UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

How should I be positioned? with Torsten Slok (Apollo) and Jason Draho (UBS CIO) Apr 17, 2024

Show notes

Torsten rejoins Jason in the studio for a discussion around the US macroeconomic environment, including an outlook for growth, inflation and Fed rate cuts. We also spend time outlining portfolio positioning preferences. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Torsten Slok, Partner and Chief Economist with Apollo Global Management. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The problems with Powell' Apr 17, 2024

Show notes

Federal Reserve Chair Powell is not an economist. Not everyone can be an economist, but central bank heads probably should be economists. Yesterday, Powell stated reaching 2% inflation was taking longer than expected. The US PCE deflator is 2.5% y/y, the core PCE deflator is 2.8% y/y, and harmonized inflation is 2.4% y/y. Imprecise data means most economists regard a 2% inflation target as meaning a 1%-to-3% range. The fictional owners’ equivalent rent may be taking longer than expected to reach 2%, but that is not the same thing as inflation.

ElectionWatch 2024: The race, the world, and investments Apr 16, 2024

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Listen to our first ElectionWatch virtual event, where Solita Marcelli, Chief Investment Officer Americas, was joined by Frank Kelly, Founder & Managing Partner at Fulcrum Macro Advisors LLC, Mike Rogers, Former Director of the National Security Agency, and David Rubenstein, Co-Founder of The Carlyle Group.

3 Levels Podcast: The basics of investing and financial planning Apr 16, 2024

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This new monthly podcast focuses on topics that help families understand the basics of investing and financial planning at three different levels of depth (Definition, Identification, and Implementation). Featured to discuss the topic of “risk” are Justin Waring, Senior Total Wealth Strategist, and Ainsley Carbone, Retirement Strategist, from the UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Unsurprisingly surprising' Apr 16, 2024

Show notes

China’s official first quarter GDP data reported surprising strength. Unsurprisingly, this surprise will make the official 2024 growth target easier to achieve. March economic data was less supportive, with weakness evident in production and retail sales figures. The industrial data may reflect the ongoing pivot away from goods by global consumers. Amidst the general hedonism of yesterday’s US retail sales data, the trend away from spending on durables and in favor of spending on services was evident.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Putting up with it Apr 15, 2024

Show notes

Following an eventful couple of weeks in the markets, spanning upside surprises in macro data to geopolitical developments, Jason Draho brings us up to speed on CIO’s current outlook (including the forecast for Fed rate cuts) and portfolio positioning guidance. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Tensions and ignoring tail risks' Apr 15, 2024

Show notes

Markets are relatively calm in the wake of events in the Middle East. This may seem peculiar, but markets rarely price in extreme tail risks. Iran indicated it considers the matter concluded. US President Biden has urged restraint. Signs from the Israeli war cabinet suggest a response, but there is no idea of scale. The G7 has been as effective as the G7 ever is, talking about sanctions against Iran without agreeing on action.

Talking Markets ‘Muni edition’ with Jon Mondillo (abrdn) & Kathleen McNamara (UBS CIO) Apr 14, 2024

Show notes

Kathleen and Jon discuss a wide range of topics, including considerations when it comes to muni duration, sector preferences (including tax-exempt), implications of the 2024 election, and much more. Featured is Jonathan Mondillo, Head of US Fixed Income with abrdn, and Kathleen McNamara, Senior Municipal Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Macro Monthly Podcast with UBS Asset Management Apr 13, 2024

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Hear from top investment professionals from the UBS Asset Management’s Multi-Asset Team.

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast Apr 12, 2024

Show notes

On this week’s episode, Burkhard explains what investors can learn from stock market all-time-highs, placing the US and global economy into the context of a “new world order” rising, and how the UBS House View offers guidance in a fast-changing world (plus, what Bob Marley had to say about "what's wealth?”).

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