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    Business

    The Metrics Brothers

    The Metrics Brothers is hosted by Dave “CAC” Kellogg and Ray “Growth” Rike. The Metrics Brothers provides unique insights, strategies, tactics, and metrics that are relevant to AI-Native software and SaaS companies.

    Each 25-30 minute episode will cover a topic critical to leading a B2B software company, and chock-full of practical advice that can be introduced and applied in most Native-AI, Agentic AI, and B2B software and SaaS companies.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Is Pipeline Coverage Ratio simply the Inverse of Win Rate? Jun 06, 2024
    Show notes

    Is Pipeline Coverage Ratio simply the inverse of the win rate? Many people will translate a 20% win rate into the need for a 5:1 Pipeline Coverage Ratio - Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike dive into why that just isn't the case! There are multiple variables that need to be considered including:

    • Win Rate versus Closed-Won Rate Conversion - there is a difference
    • What happens to Pipeline Coverage Ratio when deals are pushed into or pushed out of the quarter
    • How is Pipeline Coverage Ratio different in a 30 day sales cycle versus a 180 day sale cycle
    • Bottom line - why Pipeline Coverage Ratio is NOT as simple as 1/Win Rate

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    2024 SaaS Account Executive Benchmarks - The Bridge Group Report May 22, 2024
    Show notes

    SaaS Account Executive Benchmarks including On-Target Earnings, Commission Rates, Quota, Quota Achievement, Renewal and Expansion Responsibilities are a few of the benchmarks that Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike discuss in this episode.

    Account Executive Benchmarks discussion include:

    • On-Target Earnings (2024 vs 2022)
    • Base Salary and Variable Compensation Mix
    • Commission Rates (2024 vs 2022)
    • Quota Assignment by ACV
    • Quota Achievement
    • Renewal and Expansion Responsibilities


    If you are leading a B2B SaaS sales team or have one in your company that directly impacts financial performance this is a must listen episode of SaaS Talk with the Metrics Brothers!

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    Redpoint Venture - State of the Market '24 Report Review May 14, 2024
    Show notes

    Logan Bartlett, Managing Director at Redpoint Ventures recently shared the Market Overview Report they presented to their Limited Partners in March '24 at their AGM event at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Ray "Growth" Rike and Dave "CAC" Kellogg review the key insights during this episode.

    Insights that Dave and Ray discussion include:

    • Enterprise Valuations - a return to 2019
    • Growth Rate trends - a return to a time long ago in a land far away
    • The value of Growth vs Profitability - the trends and the facts
    • Down Rounds, Shut Downs and No Rounds


    Click here to get the report and to follow along Dave and Ray's conversation - as they sometimes go off the deep end!


    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    Rubrik S-1 and IPO - A Growth and Profitability Metrics Review May 08, 2024
    Show notes

    Rubrik, a cloud industry cybersecurity company went public on April 25th - Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike break down the key metrics that Rubrik used as the foundation to their S-1 and Initial Public Offering. Those metrics include:

    • Annual Recurring Revenue Growth
    • Revenue (GAAP) Growth
    • Net Revenue Retention
    • Sales and Marketing Expenses as % of Revenue
    • Free Cash Flow versus Net Income


    The Metrics Brothers also discuss the Rubrik transition to a recurring revenue model and the two-tier stock structure used to ensure voting control remains with the founders and early investors.

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    Growth Endurance in SaaS - A New Normal? Apr 30, 2024
    Show notes

    Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike discuss how a "growth rate" endures for a SaaS company trend over time!

    Topics covered during the conversation include:

    • T2D3 Growth Model and Mantra from 2015
    • "56789" Growth Model from Metric Brother Dave "CAC" Kellogg
    • The Impact of Growth Endurance decreasing to 65% in 2023 versus 80% in 2021


    Growth Endurance is the measure of how a company's growth rate endures over time: GE = current year’s growth rate / last year’s growth rate.

    At an 80% Growth Endurance (2021 value) says that a companies growth rate in the next year will be 80% of the current years growth

    - example: 70% growth this year would predict 56% growth next year

    Growth Endurance has decreased over the last two years and is NOW ~ 65% (2023)

    - example: 70% growth this year would predict 45.5% growth next year

    Growth Endurance decreasing from 80% to 65% may not sound that bad but let's look at the impact over 5 years at a $10M ARR company today but...

    • 80% Growth Endurance = $189M ARR in Five Years (starting at $10M ARR)
    • 65% Growth Endurance = $122M ARR in Five Years (starting at $10M ARR)


    Using a 6.5x "Enterprise Value to Revenue" multiple that projects a material decrease in Enterprise Value 👇

    • 80% Growth Endurance = $1.23B Enterprise Value in Five Years
    • 65% Growth Endurance = $793M Enterprise Value in Five Years


    The change in Growth Endurance translates into a $437M decrease in EV (at the same 6.5x multiple)

    🤷‍♂️ If Growth Endurance has decreased by 15% over the past two years and Customer Acquisition Cost & Growth Efficiency have not improved materially over the past 7 quarters it might be time to change <insert ideas here>...

    The "T2D3" Growth Model suggests the below ARR growth for a B2B SaaS company

    • Get to $2M
    • Next year: Triple to $6M
    • Next year: Triple to $18M
    • Next year: Double to $36MNext year: Double to $72M
    • Next year: Double to $144M


    The "56789" Growth Model suggests the below ARR growth for a B2B SaaS company

    • Year 5: $10M
    • Year 6:$20M
    • Year 7: $50M
    • Year 8: $75M
    • Year 9:$100M


    If you are a fan of B2B SaaS and have a desire or need to stay on top of the most recent trends this episode is a great listen!

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    SaaS Metrics Maturity Model - Part 2 Apr 25, 2024
    Show notes

    Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike continue their discussion on the SaaS Metrics Maturity Model which includes the below five levels:

    • Level 1: Foundation
    • Level 2: Trust
    • Level 3: Strategic Linkage
    • Level 4: Metrics Culture
    • Level 5: Trajectory


    Level 1: Lay the foundation

    • Definitions and calculations
    • Pipeline stages, forecast categories, close dates, values, SaaS metrics
    • Semantics - what do words like best case, forecast, commit and downside mean
    • Instrument underlying systems (GL, CRM, Billing, HCM, etc)
    • Consider Metrics Committee


    Level 2: Build trust

    • Templates, templates, templates
    • Metrics selection & presentation
    • History & context - always include footnotes on how metrics are calculated
    • Regular Cadence: which templates used at which meetings?
    • Continuous improvement - fix data at the source, improve templates


    Level 3: Link Metrics to Business Strategy

    • Identify your top challenges
    • Define 4-6 strategic goals - align metrics to those goals
    • Link department, team and individual objectives to the company metrics (OKRs)


    Level 4: Build a metrics culture

    • Demand numeracy
    • Manage to the regular metrics publishing cadence
    • Metrics conversations about the business impact NOT the metric calculation method


    Level 5: Agree on strategic trajectory

    • Long-range, driver-based models
    • Timeframe: When are metrics goals targeted to be achieved, what are the milestones towards goal
    • Sequencing: Not everything at once - what is the priority order and associated timeframe for each metric's goal


    If you are a creator, user or participant in how your company uses metrics to measure performance, inform decision making and/or report performance to your boss, your board and your investors this conversation will be valuable!!!

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    SaaS Metrics Maturity Model - Part 1 Apr 16, 2024
    Show notes

    Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike discuss the 5 root causes that created the need to develop a SaaS Metrics Maturity Model for companies as they scale.

    The top five root causes that lead to the 15 primary problems in how companies use metrics include:

    • There’s no shared metrics foundation
    • There’s no trust
    • Metrics are not integral to strategy
    • The culture is not metrics-driven
    • Metrics are not being used define trajectory and long-term goals


    This episode discusses the key challenges in using metrics and the approaches to address those challenges. This discussion builds up to the introduction of the Metrics Maturity Model and the 5 levels of maturity:

    • Level 1: Foundation
    • Level 2: Trust
    • Level 3: Strategic Linkage
    • Level 4: Metrics Culture
    • Level 5: Trajectory


    If you use, develop or just are a student of SaaS Metrics - this episode is full of insights and ideas on how to accelerate your company's metrics maturity model to level 5!!!

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    Customer Lifetime Value to CAC Ratio - The Ultimate Compound SaaS Metric Apr 11, 2024
    Show notes

    Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike discuss the Customer Lifetime Value to Customer Acquisition Cost (LTV:CAC) Ratio - a metric many consider the ultimate compound metric that investors love.

    During this episode topics covered include:

    • How to calculate Customer Lifetime Value
    • How to calculate Customer Acquisition Cost
    • Benchmarks for LTV:CAC Ratio and the translation to Rate of Return
    • Primary input variables and predictive indicators to optimize LTV:CAC Ratio


    If you have ever heard of the LTV:CAC Ratio or just are interested in some of the details and finer points from CAC and GROWTH - this is a entertaining and information episode!

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    CAC Ratio - An Under Utilized SaaS Metric Apr 02, 2024
    Show notes

    This is a replay of one of the most popular SaaS Talk episodes (#5) published in season #1. Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike dive deep into all things Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) including the CAC Ratio.

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


    Valuation Metrics and the Unicorn Club - A wild 10 year ride that is not over yet Mar 21, 2024
    Show notes

    Aileen Lee, Founder and Managing Partner at Cowboy Ventures recently wrote an article entitled "Welcome Back to the Unicorn Club, 10 Years Later" (1/18/24) which was a follow up to an article she wrote in November, 2013 entitled "Welcome to the Unicorn Club: Learning from Billion-Dollar Startups".

    Our SaaS Talk™ with the Metrics Brothers co-hosts, Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike do a deep dive into how private and public company valuations are calculate, explore the difference between Market Capitalization and Enterprise Value, and uncover a few of the "inside baseball" secrets to how $1B Unicorn may be worth much less.

    Topics discussed include:

    • Market Capitalization
    • Enterprise Value
    • Participating vs Non-Participating Preferences
    • 1x, 2x and 3x Liquidation Preference
    • Common vs Preferred Stock in a Private Company
    • Stock Option Re-pricing - beware the last post money Unicorn valuation
    • Onceacorn, Decacorn, Supercorn, ZIRPicorns, Papercorn, Zombiecorn, Unicorpse


    The number of unicorns has grown from 39 in 2013 to 532 in 2023 per Cowboy Ventures (1,000 according to Battery Ventures). Unfortunately ~ 40% are trading for a much lower price on secondary markets than the last post-money valuations.

    If you love the idea of creating or being part of a VC backed company worth more than $1B, or are just interested in the material reduction in the creation of new unicorns, this episode is full of detail, insights and a little humor!


    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


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