HyperChange

Latest Episodes:

Casper Stock Trading At 0.4X Price/Sales Apr 08, 2020

Show notes

Just a year ago, Casper was flying high at a private market valuation of $1.1B, hitting unicorn status. Today, after a broken IPO and the economic criss, Casper trades at a market capitalization of just $180M. Can this mattress startup complete its transformation into an encompassing sleep/wellness brand? If CEO Philip Krim is successful, I think the equity price has a lot of upside.

RANT Quibi is going to be a major flop Apr 07, 2020

Show notes

Quibi is a mobile-only short form video app that launched yesterday. It's founded by Jeffrey Katzenberg, and run by Meg Whitman. In total, Quibi has raise $1.75B and recruited top Hollywood talent for its content. The problem? Nobody needs what they are building. IMO this is setting up to be one of the biggest tech fails of 2020. What's your take on Quibi?

Tesla replaces Superbottle with …. OCTOVALVE 🐙 Apr 06, 2020

Show notes

Sandy Munro's Model Y teardown has revealed a new easter egg: The Octovalve. This steampunk-esque Octopus with a snowflake on its forehead, is the new mascot of Tesla's breakthrough thermal management/heat pump in the Model Y. This appears to be the replacement of the Superbottle, that was used for heating/cooling in the Model 3. Could this be a sneak preview of Tesla's ambitions to build a smart home HVAC / AC system? I think this is one of the nerdiest/most exciting Tesla quirks we've seen in 2020!

Longterm Square & Cash App Bullcase w/ ARK Invest Apr 05, 2020

Show notes

A conversation with George Whitridge & Max Friedrich of ARK Invest's Fintech team. We discuss Square stock, and the company's long-term potential to merge its seller (Square retail POS) and consumer (Cash App) businesses to become a digital bank. The interview was recorded on 03/30/2020.

Tesla Shanghai Production Hitting Record Highs 📈 Apr 02, 2020

Show notes

Tesmanian reports that Tesla delivered 9,367 Model 3's in Q1 2020 in China (according to the China Passenger Car Association), with 3,900 alone being delivered in March. This shows that Tesla Shanghai production is hitting record highs. My guess is Tesla could deliver 15-20K 'Made In China' Model 3's in Q2, helping to offset declines in the US and European markets. I think this is a silver lining to the Tesla story right now that not enough people appreciate. Revenue, profits and cashflow from Tesla Shanghai are growing by the day.

Tesla Q1 2020 Production & Deliveries 🚘📊 Apr 02, 2020

Show notes

Tesla reports record Q1 production of 103K vehicles, and record Q1 deliveries of 88K. Model Y production is scaling, and Shanghai Gigafactory output keeps climbing. These numbers were far better than my estimates, and signal Tesla's business was thriving before the economic shutdown. Here's my take on the delivery & production report.

How Many Cars Will Tesla Deliver In Q1 2020? Mar 31, 2020

Show notes

I'm conservatively expecting Tesla will deliver ~65,000 cars in Q1, growing about 5% year over year. This factors in the factory shutdown at the end of March, and the macro economic crisis that has been unfolding. I've updated my full year delivery estimates to just 350,000. I hope I'm being too negative, but am preparing for the worst. In this video I show how this level of deliveries will impact Tesla's financials.

Peloton: The Apple Of Fitness? 🚲 Mar 31, 2020

Show notes

Is Peloton selling a $2,245 exercise bike? Or democratizing home fitness? A little bit of both. This dynamic business model combination of luxury hardware and premium software streaming classes, is disrupting the fitness industry. I'm a new Peloton shareholder, and think the company has huge potential to expand into new products (like the Tread and rowing machine), lower prices, and expand into digital content (Peloton App).

Are GM And Ford Going Bankrupt? Mar 26, 2020

Show notes

GM and Ford reported huge (and growing) losses in Q4 2019, before the economic crisis began. Both companies have suspended 2020 guidance and have drawn down $15B+ on credit lines. Are we witnessing a slow motion implosion/bankruptcy for America's two largest automakers? It looks like it. Reuters reports, both companies are planning to make 320,000 EVs for North America in 2026 (combined!) ... that would be less than Tesla did in 2019. This is super disappointing, and makes their chance of a turnaround look even lower.

Why I’m Buying Bitcoin #NIRP Mar 24, 2020

Show notes

I've been adding to my Bitcoin position in the past week. The cryptocurrency currently trades at a network value of $120B, or just about 4.5% of the $2.7T it moves annually. This compares to fintech companies like Paypal, that trade at ~14% of annualized money moved. I think the long-term thesis for Bitcoin to become digital gold, and be worth several $T in network value is more intact than ever. Governmental policies reacting to this economic crisis will fuel more fiat currency printing, and potentially negative interest rates ... these macroeconomic conditions are making more more bullish on the need for Bitcoin than ever. The only way to get out of this crisis will be to print absurd amounts of capital (for both the US and Europe). What are your thoughts about Bitcoin's potential and valuation??

Our TOPPODCAST Picks

Follow Us

Stay Connected

Related Podcasts

Links

Stay Connected