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Prosperous: Investing in Common Sense — Investing
Prosperous: Investing in Common Sense

Investing seems impossible to understand in lay person terms. The whole subject feels as the realm of acronyms and over-complicated buzzwords. Nonetheless we believe there are ways to break it all down to digestible pieces upon which anyone can feel they can make their own decisions.

We discuss the world of investing and also crypto in a way you can understand and learn. Here we try to explain things in a simple way, rather than make us sound like geniuses.

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Add our Podcast Follow list at:

https://twitter.com/i/lists/1425629969036812291

Sometimes we add a link to a YouTube video.

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it! We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions.

Please reach out anytime! Find us on Twitter at: https://Twitter.com/urbanscribesays

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Latest Episodes:

Decoding Market Moves: AI, Tesla, Crypto, and Risk Management Strategies Feb 12, 2025

Show notes

Decoding Market Moves: AI, Tesla, Crypto, and Risk Management Strategies

Description:

In this episode, we dive deep into the dynamic world of market trends and investment strategies. Join us as we dissect recent movements in key sectors and explore opportunities for both seasoned and aspiring investors.

SMCI & AI Stocks: We analyze the potential of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and the broader landscape of AI stocks, revisiting a previous call and examining the factors driving their performance. We evaluate the impact of earnings calls, revenue guidance, and market sentiment on AI-driven investments

Tesla: We discuss Tesla's stock performance, dissecting its trading patterns, key levels, and potential future strategies involving options. We explore long-term views on Tesla, considering factors like production costs, product refreshes, and the potential for robotics and full self-driving to impact its valuation. Various options strategies, including call spreads and puts, are analyzed for risk management and potential gains.

EOSC (EOS Energy): An analysis of EOS Energy, a US battery maker, and a discussion of risk-reward asymmetry using call options.

Bitcoin & Crypto: We explore the Bitcoin market, analyzing the impact of spot ETFs and potential investment strategies. Discussions around holding strategies versus trading around positions to maximize returns, as well as Bitcoin's role as a store of capital are also discussed. The potential of blockchain technology beyond Bitcoin, including its applications in governance, financial rails, and tokenization of real-world assets, is discussed. Protocols like Solana, Base, and those focused on real-world assets are also mentioned.

Risk Management: The podcast emphasizes various risk management strategies using options, including call spreads and the importance of understanding risk-reward asymmetry. It stresses the significance of long-term options, managing bid-offer spreads, and aligning investment strategies with fundamental views on stocks.

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

AI, Bonds, and Geopolitics: Navigating a Complex Market Landscape Feb 05, 2025

Show notes

This podcast discussion centers on the commoditization of AI, specifically focusing on the increasing accessibility and capabilities of open-source models like DeepSeek, contrasting them with more centralized approaches. The conversation then shifts to a trade idea involving long-term bonds, analyzing market trends and inflation rates to support the argument for this investment strategy. Finally, the discussion touches upon the geopolitical complexities of the Gaza situation, exploring potential economic solutions and their implications.

Key topics :
- The commoditization of AI and its impact on businesses.
- The multi-layered AI process: models, agents, and reasoning.
- Open-source AI initiatives and their strategic importance.
- Bond market analysis and a potential long bond trade.
- The interplay of inflation, interest rates, and bond yields.
- Geopolitical strategies in the Middle East and potential pathways forward.
- Market reactions to political and economic news17

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

AI: DeepSeek, Nvidia, AMD, and Crypto Market Analysis. Jan 29, 2025

Show notes

AI, Chips, and Crypto: Navigating the Tech Landscape

Description:

AI Discussion:
This episode dives deep into the rapidly evolving worlds of artificial intelligence, semiconductor technology, and cryptocurrency. We begin with a discussion on Deepseek, a new open-source AI model from China, exploring its capabilities, its impact on the market, and the implications for companies like Nvidia and AMD1.... We analyze the potential market disruption caused by Deepseek's cost-effectiveness, and how this impacts the valuation of companies involved in AI.

The conversation shifts to the semiconductor market, with a focus on Nvidia's dominance in the AI space and how its software ecosystem has contributed to its success. We compare Nvidia's performance to AMD, noting AMD's struggles in the AI sector, despite its strengths in other areas5.... The discussion also covers Super Micro (SMCI), a company that provides essential hardware for running large AI models, exploring its potential and its past issues
Crypto Markets:

The podcast then transitions into the realm of cryptocurrency, starting with Bitcoin. We explore the possibility of Bitcoin becoming a reserve asset and how institutional adoption is key to its future growth. The conversation extends to other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, Solana, and XRP, with discussions about their unique functionalities and potential. The discussion also touches on the role of Coinbase and its blockchain, Base, as a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto world. We discuss the importance of understanding the various use cases of these different tokens. The discussion also covers the possibility of institutions using companies like Ripple to offer crypto services.

Finally, the podcast considers how the regulatory environment is evolving, potentially facilitating broader adoption of crypto

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Decoding the Markets: Liquidity, Inflation and the Future Jan 22, 2025

Show notes

Description:

In this episode, we dive deep into the complex world of finance with a focus on the interplay between liquidity, inflation, and asset valuation. We explore how the Federal Reserve's actions, particularly its balance sheet and the federal funds rate, impact the markets. This episode provides a comprehensive overview of the current macroeconomic landscape, offering valuable insights for both retail investors and market insiders. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the complex dynamics between monetary policy and market behavior.

Key topics discussed include:

The Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet

Federal Funds Rate

Impact of Liquidity Injections

Monetary Policy and Market Cycles

Inflation and CPI

The Fed's Response to Inflation

Bond Market Dynamics

Current Market Outlook

Long-Term Economic Trends

Future Economic Outlook

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

30. Welcome Back. What are we to make of Bitcoin in a Bear Market Nov 21, 2022

Show notes

What are we to make of Bitcoin in the middle of a brutal bear market.
We discuss:
- What has changed and what has not
- Bitcoin as a network
- Regulatory risks
- What drives the current market price of Bitcoin
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:
The FTX Contagion with Jesse Powell
What Bitcoin did
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1u1--XSl1HI&t=3171s

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/urbanscribesays

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

29. Has Bitcoin Failed as an Inflation Hedge? Jul 15, 2022

Show notes

29. Has Bitcoin Failed as an Inflation Hedge?
We discuss:
- What has changed in Money Supply growth
- Why this current inflation may be both temporary and worrisome
- Is it too early to dismiss Bitcoin as a long term inflation hedge
- What drives the current market price of Bitcoin
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:
The End of Germany & Japan's Inflection Point
Peter Zeihan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6nH9DRYm0U&t

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/urbanscribesays

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

28. Bitcoin Maxi or other projects ok to look at? Apr 01, 2022

Show notes

28. Bitcoin Maxi or other projects ok to look at?
We discuss:
- Can you use a value approach to analyzing other projects than Bitcoin?
- Is it even worth it?
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:
Strategies for Assessing Digital Asset Value
Real Vision with Jeff Dorman, CIO of Arca
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVaz_s3qWww

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/PodcastNoob

Find us on Facebook at:
https://www.facebook.com/thecryptonoobs

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

27. Bitcoin Use Cases in Ukrainian Conflict. Certainty in an Uncertain World? Mar 25, 2022

Show notes

We discuss:
- Bitcoin role In the Ukranian conflict
- DEFI and NFT´s disruptive nature
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:

FYI - For Your Innovation.

Big Ideas 2022 with Cathie Wood and Chris Hayes

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/big-ideas-2022-with-cathie-wood-and-chris-hayes/id1271691895?i=1000554481591

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/PodcastNoob

Find us on Facebook at:
https://www.facebook.com/thecryptonoobs

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

26. Is Bitcoin a strategic Asset worthy of US Reserve status? Mar 18, 2022

Show notes

We discuss:
- Bitcoin vs. Gold
- Why would #Bitcoin be seen as a strategic Reserve asset
- How to think Probabilistically as opposed to Deterministically
- Why institutions can't ignore even 5% tail events
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:

Bitcoin Is Free Speech In The Digital Age: Jason Lowery: Full Interview

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m8ddlgAIQO4

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/PodcastNoob

Find us on Facebook at:
https://www.facebook.com/thecryptonoobs

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

25. Why we are going out to buy pasta! Mar 04, 2022

Show notes

25. ¨Why We Are Going Out To Buy Pasta! ¨

We discuss:
- Bitcoin in a time of centralized government action, even if morally justified
- A time of disequilibrium usually comes with some pain
- Could this solve some problems long term?
We do not provide financial advise in any form. All information is our opinion and for entertainment use.

Every Podcast we add a video or podcast we think of as Value add:
The

The Pomp Podcast:

#845 We Should Not Normalize Economic War On Innocent Civilians

https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vb2ZmdGhlY2hhaW4/episode/NjJhZDVjZDAtOTk5MC0xMWVjLWE0NDEtN2JmYTgyZTk5ZWI0?hl=en&ved=2ahUKEwiK0dex9qz2AhWeg3IEHWS9AukQieUEegQIAxAI&ep=6

Questions? Comments?

Find us on Twitter at:
https://twitter.com/PodcastNoob

Find us on Facebook at:
https://www.facebook.com/thecryptonoobs

Thanks again for the interest. We really appreciate it!
We encourage discussion, feedback and topical suggestions. Please reach out anytime!

The information provided in this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

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