HyperChange

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How Much Further Could The S&P Fall? 📉 Mar 23, 2020

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S&P 500 earnings estimates for 2020 are dropping rapidly, as analysts price in the impact of this unprecedented economic crisis. Estimates have fallen more than 4% in just the past month, and I think they will fall another 10% (at least) next month. Right now, my rough guesstimate for 2020 S&P 500 EBIT per share is $100 ... about 39% lower than they were in 2019 (~$163). What is your guess? Do you think markets will fall lower?

Trump Encourages Tesla, GM & Ford To Make Ventilators Mar 22, 2020

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Today on Twitter Donald Trump gave the go ahead to Tesla, GM and Ford to begin manufacturing ventilators, to deal with a potential shortage. Tesla has significant experience building HVAC systems in house, since the days of its original roadster (2008), as well as 'BioWeapon Defense Mode' for the Model X. I think this is an awesome story, and is a reason I'm proud to own Tesla stock!

Tesla Shutting Down Fremont Factory Mar 20, 2020

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Tesla has released an official 'Operational Update' about dealing with the current economic crisis. The company is shutting down both its Fremont, CA and Buffalo, NY factories for an indefinite period of time (my guess is at least two weeks). Tesla says it has plenty of cash on hand to "successfully navigate an extended period of uncertainty." I think the silver lining to all of this Tesla news is Shanghai's Gigafactory. It appears to be up and running and producing vehicles at record levels. This should help offset losses from Fremont going forward. At this time, Gigafactory Nevada will remain open.

Zoom Stock Zooming: Is The Hype Real? Mar 20, 2020

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Zoom stock is up 82% in 2020, outperforming nearly every asset in the world. Can this recent video conference IPO live up to the hype of its $40B valuation? In this video, I analyze Zoom's financials, growth rate, and what the long-term potential will be if Eric Yuan's vision is realized. What are your thoughts on Zoom?

Tesla To Make Emergency Medical Supplies? 🏥 Mar 19, 2020

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Elon Musk offered to help make medical supplies for US hospitals (like ventilators, masks, etc) and Mayor de Blasio is taking him up on the offer. After a long twitter exchange (prompted by Nate Silver), it appears as if Tesla/SpaceX are reaching out to the New York City government and may supply them with direly needed medical equipment. I think this is an awesome initiative by Elon, and could be a win/win. NYC gets help, and Tesla's factory employees have something to do.

Should We Bailout The Airlines? ✈️ 💲 Mar 17, 2020

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The WSJ reports that US airlines are looking for a ~$50B bailout/stimulus package in this midst of this economic turmoil. This has become a hot topic, as airlines spent tens of billions buying back their own stock during the past decade. Now they are turning to taxpayers to get them out of this rut .. when they should have been fortifying their balance sheets. What do you think? Is this fair? Should we bail them out? I think this is just the beginning of a lot of government stimulus ...

Will Tesla Survive A Global Depression? Mar 16, 2020

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The market continues to free-fall as concerns mount about how a prolonged shutdown will impact the global economy. In this video I explore what will happen to Tesla's financials if a multi-quarter slowdown in the global economy unfolds. Will Tesla need more capital? Will they be able to survive?

Tesla Solarglass Roof: $1B+ Revenue Runrate Mar 15, 2020

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Tesla has reach a production run-rate of 1,000 roofs/week (4MW), for its highly anticipated solarglass roof product. At $30K/roof, this implies a revenue run-rate of $1.5B+, and is likely growing rapidly. This milestone should accelerate energy generation (solar) deployment growth for Tesla in the coming quarters.

Waymo Is Failing Mar 15, 2020

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Waymo has partnered with Transdev to hire a fleet of drivers for its 'robotaxi' network. This deal, potentially in the hundreds of millions, signals Waymo is falling behind on its ambitious plans for Waymo One, its self-driving service. Waymo just raised $2.25B from outside investors at a $30B valuation, another sign Alphabet is distancing itself from the project. I still think Tesla is winning the self-driving race.

Allowing Rivian & Tesla To Sell Direct In Colorado w/ Sean Mitchell Mar 13, 2020

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Sean Mitchell has been on the ground working to pass bill 167, which would allow electric vehicle makers to sell direct to consumers in the state of Colorado. This has gained major traction, and will make it easier for startups like Tesla & Rivian to compete in the state. If this is successful, this could cause a domino effect and allow Tesla to sell direct in other states where its been previously banned (Texas, Connecticut, etc).Thanks to Sean for coming on the show, and props for all of the work on this!

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