Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

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Stocks Likely To Be On A "Choppy Road To Nowhere" Until Election | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart Aug 24, 2024

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Now that Jerome Powell has gone "full pivot", will stocks shoot higher?

Not necessarily, says portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz, who steps in this week while Lance Roberts moves into his new house.

He thinks stocks will be on a "choppy road to nowhere" between now and the election. We discuss why, as well as his rosy outlook for long-duration bonds on this week's Market Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#bonds #fedpivot #interestrates

Credit, Not Stocks, May Be The Better Investment From Here | Steven Bavaria Aug 22, 2024

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The Buffett Indicator currently stands at almost 200%, one of the most extreme readings of overvalution in its history. With stocks so richly valued, prudent investors worry that stretching for further gains here may not be worth the risk. Which is why more and more of them are starting to prioritize investing for income over appreciation. A few months back, I interviewed Steven Bavaria, creator of the Income Factory framework about the merits of constructing a lower-risk portfolio of income-generating assets that include: high dividend stocks, senior bonds, high yield bonds, covered call funds, Master Limited Partnerships, closed-end funds, and more. Today, Steven returns to drill down on the specifics of credit investing, an area that many investors don't have much personal experience in, but offers attractive returns and relative safety in today's market environment. Follow Steven at https://seekingalpha.com/checkout/mp_1356 WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #incomeinvesting #creditinvesting #bondsinvesting

"Way Too Much Is Priced Into This Market" | Mike Shedlock Aug 20, 2024

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We're currently receiving a lot of mixed signals about the direction of the economy? Inflation has dropped to 2.9%. And retail sales for July just beat expectations. That's good, right? But unemployment has rising to 4.3%, triggering the Sahm Rule recession indicator. And credit card and auto loan delinquencies are spiking. Wait -- those sound pretty concerning... So, what's the true health of the economy? Are we still on track for a soft/no landing scenario as we've been told for many quarters? Or might it be wise to start preparing for something harder? For answers, we're fortunately to speak today with someone who tracks the unfolding macro data on a daily basis, Mike "Mish" Shedlock, publisher of MishTalk.com WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #recession #marketcorrection #unemployment

Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams: Investors Need To Realize Change Is Upon Us Aug 18, 2024

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Here's a fun question: What better than interviewing your favorite macro expert? Interviewing BOTH your favorite macro experts at the same time! I'm happy & honored that today we get to sit down with Stephanie Pomboy AND her frequent partner in crime Grant Williams to hear their latest outlook for the economy and the markets, plus if we're lucky, a bit about sports and the meaning of life, too. This is an amazing & highly important discussion featuring two of the most respected minds in macro. And both agree: investors need to react to the changing environment else be caught flat-footed by it. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #recession #inflation #deflation

"The Bulls Are Back" & Stock Prices Look Set To Move Higher | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart Aug 17, 2024

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Stocks have recovered aggressively since the sell-off two weeks ago. Does that signal the market correction that started in mid-July is over? Likely so, thinks portfolio manager Lance Roberts. We discuss the reasons why, as well as how his firm plans to position for higher prices ahead in this week's Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #inflation #bullmarket #recession

US Stocks Too Richly Valued For Their Risk | John Pease, GMO Aug 15, 2024

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Jeremy Grantham is one of the most respected investors alive today. His firm - Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. -- better known as GMO, manages $billions in assets under management and produces some of the most-followed market analysis on Wall Street. Core to its outlook is that financial and economic extremes will mean revert. And that prudent investors can pro-actively position themselves to benefit greatly from this reversion when it takes place. And while, no, I am NOT interviewing Mr Grantham today, we have the next best thing: the chance to sit down with one of his lieutenants at GMO. John Pease is a quantitative researcher and partner at GMO, who co-authored the firm's latest Quarterly Letter, which I expect to discuss with him in depth. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #stocks #emergingmarkets #investing

Housing Market Is "Going To Be Tough Going Forward" | Ivy Zelman Aug 13, 2024

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The real estate market is a tangled mess right now. High vacancies along with higher interest rates and tighter lending standards are wreaking carnage across much of the commercial sector these days. However, higher mortgage rates have NOT brought down residential home prices, at least not on a national average...yet. That said, transactions have frozen up, falling to the lowest level in decades. Where is all this headed? Are things likely to get better, or worse, from here? For answers, we're fortunate to speak with Ivy Zelman today. Ivy is the Executive Vice President and Co-Founder of Zelman & Associates, one of the most respected research firms advising investors and corporate executives on the real estate market over the past 30 years. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #realestate #housingmarket #homeprices

Markets Turning From 'Goldilocks' Into Deflation | Darius Dale Aug 11, 2024

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When I interviewed today's guest last year1 he said that the forecast of his proprietary model made him about "as bullish as he'd ever been on stocks" heading into Q1 And to give credit where credit is due, his positioning was spot on the money. Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ increased by 10% in Q1. When I interviewed him again heading into Q2, his model said "stay the course, stay bullish" And again, the S&P rose another 4% in the quarter, and the NASDAQ did even better, rising 8%. So, given this impressive track record, what's his model telling us to expect from here? To find out we'll ask the man himself. Today we have the good fortune of speaking with Darius Dale, founder & CEO of 42 Macro. Darius' model has him turning less bullish as we move from the past Goldilocks regime into a Deflation one. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #investing #deflation #stocks

It's Unlikely We've Hit A Tradable Bottom Yet | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart Aug 10, 2024

Show notes

What a week! The unwind of the yen carry trade sent global markets into free-fall on Monday. Equities tanked, as did Bitcoin, oil and gold. US Treasurys jumped, returning to their traditional inverse relationship to stocks. And then...everything reversed. Most due to central bank intervention in Japan, as well as some better than expected jobs data in the US. So, everyone is asking: Is the sell-off over? Is now the time to buy back in? Portfolio manager Lance Roberts doesn't think so (yet). In this week's Market Recap, we discuss why, as well as his outlook for the months ahead and his firm's recent trades. For everything that mattered to markets, watch this week's Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #investing #stocks #stevejobs

Danielle DiMartino Booth: Recession? We Ain't Seen Nothin' Yet!! Aug 08, 2024

Show notes

The Sahm Rule, a widely-monitored recession indicator, triggered on Friday. Some analysts are arguing that it's too early to worry about a slowdown, that the economy is too strong currently. Others warn the US may already BE in recession. So, which is it? For answers, we're fortunate to speak today with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research LLC and author of the book "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America" WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #recession #jobs #labormarket

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