random market
    • Amos Hostetter
    • How the behavioral mindset started to unfold in the 1970's
    • Eugene Fama and the efficient market hypothesis
    • The Capital Asset Pricing Model
    • Why well-designed markets and well-informed investors are prone to manias and panics
    • Individuals making errors vs. the group getting it right

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 226: The Whipsaw Guy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 04, 2014
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue The Whipsaw Guy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 225: Thomas Gilovich Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Apr 02, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Thomas Gilovich, an American psychologist who is the Irene Blecker Rosenfeld Professor of Psychology at Cornell University. He has conducted research in social psychology, decision making, behavioral economics, and has written popular books on these subjects.

    The topic is behavioral economics.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • How his world dovetailed into money and markets
    • Basketball, streak shooting, and the "hot hand"
    • Randomness and the clustering illusion
    • The missing Malaysian Airlines flight and probability
    • The reluctance to accept a probabilistic view of the world
    • Politics, predictions, and probabilities
    • People who see the world in black and white
    • Drawing conclusions from incomplete and unrepresentative evidence, and how to avoid that folly
    • The position of the devil's advocate, and the importance of that role
    • Gilovich's response to the media's talking heads, and their often black and white opinions
    • Behavioral economics vs. traditional economics
    • When people do the wrong thing because the public demands it
    • Bill James and the closer
    • Instinct vs. considered judgment and test taking
    • Irrationality in financial markets and bubbles
    • Loss aversion
    • Why you don't need to be better than the market

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 224: Tom Dorsey Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Mar 29, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Tom Dorsey, the co-founder of Dorsey, Wright & Associates in 1987. Dorsey joined Nasdaq Global Information Services with Nasdaq's acquisition of his company in 2015. He has been a regular guest on Fox's "Cavuto on Business" and "Bulls & Bears" programs, and frequently speaks to audiences worldwide on topics related to the stock market, technical analysis, and Relative Strength investing.

    The topics are his books Point & Figure Charting: The Essential Application for Forecasting and Tracking Market Prices, Thriving as a Broker in the 21st Century and Tom Dorsey's Trading Tips: A Playbook for Stock Market Success.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • View of technical analysis, with a specialization in point & figure and relative strength
    • Dealing with a bear market in Dorsey's early days
    • Early training in options; how Dorsey learned about point & figure trading
    • Definitions and explanations of point & figure trading
    • How point & figure works like a tennis match
    • Automating your strategy
    • The criticism of "black boxes"
    • A third grade experiment
    • How Charles Schwab changed the world
    • How technology influences the technical analysis world

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 223: Marc Faber Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Mar 26, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Marc Faber, a Swiss investor based in Thailand. He is the publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report newsletter and the director of Marc Faber Ltd, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.

    The topic is economics.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Current state of Russia
    • Changing geopolitics
    • Faber's experience living through the Cold War
    • The difference between Crimea's value to the west and its value to Russia
    • Why the Russians perceived the uprising in Kiev to be financed by western power
    • China's reaction to the situation in Crimea; the construction boom in China
    • The difficulty of forecasting China's geopolitical changes
    • Positive and negative valuations of the market, and finding investments to be "cheap" or "expensive"
    • Faber's advice to young people following his path today in the face of money printing and bailouts
    • What can be done about wealth inequality
    • Making a living in the face of instant communication and globalization
    • Central banks' role in wealth inequality
    • Why money printing leads to bubbles
    • Warren Buffett's involvement with the bailouts, and how his government connections have helped his investments
    • How governments are assimilating everything
    • "Capitalism and Freedom" by Milton Friedman
    • The cost of large government in the US and elsewhere
    • Faber's views on relationships, contrasting the West and Asia along with Facebook fame

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 222: Martin Bergin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Mar 23, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Martin Bergin, CEO of Dunn Capital Management. Bill Dunn and Dunn Capital were famously profiled in Covel's book Trend Following and they have a 39 year track record of trend following performance.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The early stages of Dunn Capital, and how it arrived where it is today
    • Trend following with futures
    • Volatility within Dunn's system, and why volatility is important to the overall performance
    • Targeting losses
    • How history informs system creation
    • Adapting to the marketplace and to available technology
    • What it means to be 100% systematic with no overrides
    • Defining "black box" systems, and the difference between Dunn Capital's strategy and black box strategies
    • Location in relation to Dunn Capital, and why it isn't necessary to be in a big city like London or Tokyo
    • How the core of Dunn Capital has stayed the same while certain aspects of business has evolved
    • Decreasing drawdown without decreasing profitability
    • Behavioral finance and dealing with biases
    • The adaptive nature of trend following
    • Predictive vs. reactive trend following
    • Dunn Capital's fee structure

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


    Ep. 221: Howard Lindzon Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Mar 18, 2014
    Show notes

    My guest today is Howard Lindzon, a Canadian entrepreneur, author, financial analyst, technical analyst and angel investor. Lindzon manages a hedge fund, serves as managing partner of the holding company Social Leverage, limited partner at Knight's Bridge Capital Partners, and is the co-founder of StockTwits. He's also known for the satirical podcast Wallstrip.

    The topic is entrepreneurship.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The commonalities between the angel investing world and trend following
    • Over-diversification
    • Diversification in private investments vs. stocks
    • How Lindzon got the entrepreneurial "bug"
    • Lindzon's early career as a stockbroker
    • The beginnings of Wallstrip
    • Lindzon's comedy influence
    • How Wallstrip led to the next four years of Lindzon's investments
    • How Lindzon's mistakes helped him grow as an investor
    • Lindzon's experience with fraud committed by a business partner
    • Keeping your business drama-free
    • The issue of distraction
    • Lindzon on the birth of StockTwits
    • The investment that changed Lindzon's financial life in 2005
    • The future of StockTwits as Lindzon sees it
    • Social leverage
    • The art of curation and verticalization
    • Thinking of the financial web as a social bank account

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!


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