Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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Eno and DVR discuss Trade Deadline takeaways, the frustration when teams try to 'thread the needle' in the wake of the Brewers' recent moves, the seemingly light activity of the Mets, a fascinating Brandon Marsh-Logan O'Hoppe trade, the absence of Ronald Acuña Jr.'s power (so far) this season coming off of a torn ACL, Walker Buehler's pre-injury struggles, and their favorite Vin Scully stories.
Rundown
-- All-In v. Threading the Needle
-- Wild Card Bubble v. First Place Team in Deadline Decisions
-- Shorten Service Time to Free Agency, Push More Teams to Play For Now?
-- More Disappointment Per Capita: Mets Fans or Brewers
-- Was the Mets' Deadline Really *That* Bad?
-- Most Intriguing Deals
-- Eno's Bad Mike Trout Trade
-- Prospect of the Week
-- Getting Dunked On By Kids & A Ronald Acuña Jr. Question
-- Injury Risk in Long-Term Trade Targets?
-- Walker Buehler's Pre-Injury Woes
-- Remembering Vin Scully
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the blockbuster trade that sent Luis Castillo to Seattle, big surprises in the latest update to Eno's Starting Pitcher Rankings, a breaking news(!) trade that sent Josh Hader to San Diego, and much more.
Rundown
-- Getting Luis Castillo Out of Great American Ballpark
-- Cincinnati's Future Focus
-- David Peralta to the Rays
-- Eno's Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings (Subscribers to The Athletic can view the rankings here: https://theathletic.com/3458778)
-- Chris Bassitt's Ascent
-- Breaking News: Josh Hader Traded to the Padres!
-- Jon Gray, Year 1 in Texas
-- Nick Lodolo: Young Starting Pitcher on the Rise?
-- Is Corey Kluber a Younger Adam Wainwright?
-- Lucas Giolito's 2022 Slide
-- The New Reid Detmers
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
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Eno and DVR comb through several rosters ahead of the Trade Deadline in search of current backups and upper level minor leaguers with paths to more playing time in the near future. Plus, they consider the implications of Mike Trout's injury on the Angels in the future, and the importance of the A's hitting on the likely trades of Frankie Montas, Sean Murphy and Ramón Laureano.
Rundown
0:00 It Starts (Intro Music)
1:47 Andrew Benintendi to the Yankees
4:23 PT for Kyle Isbel, Edward Olivares (Once Healthy)?
8:59 Finding Replacement in Chicago
14:36 Will Jose Barrero & Jake Fraley Play More for the Reds?
19:04 Who Moves in Baltimore, Who Steps Into Larger Roles?
24:06 Still Interested in Jack Suwinski?
31:13 Cheap Stolen Bases Coming from D.C.?
42:04 The Mike Trout Situation
52:33 Uncharted Territory in Oakland?
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
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Eno and DVR discuss the early applications of Statcast Bat Tracking data, as well as what they hope to learn as the dataset grows in the future before examining several struggling starting pitchers, and a few Pitching Model v. Results disagreements.
Rundown
-- Statcast Bat Tracking
-- Max Swing Speed & Max EV for Power, Barrel Precision for Hit Tool?
-- A Closer Look at Astros & Dodgers
-- Ian Anderson, We Were Warned, But Can He Be Fixed?
-- Yusei Kikuchi: Any Reasons for Rebound Optimism?
-- Aaron Ashby: Extended by Brewers, Big Breakout Looming?
-- Daniel Lynch: Still Frustrating, Still Offers Potential
-- Pitching Model v. Results
-- Nathan Eovaldi's Brutal Weekend Start
-- Prospect of the Week!
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
Related Reading: Mike Petriello 'What you need to know about Statcast bat tracking' https://www.mlb.com/news/what-you-need-to-know-about-statcast-bat-tracking
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Eno and DVR discuss several hitters with the potential to rebound in the second half -- with the emphasis on players whose value has fallen since the start of the season -- the potential impact of the "Pie Slice" Rule on current big leaguers, and the Marlins' offensive slide with Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jon Berti on the IL.
Rundown
-- DVR Makes Another Spreadsheet
-- Another Drop on the Joey Votto 2022 Rollercoaster
-- Biggest Difference: ROS Projection v. Earn Value So Far
-- Josh Smith: Deep Leagues Only?
-- Vinnie Pasquantino v. Nolan Gorman, Long Term?
-- Nick Castellanos, Rebound Coming?
-- Seiya Suzuki is Healthy Again
-- The 'Pie Slice' Rule
-- Who Would Benefit From This Change?
-- Adjustments Coming in Miami?
-- Four-Man Outfields/Outfield Shifts
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
Related Reading: Jayson Stark on The "Pie Slice" Rule: https://theathletic.com/3417955
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Eno and DVR discuss several pitchers facing potential workload limitations in the second half -- including a large group of rookie pitchers, and a few veterans who have lost time in recent years due to significant injuries. Plus, they attempt to find a few solutions via trade and waivers to help remedy an expected shortcoming of innings during the final two-plus months of the season.
Rundown
-- Young Pitchers Facing IP Concerns
-- George Kirby & 2021 Injury Impact
-- Any Reason to Worry About Shane McClanahan?
-- What If You Have Multiple Pitchers In This Situation?
-- Veterans w/Major Injuries
-- The Downside in Pushing Starting Pitcher Volume From Waivers
-- Helpful Changes for Aaron Civale?
-- Max Meyer Pops in Pitching Model
-- Short Relievers of Interest
-- Long-Term Ceiling of Glenn Otto?
-- Any Signs of Slowing Down for Nestor Cortes?
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
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Eno and DVR discuss why Esteury Ruiz might have a difficult time becoming Jon Berti 2.0 despite blazing speed and a growing path to playing time with the Padres, before examining several young hitters whose underlying skills point to future success, and why the stabilization point of a hitter's barrel rate still messes with our minds.
Rundown
-- It Starts (Intro Music)
-- Esteury Ruiz: Stolen Bases Galore on the Waiver Wire?
-- Spencer Torkelson: Second-Half Turnaround On Tap?
-- More Likely to Improve Barrel Rate: Andrew Vaughn or Ke'Bryan Hayes?
-- Andrés Giménez: Is This His Ceiling?
-- Where is Gavin Lux's Power Amidst a Breakout?
-- More Power Coming From Nico Hoerner
-- DVR is Still In on Brandon Marsh
-- Raw Power Search: Below Average Barrel Rates, Top 20 Max EV
-- When to Trust a Dramatic Shift in Barrel Rate for a Veteran Player?
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Eno and DVR discuss a few different midseason problems and try to determine which is the easiest to solve in the second half, plus they examine several young pitchers that might be worth acquiring via trade or pickup for the long-term future before attempting to make sense of Byron Buxton's unusual 2022 season (so far).
Rundown
-- Midseason Roster Flaws
-- Where Have Steals Come From This Season?
-- Pricey Closer Panning Out (So Far)
-- Fighting Tanked Ratios with Trades, Young Pitchers
-- MacKenzie Gore's First Half
-- Other Pitchers to Target
-- Paying Up for George Kirby in Long-Term Leagues?
-- Has Reid Detmers Changed with the Return of His Slider?
-- Who Is Byron Buxton?
-- Did Brendan Rodgers Figure It Out?
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
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Eno and DVR discuss Luis Castillo's case for 'ace' status and the possibility that he's the best pitcher moved at the August trade deadline before examining other Stuff+ risers from June to July, and a few big movers on the pitching front from the first half of the season.
Rundown
-- It Starts (Intro Music)
-- Luis Castillo's Recent Changes
-- Castillo as a Seasonal Streamer?
-- Taijuan Walker's First-Half Adjustments
-- Jackson Kowar: Deep League Help in the Second Half?
-- Is Mike Clevinger 'Back'?
-- Other Recent Stuff+ Risers
-- Sandy Alcántara's Continued Ascent
-- Trust Level in Luis Severino's Health?
-- Kyle Wright: Long-Term SP2?
-- Framber Valdez is Better Than DVR Thought
-- Joe Ryan v. Projections & The Model
-- Shane Bieber 3.0?
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Eno and DVR discuss the increasing likelihood of Julio Rodríguez becoming 2023 first-round pick, other movers into the early rounds, recent barrel rate surgers -- including Ryan Mountcastle and Dylan Carlson -- the unique challenge of trading for currently injured players, and a handful of mailbag questions.
Rundown
-- Maybe the Pitch Clock Will Reduce Pitcher Injuries?
-- Julio Rodríguez: First-Round Bound in 2023?
-- A Very Brief J-Rod v. Acuña Comparison
-- Ryan Mountcastle: DVR's Perpetual Skepticism, BB/K Laggards
-- Real-Life Replaceable Power?
-- Dylan Carlson's Adjustments
-- Yordan Alvarez & Other Big Movers
-- A Significant Jump for Jazz Chisholm Jr.?
-- Eno Turns the Tables
-- Trading for Injured Players
-- Making Sense of Triston McKenzie
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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