Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Latest Episodes:

Does This Oil Bounce Back Have Legs? Feb 28, 2023

Show notes

U.S. Treasury yields added to their monthly gains and equities chopped along as investors weighed the consequence of tighter monetary policy for longer. Meanwhile, oil rallied 2% on more bullish news coming out of China. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear his views on stocks, metals, an energy rotation, and the dollar breakout.

Plus, we’ll hear from Jamie McDonald on why investors need to pay attention to copper. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZoqlKg. And check out more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com.

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What Are Global Money Flows Telling Us? Feb 27, 2023

Show notes

Tech stocks are leading U.S. equities higher as bond yields pull back — but not until after the 2-Year Treasury note hit its the highest level since January 2007. Maggie Lake is joined by Geo Chen, director of Three Quays Pte. Ltd. and the author of Fidenza Macro, to hear how bond market volatility and global liquidity dynamics are moving markets. Plus, we’ll hear from Simplify chief strategist Mike Green, who explains why he’s so worried that the current environment looks like 1929. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3IYdyZB

You can read all of Geo’s work here: https://fidenza.substack.com

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Mark Ritchie on the Theology Behind His Trading Feb 26, 2023

Show notes

The legendary investor Mark Ritchie walks us through his life, from his early years growing up in Afghanistan to the Chicago Board of Trade to meeting his future wife, and how it all ties into his trading philosophy. He also shares a famous quote — attributed to Mark Twain — that has greatly influenced his life both on and off the trading floor: What are the two most important days in your life? "The day you are born and the day you find out why." Mark joins Maggie Lake for a deep dive into why this quote inspired him, how he learned about the importance of sizing trades, the right time to cut and run, maintaining patience, and much more from his storied trading career.

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Why Energy Is Underperforming Feb 25, 2023

Show notes

The energy sector has been the weakest performer in the U.S. equity market over the past month, despite China ending its zero-covid policy. So, what’s going on with everyone’s favorite sector of 2022? Andreas Steno Larsen lays out the bearish case for oil and gas and offers his take on what commodities you should be buying instead. Recorded on February 8, 2023.

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Are people evacuating soft landing island? Feb 25, 2023

Show notes

U.S. stocks tumbled and treasury yields jumped after data showed the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation- the core PCE price index- rose more than expected last month. Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research joins Maggie Lake to talk about the current battle with inflation, how the Fed is handling the fight and what’s coming later in 2023. In the second half of the show, we’ll dive into credit markets and answer your questions! Plus, we’ll get a peek into the latest episode of My Life in 4 Trades featuring Mike Green. He says beware of the liquidity trap in this current economic environment. That interview will be released on Monday. Don’t miss it!

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Is There Pain Ahead for Risk Assets? Feb 23, 2023

Show notes

U.S. equities continue to chop after falling from the recent highs, as investors weigh recent Fed comments and conflicting economic data. Maggie Lake sits down with the Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGatehub, to help us understand the many factors driving price across asset classes. Plus, we’ll hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why he thinks a U.S. recession is coming in the second half of 2023. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XX6VLt

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Can Anyone Out-Hawk the Fed? Feb 22, 2023

Show notes

After the worst trading day in 2023, the U.S. stock market is hovering relatively unchanged following the release of this afternoon’s FOMC minutes. The minutes confirmed that most Fed members are on board with the continued fight against inflation. Maggie Lake sits down with Michael Kao, the CEO of Akanthos Capital Management, to discuss the price action, his outlook for the global economy, and why he’s concerned that too many investors are engaged in a dangerous, self-fulfilling cycle of over-exposure.

Plus, we’ll hear from Jacob Shapiro, the Director of Geopolitical Analysis at Cognitive Investments, on why there’s opportunity in supply chains even if they don’t ease. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YUly3j

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Are Markets in for a Rough Ride? Feb 21, 2023

Show notes

U.S. equities are tumbling as the 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 3-month highs as investors wory about interest rates ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes reveal. Maggie Lake is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap to discuss current market sentiment, which direction he sees markets heading in the short-term, the apparent re-rating of risk happening in bond markets, and where he’s looking for value in the chop. Plus, we’ll hear from Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management, about why the $8 trillion U.S. balance sheet is a monster lurking that no one is paying attention to. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XLP0ac

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 Tim Ferriss, Raoul Pal & Mark Hart on Hedge Funds, Investing & Optimizing Lifestyle | RV Classics Feb 19, 2023

Show notes

In this three-way conversation, Raoul speaks with Mark and Tim on the currency that we should prioritize higher-- time.

In his Master Class, Mark Hart mentions Tim Ferriss as a friend and lifestyle design advisor.

A master of meta-learning, Tim discusses easy ways to optimize your productivity, why we confuse the goal of 'having money' with 'quality of life', and explains what happens when we re-examine our self-defined boundaries.

Originally aired on February 21, 2015

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Why a Post-Lockdown China Is Raising Red Flags for India Feb 18, 2023

Show notes

Andreas Steno Larsen explains why China’s reopening is a negative for last year’s market darling, India. Plus, he gives an update on U.S. dollar liquidity and a sneak peek into his new show, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, available to Plus members starting on Friday. Recorded on January 31, 2023.

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