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Know Your Risk Podcast — Business
Know Your Risk Podcast

Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/

Copyright: © 2023 Bulwark Capital Management

Latest Episodes:

The Theranos Warning Investors Keep Ignoring Oct 28, 2026

Show notes

October 28, 2026 - A brilliant founder. An impressive board. A compelling story. None of those proves the investment works. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor revisit Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos to examine how confidence and famous names can lend credibility to claims investors should be questioning.
A discussion of a Holmes documentary opens a broader conversation about trust, due diligence and why some investors remain willing to back people associated with spectacular failures. What happens when the reputation surrounding a business becomes more persuasive than the evidence behind it?
Elsewhere, Zach and Chase explore a different investing tension: slowing AI spending could improve cash flow for the companies doing the building, even as suppliers benefit from spending more. They examine Oracle’s outlook, debate AI earnings expectations, and react as Microsoft and Alphabet move in opposite directions following their earnings releases.
Plus, rising oil prices, the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady, and the gap between political messaging on affordability and the costs households face.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

AI’s Biggest Threat Might Be Better AI Oct 27, 2026

Show notes

October 27, 2026 - What if the biggest threat to today’s AI winners isn’t fading demand—but technology getting better? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor examine how cheaper chips, more efficient systems and AI’s own breakthroughs could put pressure on the profit margins powering the stock-market boom.
Zach argues that demand for greater computing power could keep expanding while the economics change for the companies supplying it. Chase offers a counterpoint: falling costs can encourage more adoption, and Nvidia’s advantage could prove more durable than skeptics expect. The question is who captures the profits as AI becomes cheaper and more useful.
They also unpack the latest AI fundraising, distinguish operating profitability from the enormous spending required to build these businesses, and question why investors reward some companies for reinvesting while penalizing others. Later, they weigh whether the recent selloff cleared enough crowded positions for a recovery—and why CoreWeave still presents radically different bull and bear cases.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

A Brazil ETF Plunged 38%. They Bought. Oct 26, 2026

Show notes

October 26, 2026 - A political shock sends investors scrambling out of Brazil. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor see a reason to start buying. Chase describes adding a small position in a Brazilian small-cap ETF that fell as much as 38% intraday before closing down roughly 31.6%—and explains why he thinks the selling went further than the underlying businesses justified.
Their argument isn’t that Brazil’s problems disappeared. High interest rates, government deficits and political uncertainty remain real obstacles. The question is whether investors had priced in too much optimism before the election—and then swung too far toward pessimism afterward.
That same search for indiscriminate selling leads them to software stocks, including Adobe, DocuSign and Toast. They discuss how the AI trade could keep pressuring the sector, why company fundamentals still matter, and how stock charts can reveal a turn before the business story becomes obvious.
Plus, conflicting signals from the oil market, the approaching U.S. midterms, and why Zach would consider buying an election-driven selloff if the economy’s biggest spending engines remain intact.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

What If We’re Still Early in the AI Boom? Oct 23, 2026

Show notes

October 23, 2026 - AI stocks have already delivered enormous gains. That doesn’t mean the best evidence points to a top. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain their reluctant bullish case: demand could have much further to run, and some of the companies supplying the buildout look surprisingly inexpensive if projected earnings materialize.
Zach makes the case that widespread adoption of personal AI agents could require vastly more computing power than exists today. Chase explains how using agents in his own work has influenced his outlook—and why he sees a buildout chasing existing demand rather than simply hoping customers arrive.
But their optimism comes with a distinction: growing demand doesn’t protect profit margins. They examine Nvidia, Micron and other potential opportunities while weighing competition, financing pressures and breakthroughs that could make today’s hardware less valuable.
Plus, why they suspect forced selling helped drive this week’s turbulence, the disconnect between uranium prices and mining stocks, and how computing on phones and other devices could change the next phase of AI.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

The AI Boom’s Next Bill Could Land on Shareholders Oct 22, 2026

Show notes

October 22, 2026 - The AI buildout can keep going while shareholders pay a growing price. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor examine Meta’s financing plans and the risk that issuing more stock to fund enormous spending commitments dilutes the investors already holding shares
.
The tension runs through a confusing market session: AI stocks and gold miners fall, Apple rallies, oil climbs and bond yields drop. Is this an economic warning, investors unwinding crowded trades, or a combination of both? Zach and Chase explain why they’re questioning the signals without declaring the AI investment cycle over.
They also debate the opportunity and rising costs in gold miners, assess the market implications of renewed escalation with Iran, and discuss why getting one big call right doesn’t make any commentator worth following blindly—including themselves.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Would Tesla Shareholders Be Funding SpaceX? Oct 21, 2026

Show notes

October 21, 2026 - A Tesla–SpaceX combination could give investors a bigger growth story. But who would actually be funding it? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor unpack the merger talk and question whether Tesla shareholders would be financing SpaceX’s capital demands while still paying a growth-stock valuation.
They separate admiration for Elon Musk’s achievements from the price they’re willing to pay for his companies—and explain why rising revenue doesn’t automatically make an expensive stock a better investment. Chase also examines the upside and risk of renting AI computing capacity through short-term deals instead of locking customers into multiyear contracts.
Later, Zach and Chase question whether stronger Gulf oil shipments represent a lasting recovery, explain why upcoming big-tech earnings matter for the broader market, and investigate an unexpected pocket of strength in hotel REITs.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

Could Falling Oil Prices Unleash the Next AI Rally? Oct 20, 2026

Show notes

October 20, 2026 - The next catalyst for AI stocks might come from the oil market. Chase Taylor explains why an end to the Iran war—and the relief it could bring to energy prices, inflation and borrowing costs—could change the outlook for companies financing the AI buildout.
Flying solo, Chase lays out why AI exposure could serve as a hedge for an energy-heavy portfolio, even after he questioned the trade at higher prices. He digs into both sides of CoreWeave: debt costs that threaten shareholder returns, and customer contracts, continued demand for computing power and potential support from Nvidia that complicate the bearish case.
Plus, why weak housing activity hasn’t produced a nationwide collapse in home prices, and what a broader stock-market rally could mean for companies squeezed by expensive financing.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

AI Can Win. Your AI Stocks Can Still Lose. Oct 19, 2026

Show notes

October 19, 2026 - Believing AI will change the world is one thing. Knowing which stocks will reward investors is another. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain why they can be enthusiastic about the technology while questioning whether today’s AI infrastructure winners belong in a buy-and-hold portfolio.
CoreWeave brings that tension into focus: strong demand for computing power can coexist with expensive borrowing and a fragile business model. Zach and Chase discuss why they favor trading parts of the AI buildout, what makes biotech a different long-term proposition, and the danger of buying the next Cisco while expecting the next Microsoft.
They also debate billionaire stock gifts, corporate taxes and government spending before examining why longer-dated oil prices are putting more pressure on an Iran resolution.
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

They Cut Half Their VIX Hedge—Then VIX Spiked Oct 16, 2026

Show notes

October 16, 2026 - Zach and Chase unpack a market that seemed to ignore mounting risks—until volatility finally jumped. Zach makes a candid confession: they cut their VIX exposure in half the day before the surge. They discuss oil pushing toward $100, rates and options positioning, then look ahead to Big Tech earnings and the question hanging over the AI buildout: can the returns justify the enormous capital it requires?
Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

AI Demand Is Booming. Why Are Token Prices Falling? Oct 15, 2026

Show notes

October 15, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the tension inside the AI boom: demand for compute is rising, but token prices are falling as the industry keeps investing in more capacity. They examine what that could mean for hyperscalers, leveraged neoclouds, and the economics of the buildout. They also discuss the bond market’s response to hot inflation data and the risks of shorter-term Treasury borrowing.

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