Stay ConnectedFed Watch is a weekly podcast with Bitcoin Magazine’s Podcast Editor CK and Historian/Economist Ansel Lindner of Bitcoinand Markets.com.
Ck and Ansel interview the best analysts, traders, and thinks in both Macro economics and Bitcoin as well as give the audience their takes of important news and press conferences in the macro space.
This is the perfect podcast to learn about and stay on top of Bitcoin, Macro Economics, and the world at large.
Full episode article link : https://bitcoinmagazine.com/something here
In this episode, Christian and Ansel give updates on the Federal Reserve, ECB, and PBOC. Europe is the most exciting because last week they updated their policy, admitting they are fighting deflation, economic contraction, and a strong euro, despite the 1.85 trillion euro stimulus this year alone. It seems the more they do, the worse their situation gets.
The Fed meets Wednesday, December 16th, for their final meeting of the year, in which they are expected to keep everything the same. Next, we cover the PBOC’s recent troubles with defaults throughout their economy, and the increasing amount of stimulus they are providing.
Lastly, what would a bitcoin podcast be without a discussion about MicroStrategy and MassMutual. Bitcoiners have been expecting this type of adoption for years, so it is exciting but expected.
Links
Federal Reserve’s final meeting of 2020 : https://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-things-to-watch-when-fed-meets-wednesday-11607979577
ECB expands and extends its bond buying as coronavirus resurgence weighs on the recovery : https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/12/10/ecb-expands-bond-buying-as-coronavirus-resurgence-weighs.html
The ECB's Policy Dilemma: More QE Will Strengthen The Euro : https://seekingalpha.com/article/4394050-ecbs-policy-dilemma-qe-will-strengthen-euro
China has no plan to replace USD with digital yuan, former PBoC head says : https://cointelegraph.com/news/china-has-no-plan-to-replace-usd-with-digital-yuan-former-pboc-head-says
Nov 27 - China’s central bank could intervene after ‘glaring’ state-firm bond defaults, analyst says : https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/27/chinas-central-bank-could-intervene-as-state-firm-bond-defaults-rise-analyst.html
Dec 14 - China’s central bank injects 950 billion yuan of medium-term loans, leaves rate unchanged : https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/15/chinas-central-bank-injects-950-billion-yuan-of-medium-term-loans.html
In this episode of Fed Watch, Christian and Ansel get into specifics on the plans of the ECB in regard to their digital euro. We are told in the media that central banks are very much going to be releasing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and it will have damaging effects. However, on this podcast we get our information directly from the source. First, we must answer is a digital euro likely and why, which is what we do in this episode. In later episodes we will cover the side-effects of CBDCs if there are any.
On November 30, 2020, the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde released a blog post detailing the ECB’s current thoughts on money and how a digital euro, or CBDC, fits into their plans. I talked about this on my recent episode of Bitcoin & Markets, and Christian wanted to explore the idea of the worries of the ECB specifically, because their thinking seems to be heavily worried about monetary sovereignty.
That term, “monetary sovereignty” came up several times is Lagarde’s blog post in context to why they feel pursuing a CBDC is necessary. This contrasts Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments which focus on patience and conservatism instead of worries about monetary sovereignty. Why is this?
Most likely this is because their already are digital stablecoins, similar to how a digital euro would function, in the market. There is a big problem in the free market offerings of these stablecoins, from the ECB vantage point; they are 99% US dollar based. If the ECB were not to act, the market might completely bypass use of the euro in favor of a digital dollar. That is a scary possibility for the ECB, so they must provide that option for the market, and maybe even require its use in some cases to maintain the euro’s global position.
This episode also discusses the recent MicroStrategy “bonds for bitcoin” proposal. Listen to find out if this is the first signs of the long awaited “speculative attack” on fiat by bitcoin, and what to watch out for as this move receives the keen attention of regulators.
We also discuss jurisdictional arbitrage at length. How does bitcoin enable jurisdictional arbitrage even within the regions, like between US States or European countries? Of course, as good bitcoiners, this leads us to a cosmic back and forth about citadel locations, and the best place to live in the future from a freedom and economic standpoint.
Fantastic episode, heavy on central bank commentary. Do not forget to subscribe to Fed Watch’s new RSS feed, so you don’t miss any of our great guest insights in the future.
Ansel Lindner
Economist, author, investor, and bitcoin specialist. Find more from Ansel at BitcoinDictionary.cc, BitcoinAndMarkets.com, and BTCM.co.
In this off the cuff episode of Fed Watch, Christian and I dive more deeply into the technology driven deflation debate we started last week with our guest Jeff Booth. We bring up the chicken or the egg conversation that did not get answered fully last time; is the deflation from technology first or is the inflationary environment first? In other words, which force is primary? We discuss that topic again, and also touch on the problem that not all technology is equally inflationary.
Modern finance preceded the industrial revolution and it is widely accepted that technological advance and economic stimulus are directly correlated. Ansel attempts to make the claim that it is the culture and capital structure that results from debt-based fiat money that incentivizes massive technological advancement.
Without debt-based fiat money the deflationary pressure from innovation will return to the natural and gradual speed we saw throughout the days of the classic gold standard. Don’t forget to subscribe to Fed Watch so you don’t miss any of our great guest insights in the future.
In this episode of Fed Watch, Christian and I are joined by Jeff Booth. It results in a show that is unlike any other interview with Jeff you may have seen. Most listeners are familiar with his book, so we spend most of our time discussing what a timeline of events looks like from Jeff’s perspective, and then some possible limitations to the technology driven deflation theory. In usual Fed Watch style, we end with trying to understand how bitcoin affects these arguments and what bitcoin means for the world.
Don’t forget to subscribe to Fed Watch so you don’t miss any of our great guest insights in the future.
Please rate and share the podcast!
You can find us @BitcoinMagazine on Twitter.
Ansel Lindner on Twitter @AnselLindner
Christian Keroles on Twitter @ck_SNARKs
Description
This episode of Fed Watch is a cosmic ride though the broad topics of money, central banks, and bitcoin. Christian and Ansel start by extending the analogy of a financial hurricane, which Ansel spoke about in another recent podcast. Many people point to certain asset price rises as a sign of inflation, however, Ansel argues that it is a natural evolution of prices due to the malfunctioning financial system. This malfunctioning financial system acts similarly to a physical natural disaster by distorting supply and demand for goods. During a decade-long financial hurricane, changes occur not only to asset allocations of investors but the system itself can evolve. It affects the pipes and infrastructure of the financial system, favoring relatively “safer” global assets like US Treasuries and US stocks. The economic behavior, products, and relationships that form during a financial hurricane will favor hedging against deflation rather than risk taking or behavior aimed at expansion.
Please rate and share the podcast!
You can find us @BitcoinMagazine on Twitter.
Ansel Lindner on Twitter @AnselLindner
Christian Keroles on Twitter @ck_SNARKs
Bitcoin has an unyielding apolitical nature, which oddly enough, makes it a political statement in today’s rampantly politicized world. In this episode of Fed Watch, Christian and Ansel discuss the recent US election and what it means for bitcoin. Their discussion is wide-ranging from election irregularities, to the rebound in mining hash power, to bitcoin price predictions for the near term.
Topics:
Politics in the US was front page news
Speculate Biden and the Fed
The Dollar and the Yuan price action during the election.
Bitcoin is global.
Bitcoin price at 15260
Difficulty -16% adjustment followed by a +5 Adjustment
Fed Watch Podcast Discussions on Base Money and Bitcoin
Our discussion on this episode of Fed Watch centers around “what is base money” and Matthew’s thoughts on some of the edge cases in the definition. We also attack the inflation/deflation debate from a whole different angle, a data driven angle thanks to Matthew’s research and knowledge on the subject. We don’t ask simple questions and expand the topic past the common hyperinflationary troupes of the end of the dollar.
The listener will hear discussion on dollar liquidity, the history and current status of gold and silver, foreign reserves of the dollar, and, of course, where Bitcoin’s current status relative to other base money types. Matthew also shares some great charts which can be seen on the video version of Fed Watch on YouTube. https://youtu.be/l1ei12lWSeQ
Please rate and share the podcast!
You can find us @BitcoinMagazine on Twitter.
Ansel Lindner on Twitter @AnselLindner
Christian Keroles on Twitter @ck_SNARKs
Matthew Mežinskis on Twitter @crypto_voices and cryptovoices.com
In this episode, CK and I try to describe the scene, including a video message from Kristalina Georgieva, IMF Managing Director, Washington, DC, on October 15th, titled A New Bretton Woods Moment and this IMF panel with Chairman Powell.
Topics:
Useful Links:
IMF “Bretton Woods moment video
https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2020/10/15/sp101520-a-new-bretton-woods-moment
IMF panel with Powell
https://youtu.be/mVmKN4DSu3g
Please rate and share the podcast
You can find us @BitcoinMagazine on Twitter.
Ansel Lindner on Twitter @AnselLindner
Christian Keroles on Twitter @ck_SNARKs
This week, CK and Ansel recap prior guests, discuss recent Federal Reserve quiet, the ECB digital Euro study and trademarking of the term, and dive in deeply into the Bitmex, Bitcoin, and Tether. One of the big topics is the way in which Tether and now Bitmex are fighting the most powerful regulator in the world, the US government, and they seem to be at least winning right now.
Links: Fed CBDC research https://cointelegraph.com/news/federal-reserve-bank-reveals-details-of-digital-dollar-research
ECB Digital Euro paper https://cointelegraph.com/news/ecb-to-consider-further-digital-euro-study-in-2021
Trademark of “Digital Euro” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-01/ecb-applies-for-digital-euro-trademark-amid-feasibility-study
Find us: Bitcoin Magazine: https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine
Bitcoin Magazine YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtOV5M-T3GcsJAq8QKaf0lg
Christian: https://twitter.com/ck_snarks
Ansel: https://twitter.com/AnselLindner
Bitcoin Dictionary: http://bitcoindictionary.cc/
One of the great macro pundits of the last few years, Lyn Alden joins us, for one of the most important episodes of Fedwatch. Lyn has a fantastic grasp of history and macro economics. In this interview, we wanted to focus on placing our current time into a historical context comparing it to previous cycles which we can learn from. We also continue our search for a definition of money today, and agreement on a definition of money, inflation, and deflation.
Find Lyn:
https://www.lynalden.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact Rebel Capitalist Pro: https://www.georgegammon.com/rebel-capitalist-pro/ Elliot Wave Trader: https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/news/ Find us: Bitcoin Magazine: https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine Bitcoin Magazine YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtOV5M-T3GcsJAq8QKaf0lg Christian: https://twitter.com/ck_snarks Ansel: https://twitter.com/AnselLindner Bitcoin Dictionary: http://bitcoindictionary.cc/
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