Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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Ep. 312: Deepak Gurnani on Five Steps for Using AI in Investing Jun 12, 2025

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Deepak Gurnani is the Founder and Managing Partner of Versor Investments. He is the former CIO of Investcorp's Hedge Fund Group and was one of its founding members in 1996. Deepak was also a member of its Management Committee. He retired from Investcorp in March 2013. Prior to Investcorp, Deepak spent six years with Citicorp. In this podcast we discuss everyone talking about data being important gets it wrong, five steps of applying AI/machine learning in investment management, conventional vs. alternative and unstructured data, and much more.

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Ep. 311: Ralph Sueppel on Quant Trading Macro the Right Way Jun 05, 2025

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Ralph Sueppel is Managing Director for Research and Trading Strategies at Macrosynergy. Previously, he was an Executive Member and Portfolio Manager at Graham Capital. During his tenure there, he created the Systemic Risk and Systematic Value Project (now Macrosynergy Research), a non-profit project dedicated to educating the broader financial community on the merits of socially responsible macro trading strategies. Before Graham, Ralph was head of quant macro and algorithmic strategies at UBS and worked as Senior Strategist and Portfolio Manager at BlueCrest Capital. Ralph began his career at J.P. Morgan in 1993. In this podcast we discuss the difference between academic and real-world quant, what 'quantamental' is, typical quantitative macro strategies vs quantamental stratgies, and much more.

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Ep. 310: Helen Thomas on Trump's Controlled Demolition Strategy May 30, 2025

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Helen Thomas is the CEO of Blonde Money, an independent consultancy firm that analyses and monitors mispriced risks in financial markets in the US, UK and the EU. Helen has a long and distinguished career in both finance and politics. She was an adviser to the former Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne. Previously, Helen has been a partner in the global macro hedge fund, ABD Investment Management, and a former Head of Currency Alpha for State Street Global Advisors. In this podcast we discuss the return of political risk after unusual low interest rate/low volatility world, S&P 500 derivative risks and upcoming correction, Trump's 'controlled demolition' strategy, and much more.

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Ep. 309: Adam Frank on Aliens, AI and Climate Collapse May 23, 2025

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Adam Frank is a professor of astrophysics at the University of Rochester. A self-described 'evangelist of science,' Adam regularly writes and speaks about subjects like intelligent life forms in the universe, high-energy-density physics, space exploration and missions, climate change and more. In this podcast we discuss public science communication and scientific denialism, intersection of science, art and spirituality, searching for aliens – SETI and the Fermi Paradox, and much more.

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Ep. 308: Tobias Harris on Why Japan Matters May 16, 2025

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Tobias Harris is the Founder and Principal of Japan Foresight LLC. He has observed Japan as a political risk analyst at Teneo Intelligence and as a researcher at universities and think tanks. He is also Senior Advisor for Japan at Aurora Macro Strategies. Tobias is the author of 'The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan'. In this podcast we discuss how Japan became key US ally since WW2, why Japan shifted its view on its global role since 2000s, Abe Shinzo's role in transforming Japan's political system and centralising power, and much more.

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Ep. 307: Michael Sandel on Populism, Saving Democracy, and Tyranny of Merit May 09, 2025

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Michael Sandel teaches political philosophy at Harvard University. His writings – on justice, ethics, democracy, and markets – have been translated into more than 30 languages. His course 'Justice' is the first Harvard course to be made freely available online and on television, being viewed by tens of millions worldwide. Michael has served on the President's Council on Bioethics and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Michael's books relate enduring themes of political philosophy to the most vexing moral and civic questions of our time. His most recent works are 'The Tyranny of Merit: Can We Find the Common Good?' and 'Democracy's Discontent: A New Edition for Our Perilous Times'. In this podcast we discuss Sandel's intellectual journey, post-Cold War disillusionment, critique of meritocracy, and much more.

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Ep. 306: Ken Rogoff on Dollar Decline, Debt Worries and Fed Independence May 02, 2025

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Kenneth Rogoff is Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University, and former chief economist at the IMF. He has long ranked among the top dozen most cited economists and is an international grandmaster of chess. His influential 2009 book with Carmen Reinhart, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, shows the remarkable quantitative similarities across time and countries in the roots and aftermath of debt and financial crises. Rogoff is also known for his pioneering work on central bank independence, and on exchange rates. He is co-author of the widely used graduate text, Foundations of International Macroeconomics. Ken's latest book is Our Dollar, Your Problem: An Insider's View of Seven Turbulent Decades of Global Finance and the Road Ahead. In this podcast we discuss Rogoff's early life and background as a chess prodigy, Yale, MIT and mentors like Rudy Dornbusch and Stan Fischer, Rogoff's groundbreaking paper on central bank independence, and much more.

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Ep. 305: James van Geelen on 'Haves vs Have Nots' Theme, AI and Tariffs Apr 25, 2025

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James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research, which specializes in illuminating and demystifying the transformative 'megatrends' poised to shape societies, economies, and the market's distribution of returns for years to come. In this podcast we discuss crossovers between emergency medicine and trading, importance of a beginner's mindset, humility, and learning from others, macro and micro equals one feedback loop, and much more.

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Ep. 304: Zongyuan Zoe Liu on Calculated China vs Unpredictable US Apr 17, 2025

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Zongyuan Zoe Liu is a senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Her work focuses on international political economy, global financial markets, sovereign wealth funds, supply chains of critical minerals, development finance, emerging markets, energy and climate change policy, and East Asia-Middle East relations. Dr. Liu is the author of 'Can BRICS De-dollarize the Global Financial System?' and 'Sovereign Funds: How the Communist Party of China Finances its Global Ambitions'. In this podcast we discuss US-China tensions in run-up to Trump 2.0, Xi Jinping's worldview and generational trauma, the strategic logic behind China's limited retaliation, and much more.

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Ep. 303: Mirza Baig on Trump's Trade Strategy, China Risks and Canada's Dilemma Apr 11, 2025

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Mirza has a track record of 20 years in the field of researching and trading global foreign exchange. His methodology is built on comprehensive research on underlying fundamentals, rigorous scenario analysis, and a low-frequency, high-conviction approach for idea generation. Mirza has worked at top-tier sell-side firms, including Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, and Point 72, a multi-strategy hedge fund. Mirza is now based in Canada and works for Desjardins, where he focuses on G7 currency research. In this podcast we discuss why Trump is targeting Canada, understanding Trump's broader approach, implications of Trump's Liberation Day policies, and much more.

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