Stay ConnectedEno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Britt Ghiroli, Trevor May, and Jed Lowrie discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
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Eno and DVR discuss the 2022 shortstop pool. Was the position as deep and productive as expected? How can the shape of shortstop be leveraged in future seasons? What should we make of Wander Franco's injury-shortened campaign? Will Adalberto Mondesi find a path to full-time plate appearances?
Rundown
6:04 Dansby Swanson's Massive Walk Year, Big FA Class
15:02 Injury Impact on 2022 Early Shortstops
20:25 Neverending Value at the Position?
25:05 Preparing for Oneil Cruz Helium
32:32 Swinging-Strike Rate Surprises
38:05 What to Make of Wander Franco's 2022?
48:45 Early Optimism for Adalberto Mondesi in 2023?
55:33 Favorite 2022 Pop-Up Shortstops
66:30 CJ Abrams and Early Underwhelming Statcast Numbers
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR battle a sinus infection and microphone issues take a look back at the Outfielder pool from 2022. From a group that fared well overall, are there any early rebound candidates to target at potential discounts? Can we apply anything from the success of this year's rookie class to future prospects?
Rundown
3:07 Reasonable Regression From a Historically Great Season
10:43 Yordan Alvarez & Best Hitter v. Best Fantasy Player
15:06 Looking Back for Early Disappointments
17:55 Cedric Mullins' Breakout Year Follow-Up
19:42 Mike Trout's High Volume of PT Post IL
27:10 Underperforming Top-25 Outfielders
37:01 Nick Castellanos & Roller Coaster Players
40:28 Can We Learn Anything From Michael Harris II & Steven Kwan?
45:15 Making Sense of AVG-heavy Players (Jeff McNeil)
51:17 2022 Rookie Class Success Impact on Future Rookies?
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR take a look back at the Starting Pitcher pool from 2022. Is the group getting better at assessing pitching in general? Does that make it more difficult to wait on pitching going forward? What adjustments (if any) should we make coming away from this season given the relative dead zone for pitching around the back of the Top 200 overall?
Rundown
0:54 The Elite of the Elite
6:09 Older Pitchers Holding Skills Longer Than Expected?
11:11 Is the Market Getting Better at Evaluating Pitching?
17:11 Underperforming v. Overperforming the Pitching+ Model
23:40 Finding Another Shane McClanahan in the Pick 100 Range
31:58 More Comfortable Taking Injury Discounts with Pitchers?
38:35 A One-Year Blip or a Bigger Trend?
47:52 Pitching Hits Outside the Top 200 Overall
50:22 Looking for Future Breakouts
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
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Eno and DVR begin their 2022 Positional Reviews series with relievers. As the top closer shuffle places, does it make sense to target top-end sources of saves? Will the implementation of the Pitch Clock prove particularly costly for older relievers? Which young risers will catch the most helium on the heels of productive 2022 seasons?
Rundown
1:24 Final Roster Adjustments
7:26 Lessons Learned from Josh Hader & Liam Hendriks
10:32 Re-Ordering the Top-End Options?
16:04 Treading Carefully Around the Back of the Top 100
23:40 Aiming for 70 Saves in 2023?
27:22 Role Uncertainty From the Third Tier
32:48 Draft-and-Hold v. Leagues w/Moves
39:13 Aging Curves on Relievers
45:23 Embracing (Or Not Fearing) Committees
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR looks at two of their teams with wildly different outcomes in 2022 in an attempt to mold future strategies and avoid repeating mistakes. Plus, Eno's best Halloween costumes, diminishing returns when too many teams execute the same strategy, choosing a direction in long-term leagues.
Rundown
1:36 Best Halloween Costumes
8:34 Learning from Eno's AL LABR Build
16:48 Preparing to Pivot
22:46 Adjusting to Other Strategies in the Room
27:19 DVR's Disastrous TGFBI Squad: Avoiding Repeat Mistakes
42:17 Is It Championship or Bust?
49:11 Timing Contending v. Rebuilding
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss a few more difficult aspects of endgame strategy with just 10 days left to play in the 2022 fantasy baseball season. Plus, they examine the long-term outlook for Triston McKenzie on the heels of his breakout, optimism about Brandon Marsh's first full campaign in Philadelphia, and the impact of rule changes on how catchers might be valued in the long run.
Rundown
5:12 Endgame Strategy: Protecting Ratios v. Chasing Wins and/or Strikeouts
11:56 Putting on Your Opponents' Shoes
17:25 Fighting Back Against Instincts, Late FOMO
23:22 Triston McKenzie's Long-Term Outlook
29:25 Does a Pitcher's Frame/Body Type Matter?
36:06 Are Top-End Speedsters More Desirable in H2H Leagues?
41:29 Brandon Marsh & Mickey Moniak in New Organizations
48:08 Rule Changes & Impact on Catchers
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR consider the implications of new 2023 rules on stolen bases. Will players who currently run occasionally end up with bigger increases than top-end speedsters? Plus, they look at several potential late-season additions capable of making a positive impact in the final weeks of the season.
Rundown
1:21 How Stolen Base Opportunities Might Change
9:12 Unfortunately, You Can't Switch Defenders That Way
15:33 Ezequiel Tovar Gets a Late Promotion to Colorado
20:21 Jordan Diaz's Look from the A's
27:36 Eno Speaks Italian
32:23 Bubba Thompson: Is This Real?
38:08 Edward Olivares...Again?
44:16 DVR Finally Gives Up on Nick Senzel
47:08 Late Pitching Help!
55:17 Weird Season: Chris Taylor
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR dig into potential winners from the restrictions on shifting that will go into effect in 2023. Can José Ramírez become even more productive in batting average in the new landscape? Will teams swap defensive positions to counteract shift rules? How does Shohei Ohtani break WAR, and is 'superstar fatigue' a real thing?
Rundown
4:37 Searching Statcast for Potential Shift Rules Winners
10:51 José Ramírez: Slightly Higher Ceiling in 2023?
18:45 Will Defenders Swap Positions Regularly?
23:05 An Increasing Number of Multi-Position Players?
25:43 Are Any Player Types Susceptible to Lose Playing Time?
31:06 Will the Market Overcorrect for Players Losing Hits to Shifts?
39:06 Shohei Ohtani & Breaking WAR
52:12 Superstar Fatigue
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Inspired by the 2022 struggles of Jo Adell and Jarred Kelenic, Eno and DVR discuss when they give up on young players, what they look for while trying to determine a player's future power potential. Plus, spin rates are ticking up as sticky stuff appears to be alive and well, an update to the tempo data for pitching pace, and an attempt to make sense of Christopher Morel's rookie season.
Rundown
-- When to Give Up on Young Players
-- Looking Back at the Early Years Dansby Swanson
-- What to Look For While Seeking Future Pop
-- Spin Rates Are Healthy
-- Revisiting the Rule Changes; Clarity on the Tempo Data
-- Making Sense of Christopher Morel's Rookie Season
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Eno and DVR discuss some of the biggest risers and fallers among pitchers in the second half of the season in search of late-season pitchers to trust, others to avoid, and potential bargains for those looking ahead to draft-and-hold season for 2023.
Rundown
-- New Role, Big Improvement
-- Michael Wacha's Adjustments
-- Blake Snell's Turnaround
-- Bailey Falter's Run in the Philly Rotation
-- Spenser Watkins
-- David Peterson is Pretty Good
-- Trevor Rogers is Returning to 2021 Form?
-- Drew Rasmussen Improving In-Season?
-- Could the O's Consider Dillon Tate as a Starter in 2023?
-- Second-Half Fallers
-- Craig Kimbrel's Slide Out of Regular Saves in LA
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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