Top Traders Unplugged

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Latest Episodes:

GM14: The Dark Side of Renewable Energy ft. Adam Rozencwajg May 11, 2022

Show notes

Adam Rozencwajg, Managing Partner at Goehring & Rozencwajg, joins us in today’s episode to discuss ESG policies, the emerging energy crisis, and the new battle between the Climate-Green and the Nature-Green. We also dive into how the energy sector has evolved over time and the dark sides of renewable energy, why Moore’s Law does not apply to wind and solar energy, how cheap energy leads to distortion and malinvestment of energy, how the argument of human extinction skews the energy debate, nuclear energy and how it might be a solution to the climate crisis, how de-globalization has made the energy sector more vulnerable and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Follow Adam on LinkedIn.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

05:12 - Adam’s background & the history of Energy

13:58 - The Dark side of Renewable energy

29:11 - Moore’s Law

36:54 - Malinvestment and creative destruction

44:33 - The renewable energy debate

52:34 - Nuclear energy

01:04:54 - De-globalization and its consequences

01:09:42 - Link between energy prices and GDP

01:13:00 - Rounding off

Resources discussed in this Episode:

Link: History of Energy G&R Video

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

SI191: The Flash Crash & Central Banks Screwing Up ft. Richard Brennan May 07, 2022

Show notes

Today, Richard Brennan joins us to discuss the fragility of the market and what happens if the Central Bank screws up, the current regime and how it benefits Trend Following, volatility targeting and how trending towards equilibrium differs from trending towards transition, how Trend Following has developed over the years, why he always invest in liquid markets, system diversification and how it allows you to expand your market diversification, the weak edge of Trend Following and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rich on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:32 - Weekly highlights

13:35 - Volatility targeting and continuous systems

38:30 - Researching structural reasons for success

43:30 - System Diversification vs Market Diversification

56:26 - The weak edge of Trend Following

01:07:30 - Performance overview

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

GM13: The Decline of the Dollar & Prepping for the Worst ft. Izabella Kaminska May 04, 2022

Show notes

Today, Cem and I are joined by Izabella Kaminska, former Editor of Financial Times Alphaville and Founder of The Blind Spot, to discuss the war of information and mis-information, the aftermath of Covid 19, how the media contributes to a segmentation of society, the group-think phenomenon, how shifts in culture has an impact on economics and how the war between Russia and Ukraine affects the global economy. We also discuss the power balance between the Western and the Russian economy, the dollar standard and the factors that contribute to undermine the dollar, isolationism and what de-globalization will look like, the energy crisis and how ESG is becoming increasingly important and perhaps leading to the rise of nuclear technology and much more.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Follow Izabella on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:45 - About Izabella and her journey

06:27 - Autocracy vs. Democracy

15:50 - Covid19...the aftermath

22:00 - Media Segmentation Theory

31:34 - 2022 Economics

49:50 - Western vs. Russian economy

56:31 - Shift in commodities

01:07:25 - Deglobalization

01:18:55 - Nuclear technology

01:24:41 - Prepping for the worst

01:28:34 - Rounding off

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

SI190: Overthinking the Systematic Investment Game ft. Rob Carver May 01, 2022

Show notes

Today, Rob Carver joins us to discuss what happened in the Trend Following world the past few weeks and takes questions from listeners regarding long/short portfolios and how to choose the right criteria for stock selection, positive and negative skew strategies and why mixing them together can be beneficial, interest rates and what to do with uninvested cash in your trading account, the substance and value of big research teams and whether they are “overthinking” the systematic investment game, asset classes and allocating risk, important differences between a moving average crossover strategy and a breakout strategy and much more.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rob on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:21 - Market recap

04:55 - Update from Rob

14:50 - Q1, Adrian: “Good” criterias for stock selection?

22:32 - Q2, Emre: Arguments for mixing positive/negative skew strategies?

28:12 - Q3, Blink18: What to do with uninvested cash?

33:45 - Q4, Harry Hindsight: What do big research teams really do?

42:38 - Q5, Richard: Should the class level of an instrument be a criteria for inclusion?

48:34 - Q6, Adam: Difference between moving average crossover and breakout strategy?

54:14 - Q7, James: Common methodologies for position size?

57:34 - The Financial plumbing

01:05:20 - Fixed income markets are not all the same

01:11:20 - War Stories

01:17:25 - Performance

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

GM12: WW3 is just the beginning ft. Peter Zeihan Apr 27, 2022

Show notes

In this episode, Niels and Cem are joined by Peter Zeihan, author and Geopolitical strategist, to discuss the New World Order and World War III, how the Globalization has become a new battleground rather than a barrier to conflict, the role of technology in modern warfare, how the US were able to read Putin's emails and the impact of war on a national and global scale, the military and political power of China, America and Russia and the relationship between them and the rest of the world, how democracy is affected by the “age of emergency”, the financial aspects of war and crises, crypto as a potential economic asset and much more.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Follow Peter on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

04:15 - How we got to the brink of WW3?

09:42 - The role of technology

18:32 - The relationship with China

28:25 - Submarines and the war in Ukraine

40:38 - Age of emergency and the threat to Democracy

47:58 - Autocracy and technology

54:34 - The financial perspective

59:39 - The role of Crypto

01:02:39 - Climate change

01:06:56 - What Investors should do

01:10:42 - The role and future of Governments

01:17:11 - Thanks for listening

Resources discussed in this Episode:

LINK: The End of the World is Just the Beginning

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

SI189: A New Era for Currencies ft. Alan Dunne Apr 24, 2022

Show notes

In today’s episode, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss currency markets and how we might see a new era of volatility in these markets moving forward, de-dollarization and the future prospects of the U.S dollar, recent performance of Trend Following and how it compares historically, insights from Alfred Winslow Jones as featured in the book, “More Money Than God”, portfolio construction techniques for managing risk, the importance of having a plan, long-only commodities vs. a long/short approach and much more.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:16 - Market recap

09:02 - New opportunities in Currency markets

23:57 - Putting Trend Following performance in perspective

33:13 - Insights from “More Money Than God”

40:04 - Fixed income vs. equities...where to hedge against inflation

50:52 - Insights from recent conversations with CIOs

58:49 - Commodities...Long Only or Long/Short

01:09:20 - Overview of performance

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

GM11: The Billionaires Protocol ft. Dr. Ben Hunt Apr 20, 2022

Show notes

Today, Niels and Cem are joined by Dr. Ben Hunt, Creator of Epsilon Theory, to discuss how he uses game theory, history and behavioral analysis to understand Narrative and how it is used as a weapon to influence human behaviour, how technology has made us more susceptible to "nudging", how Narrative is used to create more competition, division and inequality, how important it is to recognize “the water in which we swim”, the power of Narrative and control of the media, and how to fight back against autocracy in pursuit of happiness, the Billionaires Protocol and much more!

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Follow Ben on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:02 - Ben’s background

06:03 - When did Narrative start to become dominant?

16:43 - The nudging competetive state

40:43 - The power of Narrative and “control” of the media

49:24 - How do we fight back?

54:08 - Crypto - a liberation tool?

01:03:28 - Lack of imagination

01:08:28 - Thanks for listening

Resources discussed in this Episode:

LINK: Epsilon Theory

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

SI188: Trading with Style ft. Jerry Parker Apr 17, 2022

Show notes

Jerry Parker joins us in today’s episode, to discuss pros and cons of adding different trading styles to your strategy and how to react when bad periods occur, using borrowed money as part of a systematic trading approach, expected returns of equities, finding the best investment strategy, achieving a high level of consistency in your Trend Following returns, using AI and Machine Learning to predict the future, Divergent Regimes and how they may last a lot longer this time, the geometry of classic Trend Following, what it takes to succeed and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

If it helps adding different styles to your trading strategy
If you should use borrowed money as part of a systematic trading approach
How to find the best investment strategy
How to achieve a high level of consistency in your returns
The use of AI and Machine Learning...does it improve your returns
Divergent Regimes and the end of Carry
The geometry of classic Trend Following
What it takes to succeed

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Jerry on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

05:02 - What’s been on Jerry’s radar?

07:30 - Q1, Isaiah - Add trading styles or stick with the “Trend Following + nothing”?

19:31 - Q2, Nick - About leverage and using borrowed money

25:40 - Jerry's Tweets

38:30 - Consistency in returns & how to achieve this

43:15 - AI and Machine Learning

49:27 - Divergent Regimes

56:51 - Geometry of trend following

01:01:04 - Inertia of success

01:04:45 - Deep Roots article by Morgan Housel

01:06:27 - Performance update

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

ALO08: Investing like the Rothschild's ft. Hugo Capel Cure Apr 13, 2022

Show notes

Today, Alan Dunne is joined by Hugo Capel Cure, Managing Director of Rothschild & Co, to discuss how they build strong portfolios for their clients, how rising inflation can affect the markets in a surprising way, how they use CTAs and Trend Followers to mitigate risk, the challenges of staying invested, being a stock and fund picker at the same time, how manager selection is like a dating process and how they differentiate between process and outcome, how they make good decisions as a team, how to act in times of crises, the people who inspired Hugo to become a better investor and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

How to build strong Multi-Asset portfolios for your clients
How using CTAs and Trend Followers can help mitigate risk
How manager selection is like a dating process
How to make good decisions as a team
How to be well prepared for the next crises

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Follow Hugo on LinkedIn .

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

03:18 - Introduction to Hugo’s work and investing strategy

18:32 - From correlation focused to trading oriented strategies

24:50 - Being allocated to trend followers

28:35 - Challenges of staying invested

30:23 - Being a chef and a critic

39:41 - Making decisions and having a plan

53:09 - People who have inspired Hugo

59:31 - Thanks for listening

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

SI187: Why Commodities & Why Now ft. Tim Pickering Apr 10, 2022

Show notes

In this week’s episode, Tim Pickering, Founder of Auspice Capital, joins me to discuss why commodities play such an important role in a portfolio, how to create a strategy that adapts to different volatility regimes, why he created The Auspice Broad Commodity Index, the role and importance of ESG in commodities trading, how commodity futures can be used as a risk mitigation tool, why Ukraine is so important for commodities, how to effectively protect yourself against inflation and much more

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

Why commodities play such an important role in a portfolio
How to create a strategy that adapts to different volatility regimes
How ESG and commodities trading is closely related
Whether to embrace Chinese commodity markets
Why the war in Ukraine is so important for commodities
Strategies for protecting yourself against inflation

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Tim on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:40 - What has caught Tim and Niels’ attention recently?

06:33 - What has happened since last Niels and Tim spoke in 2014?

11:45 - Has Tim made any major research discoveries since last time?

19:31 - Why commodities and why now?

30:50 - How much room for liquidity is there in the markets?

37:32 - Tim’s thoughts on the LME

44:31 - Thoughts on commodity exposure and futures

51:51 - Why is Ukraine so important for commodities?

01:00:16 - Risk mitigation strategies at big pension plans

01:07:08 - Update on performance

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

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