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    Technology

    Semi Doped

    The business and technology of semiconductors. Alpha for engineers and investors alike.

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    • Spotify

    Latest Episodes:
    Reiner Pope (MatX): Designing AI Chips From First Principles for LLMs Apr 09, 2026
    Show notes

    Reiner Pope is the co-founder and CEO of MatX, the startup building chips designed from first principles for LLMs. Before MatX, Reiner was on the Google Brain team training LLMs, and his co-founder Mike Gunter was on the TPU team. They left Google one week before ChatGPT was released.

    A counterintuitive throughput insight from the conversation:

    “Low latency means small batch sizes. That is just Little’s law. Memory occupancy in HBM is proportional to batch size. So you can actually fit longer contexts than you could if the latency were larger. Low latency is not just a usability win, it improves throughput.”

    We get into:

    • The hybrid SRAM + HBM bet, and why pipeline parallelism finally works

    • Overcoming the CUDA moat

    • Why frontier labs are willing to bet on an AI ASIC startup

    • Memory-bandwidth-efficient attention, numerics, and what MatX publishes (and what it does not)

    • Why 95% of model-side news is noise for chip design

    • Why sparse MoE drives MatX to “the most interconnect of any announced product”

    • How MatX uses AI for its own chip design

    • The biggest challenges ahead

    Chapters:

    00:00 “We left Google one week before ChatGPT”

    00:24 Intro: who is MatX

    01:17 Origin story: leaving Google for LLM chips

    02:21 GPT-3 and the “too expensive” problem

    04:25 Why buy hardware that is not a GPU

    05:52 Overcoming the CUDA moat

    08:46 Early investors

    09:35 The name MatX

    09:59 The chip: matrix multiply + hybrid SRAM/HBM

    12:11 Why pipeline parallelism finally works

    14:22 Reading papers and Google going dark

    15:20 Research agenda: attention and numerics

    17:06 Five specs and meeting customers where they are

    19:24 Why frontier labs are the natural first customer

    20:32 Workloads: training, prefill, decode

    22:18 Little’s law and the throughput case for low latency

    24:29 Interconnect and MoE topology

    26:35 Inside the team: 100 people, full stack

    28:32 Agentic AI: 95% noise for hardware

    30:35 KV cache sizing in an agentic world

    32:11 How MatX uses AI for chip design (Verilog + BlueSpec)

    34:23 Go to market: proving credibility under NDA

    35:12 Porting effort for frontier labs

    36:34 Biggest skepticism: manufacturing at gigawatt scale

    37:32 Hiring plug


    Austin Lyons @ Chipstrat: https://www.chipstrat.com

    Vik Sekar @ Vik's Newsletter: https://www.viksnewsletter.com/


    $300M for 70K Viewers | Intel x Elon, OpenAI x TBPN, Citrini's Strait of Hormuz Stunt Apr 07, 2026
    Show notes

    Intel Foundry just partnered with Elon Musk’s Terafab. What is Terafab anyway, why vertically integrated fabs make sense but the economics don’t (yet!), and what Intel is doing here (hint: no idea).

    Then: OpenAI acquires TBPN for an estimated $100-300M. Not sure why, but the more interesting thing is the value of niche audiences when five companies control a trillion dollars in AI capex.

    And finally, Citrini Research sent an analyst to the Strait of Hormuz with a Pelican case full of spy gear, $15K cash, and Cuban cigars. The most unhinged research trip in Substack history.

    Austin Lyons — Chipstrat (https://chipstrat.com) Vik Sekar — Vik's Newsletter (https://www.viksnewsletter.com)

    Subscribe for weekly episodes on semiconductors, AI, infrastructure, and the business of chips.


    NVIDIA's Marvell Strategy, Is Memory Different This Time?, Intel's Ireland Fab Apr 03, 2026
    Show notes

    In this episode, Austin and Vik analyze NVIDIA's $2 billion investment in Marvell NVLink Fusion, exploring its implications for AI infrastructure, interconnect protocols, and the broader chip ecosystem. They also discuss the current memory market surge, DRAM pricing, and Intel's strategic fab buyback, providing deep insights into industry trends and future directions.
    On Substack
    Vik: https://www.viksnewsletter.com/
    Austin: https://www.chipstrat.com/
    Chapters
    00:00 NVIDIA's $2 Billion Investment in Marvell
    20:11 The Memory Market Crisis
    20:16 The Future of Memory Pricing and Consumer Impact
    22:55 The Cycle of Supply and Demand in Memory
    27:23 AI's Impact on Memory Demand
    31:46 Long-Term Agreements and Market Stability
    35:07 Intel's Strategic Fab Buyback
    40:44 Monopoly Analogy: Intel's Market Strategy


    ARM AGI CPU has entered the chat, TurboQuant thrashes memory stocks Mar 27, 2026
    Show notes

    In this episode, Austin and Vik analyze recent developments in GloFo patent lawsuits, the impact of TurboQuant on AI inference, and ARM's strategic move into silicon for agentic AI workloads.
    Read Vik's substack: https://www.viksnewsletter.com
    Read Austin's substack: https://www.chipstrat.com
    Chapters
    00:00 Patent Wars in Semiconductor Industry
    07:14 Understanding TurboQuant and Its Implications
    24:42 Innovations in Memory Management
    28:00 The Rise of ARM AGI CPUs
    32:56 Agentic AI and CPU Compatibility
    39:54 Performance Metrics in Agentic AI
    44:52 ARM's Market Timing and Challenges


    MicroLEDs Ain’t Dead, Micron Snags Vera Rubin Mar 20, 2026
    Show notes

    Austin and Vik break down a packed week in semiconductors, covering GTC, OFC, and Micron earnings. The conversation kicks off with Jensen Huang's bold claim that engineers should spend $250K/year on AI tokens, and whether companies will buy tokens or token generators (i.e., on-prem hardware like the Dell Pro Max with GB300). They dig into the CapEx vs OpEx tradeoffs, data security concerns, and how sharing GPU resources might end up looking a lot like the old EDA license model.
    Next up: Micron crushed earnings and appears to be designed into Vera Rubin for HBM4 — despite months of rumors saying otherwise. Austin and Vik unpack the nuance around HBM pin speeds, memory node base dies, and what Micron's massive new fab investments in Taiwan, Singapore, Idaho, and New York mean for the memory cycle.
    The back half of the episode dives into optical interconnects for AI scale-up. A new industry consortium (OCI-MSA) has formed with Meta, Broadcom, NVIDIA, and OpenAI to standardize optical components. Vik explains why traditional indium phosphide lasers might be overkill for short-reach scale-up, and makes the case for micro LEDs — a "slow but wide" approach that could fill the gap between copper and conventional optics. They also touch on Credo's expanding product portfolio (and the infamous purple-to-orange cable saga), plus Lumentum's new VCSEL work for scale-up.
    Vik - https://www.viksnewsletter.com/
    Austin - https://www.chipstrat.com/
    CHAPTERS
    0:00 Intro & GTC/OFC Conference Overload
    2:09 Jensen's $250K Token Budget Per Engineer
    5:08 On-Prem Inference vs. Cloud Token Spending (Dell Pro Max, CapEx vs OpEx)
    6:44 Sharing GPU Resources Like EDA Licenses
    8:16 Data Security & On-Prem Privacy Concerns
    9:53 Matthew Berman's Fine-Tuned Open Claw Agent
    10:35 Vik Sets Up Open Claw on a Home Server
    11:53 Always Be Clauden (ABC) – Managing Agents from Your Phone
    13:34 Micron Earnings & HBM4 in Vera Rubin
    16:39 HBM Pin Speeds & the Micron Design-In Debate
    20:17 Micron's New Fab Investments & Memory Cycle Fears
    23:49 Why AI Drives a Step Change in Memory Demand
    26:30 Optical Compute Interconnect MSA (OCI-MSA)
    29:48 Scale-Up Optics: Do We Need New Technology?
    30:58 Micro LEDs – The "Slow but Wide" Approach
    35:45 Micro LEDs vs. Copper vs. Traditional Optics
    36:55 Credo's Product Spectrum & the Purple Cable Story
    39:31 VCSELs & Lumentum's 1060nm Scale-Up Play


    Quick Takes: Nvidia Keynote at GTC Mar 17, 2026
    Show notes

    Vik and Austin unpack the Nvidia GTC keynote with fresh, top-of-mind takes while trying to breakdown key announcements, what matters and what doesn't. They discuss Groq's LPX, optics+copper for scale up, new CPU requirements, CPO for networking, and what agents means for software, and much, much, more.
    Check out Austin's substack: https://www.chipstrat.com
    Check out Vik's substack: https://www.viksnewsletter.com
    Chapters
    00:00 Introduction and Keynote Context
    03:18 Keynote Highlights and Gaming Innovations
    06:18 Generative AI: The Three Eras
    09:28 Inference: The New Revenue Generator
    12:21 NVIDIA's Tiered Approach to AI Models
    15:30 The Grok Chip and Its Role
    18:35 Vera Rubin System: A Full Data Center
    21:18 CPU Demand and Performance
    24:31 Networking Innovations and Future Directions
    32:32 Innovations in PCB Technology
    34:06 Scaling GPU Systems
    36:57 Understanding the STX Rack and AI Storage
    38:23 The Rosa CPU and Its Significance
    40:07 Digital Twin Platforms and AI Factories
    43:53 NVIDIA's New Software Innovations
    47:09 The Future of Token Budgets in AI
    54:15 Balancing CapEx and OpEx in AI Deployments


    Meta's Inference Accelerator & Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Mar 13, 2026
    Show notes

    Austin recaps moderating an agentic AI panel at Synopsys Converge, then gives an in-depth technical breakdown of Meta's MTIA custom silicon. Why they're building it, how chiplets let them ship a new chip every 6 months, and how the roadmap is shifting toward gen AI inference. Vik digs into Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), the vertically integrated Texas laser shop whose stock went from $1.48 to $100+, and whether history is about to rhyme.
    Austin Lyons: https://www.chipstrat.com
    Vik Sekar: https://www.viksnewsletter.com/
    Topics covered:
    • Agentic AI in chip design — how it changes roles for junior and senior engineers
    • Optical circuit switching and what it means for Arista's business model
    • Meta's ad-serving pipeline: Andromeda, Lattice, and the GEM foundation model
    • Why custom silicon (MTIA) makes sense at Meta's scale
    • MTIA chiplet strategy — 4 generations in 2 years
    • AAOI's vertical integration, Amazon's $4B warrant deal, and the 2017 parallel
    Chapters:
    0:00 Intro
    1:26 Synopsys Converge — Agentic AI Panel
    9:44 Vik's Article: Optical Circuit Switching & Arista
    14:43 Meta MTIA — A New Chip Every 6 Months
    21:32 Why Custom Silicon Makes Sense for Meta
    27:22 MTIA Chiplet Strategy & Roadmap
    33:56 Gen AI Fits Meta's Business Model
    36:31 How Meta Ships Chips So Fast
    40:30 Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Deep Dive
    45:02 Amazon's $4B Warrant Deal
    48:54 Can AAOI's Lasers Compete with Lumentum?
    53:16 AAOI's Aggressive Capacity Buildout
    55:35 History Rhymes: AAOI's 2017 Boom & Bust
    1:00:55 Wrap-Up
    #semiconductors #chips #tech #meta #MTIA #AAOI #optics #inference #AI


    The Great Optics-Copper Crossroads Mar 06, 2026
    Show notes

    This week, Austin and Vik break down the optics vs. copper debate that rocked semis this week. Nvidia dropped $4 billion on Lumentum and Coherent, Credo posted a blowout quarter betting on copper, and then Hock Tan shocked everyone claiming 400G per lane works over copper in Broadcom’s labs — potentially pushing CPO out to 2030+. Plus, Vik’s 4D chess conspiracy theory on why Hock Tan is talking up copper when Broadcom is a CPO company.
    Like, subscribe, and drop your thoughts on the copper vs. optics debate in the comments!
    Subscribe to our newsletters:
    * Chipstrat by Austin Lyons — chipstrat.com
    * Vik’s Semiconductor Newsletter by Vik Sekar — viksnewsletter.com

    Chapters
    (00:00) - Newsletter Plugs: Groq LPUs & Broadcom’s Laser Business
    (03:15) - Dynamo & the Rise of Workload-Specific Hardware
    (08:04) - Austin’s Broadcom Laser Deep Dive
    (09:53) - The Week’s Whiplash: Optics Monday, Copper Wednesday
    (17:50) - Why Nvidia Invested $4B: Geopolitics, Supply & the HBM Playbook
    (24:15) - CPO Lasers & Optical Circuit Switches
    (26:16) - Credo Earnings: 200% YoY Growth & the Copper Bull Case
    (31:09) - Reliability, AECs & Oracle’s GPU Cluster Problem
    (35:48) - Credo’s Optics Play: Micro-LED Active Cables & the CPO Timing Risk
    (38:45) - Broadcom Earnings: Hock Tan’s Copper Bombshell
    (43:34) - Customer-Owned Tooling: Hock Tan Says “Good Luck”
    (44:25) - Vik’s 4D Chess Theory: Why Hock Tan Talks Up Copper
    (47:03) - Wrap-Up: It’s Both — The Real Question Is Timing


    Optical Supply Chain: What would you buy? Feb 27, 2026
    Show notes

    This week, we move from optics technology to optics companies. We walk the AI optical supply chain from bottom to top. Main debate: Who has a moat? Who is already priced for perfection? *Not investment advice, do your own due diligence*

    AXTI - Indium phosphide substrate supplier. Critical bottleneck in the laser stack. Major China export-control risk. Massive stock run vs thin earnings.

    Tower Semiconductor - Leading silicon photonics foundry. 5x capacity expansion with customer prepayments. Strong process lock-in. Pure-play optics exposure.

    GlobalFoundries - 300mm monolithic photonics platform + Chips Act support. Optics growing fast but still small piece of overall business.

    Lumentum - Dominant EML laser supplier. Explosive AI demand. Strong technical moat. Valuation and capex sensitivity are key risks.

    Coherent - Vertically integrated from substrate to module. 6-inch InP push could lower costs structurally. Execution and margin mix matter.

    Fabrinet - Optics assembly partner. High NVIDIA exposure. Scales with industry, but dependent on upstream supply.

    Corning - AI data centers require far more fiber than traditional cloud. $6B Meta deal adds visibility. Timing of scale-up optics is the swing factor.

    Timestamps
    00:01 Intro
    06:59 AXT $AXTI
    13:38 Tower Semiconductor $TSEM
    23:58 GlobalFoundries $GFS
    32:43 Lumentum $LITE
    39:38 Coherent $COHR
    47:09 Fabrinet $FN
    54:07 Corning $GLW

    Austin's Substack: https://www.chipstrat.com/

    Vik's Substack: https://www.viksnewsletter.com/


    Optical Networking Supercycle - ALL the Tech You NEED to know Feb 19, 2026
    Show notes

    Austin and Vik delve into the evolving landscape of optics and networking, particularly in relation to AI and data centers.
    The conversation covers various scales of networking, including scale across, scale out, and scale up, while also addressing the demand-supply dynamics in laser manufacturing and the future of optical circuit switches.
    The episode highlights the technological advancements and market opportunities in the optics sector, emphasizing the significance of these developments for the future of AI.
    Takeaways

    • Silicon photonics is becoming crucial for data center connectivity.
    • Optics is essential for overcoming copper's limitations in speed and distance.
    • Scale across technology is vital for connecting data centers.
    • Scale out optics is the standard for connecting GPUs between racks.
    • Co-packaged optics can reduce energy consumption in data centers.
    • The scale up market for optics is emerging as a new opportunity.
    • Indium phosphide wafers are a critical bottleneck in laser manufacturing.
    • Optical circuit switches are gaining traction in data centers.
    • 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for optical networking.


    Chapters
    00:00 Introduction to AI and CPU Bottlenecks
    03:00 The Rise of Silicon Photonics
    06:01 Understanding Optical Networking and Data Centers
    08:49 Scale Across: Connecting Data Centers
    11:56 Scale Out: Optimizing Data Center Connectivity
    14:53 Scale Up: The Future of GPU Connectivity
    23:32 The Shift from Copper to Optical Connections
    26:13 Challenges and Reliability of Lasers
    30:47 Understanding Co-Packaged Optics
    34:17 Market Dynamics: Demand and Supply of Lasers
    40:46 Emerging Technologies: Optical Circuit Switches
    Check out Austin's Substack: https://www.chipstrat.com
    Check out Vik's Substack: https://www.viksnewsletter.com


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