UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

Washington Weekly Podcast: Latest on tariffs, Signal, Geopolitics roundup Mar 28, 2025

Show notes

Shane recaps this week’s developments surrounding auto tariffs and previews potential additional tariff-related announcements set for next week. We also discuss the aftermath of this week’s Signal leak, and provide updates on the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Israel-Hamas war. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'State controlled prices' Mar 28, 2025

Show notes

In 1971, US President Nixon imposed a trade tax on imports into the US, and froze US wages and prices. This was not a success. Faced with rising costs and no ability to adjust pricing, businesses stopped supplying goods. Controls collapsed, and inflation soared. Overnight media reports suggest US President Trump has told US auto companies not to raise prices in the wake of aggressive taxes on imported autos and parts.

Across the Pond: Trump’s tariff Tsunami? Mar 27, 2025

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President Trump is gearing up to impose a new slew of tariffs on trade partners on April 2, a day he has dubbed “Liberation Day” to signify that America will free itself from unfair trade practices. This day certainly looms large for European nations. The American President has been scathing about European Union’s trade policies. So how hard could Europe be hit? How might the region respond? And how can investors protect themselves? Dean Turner, the CIO’s chief European economists, explores these issues with co-hosts Christopher Swann and Belinda Peeters.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Tax facts' Mar 27, 2025

Show notes

US President Trump announced an aggressive tax increase for US consumers, with a 25% tariff on imported cars. Officials later clarified it also covers car parts. The tax will raise US inflation and lower growth, but the full impact will take time.

How should I be positioned? with Joe Davis (Vanguard) and Jason Draho (UBS CIO) Mar 26, 2025

Show notes

Joe and Jason exchange views and thoughts on a wide range of topics, including the health of the US economy, the implications of US trade policy, the road ahead for monetary policy, and more. Plus, a review of investment recommendations for the current environment. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Joe Davis, Global Chief Economist, and Global Head of the Investment Strategy Group at Vanguard. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Who believes the numbers?' Mar 26, 2025

Show notes

UK February consumer price data was slightly below expectations—before the weirdness of the UK government’s capped energy pricing adds to inflation in April. Producer price data was not published, owing to quality issues. Labor market data is not being published, owing to quality issues. There will be revisions to wage data, owing to quality issues.

Talking Markets Podcast with Brian Levitt of Invesco Mar 25, 2025

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Brian Levitt serves as a Global Market Strategist at Invesco. Brian shares his take on a wide range of topics that have recently influenced investor sentiment and moved markets, including US trade policy, growth concerns, and the progression of artificial intelligence. We also outline a market outlook and discuss asset allocation considerations. Host: Daniel Cassidy Recorded on 03.20.25.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Insecurity' Mar 25, 2025

Show notes

Reports that the US vice president and cabinet members discussed war plans on a public chat channel with a journalist in attendance do not directly impact markets. However, the chat messages reveal administration officials’ attitudes (e.g. toward Europe), and raise general questions about the conduct of policy. Any lessening of international security cooperation may impact broader (economic) policy cooperation.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Is the correction over? Mar 24, 2025

Show notes

As markets showed signs of stabilizing last week, investors weigh whether the correction is behind us or has temporarily paused. Jason shares his thoughts, along with recaps the FOMC meeting, the latest economic data, along with previews next week’s anticipated tariff news from the White House. Plus, a review of positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Fiscal inefficiency' Mar 24, 2025

Show notes

Media reports suggest that the rather haphazard attempts to restructure the US government could cost half a trillion dollars in lost tax revenues this year. Investors have not priced the restructuring as an efficiency improvement (more efficient government would boost both bonds and equities). While record wealth levels in the US suggest that the high fiscal deficit can be funded, losing tax revenue on this scale will raise concerns about sustainability at some point.

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