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    Business

    Top Traders Unplugged

    Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think – not just what they trade.
    Hosted by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, the show goes deep into systematic trend following, global macro, and the principles that drive long-term success.
    No forecasts. No fads. Just real conversations with hedge fund managers, economists, authors, and allocators – revealing the timeless ideas, mental models, and risk frameworks behind robust performance.
    If you’re building resilient portfolios, allocating capital, or simply looking to cut through the noise – this is your edge.
    Clear thinking. Deep insights. Real experience.
    🎧 New episodes weekly. Explore all episodes at toptradersunplugged.com https://toptradersunplugged.com

    Advertise

    Copyright: © Copyright 2024 CMC AG - This content does not constitute financial advice and is for educational purposes only. The content can not be used for commercial use without written permission from CMC AG.

    • Apple Podcasts
    • Google Play
    • Spotify

    Latest Episodes:
    ALO04: Insights from the Queens Bank CIO ft. Alan Higgins Mar 02, 2022
    Show notes

    On today’s episode, Alan Dunne is joined by Alan Higgins, the CIO and Chief Market Strategise of Coutts UK, also known as the Queens Bank, to discuss sound ways to invest in today’s environment, Alan’s interest at an early age in how to earn a risk premium, being a 60/40 investor and how the strategy will evolve, asset management vs. wealth management, distressed debt investing, behavioural biases, inflation, equity and interest rates, as well as the Yale Approach finishing off with some book recommendations on asset allocation and investing.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • What the 60/40 portfolio will look like in the next decade
    • The surprise of markets ability to trend
    • The value of Risk Mitigation, but how it’s not enough
    • Insights to the inflationary period in the UK under Nigel Lawson
    • Why this time feels different
    • Lessons from the 1987 Crash

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Alan Higgins on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    03:05 - Alan’s background and current role

    04:44 - Risk premium and fixed income

    24:33 - Setbacks and drawdowns

    26:45 - Inflation

    35:06 - Interest rates, bonds and dividends

    43:22 - Asset allocation and portfolio construction

    46:18 - Alan’s role at Eighteen48 Partners

    48:33 - David Swensen and the Yale Approach

    50:15 - Risks of private equity strategies

    52:16 - Good vs. bad investment processes

    55:00 - Managing investment teams

    56:52 - Book recommendations

    01:01:06 - Summary by Niels

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI181: The Power of Trend Following ft. Richard Brennan Feb 27, 2022
    Show notes

    Richard Brennan joins us today to discuss the power of Trend Following during periods of heightened uncertainty, Trend Following applied to the ESG space, how endogenous price shocks cause longer-term trends, the new Top Traders Monthly Trend Following report, shorter-term Trend Following versus longer-term, and how ‘buy the dip’ investors are likely unprepared for sustained underperformance in stocks.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Why now might be the best time to be invested in Trend Following strategies
    • How systematic investing can be applied to the ESG space
    • The cause of longer-term price trends
    • The Top Traders Monthly Trend Following report
    • The best lookback period for Trend Following models
    • The need to diversify away from the ‘buy the dip’ mentality

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rich on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    03:49 – Macro recap from Niels

    06:40 – Weekly review of performance

    16:35 – Thoughts on Niels, Rich & Jerrys’ LinkedIn conversation with Harold De Boer of Transtrend

    23:16 – Q1; Frank : How do you see Trend Following strategies fitting into the ESG space?

    31:43 – Why we developed the Top Traders Monthly Trend Following report

    51:55 – Q2; Steve : What else causes a long price trend if endogenous shocks are the initial cause?

    01:09:39 – Shorter-term Trend Following versus longer-term Trend Following

    01:15:11 – The power of Trend Following during this period of heightened uncertainty

    01:20:14 – Benchmark performance update

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    ALO03: Lessons from a $25 billion CIO ft. Elizabeth Burton Feb 23, 2022
    Show notes

    Alan Dunne is joined today by Elizabeth Burton to discuss managing a public fund versus a private fund, the challenges to those invested in the traditional 60 / 40 portfolio, the current outlook for inflation, performing above expectations, how to re-position a portfolio for higher expected inflation, fixed income versus real assets, categorising asset classes effectively, the limits of mean variance optimisation, using historical perspectives as an input into current decision-making, difficulties in the manager selection process, and how to simplify complex ideas in order to communicate more efficiently.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • The outlook for inflation
    • Achieving high performance consistently
    • How to re-allocate a portfolio accordingly
    • Mean variance optimisation
    • Whether this time is different
    • Selecting the right manager
    • Simplifying complexity for better understanding

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Elizabeth on LinkedIn.

    -----


    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    03:30 - Elizabeth’s background and history in the investment world

    04:55 - Elizabeth’s perspective on today’s markets

    06:52 - Managing a public fund versus a private fund

    08:14 - Performing above expectations

    09:38 - The current outlook for inflation

    11:31 - How to re-position a portfolio for higher expected inflation

    13:57 - Fixed income versus real assets

    14:51 - Categorising asset classes effectively

    19:56 - The limits of mean variance optimisation

    21:59 - Using historical perspectives as an input into current decision-making

    24:09 - Whether this time really is different

    25:25 - Difficulties in the manager selection process

    28:35 - Choosing between macro and systematic investors

    30:08 - The pitfalls of investing with macro traders

    32:40 - Investing in a manager who includes crypto in their portfolio

    34:34 - Allocating between systematic and discretionary managers

    36:45 - How to screen for a good money manager

    40:44 - How to respond when a manager is underperforming

    43:48 - Process over outcome

    47:04 - Working with consultants

    52:27 - Lessons from a leadership coach

    57:00 - Simplifying complex ideas for better communication

    01:00:28 -Advice for aspiring allocators

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI180: Data Versus Stories & The "Moscow Rules" ft. Mark Rzepczynski Feb 20, 2022
    Show notes

    Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Trend Following versus Momentum strategies, the need to be humble about making economic forecasts, how Central Bank policies affect Trend Following performance, Cathie Wood and ARKK coming under pressure from the media, Trend Following on options, calculating a systems’ risk-to-stop, vetting new investors for their ability to handle risk, hard data versus stories, when to apply the ‘Moscow rules’.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • How Trend Following differs to momentum
    • Avoiding the need to make predictions
    • The Federal Reserve and its effects on Trend Following strategies
    • ARKK’s media scrutiny following recent poor performance
    • The similarities between Trend Following and options
    • How to calculate ‘risk-to-stop’
    • Qualifying new investors before accepting them as clients
    • The “Moscow Rules"

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    02:02 – Macro recap from Niels

    04:39 – Weekly review of performance

    23:00 – Q1 Zack: How should I calculate the risk-to-stop metric?

    28:42 – Q2 Peregrine: Vetting new investors for their ability to handle risk

    42:09 – Q3 Graham: Can you detail some of the definitions of a breakout?

    47:24 – Trend Following versus Momentum

    01:00:58 – Molecules of prices

    01:08:31 – Data versus stories and when to apply the ‘Moscow Rules’

    01:15:00 – Benchmark performance update

    01:15:52 – A big thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes, and feel free to share our link with 3 of your like-minded friends:

    https://top-traders-unplugged.captivate.fm/listen

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    ALO02: Properly Diversifying a $1.6Trillion Portfolio ft. Sebastien Page Feb 16, 2022
    Show notes

    Alan Dunne is joined today by Sebastien Page to discuss how price shocks affect correlations, approaches to strategic asset allocation, how to position portfolios for the years ahead, the current outlook for equities their various sectors, investing in a rising interest rate environment, responding to unexpected regime shifts in the markets, defining and achieving utility maximisation, the merits and drawbacks of mean variance analysis, how to properly diversify a portfolio, the durability of treasury bonds, lessons from research on high performance individuals and teams, achieving a state of ‘flow’, and how to simplify complex financial topics.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Ever-changing market correlations
    • Strategic asset allocation
    • Responding to interest rate changes
    • Achieving utility maximisation
    • Mean variance analysis
    • Portfolio diversification
    • Treasury bonds
    • High performance teams
    • Simplifying complexity

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Sebastien on LinkedIn & read his book.

    -----


    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    03:52 - Sebastien’s journey into the investment management industry

    07:45 - How Sebastien’s book came about

    09:39 - Current view on the markets

    13:37 - How to position portfolios for the year ahead and beyond

    18:41 - The current outlook for equities and the sectors within

    19:43 - Investing in a rising interest rate environment

    24:06 - Responding to unexpected regime shifts in the markets

    27:04 - Approaches to strategic asset allocation

    33:24 - Defining and achieving utility maximisation

    37:48 - The merits and drawbacks of mean variance analysis

    41:49 - Using scenario analysis

    47:41 - Distributions during different market regimes

    55:12 - How to properly diversify a portfolio

    58:51 - The durability of treasury bonds

    01:05:18 - Lessons from research on high performance individuals and teams

    01:07:58 - Achieving a state of ‘flow’

    01:10:58 - Simplifying complex financial topics

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI179: A New Golden Era for Trend Followers ft. Alan Dunne Feb 12, 2022
    Show notes

    Today, Alan Dunne joins me to discuss how the change of tone from central banks can affect markets globally, Trend Following in a rising interest rate environment, the case for and against including carry trades in a Trend Following portfolio, how managed futures Trend Following can help investors throughout ever-changing markets, the future of the traditional 60 / 40 portfolio, some takeaways from Alan’s conversation with Phil Huber on this week’s new Top Traders Unplugged Allocator Series, and why we might be entering a great period for Trend Following strategies.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • How central bank signalling affects risk appetite around the world
    • How Trend Following might perform in a rising interest rate environment
    • Including carry trades in a Trend Following portfolio
    • How managed futures can help investor throughout ever-changing markets
    • The viability of the 60 /40 portfolio going forward
    • Why a new golden era for Trend Following might be emerging

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    02:36 - Macro recap from Niels

    05:29 - Weekly review of returns

    09:55 - How the change of tone from central banks affects the markets

    18:29 - Trend Following in rising interest rate environment

    25:19 - Including carry trades in a Trend Following portfolio

    36:12 - The future of the 60 / 40 portfolio

    46:53 - Some takeaways from Alan’s conversation with Phil Huber on this week’s Allocator Series

    52:43 - Why we might be entering a great period for Trend Following

    01:01:56 - Benchmark performance update

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    ALO01: Adapting to Market Cycles ft. Phil Huber Feb 09, 2022
    Show notes

    Alan Dunne is joined today by Phil Huber, in the first of our new Allocator Series, to discuss the education gap that needs to be filled regarding efficient capital allocation, the typical clients and types of portfolios that Phil deals with, adjusting portfolios to accommodate for changing market cycles, defining ‘alternative investments’, the extent to which a portfolio should be actively managed, traditional versus alternative investments, the challenges of manager selection, cultivating a behavioural edge as an allocator, and how to manage difficult conversations with clients.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Better education around capital allocation
    • Allocating capital throughout various market cycles
    • How to define an ‘alternative investment’
    • How actively we should manage a portfolio
    • Traditional versus alternative investments
    • The difficulties in the manager selection process
    • Being a great behavioural investor as an allocator
    • Difficult conversations with clients
    • Advice for aspiring capital allocators

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Phil on Twitter.

    -----


    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    02:44 - How 2022 has been for allocators so far

    03:13 - Phil Huber’s journey into investing

    05:46 - Why Phil wrote a book on capital allocation

    09:00 - The typical clients, and types of portfolios that Phil deals with

    12:07 - The 60 / 40 portfolio and how it became so popular

    18:49 - Adjusting portfolios to accommodate for changing market cycles

    22:37 - Defining ‘alternative investments’

    30:27 - Choosing which strategies to invest in, and when to choose these strategies

    37:45 - The extent to which a portfolio should be actively managed

    39:36 - Traditional versus alternative investments

    40:04 - The challenges of manager selection

    49:51 - Cultivating a behavioural edge as an allocator

    53:09 - The importance of courage

    54:55 - Managing difficult conversations with clients

    01:01:68 -Advice for aspiring asset allocators

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI178: Value Investing vs Trend Following ft. Jerry Parker Feb 06, 2022
    Show notes

    Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss the importance of hanging on to your outlier winners, value investing versus trend following, the optimum number of entry & signals per trade, the need to redefine ‘safe assets’, Jerry & Richard Brennans’ thoughts on Howard Marks’ remarks about Trend Following, risk parity within a Trend Following portfolio, the unpredictability of endogenous outliers, and deconstructing the old narrative that ‘Trend Following is dead’.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Letting winners run and cutting losses early
    • Using 1 entry signal and 1 exit signal per trade versus multiple signals
    • Redefining what are typically known as ‘safe assets’
    • Howard Marks’ opinion on following price
    • Achieving effective risk parity within a portfolio
    • How endogenous outliers are hard to predict

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Jerry on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    01:44 – Macro recap from Niels

    05:24 – Weekly review of performance

    11:51 – Jerry & Rich’s thoughts on Howard Mark’s opinion of Trend Following

    24:46 – Why exit rules might be harder to create than entry rules

    43:45 – Risk parity within a Trend Following portfolio

    51:03 – The unpredictability of endogenous outliers

    01:10:08 – The old narrative that ‘Trend Following is dead’

    01:13:54 – Benchmark performance update

    01:15:01 A huge thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes, and feel free to share our link with 3 of your like-minded friends:

    https://top-traders-unplugged.captivate.fm/listen

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    VOL10: Why We All Need Volatility ft. Cem Karsan Feb 02, 2022
    Show notes

    Hari Krishnan is joined today by Cem Karsan, to discuss feedback loops across different markets, the decision to manage outside money, how institutions make trading decisions, the global macro effects from COVID-19, the importance of dealer flows in the markets, the feedback loop between options and their underlying assets, and approaches to delta hedging.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • How market behaviour is often intertwined
    • Why Cem chose to manage outside capital
    • The thinking behind institutional market moves
    • How the global pandemic affected markets
    • Dealer flows
    • Feedback loops
    • Delta hedging

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Hari on Twitter.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    -----


    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Intro

    02:17 - Cem’s background, and current work

    19:18 - The decision to manage outside money

    24:06 - The trades that institutions like to make

    30:22 - Feedback loops within markets

    34:17 - The dynamic between futures and options

    51:15 - Using Econophysics to find hedging methods

    53:40 - Building various volatility models and research using toy models

    57:05 - Approaches to Delta hedging

    01:00:11 -Changes to qualitative features of overnight indices

    01:03:12 -Investment products on the VIX and effects on the S&P 500

    01:10:09 -The feedback loop between inflation, deflation and central bank rate policies

    01:20:01 -Whether or not there is an asymmetry between deflation and inflation risk

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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    Disclaimer


    SI177: The Value of Price ft. Mark Rzepczynski Jan 31, 2022
    Show notes

    Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss how Federal Reserve policy affects the Trend Following environment, the benefits of scaling into and out of positions, Howard Marks’ opinion on the value of price, the factors that drive commodity prices, why typical inflation-hedges may not be as reliable as their reputation implies, how Trend Following is the perfect way to complete your portfolio, and the differences between a ‘trend chaser’ and a trend follower.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    In this episode, we discuss:

    • Central bank policies and their effects on Trend Following performance
    • The benefits of having multiple entries and exits across different timeframes
    • Howard Marks’ recent thoughts on trading price action only
    • The status of the commodity markets
    • Hedges against inflation
    • Creating the perfect portfolio using Trend Following
    • Trend Following versus ‘trend chasing’

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 – Intro

    02:05 – A huge thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes, and feel free to share our link with 3 of your like-minded friends:

    https://top-traders-unplugged.captivate.fm/listen

    02:36 – Macro recap from Niels

    06:22 – Weekly review of performance

    15:10 – Q1; Zack : Has there been any research into how systematic investing improves ones performance over discretionary investing?

    41:24 – Making predictions on commodities and inflation

    50:27 – How Fed policy affects the Trend Following environment

    01:04:18 – The re-emergence of longer-term terms

    01:13:43 – Benchmark performance update

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


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