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    Business

    Invest Like the Best with Patrick O’Shaughnessy

    Conversations with the best investors and business leaders in the world. We explore their ideas, methods, and stories to help you better invest your time and money. Hear stock market and boardroom insights you can’t find anywhere else. If you’re a professional investor, CEO, entrepreneur, or business strategist, this is for you. Explore all our episodes and learn more at https://www.colossus.com

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    Latest Episodes:
    Albert Wenger - World After Capital - [Invest Like the Best, EP.80] Mar 13, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is Albert Wenger, a managing partner at Union Square Ventures and the author of the book World After Capital.

    Albert studied economics at Harvard and earned a PhD in information from technology, but if you’d asked me to guess before looking those up, I’d have guessed that he studied philosophy because of how widely he has thought about the world and the impact of technology.

    Our conversation is about how technology is changing the world from an Industrial Age to a knowledge age. We explore how cryptocurrencies, low cost computing, and regulation will impact our future and why the transition may require delicate care.

    I loved this conversation because of my obsession with the concept of scarcity. We explore what has been scarce through time and what may be scarce in the future. Albert is one of the most interesting thinkers I’ve come across and was a pleasure to speak with. I hope you enjoy our conversation.

    Hash Power is presented by Fidelity Investments

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    World After Capital

    Show Notes

    2:16 – (First Question) – Defining what it means to be human

    2:58 – World After Capital

    3:56 – Trans-humans vs neo-humans

    4:37 – The concept of Qualia

    5:25 – Albert’s investment philosophy=

    8:27 – How Albert began his exploration into cryptocurrencies

    12:59 – Most exciting things blockchains could enable

    14:27 – How does Albert view blockchain technology from the view of an venture capital investor

    17:00 - Why Albert thinks that the dominate cryptocurrency of our time may not exist just yet and what he is looking for in protocols that will become the leader in the space

    20:16 – What are the central functions that will be important in cryptocurrencies

    21:22 - The state of regulation in the cryptocurrency space

    27:37 – What has Albert most excited for the future of blockchain

    29:10 – The idea of universal basic income

    32:26 – How do you solve the problem of giving money value in a world of universal basic income

    35:00 – How scarcity has changed over time

    39:01 – Role of financial capital in the last 200 years of civilization

    42:39 – Are we as a society only capable of solving problems once they become an immediate threat

    44:15 – Explaining the idea of attention as a scarce resource

    47:56 – The two key drivers of change; zero marginal cost distribution and universality of computational power

    53:13 - What should we as investors and inventors be focusing on as the new objective function

    57:24 – Scariest aspect of this transition into the knowledge age

    59:45 – Three basic freedoms we all seek; informational, economic, psychological

    1:02:13 – Fermi’s paradox and the scarcity of attention

    1:02:56 – How Albert thinks about his own day and wellbeing given all of this information

    1:05:01 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Albert

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Savneet Singh - The Berkshire of Software - [Invest Like the Best, EP.79] Mar 06, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is another in a recent series of people that makes me want to work harder, learn more, and do more for others. His name is Savneet Singh, and he has already accomplished a remarkable amount in the worlds of business and investing. He’s preferred to keep a bit of a low profile, but I’m hoping, for everyone’s sake, to change that a little bit.

    Savneet has invested in unique things like Spanish real estate, famous startups like Uber, cryptocurrencies before they were cool, and even websites. He founded and built a fintech company. And now, he both a partner at the wide-ranging investment firm CoVenture, with my previous guest Ali Hamed, and the co-founder of Tera Holdings, which is trying to become the Berkshire Hathaway of software companies.

    To say this conversation is wide-ranging is an understatement. What’s neat is that my favorite parts aren’t even on investing, but are instead on principles for living.

    Savneet is one of the best people I’ve met in this journey. I’ve had several other conversations with him with shockingly low overlap with the one you are about to hear—a testament to his active and curious mind. I hope you enjoy learning from him as much as I have.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Ali Hamed podcast episolde

    The VERY simple bear case for bitcoin

    Owl Mountain

    Books Referenced

    Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist

    The Gorilla Game: Picking Winners in High Technology

    Show Notes

    2:30 – (First Question) – How Savneet started thinking about Spanish real estate.

    4:29 – Why Airbnb could be the most impactful and interesting of the companies like this

    5:25 – Savneet’s early entrepreneurial ventures

    6:42 – His big investing influences

    7:02 – Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist

    7:40 – What did Savneet learn in his two years on the sell-side of Wall Street

    8:50 – How the financial crisis impacted Savneet

    10:11 – The entrepreneurial journey and GBI

    11:40 – Savneet’s observations on the FinTech space and investing in it

    16:22 – His thoughts on venture capital style investing

    18:36 – Transition out of GBI into his partnership with Ali Hamed

    22:13 – The impactful things that his parents did for him

    23:23 – How Savneet thinks about justice in his life

    26:19 – Why value investing struck a chord with Savneet

    28:14 – Defining the proper long-term mindset when starting a company

    31:21 – Knowing what he knows now, what does he think about Berkshire today

    33:22 – The strategy behind Terra and how it came together

    35:00 – His checklist for deciding to invest in a firm

    41:38 – Why does Savneet think this is the space he wants to remain in for the long-term

    44:39 – How they are thinking about pricing a company they invest in

    47:03 – Lessons learned in sales and marketing that he can and will bring to the software world

    52:05 – What Savneet has learned from Constellation

    59:08 – What lessons has Savneet learned about taxes in their company structure

    1:02:13 – How they think about capital sourcing

    1:05:08 – His balanced view on crypto as an asset class

    1:05:18 – The VERY simple bear case for bitcoin

    1:09:45 – Savneet shares the Sikh philosophy with Patrick

    1:13:21 – A look at Owl Mountain

    1:15:59 – The Gorilla Game: Picking Winners in High Technology

    1:16:42 – Any other areas that people are underestimating

    1:17:22 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Savneet

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Dan Rasmussen - Private Equity Returns in Public Markets - [Invest Like the Best, EP.78] Feb 27, 2018
    Show notes

    It has been a while since we discussed private equity on the show, so I was excited for this week’s conversation. My guest is Dan Rasmussen, the founder of Verdad advisers. Dan worked in private equity and has spent years studying the entire field.

    Dan identified several key drivers of private equity’s outsized returns: size, value, and leverage. His firm uses these factors as a starting point to build a portfolio of public equities that behave like their private brethren.

    We cover a ton of ground, discussing the prospective returns for equities, forecasting, and tons of investing strategies.

    Please enjoy this conversation with Dan Rasmussen.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Subscribe to Dan

    The Gospel According to Michael Porter

    Tobias Carlisle

    Steven Pinker

    E.O. Wilson

    Books Referenced

    What Works on Wall Street, Fourth Edition: The Classic Guide to the Best-Performing Investment Strategies of All Time

    Quantitative Value, + Web Site: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors

    Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

    Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Show Notes

    2:03 – (First Question) – The current state of private equity investing

    4:09 – The three myths of private equity

    6:51 – Taking a deeper dive into the myth of growth through operational improvements

    9:29 – What Works on Wall Street, Fourth Edition: The Classic Guide to the Best-Performing Investment Strategies of All Time

    11:25 – Valuations for private market investment and where they’re going

    14:03 – Private equity companies that have a higher chance of delivering results that exceed expectation

    16:39 – Other observations on the private equity space that would be interesting to investors considering the asset class

    19:33 – Importance of being very purposeful in picking your reference classes

    19:42 – Subscribe to Dan

    22:03 – How do the lessons Dan has learned in private equity translate to his investment strategies

    25:21 – How do you apply purely technical, systematic thinking into public market investing

    29:23 – Analyzing leveraged stocks and the value they could create

    30:06 – How Dan thinks about the direction of debt vs just the level

    33:11 – Predicting a firms ability to deleverage

    35:20 – How Dan’s company whittle down a company and are able to see value beyond their quantitative screens

    41:29 – How does Dan think about the global vs US opportunity set

    44:22 – What originally drew Dan to the Japan market

    47:03 – How do rising rates impact Dan’s strategy in investing in highly leveraged companies

    55:03 – Porter’s five forces

    55:25 - The Gospel According to Michael Porter

    1:00:51 – How Dan thinks about competitive advantage

    1:04:41 – Exploring Dan’s personal process in pursuit of his ideal strategy

    1:05:19 – Quantitative Value, + Web Site: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors

    1:05:20 – Tobias Carlisle

    1:06:27 – Steven Pinker

    1:06:28 – E.O. Wilson

    1:07:11 – What other markets pique Dan’s interest

    1:09:39 – Why there is such a focus on small for Dan

    1:11:24 – Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

    1:11:28– Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    1:12:54– What was it like writing the book

    1:17:19 – If Dan was going to write another book today, what would it be about

    1:19:08– Kindest thing anyone has done for Dan

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Pat Dorsey Returns - The Moat Portfolio - [Invest Like the Best, EP.77] Feb 20, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week, back for a second conversation, is Pat Dorsey. Pat ran equity research at Morningstar before leaving to start his own asset management company: Dorsey Asset Management. His areas of deep interest are competitive advantage and capital allocation. He believes that capital allocation should be in service of competitive advantage and invests in a concentrated portfolio that he and his team feel embody these ideas.

    If you have not already, I strongly recommend listening to our first conversation, which is a sort of crash course on moats. In this conversation, we cover different ground. We spend much more time on individual stocks like Facebook, Google, and Chegg, using them as examples to explore Pat’s investment philosophy and strategy.

    Across a few conversations with Pat, I can tell he is in love with this stuff, and I always enjoy talking to investors like him who so passionately pursue and edge. Please enjoy round two with Pat Dorsey.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Pat Dorsey's first appearance on the podcast

    HQ - Live Trivia Game Show

    Books Referenced

    World After Capital

    Principles: Life and Work

    Show Notes

    2:15 – (First Question) – Pat’s methods for valuing a business

    4:17 – Is this process done after they would first identify potential targets for investment

    5:11 – Pat’s take on how the market classifies stocks as growth vs value

    6:40 – Qualitative insights and why the market can’t price them very accurately

    9:57 – The business model behind zero marginal cost distribution business model

    12:00 – Network effects and the potential downside to them down the road

    13:54 – Valuing Facebook as a business heavily reliant on network effects

    16:45 – What would have to change for Pat’s position on Facebook to radically change

    18:58 – Most important lessons that a smaller/private business could learn from Facebook or Google’s business models

    19:48 – Where is Amazon in Pat’s portfolio

    22:06 – An example of where primary research led to a big surprise about a company

    24:05 – The value of travel in this business, starting with recent travel to India

    26:05 – Why are they targeting India and Japan

    27:24 – How does he think about the risk of investing in foreign markets

    29:52 – His thinking on relative vs absolute market share

    31:26 – Exploring the SaaS business model

    34:35 – The application of moats and pricing power with SaaS businesses

    34:36 – Pat Dorsey's first appearance on the podcast

    40:07 – Other models that Pat explores and how to screen for them

    41:37 – How does he parse the difference between attention and demand

    43:19 – How would Pat monetize something like HQ - Live Trivia Game Show that has aggregated massive amount of attention

    45:19 – How does Pat react to the idea that attention is scarce and human capital is so crucial

    45:14 – World After Capital

    47:04 – How does Pat evaluate human capital in a business

    48:09 – Experience in starting an asset management business

    50:20 – What are the levers that are biggest value drivers in the asset management business

    53:57 – Pat’s view on the strength of the relationship between risk and return

    57:06 – The most risk Pat has taken in the face of uncertainty

    59:23 – Favorite recent learning resource

    59:43 – Principles: Life and Work

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Josh Wolfe - This is Who You Are Up Against - [Invest Like the Best, EP.76] Feb 13, 2018
    Show notes

    Long-time listeners will have heard me joke before that this podcast should really be called “this is who are you up against.” I’ve been waiting for the right episode to deploy the joke as a title, and this week we have it.

    The joke is meant to convey how incredibly impressive these people are who we get to hear from every week. My guest this week is Josh Wolfe, a founding and managing partner at Lux Capital in New York City. Lux is a venture capital firm, but a highly unique one. They’ve spent more time in hard sciences and interesting nooks and crannies of the market than the typical VC firm.

    Some of investing is zero sum: my outperformance is someone else’s underperformance. Sometimes, though, investing is positive sum. The combination of capital, ideas, people, drive, and raw energy leads to amazing new things.

    I think the best investing and best investors of the future will be more collaborative than competitive. After finishing with Josh, I couldn’t stop thinking “god, do I want to be involved with whatever he’s doing, if only just to learn.”

    This conversation made me rethink my joke “this is who are you up against.” Now I won’t think of it as a zero-sum joke, but instead as a reminder: this is the kind of person who is out there. You better find your niche, and still be the absolute best you can within that niche.

    Please enjoy this killer conversation with Josh Wolfe. We cover just about everything.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Investing in Biofuels or Biofools?

    Ali Hamed podcast

    Alex Moazed podcast

    Andy Rachleff podcast

    Popplet

    @wolfejosh

    Books Referenced

    Modern Monopolies: What It Takes to Dominate the 21st Century Economy

    World After Capital

    Show Notes

    2:35 – (First Question) – Lux Capital and the kind of investments they have made over the years

    5:42 – The formation of the investment philosophy for Lux

    9:52 – Investment philosophy 100-0-100 (ambition, arrogance, intellectual humility)

    10:40 – How Josh manages his time and attention

    12:53 – Investing in Biofuels or Biofools?

    13:29 – Obsession with nuclear

    18:28 – Focus on autonomous vehicles

    21:02 – How all of these gambles are viewed by Josh’s investors

    22:56 – Tattoo technology

    24:20 – Ali Hamed podcast

    24:36 – How Josh evaluates people when considering early stage investments

    24:45 – Alex Moazed podcast

    24:49 – Modern Monopolies: What It Takes to Dominate the 21st Century Economy

    29:50 – Memorable experience investing in a founder

    30:44 – The idea of thesis driven approach to private investment

    30:56 – Andy Rachleff podcast

    32:38 – Crazy thesis – understanding the emotional needs of our pets

    38:03 – Josh’s learning process through these theses

    38:34 – Popplet

    45:49 – Investors that Josh has learned the most from

    47:37 – Josh’s comfort investing outside of his usual asset class

    49:03 – @wolfejosh

    50:56 – What is the thinking with the short strategy at Lux

    52:31 – SpaceX vs Tesla, good business vs bad business

    53:42 – How Josh approaches the quality of a business

    54:15 – World After Capital

    55:16 – How does Josh evaluate competitive advantage

    56:45 – Where are we in the venture capital landscape

    1:01:42 – How does his outlook on venture capital affect the way Lux is run

    1:02:48 – Thoughts on cryptocurrency

    1:07:22 – What is the most memorable conversation Josh has ever had

    1:09:34 – What is Josh’s objective function in life

    1:12:43 – Are there people that Josh disagrees with but deeply respects

    1:13:32 – Kindest thing anyone has ever done for Josh

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Harvey Sawikin - Emerging Market Opportunities - [Invest Like the Best, EP.75] Feb 06, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is Harvey Sawikin, a co-founder and lead portfolio manager at Firebird Management, which manages funds dedicated to investing in emerging market equities. Emerging markets are often a blind spot for investors of all types: most of us have never traveled to the far east or eastern Europe, where many of the thousands of emerging market public equities operate.

    I’ve been very lucky to travel quite a bit in Asia and the Middle East, but never to eastern Europe, which where Firebird focuses its investments. Harvey and I discuss his 24 years of experience evaluating emerging and frontier market countries, industries, and individual stocks. We discuss his experience buying privatization vouchers in Russia, banks in the Baltics, and how today’s emerging market opportunity set compares to the past.

    Like so many of these conversations with investors who have earned significant excess returns, its clear investing opportunities in emerging markets are often disguised. Finding them requires risk, hard work, discipline, and a dose of luck and timing. Please enjoy my conversation with Harvey on Emerging Market Opportunities.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Via

    Books Referenced

    The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel

    Education of Rick Green, Esquire

    Show Notes

    2:26 – (First Question) – Most memorable travel experience since the beginning of Firebird

    5:41 - How Harvey got interested in emerging markets investing, specifically, Eastern Europe and Russia

    10:00 – How does the landscape for emerging markets today compare to when he first started

    12:30 – What are the factors of an emerging market to look at and why do some not pan out

    15:04 – Do countries have to meet minimum criteria before Harvey and his team will even start to do work on an emerging market

    17:33 – How does Harvey distinguish between frontier and emerging markets

    18:37 – Thoughts on the access points that regular investors have into emerging markets, such as ETF’s and Mutual Funds

    23:48 – How does Harvey think about risk exposure when constructing a portfolio

    25:56 – Looking at the bottom up part of the equation, what factors within a company or sector are considered as part of the investing decision

    31:05 – Dividends in emerging markets

    33:09 – How do US equities stack up as an investment against fixed income

    34:53 - The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel

    36:52 - How do US equities stack up as an investment against emerging markets

    39:38 – What type of investor allocate funds to emerging markets

    42:37 – The value of travel in understanding emerging markets

    50:19 – Biggest mistakes that emerging market investors make

    54:49 – What in today’s markets has the smell of opportunity

    55:53 – Harvey’s interest in Via

    56:58 – Interest in buying gold coins

    1:00:05 – If Harvey could only choose one country to visit, business or pleasure, where would he go

    1:01:09 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Harvey

    1:01:38 – Education of Rick Green, Esquire

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Anthony Pompliano - Full Tilt Investing- [Invest Like the Best, EP.74] Jan 30, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is Anthony Pompliano. Pomp began his career in the military, and has since been a successful entrepreneur, worked as a head of growth at Facebook, and started Full Tilt Capital, an early stage investing firm in North Carolina.

    This conversation has three memorable sections. Early on, we discuss the four traits Pomp looks for in founders, which we cover in detail. These double as traits that are important when hiring anyone. Next, we discuss his unique take on cryptocurrencies, where he is excited about the prospects for tokenized securities. Finally, we explore a unique media company, Bar Stool Sports, and what makes it such a powerful brand.

    Please enjoy our somewhat abbreviated discussion and know we will continue the conversation soon.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Dave Portnoy and Barstool Sports’ Secret Billion Dollar Plan

    Books Referenced

    Win Bigly: Persuasion in a World Where Facts Don't Matter

    Show Notes

    2:06 - (First Question) – Recap of Anthony’s military career

    4:07 – Most memorable experience while deployed

    5:27 – Transition out of the military and how it shaped his investing philosophy

    11:19 – investing philosophy of Full Tilt, starting with deal economics

    10:00 – Attributes of an ideal founder

    13:50 - Where you actual learn the attributes that make you a good founder

    14:40 – Time that Anthony has taken the biggest risk in life

    16:45 – What is the viewpoint that Full Tilt has today that gives it Alpha in the market

    18:47 – Why tokenized securities could be advantageous for investors in a company

    19:51 – Anthony’s explanation of a tokenized security and what needs to happen for this idea to be fully realized in the market

    22:22 – What could be the impact on the markets of making liquidity in venture so readily available

    24:39 – What are tokenized securities actually invested in in the real world

    27:42 – What does Anthony think about the commodity risk

    29:04 – Describing Standard American Mining, a company they incubated

    29:58 – Exploring the shift from a CPU world to a GPU world

    31:49 – Getting involved in places where we haven’t caught up with the rest of the world

    33:05 – Anthony’s interest in Barstool Sports

    33:11 – Dave Portnoy and Barstool Sports’ Secret Billion Dollar Plan

    37:09 – Win Bigly: Persuasion in a World Where Facts Don't Matter

    39:02 – What lessons from Full Tilt world would Anthony share with others in the more traditional business world

    40:35 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Anthony

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Dr. Ben Hunt - The Three-Body Portfolio - [Invest Like the Best, EP.73] Jan 23, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is Dr. Ben Hunt, the chief investment strategist at Salient and the author of the extremely popular epsilon theory. I’ve always enjoyed Ben’s writing style, particularly his use of farm and animal based analogies to describe market phenomenon. In this conversation, we discuss his recent post the three body problem, why growth has been beating value, and why a strategy that he calls profound agnosticism—a take on risk parity—may be the most appropriate investing strategy in what he views as a very uncertain world. We also discuss some of his favorite lessons from the farm. Please enjoy our conversation!

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    The Three-Body Problem

    Show Notes

    1:54 - (First Question) – Applying the three-body problem to investing

    7:24 – Fundamental view of investing, Profound Agnosticism

    8:24 – Why has value done so poorly relative to growth in this framework

    11:01 - Ben’s thoughts on why value has been underperforming for so long

    13:52 – Investors should be able to adapt

    17:49 – Thoughts on the risk parity approach

    23:23 – Ben’s strategy for working with several teams

    26:48 – What’s the best way to gain an edge, top down factors vs company/bond individual analysis

    28:29 – How do you measure risk amid the large amount of uncertainty that exists in markets

    32:40 – How does Ben personally think about investing

    34:41 – Ben’s farm and the investing lessons learned by some of the animals

    39:55 – How bees can plan out their entire work structure by the angle of the sun

    42:58 – Defining basis risk

    44:59 – Personal risk vs portfolio risk

    49:30 – The concept of fingernail clean and our perception of what eggs are

    53:57 – How ETFs are like mass produced eggs

    54:56 – Exploring the idea of quality vs scaling

    58:39 – What is the current challenge/puzzle that Ben is focused on right now

    1:01:59 – What is Ben looking for when looking into game theory and applying it to the words that are published and spoken about investing

    1:03:57 – Most memorable day on Ben’s farm

    1:05:04 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Ben

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Preston Byrne - Crypto-pocalypse - [Invest Like the Best, EP.72] Jan 16, 2018
    Show notes

    My guest this week is Preston Byrne. Preston is vocal critic of crazy prices and projects in the world cryptocurrencies. His background is in the legal world and also as a founder and former COO of Monax, which made the first open-source permissioned blockchain client.

    As Preston says, he is a “blockchain without bitcoin” guy, who believes that this crypto mania will end in some sort of apocalypse for token holders and ICO issuers .

    We tackle several issues, from his broad skepticism of crypto assets, to the potential regulatory reaction from major governments, to types of coins like stable coins, which Preston views as analogous to perpetual motion machines.

    Please enjoy our conversation and for any crypto investors out there, let me know if this conversation affects your opinion of the investing prospects for cryptocurrencies.

    Hash Power is presented by Fidelity Investments

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Links Referenced

    Bitcoin white paper

    The Bear Case for Crypto

    Hash Power series

    Zero Hedge

    Preston tweet on Reverse network effect

    Show Notes

    2:12 - (First Question) –Ponzi scheme vs pyramid scheme vs Nakimoto scheme

    5:29 – Why there are regulatory challenges to cryptocurrency

    5:33 – The Bear Case for Crypto

    9:59 – Who are the most influential people supporting this and how are they swaying the regulatory minefield on this issue

    10:28 – Hash Power series

    13:23 – Looking into the idea of a digital asset and the difference between blockchain and the token itself

    16:09 – What about the idea that cryptocurrency’s only feature is that it’s censorship resistant

    18:39 – Why cryptocurrencies become less usable the more successful they are

    18:59 – Zero Hedge

    21:04 – Why can’t we rely on offchain solutions to solve the scaling issue

    22:29 – The idea of bubbles and what happens next in this one

    25:41 – What are the incentives to build technology to support cryptocurrencies

    29:23 – Explaining Ripple

    31:21 – What would precipitate a massive reversal in the inflated valuations of cryptocurrencies

    34:52 – Understanding reverse network effects

    34:36 – Preston tweet on Reverse network effect

    37:45 – The principles behind Stablecoin

    42:20 – What has been the greatest lesson that Preston has learned about blockchain he wish he knew when he first got started

    44:05 – How embedded will blockchain be by 2024/2025

    45:12 – ICO’s, why Preston is not a fan and if there are any positives to them

    50:20 – What are the conditions under which these things will be viewed legally.

    54:00 – Preston’s history owning cryptocurrencies

    55:35 – What has Preston most excited in the space

    59:02 – Utility settlement coin

    1:00:36 – Why the fascination with marmots

    1:02:10 – What to reference before getting started with cryptocurrencies

    1:04:03 – Understanding supply chains in block chain

    1:07:14 – Some smart people on block chain to follow

    1:08:24 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Preston

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


    Ali Hamed – Creative Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.71] Jan 09, 2018
    Show notes

    I have a special request this week: share this episode with every curious person in your life.

    The conversation, with a 26-year old investor named Ali Hamed, serves as an example of what’s possible when you think creatively.

    Ali views the world with a fresh set of eyes, and has already become an expert at identifying new investment opportunities where others have not. As the second prodigy 26 year old in as many weeks on the podcast, these young guns are making me feel like an ancient 32 year old.

    We talk a lot about “alpha” in our world, earning returns better than the market. But the key word in that last sentence isn’t alpha, it’s earning. Hopefully you, like me, will use this conversation as a reminder of what it takes to earn differentiated returns. It’s not just the hard work, but also the mindset. We explore many examples of how to create new investment opportunities, from rolling up Instagram accounts, to financing perishable fruit like watermelons, to heavy machinery software.

    Please enjoy this special conversation with Ali Hamed. Follow him and his partners. And then go figure out how to earn success yourself in whatever it is you do by helping other people solve problems with empathy.

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.

    Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag

    Books Referenced

    The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine

    Links Referenced

    Sheel Tyle Podcast

    Seed Investing is a B2C Business, While Growth Stage investing is a B2B Business

    Ira Judelson podcast

    Free Content and Digital Media Are Increasing Socio-Economic Disparity

    Show Notes

    2:24 - (First Question) Ali’s investment philosophy

    3:33 – History of Coventure and its unique structure

    6:30 – The story of how Coventure was seeded

    12:29 – What makes cost of capital such an interesting topic for Ali

    14:13 – Exploring fee structures and the expectations for return in the current environment

    17:02 – The current state of the VC world

    21:42 – Ali’s investment process on the VC side

    25:32 – What other requirements are there for Ali to make a VC investment

    28:00 – Understanding the difference between judgement and empathy in founders

    28:20 – The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine

    29:47 – Dealing with LP’s

    32:47 – Sheel Tyle Podcast

    33:39 – At one point did Ali feel the most personally at risk in his career

    37:55 – Why did they get involved in cryptocurrency

    43:30 – What excites Ali most about crypto

    46:09 – Lending as an alternative way to invest in businesses

    48:09 – An overview of their lending business

    50:21 – How does deal flow and sourcing work in these arrangements

    52:54 – How much encroachment will Ali face from competitors

    54:28 – Exploring the idea of valuing and buying digital accounts

    59:36 – How Ali thinks about marketing for his own firm and the ones he invests in

    1:00:06 – Seed Investing is a B2C Business, While Growth Stage investing is a B2B Business

    1:03:59 – Longer term aspirations for Ali and industries that he would avoid

    1:04:25 – Ira Judelson podcast

    1:08:05 – Ali’s view on the potential negative impact of free content

    1:08:19 - Free Content and Digital Media Are Increasing Socio-Economic Disparity

    1:12:48 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Ali

    Learn More

    For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.

    Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub

    Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag


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