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Know Your Risk Podcast — Business
Know Your Risk Podcast

Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/

Copyright: © 2023 Bulwark Capital Management

Latest Episodes:

AI Tokens Are Getting Cheaper. Is That Good News? Oct 14, 2026

Show notes

October 14, 2026 — AI-token prices are falling even as volume grows. Is that evidence the technology is getting cheaper to use—or a warning for businesses carrying huge infrastructure costs? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor weigh the pressure on AI economics against the possibility that, if demand and forecasts hold, the AI trade is still underpriced. They also discuss the hot CPI print, the bond market’s unexpected move, and war-related oil and shipping risks.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com.

Rudy Havenstein: Trump Says Inflation Will Pay the Debt. Who Pays? Oct 14, 2026

Show notes

October 14, 2026 — President Trump says inflation can pay down the national debt. Rudy Havenstein calls inflation “a super regressive default,” arguing that it shifts the cost onto ordinary households while the wealthy are better positioned to benefit.
Zach Abraham and Rudy discuss what official inflation measures miss, the Fed’s role in supporting asset prices, rising wealth inequality, and why Rudy sees “too big to fail” and “too big to jail” as connected problems.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

The Market Is Splitting in Two—and AI Is Driving the Divide Oct 13, 2026

Show notes

October 13, 2026 — The biggest technology stocks continue to dominate the market, while small caps, rate-sensitive businesses and parts of the real economy are telling a very different story.
Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor break down an increasingly divided market: the Magnificent Seven reaching another record while small caps lag, crowded positioning between the Nasdaq and Russell 2000, and why Chase says he’s becoming more bullish on parts of the AI trade after months of valuation concerns.
They also debate the enormous spending behind the AI buildout, what investors may be overlooking in hyperscaler economics, whether chip earnings can continue justifying current prices, and why an economy increasingly divided between AI-linked businesses and rate-sensitive sectors may make the major indexes harder to read.
Plus: energy risks, diesel prices, inflation, interest rates and what the bond market may be signaling next.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Apple Is Worth $4.5 Trillion. Can the Fundamentals Catch Up? Oct 12, 2026

Show notes

October 12, 2026 — Apple is now worth roughly $4.5 trillion and trading around 44 times earnings. Zach Abraham says he’s struggling to make the fundamental math work.Zach and Chase Taylor break down the disconnect between Apple’s enormous valuation, its recent revenue growth, buybacks and capital spending — and debate why investors continue treating the company almost like a safe-haven asset despite a valuation that would historically have been associated with much faster growth.
They also examine continued disruptions in global energy markets, shrinking oil flows through the Strait, pressure on strategic petroleum reserves, why oil remains a major driver of rates and inflation, and the increasingly awkward divide between mega-cap technology stocks and the rest of the market.Later, Zach and Chase return to the concentration problem in U.S. equities and discuss whether today’s largest companies can continue growing into their valuations — or whether time, earnings growth and eventually price will have to close the gap.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

The “Debasement Trade” Is Coming Back. Here’s What That Means Oct 09, 2026

Show notes

October 9, 2026 — Gold, miners and other real-asset trades are beginning to behave differently, even on days when the U.S. dollar is holding up. Zach Abraham says the pattern is starting to resemble a return of the “debasement trade.”
Zach and Chase Taylor explain what that actually means: assets that can benefit when investors become increasingly concerned about inflation, government spending and the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies. They also discuss why today’s cycle looks unusually distorted by massive AI investment, why capital is flowing into parts of Asia at extraordinary rates, and whether investors should be looking more seriously at international markets and real assets.
Later, Zach and Chase examine the latest diesel-policy response, continued disruptions around the Strait and Saudi energy infrastructure, and why Chase — after years of being bearish on long-duration bonds — is getting surprisingly close to becoming tactically bullish.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

AI Spending Is Starting to Move Interest Rates Oct 08, 2026

Show notes

October 8, 2026 — Artificial-intelligence spending has become so enormous that Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor believe it increasingly belongs in the macroeconomic conversation — not just the technology conversation.
Back together in the studio, Zach and Chase examine how massive AI capital spending may be contributing to economic growth and inflation, and why any meaningful slowdown in that spending could eventually matter for bond yields.
They also dig into new questions surrounding OpenAI’s revenue trajectory and financing needs, the widening gap between enormous AI investment and the revenue required to support it, and why the eventual economics of the hyperscalers may look very different from today’s headline growth rates. Their discussion includes significant uncertainty around reported private-company numbers and what those figures do — and do not — tell investors.
Later, Zach and Chase discuss the financialization of everyday life, the explosion of sports betting and prediction markets, and why increasingly speculative financial products are forcing them to reconsider where personal freedom ends and predatory incentives begin.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Inflation Can Shrink the Debt. What Does That Mean for Your Money? Oct 07, 2026

Show notes

October 7, 2026 — Inflation can reduce the real burden of government debt. But that doesn't make the debt disappear — it changes who bears the cost.
Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor are finally back together, and they begin by unpacking the idea that inflation can effectively help governments manage enormous debt loads by reducing the future purchasing power of the currency used to repay them.
That discussion expands into what Zach and Chase see as the next phase of the monetary and fiscal cycle: persistently high borrowing costs, fiscal dominance, the possibility of increasingly unconventional policy responses, and why investors may need to think differently about cash and real assets over the next decade.
They also examine the extreme concentration in U.S. equities, the economic cost of reindustrialization, the extraordinary scale of the AI capital-spending boom, and why today's economy is becoming increasingly difficult to compare with previous investment cycles.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Oil Is Under $90. Why Is 2027 Pricing Still Climbing? Oct 06, 2026

Show notes

October 6, 2026 — WTI crude is back below $90, but farther-out oil contracts are still pushing higher. Chase Taylor explains why the futures curve may be telling a different story from the headline price — and what persistent supply and geopolitical risk could mean for the market further down the road.
Chase breaks down why May and December 2027 oil pricing remains firm even as front-month crude has cooled, then updates the situation in the Strait, where tanker disruptions and changing flows continue to complicate the energy picture.
He also looks at the renewed nuclear-power trade following the Google–Constellation deal, washouts in European financials and emerging-market bonds, and why one of the market’s most crowded small-cap trades may now have a very different risk-reward profile.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

The 10-Year Is Above 5%. Why Aren’t Stocks Falling? Oct 05, 2026

Show notes

October 5, 2026 — Treasury yields have surged above 5%, yet major stock indexes are still trading near record highs. Chase Taylor explains why those two things may not be as contradictory as they first appear.
Chase reframes the rate story by looking at what has happened to nominal economic growth and corporate earnings at the same time. His argument: higher rates are already hurting rate-sensitive parts of the economy, but growth and earnings have accelerated enough that the broader equity market may still be able to absorb the pressure.He also breaks down the strength in the dollar, new highs in mega-cap technology, the latest move in oil, Brazil’s sharp post-election rally, and why he increasingly thinks investors may need to consider risks on both sides of the market rather than preparing only for downside.
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Stocks Were Green. Then the Pros Started Selling. Sep 30, 2026

Show notes

September 30, 2026 — Stocks spent much of the day higher before selling off sharply into the close. Zach Abraham explains why he pays particular attention to the final stretch of trading — when institutional activity becomes more dominant — and why today’s reversal stood out against a backdrop of rapidly rising interest rates.
Zach breaks down why the speed of the move in Treasury yields matters, why higher borrowing costs and energy prices remain a difficult combination for businesses, and why he remains cautious even while major stock indexes continue trading near their highs.
He also discusses market breadth, Apple and the mega-cap trade, precious metals, energy and what he’s watching as markets head into October.
FREE LIVE WEBINAR — THE GAME PLAN
Join Zach Abraham tomorrow, October 1 at 3:30 PM Pacific for The Game Plan — a free live webinar on inflation, interest rates, energy, AI spending and the market risks investors should be watching next.
Register free at KnowYourRiskPodcast.com
Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

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