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    Sports & Recreation

    Fantasy Baseball from Prospect361.com | MLB Fantasy & Prospect Advice

    Rich Wilson of Prospect361.com brings you the best live Fantasy Baseball show on the Internet. Join Rich and legendary industry expert Tim McLeod every Sunday night at 9:00 p.m. ET as they bring you the best Fantasy Baseball discussion in the industry.

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    Latest Episodes:
    2097 - Hot Prospects of the Week - August 1, 2023 Aug 02, 2023
    Show notes

    1. Jace Jung (Det)
    2. Cameron Cauley (Tex)
    3. Jacob Melton (Hou)
    4. Ethan Salas (SD)
    5. Jared Jones (Pit)


    2096 - Trade Deadline Day Thoughts Aug 02, 2023
    Show notes

    I provide my thoughts in a Marriott Fairfield in Aberdeen MD without my mic. I hope the sound quality is reasonable. If it's not, I'll redo it when I get home on Wednesday.


    2095 - Waiver Wire - July 30, 2023 Jul 31, 2023
    Show notes

    Fantasy Baseball Live! – July 31, 2023 @3 pm ET.
    Segment 1 - Trade review – We will review each trade, looking at their fantasy and baseball implication.
    1.The Mets ship Max Scherzer and approximately $35 million to the Rangers for Luisangel Acuna. If I understand the math, the Rangers will pay $22.5 million for Scherzer this year and next. That’s $5.5 million this year and $17 million. That feels about right as baseballsavant is showing some natural aging, and a guy who’s better days are behind him.
    a.Did this make sense for the Mets?
    b.Is this enough for the Rangers to win the American League?
    c.Luisangel Acuna breakdown.
    2.The White Sox send Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly to the Dodgers. In return, they receive Trayce Thompson, Nick Nastrini, and Jordan Leasure.
    a.Does this help the Dodgers?
    b.I love Nick Nastrini, and we could see him up later this season. At worse, next year.
    Segment 2 – Review of Weekend Games
    Additional Questions:
    1.Marco Luciano was a surprise call-up (at least for me) on Wednesday. He’s been hurt a lot and has only 269 plate appearances above A Ball. He has 40 home run potential long-term, but I don’t like the setup for this season. What say you?
    2.Triston Casas is starting to figure this baseball thing out. He’s up to 15 home runs, hitting .253 with a .360 OBP. Hard hit rate is at 80%. Nice leverage at 15.1 degrees. He’s striking out too much at 25%, but that might be the player.
    a.I’m considering him a 30/100 guy with a high OBP. Am I overvaluing him for the next year?
    Segment 3 – Waiver Wire
    Segment 4 – Closer Report
    Close


    2094 - We have trades! Jul 28, 2023
    Show notes

    We could have called this podcast...Tim doesn't like the AL Central. I was amused by his rant!
    1.The Angels acquired Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez from the White Sox for Edgar Quero (C) and Ky Bush (LHP). It was steep price for two rentals, but I guess when you’re trying to convince Shohei Ohtani that you are a winner, it’s what you do.
    a.Your thoughts on the deal?
    b.Any pickups in Chicago based on the deal?
    2.The Dodgers have been busy.
    a.They acquired Amed Rosario from the Guardians for Noah Syndergaard. While they needed a shortstop, they also need innings. It makes you wonder if they will dip back into the farm system for a River Ryan, a Kyle Hurt, or a Nick Frasso.
    i.Did this make sense to you?
    ii.Father time and injuries have not been kind to Syndergaard. In 2019, his fastball averaged 98 MPH. Today, it’s averaging 92.6 MPH. However, the Guardians have a history of getting guys to throw harder. Thoughts?
    b.They also re-acquired Kike Hernandez. He was pretty good the first time but awful with Boston. Will he get enough at-bats to grab him in a fantasy league? Even if he does, would you pick him up?
    i.The Red Sox got two relievers in Nick Robertson and Justin Hagenman.
    1.Robertson is a fastball change-up pitcher. Pretty good change-up with nice tumble and fade. FB sits 95 MPH and is pretty straight.
    2.Hagenman – Has a three-pitch arsenal (sinker-slider-changeup). The sinker looks average, with a decent slider and change-up. He’s been used as a long reliever/spot starter.
    3.David Robertson is traded to the Marlins.
    4.Tuesday was a bad day for pitchers looking to get traded. Do either of these guys get moved? Did they hurt their trade value with that one outing?
    a.Marcus Stroman – 3 IP, 9 hits, 7 ER
    b.Lance Lynn – 4.2 IP, 7 hits, 7 ER
    5.We are at the 2/3 mark of the season. Any advice for fantasy managers who are vying for the money.
    a.One year leagues?
    b.Dynasty Leagues?
    6.Marco Luciano was a surprise call-up (at least for me) on Wednesday. He’s been hurt a lot and has only 269 plate appearances above A Ball. He has 40 home run potential long-term, but I don’t like the setup for this season. What say you?
    7.Eury Perez started in Double-A, was on a strict pitch limit, and threw 45 pitches in 2.1 innings. Phew!
    a.He will be back in Miami on _________________ (looking for a date).
    8.Triston Casas is starting to figure this baseball thing out. He’s up to 15 home runs, hitting .253 with a .360 OBP. Hard hit rate is at 80%. Nice leverage at 15.1 degrees. He’s striking out too much at 25%, but that might be the player.
    a.I’m considering him a 30/100 guy with a high OBP. Am I overvaluing him for the next year?
    9.Your buddy was re-upped for four more years. You can stop the collection for Mr. Manfred…he’s going to be just fine. People are waiting for a reaction. Well…
    10.What hitter are you targeting for this weekend’s FAAB?
    11.What pitcher are you targeting for this weekend’s FAAB?


    2093 - Hot Prospects of the Week - July 25, 2023 Jul 26, 2023
    Show notes

    The following players are discussed:
    1. Andres Chaparro (NYY)
    2. Jackson Chourio (Mil)
    3. Sam Zavala (SD)
    4. Keyvn Castillo (LAA)
    5. Drew Thorpe (NYY)
    6. Angel Bastardo (Bos)


    2092 - Waiver Wire - July 23, 2023 Jul 24, 2023
    Show notes

    Fantasy Baseball Live! – July 23, 2023 @ 3 pm.
    Segments 1 and 2 - Review of the weekend games
    Additional Questions
    1.Hyun Jin Ryu made his final rehab start and will join the Blue Jays. Are you starting him?
    2.Sal Frelick gets the call. Is he one of your big pickups this weekend?
    3.Just when you think that you don’t have to worry about starting a pitcher, Logan Webb has the 1.2 innings and six earned runs debacle. Just remarkable.
    a.By the way, CJ Abrams is starting to figure some things out.
    4.Give me three players you think will have bounce-back second halves?
    a.Seiya Suzuki
    b.Triston Casas
    c.Luis Severino
    5.Give me three players you believe will regress in the second half?
    a.Clayton Kershaw
    b.Shoehi Ohtani
    c.Michael Lorenzo
    Segment 3 – Waiver Wire
    Segment 4 – Closer Report
    Close


    2091 - Hitters and Pitchers for the rest of the season Jul 21, 2023
    Show notes

    Take 10 with Tim – July 21, 2023
    1.Let’s take a look at the standings in the American League
    2.Let's take a look at the standings in the National League
    3.Give me three players you think will have bounce-back second halves?
    4.Give me three players you believe will regress in the second half?
    5.Fill in the blank game.
    a.Francisco Alvarez will be a top _______________ catcher for you next season?
    b.Josh Naylor is a Top ____________ 1B for you next season?
    c.Elly De La Cruz will go in round _______________. Yes or No. He will be a target of yours?
    6.Which hitter do you want for the rest of the season?
    a.Elly De La Cruz or Anthony Volpe
    b.Pete Alonso or Bryce Harper
    c.Jared Kelenic or James Outman
    i.Jarred Kelenic kicks a can
    d.Chas McCormick or Bryan Reynolds
    7.Which pitcher do you want for the rest of the season?
    a.Luis Castillo or Corbin Burnes
    b.Bryan Bello or Grayson Rodriguez
    c.Tanner Bibee or Andrew Abbott
    d.Sandy Alcantara or anyone else
    8.BaseballSavant review of Marcus Stroman
    9.What hitter are you targeting for this weekend’s FAAB?
    10.What pitcher are you targeting for this weekend’s FAAB?


    2090 - Breakout Prospects of the first half Jul 19, 2023
    Show notes

    The following players are discussed:
    1. Jackson Holliday (Bal)
    2. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cin)
    3. Ronny Mauricio (NYM)
    4. Mason Black (SF)
    5. Ryan Bliss (Ari)
    6. Thomas Saggese (Tex)
    7. Tyler Black (Mil)
    8. River Ryan (LAD)
    9. Kyle Hurt (LAD)
    10. Zach Kokoska (Col)
    11. Jacob Melton (Hou)
    12. Abimelec Ortiz (Tex)
    13. Victor Bericoto (SF)
    14. Justin Wrobleski (LAD)
    15. Jared Serna (NYY)
    16. Hector Rodriguez (Cin)
    17. Nelson Rada (LAA)
    18. Yordanny Monegro (Bos)
    19. Luis Perales (Bos)
    20. Cristopher Torin (Ari)
    21. Sebastian Walcott (Tex)
    22. Santiago Suarez (TB)
    23. Eduardo Quintero (LAD)
    24. Welbyn Francisca (Cle)
    25. Yeremi Cabrera (Tex)


    2089 - Waiver Wire - July 16,2023 Jul 17, 2023
    Show notes

    Fantasy Baseball Notes – July 16, 2023 @ 3 pm
    Segments 1 and 2 – Weekend games
    Additional Notes:
    1.The A’s finally did something as they promoted Zack Gelof and Tyler Soderstrom. Both are Top 100 prospects for me, with Soderstrom having a chance to be an all-star caliber player.
    a.Esteury Ruiz has reportedly started hitting off a tee. Good news.
    b.As a side note. The A’s had the sixth pick in the draft and went with Justin Wilson whose father played in the big leagues primarily for the Pirates. He never strikes out but with no power and modest speed. You have one of the deepest drafts in years, and this is the direction you go. The hope is that you are drafting the unicorn known as Luis Arraez, but lightning rarely strikes twice. What are your thoughts on what the A’s are doing?
    2.Many more rumors about the Angels willing to trade Ohtani. However, how will his finger issue affect his trade value? Your thoughts?
    3.Justin Verlander or Sandy Alcantara – Who do you want to rest of the season?
    a.Do you think a change of scenery would help Verlander or is he just not yet in synch because of an early season stint on the IL?
    4.As a Trea Turner owner, I’m not happy. Should I consider sitting him?
    Segment 3 – Waiver Wire
    Segment 4 – Closer Report
    Close


    2088 - A preview of next year's First Year Player Draft for Dynasty Leagues Jul 14, 2023
    Show notes

    The following players are discussed:
    1.Dylan Crews (OF, Was, #2)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2025-26 Fantasy Ceiling: First-Round Fantasy Pick
    Tools Summary: 20-20 upside with a feel to hit.
    Dylan Crews had the best combination of safety and upside in the 2023 Draft. A handful of high school players have a higher upside, but when you combine his proven ability to hit in the SEC with a 20-20 profile, he should be the top player selected in supplemental Dynasty League Drafts. If you’re looking for a comp, I liken him to Jackson Holliday.
    Yep, he has a chance to be that good.
    2.Wyatt Langford (OF, Tex, #4)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2025-26 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 30 OF
    Tools Summary: 20-30 upside with high OBP skills.
    Right behind Dylan Crews in the Draft was Wyatt Langford.
    He has plus power and is a 70-runner with a feel to hit. From a fantasy standpoint, if you’re picking #2 in supplemental drafts, do not fret, as there is a chance that Langford will be as good as Crews. Crews might be the slightly better hitter, but Langford has more power and speed potential.
    3.Paul Skens (RHP, Pit, #1)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2024-25 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 15 SP
    Tools Summary: He has the size and arsenal to be a #1 starter. Given how hard he throws, there is risk of early arm troubles, as seen with Hunter Greene.
    Paul Skens attended the Air Force Academy for two years but then transferred to LSU for his Junior year. Apparently, cadets are allowed to leave the academy before their junior year. While I’m not sure about the rules, I’m surmising that the relaxed rules that have allowed college players to transfer through the NCAA Portal, has opened up this capability for players who decide to pursue a professional career. That rule was not available to those who remember Noah Song.
    When you’re 6-foot-6 and sitting in the upper 90s and routinely hit the triple-digits with your fastball, you get drafted early. Should he have gone one overall? There is an argument. I would have gone with Crews, but he’s deserving. It’s a Hunter Greene starter kit. He throws hard, but his fastball is relatively straight with secondary pitches that should get plenty of strikeouts. If you decide to take him in your supplemental drafts, the correlation of high velo pitchers to arm trouble is increased. Just know the risk.
    4.Max Clark (OF, Det, #3)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2026-27 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 30 OF
    Tools Summary: Extremely athletic with plus speed and plenty of bat speed to project future power.
    Max Clark is one of the most athletic players in the 2023 Draft, with 70-grade speed and plenty of bat speed to project future power.
    While high school stats should be taken with a grain of salt, he did steal 35 bases while hitting .551. In reviewing film, the swing should work, and over time, I believe he’ll add bulk to his frame with over-the-fence power.
    The Tigers will be careful with him, so I expect him to spend all of 2024 in Low-A. Once fully developed, the upside is a 15-30+ player with more power as he fills out.
    5.Walker Jenkins (OF, Min, #5)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2026-27 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 40 OF
    Tools Summary: Athletic with a lefty swing built for 30+ home run future pop.
    I saw Walker Jenkins multiple times in high school, and he’s a plus athlete with a beautiful lefty swing that should be built for power.
    He’s a plus runner, but as he fills out his 6-foot-3 body, I think he will emerge into a power-hitting corner outfielder with a handful of stolen bases. It will come down to how much he hits, and the early returns look encouraging.
    6.Matt Shaw (SS, CHC, #13)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2024-25 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 10 2B/3B
    Tools Summary: Plus power with a feel to hit and speed early in his career.
    I was surprised when Matt Shaw dropped to pick 13 in the 2023 Draft. He’s a natural hitter with considerable power despite his 5-foot-11 frame. Across his sophomore and junior season at Maryland, he hit 48 home runs and stole 30 bases in 122 games. He also walked nearly as much as he struck out (14% K-Rate). The profile reminds me a lot of Alex Bregman, and while I don’t think he’ll pop 40 home runs, I think he’ll have serious power.
    7.Rhett Lowder (RHP, Cin, #7)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2025 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 30 SP
    Tools Summary: 70-grade change-up with a chance for at least a 60 slider. Plus, he throws strikes. If the Reds can get him to throw harder, he has the ceiling of a number two starter.
    Kyle Boddy has made the Reds pitchers better. So when the Reds went early on Rhett Lowder, I immediately set up in my chair. It’s not a big fastball, but he’s got a double-plus change-up with a slider/sweeper that, over time, could grade out as plus. Plus, he throws strikes.
    In his draft year, he walked less than two per nine; and this is the most critical aspect of his profile. You see, Major League teams are drafting pitchers like Lowder, with plus secondary pitches and the ability to throw strikes, and getting them to throw harder. It would not surprise me to see him touching 97 shortly after the Reds get him into their system. The upside is a number two starter.
    Finally, don’t you need a Rhett on your Dynasty League team? I know I do!
    8.Enrique Bradfield (OF, Bal, #17)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2025-26 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 45 OF
    Tools Summary: An 80-grade runner that, with some swing tweaks, could unlock power. The Orioles are a perfect landing spot for him.
    Enrique Bradfield’s carrying tool is his 80-grade speed, with the MLB Network comping him to Willie McGee. It was hard to deny the similarities when they threw up his swing and put it side-by-side with Bradfield. He does produce high exit velocities, but his swing is more geared for contact. This is where you have to trust the Orioles.
    I think they can tweak the swing to get him more upright and add loft, and that below-average current power will turn into average power quickly. From a fantasy standpoint, he could steal 40 bases, and his elite defense will make him a big leaguer. I’m investing.
    9.Tommy Troy (3B, Ari, #12)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2025-26 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 15 3B
    Tools Summary: A potential plus hit tool with above-average speed and power.
    I’m not a fan of Stanford hitters as they coach their hitters to all hit the “Stanford way” - a very structured approach and swing. This has proven to be sub-optimal for many players over the years. However, it seems to have worked for Tommy Troy, as he can flat-out hit. He hit .394 in his draft year with 17 home runs and 17 stolen bases. The swing is built for contact and lacks loft, so projecting plus future plus power might be a reach. But I can safely project a 15-15 player with a .270 average and 60 to 70 points on top of that for OBP.
    10.Colin Houck (SS, NYM, #32)
    Highest Level: Draft ETA: 2026-27 Fantasy Ceiling: Top 15 SS
    Tools Summary: He has a feel to hit with speed and power.
    Colin Houck is a great athlete with size for future power. At least early in his career, he will have plus speed. He hit .487 with eight home runs in his Senior Year. I’m not sure how he lasted to the 32nd pick, but if he signs, I think the Mets got a huge bargain here.


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